Cost-utility analysis of sacituzumab govitecan versus chemotherapy for the treatment of metastatic triple-negative breast cancer in Singapore.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost-effectiveness of sacituzumab govitecan for treating relapsed or refractory metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in Singapore. METHODS: A three-state partitioned survival model was developed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of sacituzumab govitecan from a healthcare system perspective over 5 years. Clinical inputs were obtained from the ASCENT trial. Health state utilities were retrieved from the literature and direct costs were sourced from public healthcare institutions in Singapore. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were conducted to explore the impact of uncertainties and assumptions on cost-effectiveness results. RESULTS: Compared with single-agent chemotherapy, sacituzumab govitecan was associated with a base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of S$328,000 (US$237,816) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. One-way sensitivity analyses showed that the ICER was most sensitive to the cost of sacituzumab govitecan and progression-free utility values. Regardless of variation in these parameters, the ICER remained high, and a substantial price reduction was required to reduce the ICER. CONCLUSION: At its current price, sacituzumab govitecan does not represent a cost-effective treatment for relapsed or refractory metastatic TNBC in Singapore. Our findings will be useful to inform funding decisions alongside other factors including clinical effectiveness, safety, and budget impact considerations.

Real-world impact of a subsidy decision of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir for treatment of chronic hepatitis C on clinical practice and patient outcomes.

Background and Aim: Sofosbuvir-velpatasvir was recommended for subsidy to treat chronic hepatitis C in Singapore in 2018. We measured the impact of the subsidy decision on clinical practice and patient outcomes. Specifically, we looked at pre- and post-subsidy changes in the utilization and prescribing pattern of chronic hepatitis C treatment and the real-world clinical effectiveness. Method: Utilization trends and prescribing patterns were assessed using aggregated drug utilization data from public hospitals' dispensing systems and clinical data from the national electronic health record database, respectively. An audit was conducted to evaluate sustained virological response rate 12 weeks post treatment (SVR12). Results: Use of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir increased sharply since its subsidy listing and dropped subsequently, whereas the utilization of comparator drugs remained low. Prescribing rate of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir increased from 13.7% in the pre-subsidy period to 90.2% in the post-subsidy period; 39.1% of patients previously on pegylated interferon and ribavirin switched to sofosbuvir-velpatasvir following its subsidy listing. In the audit, 365 out of 375 patients (97.3% [95% confidence interval: 95.1-98.6%]) achieved SVR12. Conclusion: The subsidy decision led to increased accessibility to patients and intended changes in clinical practice. Sofosbuvir-velpatasvir was also clinically effective in the real world. These findings augur well for the continued eradication of chronic hepatitis C infection in Singapore.

Isogenic Human-Induced Pluripotent Stem-Cell-Derived Cardiomyocytes Reveal Activation of Wnt Signaling Pathways Underlying Intrinsic Cardiac Abnormalities in Rett Syndrome.

Rett syndrome (RTT) is a severe neurodevelopmental disorder caused by MeCP2 mutations. Nonetheless, the pathophysiological roles of MeCP2 mutations in the etiology of intrinsic cardiac abnormality and sudden death remain unclear. In this study, we performed a detailed functional studies (calcium and electrophysiological analysis) and RNA-sequencing-based transcriptome analysis of a pair of isogenic RTT female patient-specific induced pluripotent stem-cell-derived cardiomyocytes (iPSC-CMs) that expressed either MeCP2wildtype or MeCP2mutant allele and iPSC-CMs from a non-affected female control. The observations were further confirmed by additional experiments, including Wnt signaling inhibitor treatment, siRNA-based gene silencing, and ion channel blockade. Compared with MeCP2wildtype and control iPSC-CMs, MeCP2mutant iPSC-CMs exhibited prolonged action potential and increased frequency of spontaneous early after polarization. RNA sequencing analysis revealed up-regulation of various Wnt family genes in MeCP2mutant iPSC-CMs. Treatment of MeCP2mutant iPSC-CMs with a Wnt inhibitor XAV939 significantly decreased the ß-catenin protein level and CACN1AC expression and ameliorated their abnormal electrophysiological properties. In summary, our data provide novel insight into the contribution of activation of the Wnt/ß-catenin signaling cascade to the cardiac abnormalities associated with MeCP2 mutations in RTT.

Developing a New Region-Specific Preference-Based Measure in East and Southeast Asia.

OBJECTIVES: Almost all preference-based measures (PBMs) have been developed in Western countries, with none having been formulated in Asian countries. In this study, we construct a new generic PBM based on concept elicitation using interview surveys in East and Southeast Asian countries and qualitative analysis. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 225 adults recruited from 9 East and Southeast Asian countries or regions (Indonesia, Japan, Korea, mainland China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand). Trained interviewers conducted semistructured interviews with 25 participants from the general population of each country/region. Qualitative data were analyzed using a content analysis approach. The selection of items was determined based on interview surveys and team member discussions. The description of items was considered based on a detailed qualitative analysis of the interview survey. RESULTS: A new region-specific PBM-the Asia PBM 7 dimensions instrument-was designed. It reflects East and Southeast Asian values and comprises 7 items: pain, mental health, energy, mobility, work/school, interpersonal interactions, and burden to others. CONCLUSIONS: The new region-specific instrument is one of the first PBMs developed in the context of non-Western countries. The Asia PBM 7 dimensions contains 7 items that address the core concepts of health-related quality of life that are deemed important based on East and Southeast Asian health concepts.

Cost-effectiveness of transcatheter aortic valve implantation in patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis of intermediate surgical risk in Singapore.

OBJECTIVE: The objective was to assess the cost-effectiveness of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) in patients with severe aortic stenosis with intermediate surgical risk in Singapore. METHODS: A de novo Markov model with three health states - stroke with long-term sequelae, no stroke, and death - was developed and simulated using Monte Carlo simulations with 10,000 iterations over a five-year time horizon from the Singapore healthcare system perspective. A 3% annual discount rate for costs and outcomes and monthly cycle lengths were used. By applying the longest available published clinical evidence, simulated patients received either TAVI or surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) and were at risk of adverse events (AEs) such as moderate-to-severe paravalvular aortic regurgitation (PAR). RESULTS: When five-year PARTNER 2A data was applied, base-case analyses showed that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for TAVI compared to SAVR was US$315,760 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. The high ICER was due to high incremental implantation and procedure costs of TAVI compared to SAVR, and marginal improvement of 0.10 QALYs as simulated mortality of TAVI exceeded SAVR at 3.75 years post-implantation. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the ICERs were most sensitive to cost of PAR, utility values of SAVR patients, and cost of TAVI and SAVR implants and procedures. When disutilities for AEs were additionally applied, the ICER decreased to US$300,070 per QALY gained. TAVI was dominated by SAVR when the time horizon increased to 20 years. Clinical outcomes projected from one-year PARTNER S3i data further reduced the ICER to US$86,337 per QALY gained for TAVI, assuming early all-cause mortality benefits from TAVI continued to persist. This assumption was undermined when longer term data showed that TAVI's early mortality benefits diminished at five years. LIMITATIONS AND CONCLUSION: TAVI is unlikely to be cost-effective in intermediate surgical-risk patients compared to SAVR in Singapore.

Liposome-encapsulated curcumin attenuates HMGB1-mediated hepatic inflammation and fibrosis in a murine model of Wilson's disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Wilson's disease (WD) is an inherited disorder of copper metabolism with predominant hepatic manifestations. Left untreated, it can be fatal. Current therapies focus on treating copper overload rather than targeting the pathophysiology of copper-induced liver injuries. We sought to investigate whether liposome-encapsulated curcumin (LEC) could attenuate the underlying pathophysiology of WD in a mouse model of WD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Subcutaneous administration in a WD mouse model with ATP7B knockout (Atp7b-/-) resulted in robust delivery of LEC to the liver as determined by in-vitro and in-vivo imaging. Treatment with LEC attenuated hepatic injuries, restored lipid metabolism and decreased hepatic inflammation and fibrosis, and thus hepatosplenomegaly in Atp7b-/- mice. Mechanistically, LEC decreased hepatic immune cell and macrophage infiltration and attenuated the hepatic up-regulation of p65 by preventing cellular translocation of high-mobility group box-1 (HMGB-1). Moreover, decreased translocation of HMGB1 was associated with reduced splenic CD11b+/CD43+/Ly6CHi inflammatory monocyte expansion and circulating level of proinflammatory cytokines. Nevertheless there was no change in expression of oxidative stress-related genes or significant copper chelation effect of LEC in Atp7b-/- mice. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that treatment with subcutaneous LEC can attenuate copper-induced liver injury in an animal model of WD via suppression of HMGB1-mediated hepatic and systemic inflammation. These findings provide important proof-of-principle data to develop LEC as a novel therapy for WD as well as other inflammatory liver diseases.

Real-world evaluation of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors for managing type 2 diabetes mellitus: a retrospective multi-ethnic cohort study.

Purpose: Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP4) inhibitors are increasingly used as second-line therapies in patients with type 2 diabetes. The aim of this study was to assess the real-world effects of SGLT2 inhibitors in a multi-ethnic population in Singapore. Methods: This retrospective cohort study examined patients diagnosed with and treated for diabetes from the Ministry of Health's administrative database. Differences in outcomes between treatment groups were assessed using Poisson regression. Demographics, clinical characteristics, previous diagnoses and hospitalisations, and diabetes medication history were used for propensity score matching. Subgroup analyses by ethnicity were performed. Effect size was estimated using risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Patients initiating SGLT2 inhibitors were more likely to achieve glycaemic control target than DPP4 inhibitor-treated patients (RR 1.09; 95% CI 1.04, 1.14). This was observed only in patients of Chinese ethnicity. A higher risk of diabetic ketoacidosis in SGLT2 inhibitor initiators was not observed. SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with reduced risk of hypoglycaemia (RR 0.69; 95% CI 0.59, 0.82) and urinary tract infection (RR 0.52; 95% CI 0.43, 0.63) but was not statistically significant for hypoglycaemia in Malay patients. Compared to DPP4 inhibitors, SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with 12% and 34% reduction in any-cause hospitalisation and all-cause mortality, respectively, potentially resulting in more than $50 million savings over 10 years. Conclusion: SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with improvements in glycaemic control, reduced risk of complications, and was well tolerated. Ethnicity also plays a role and should be considered in future studies.

Generation of Human Liver Chimeric Mice and Harvesting of Human Hepatocytes from Mouse Livers.

Primary human hepatocytes (PHHs) are widely used as an in vitro model to evaluate various aspects of human hepatic physiology and pathology. However, PHHs isolated from the human liver have very limited ability for ex vivo expansion in culture. Fah-/-/Rag2-/-/Il2rg-/- (FRG) mice are proven to be an ideal bioincubator for repopulation of PHHs. The human liver chimeric FRG mouse is not only a humanized animal model for disease study and drug screening in vivo, but also a potential source of PHHs for cellular therapy. This chapter describes experimental protocols to generate chimeric FRG mice with humanized liver and to isolate PHHs from human liver chimeric FRG mice. Using these methods, PHHs can be expanded to more than 100-fold for harvesting.

Assessing the cost-effectiveness of mepolizumab as add-on therapy to standard of care for severe eosinophilic asthma in Singapore.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of mepolizumab added to standard of care (SOC) compared with SOC alone among patients with severe uncontrolled eosinophilic asthma in the Singapore setting. METHODS: A Markov model with three health states (asthma on mepolizumab and SOC, asthma on SOC alone, and death) was developed from a healthcare system perspective over a lifetime horizon. During each 4-week cycle, patients in the non-death health states could experience asthma exacerbations requiring oral corticosteroid burst, emergency department visit, or hospitalization. Asthma-related mortality following an exacerbation or all-cause mortality could also occur at each cycle. The model was populated using local costs while utilities were derived from international literature. Transition probabilities were obtained from a mixture of Singapore-specific and internationally published data. RESULTS: The base-case analysis comparing mepolizumab plus SOC with SOC alone resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of SGD335 486 (USD238 195) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the ICER was most sensitive to the price of mepolizumab, followed by the proportion of exacerbations which required hospital intensive care. Despite restricting mepolizumab use to patients with a higher baseline exacerbation rate (3 in the past year) in a scenario analysis, the ICER remained high at SGD238 876 (USD 169 602) per QALY gained. CONCLUSION: At its current price, mepolizumab is not considered a cost-effective use of healthcare resources in Singapore. Substantial price reductions for mepolizumab are required to improve its cost-effectiveness to an acceptable range. These results will be useful to inform national funding decisions.

Cost-effectiveness of daratumumab in combination with lenalidomide and dexamethasone for relapsed and/or refractory multiple myeloma.

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of daratumumab (D) in combination with lenalidomide and dexamethasone (Rd) for treatment of relapsed and/or refractory multiple myeloma in patients who have received at least one prior therapy in Singapore. METHODS: A 3-state partitioned survival model was developed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of lenalidomide and dexamethasone with or without daratumumab from a healthcare system perspective over 10 years. Clinical inputs were obtained from the POLLUX trial. Health state utilities were derived from the literature and direct medical costs obtained from public healthcare institutions. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were conducted to explore uncertainties. RESULTS: DRd was associated with a high base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of US$576,247 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained, compared with Rd. According to one-way sensitivity analysis, ICER was most heavily influenced by time horizon, discount rate for outcomes, progression-free utility and cost of daratumumab. Regardless of the variation, DRd remained not cost-effective. Even when the cost of both daratumumab and lenalidomide dropped by 20% and 80%, the ICERs remained high at US$470,400 and US$152,860 per QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: At current prices, the addition of daratumumab to lenalidomide and dexamethasone does not represent cost-effective use of healthcare resources in Singapore.

CRISPR-targeted genome editing of human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived hepatocytes for the treatment of Wilson's disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Wilson's disease (WD) is an autosomal recessive disorder of copper metabolism caused by loss-of-function mutations in ATP7B, which encodes a copper-transporting protein. It is characterized by excessive copper deposition in tissues, predominantly in the liver and brain. We sought to investigate whether gene-corrected patient-specific induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC)-derived hepatocytes (iHeps) could serve as an autologous cell source for cellular transplantation therapy in WD. METHODS: We first compared the in vitro phenotype and cellular function of ATP7B before and after gene correction using CRISPR/Cas9 and single-stranded oligodeoxynucleotides (ssODNs) in iHeps (derived from patients with WD) which were homozygous for the ATP7B R778L mutation (ATP7BR778L/R778L). Next, we evaluated the in vivo therapeutic potential of cellular transplantation of WD gene-corrected iHeps in an immunodeficient WD mouse model (Atp7b -/- / Rag2 -/- / Il2rg -/- ; ARG). RESULTS: We successfully created iPSCs with heterozygous gene correction carrying 1 allele of the wild-type ATP7B gene (ATP7BWT/-) using CRISPR/Cas9 and ssODNs. Compared with ATP7BR778L/R778L iHeps, gene-corrected ATP7BWT/- iHeps restored i n vitro ATP7B subcellular localization, its subcellular trafficking in response to copper overload and its copper exportation function. Moreover, in vivo cellular transplantation of ATP7BWT/- iHeps into ARG mice via intra-splenic injection significantly attenuated the hepatic manifestations of WD. Liver function improved and liver fibrosis decreased due to reductions in hepatic copper accumulation and consequently copper-induced hepatocyte toxicity. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate that gene-corrected patient-specific iPSC-derived iHeps can rescue the in vitro and in vivo disease phenotypes of WD. These proof-of-principle data suggest that iHeps derived from gene-corrected WD iPSCs have potential use as an autologous ex vivo cell source for in vivo therapy of WD as well as other inherited liver disorders. LAY SUMMARY: Gene correction restored ATP7B function in hepatocytes derived from induced pluripotent stem cells that originated from a patient with Wilson's disease. These gene-corrected hepatocytes are potential cell sources for autologous cell therapy in patients with Wilson's disease.

Numerical study of POD-Galerkin-DEIM reduced order modeling of cardiac monodomain formulation.

The three-dimensional cardiac monodomain model with inhomogeneous and anisotropic conductivity characterizes a complicated system that contains spatial and temporal approximation coefficients along with a nonlinear ionic current term. These complexities make its numerical modeling computationally challenging, and therefore, the formation of an efficient computational approximation is important for studying cardiac propagation. In this paper, a reduced order modeling approach has been developed for the simplified cardiac monodomain model, which yields a significant reduction of the full order dynamics of the cardiac tissue, reducing the required computational resources. Additionally, the discrete empirical interpolation technique has been implemented to accurately estimate the nonlinearity of the ionic current of the cardiac monodomain scheme. The proper orthogonal decomposition technique has been utilized, which transforms a given dataset called 'snapshots' to a new coordinate system. The snapshots are computed first from the original system, and they encapsulate all the information observed over both time and parameter variations. Next, the proper orthogonal decomposition provides a reduced order basis for projecting the original solution onto a low-dimensional orthonormal subspace. Finally, a reduced set of unknowns of the forward problem is obtained for which the solution involves significant computational savings compared to that for the original system of unknowns. The efficiency of the model order reduction technique for finite difference solution of cardiac electrophysiology is examined concerning simulation time, error potential, activation time, maximum temporal derivative, and conduction velocity. Numerical results for the monodomain show that its solution time can be reduced by a significant factor, with only 0.474 mV RMS error between the full order and reduced dimensions solution.

Cost-effectiveness of MRI targeted biopsy strategies for diagnosing prostate cancer in Singapore.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of six diagnostic strategies involving magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) targeted biopsy for diagnosing prostate cancer in initial and repeat biopsy settings from the Singapore healthcare system perspective. METHODS: A combined decision tree and Markov model was developed. The starting model population was men with mean age of 65 years referred for a first prostate biopsy due to clinical suspicion of prostate cancer. The six diagnostic strategies were selected for their relevance to local clinical practice. They comprised MRI targeted biopsy following a positive pre-biopsy multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) [Prostate Imaging - Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score ≥ 3], systematic biopsy, or saturation biopsy employed in different testing combinations and sequences. Deterministic base case analyses with sensitivity analyses were performed using costs from the healthcare system perspective and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained as the outcome measure to yield incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS: Deterministic base case analyses showed that Strategy 1 (MRI targeted biopsy alone), Strategy 2 (MRI targeted biopsy ➔ systematic biopsy), and Strategy 4 (MRI targeted biopsy ➔ systematic biopsy ➔ saturation biopsy) were cost-effective options at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of US$20,000, with ICERs ranging from US$18,975 to US$19,458. Strategies involving MRI targeted biopsy in the repeat biopsy setting were dominated. Sensitivity analyses found the ICERs were affected mostly by changes to the annual discounting rate and prevalence of prostate cancer in men referred for first biopsy, ranging between US$15,755 to US$23,022. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses confirmed Strategy 1 to be the least costly, and Strategies 2 and 4 being the preferred strategies when WTP thresholds were US$20,000 and US$30,000, respectively. LIMITATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS: This study found MRI targeted biopsy to be cost-effective in diagnosing prostate cancer in the biopsy-naïve setting in Singapore.

Application of Patient-Specific iPSCs for Modelling and Treatment of X-Linked Cardiomyopathies.

Inherited cardiomyopathies are among the major causes of heart failure and associated with significant mortality and morbidity. Currently, over 70 genes have been linked to the etiology of various forms of cardiomyopathy, some of which are X-linked. Due to the lack of appropriate cell and animal models, it has been difficult to model these X-linked cardiomyopathies. With the advancement of induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC) technology, the ability to generate iPSC lines from patients with X-linked cardiomyopathy has facilitated in vitro modelling and drug testing for the condition. Nonetheless, due to the mosaicism of the X-chromosome inactivation, disease phenotypes of X-linked cardiomyopathy in heterozygous females are also usually more heterogeneous, with a broad spectrum of presentation. Recent advancements in iPSC procedures have enabled the isolation of cells with different lyonisation to generate isogenic disease and control cell lines. In this review, we will summarise the current strategies and examples of using an iPSC-based model to study different types of X-linked cardiomyopathy. The potential application of isogenic iPSC lines derived from a female patient with heterozygous Danon disease and drug screening will be demonstrated by our preliminary data. The limitations of an iPSC-derived cardiomyocyte-based platform will also be addressed.

A review of implementation frameworks to operationalize health technology assessment recommendations for medical technologies in the Singapore setting.

BACKGROUND: Methodologies of health technology assessment (HTA) for medical technologies are well established; yet, operational frameworks that enable appropriate uptake of HTA recommendations into routine clinical practice are lacking. This review aims to identify the key themes needed to guide the planning and implementation of HTA subsidy decisions for medical technologies such as diagnostics, medical devices, and services and to monitor their impact on a complex multipayer healthcare system like Singapore. METHODS: A literature search of implementation frameworks was conducted up to 20 December 2020 and was documented in a flow diagram. A thematic analysis of the evidence base was performed using the Braun and Clark approach to identify key themes, from which an implementation framework suitable for Singapore's healthcare system could be developed. RESULTS: The searches yielded forty-four articles for review, from which twenty themes were identified. The top ten themes constituted the key themes of implementation essential for local adaptation and were categorized into five domains: implementation strategy, organizational support, stakeholder engagement, information dissemination, and implementation outcomes and evaluation. These domains provide operational guidance to methodically identify gaps to facilitate sustainable implementation of HTA-informed medical technology subsidy decisions. CONCLUSION: A robust and adaptable implementation of HTA-informed subsidy decisions is crucial to optimize its intended impact of improving patient outcomes per dollar spent. The key themes of an implementation framework should capture the important aspects of organizational feasibility to ensure successful adoption in a complex multipayer healthcare system like Singapore.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of the nonavalent human papillomavirus vaccine for the prevention of cervical cancer in Singapore.

BACKGROUND: The nonavalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine has been shown to extend protection against oncogenic HPV types 31/33/45/52/58 (HPV-OV) not covered by the bivalent and quadrivalent HPV vaccines. Besides its clinical benefit, evidence on the economic value of the nonavalent vaccine is required to inform local vaccination strategies and funding decisions. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of replacing the bivalent vaccine with the nonavalent vaccine in the national school-based HPV vaccination programme in Singapore. METHODS: An existing age-structured dynamic transmission model coupled with stochastic individual-based simulations was adapted to project the health and economic impact of vaccinating 13-year-old girls with two doses of the nonavalent or bivalent HPV vaccines in Singapore. Direct costs (in Singapore dollars, S$) were obtained from public healthcare institutions in Singapore, while health state utilities were sourced from the literature. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated over a lifetime horizon, from a healthcare system perspective. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to obtain the ICERs and corresponding variations across variable uncertainty. Particularly, this study tested the scenarios of lifelong and 20-year vaccine-induced protection, assumed 96.0% and 22.3% cross-protection against HPV-OV by nonavalent and bivalent vaccines respectively, and fixed vaccine prices per dose at S$188 for nonavalent and S$61.50 for bivalent vaccines. RESULTS: Compared with the bivalent vaccine, the use of the nonavalent vaccine was associated with an ICER of S$61,629 per quality-adjusted life year gained in the base case. The result was robust across a range of plausible input values, and to assumptions regarding the duration of vaccine protection. CONCLUSION: Given the high ICER, the nonavalent vaccine is unlikely to represent a cost-effective option compared with the bivalent vaccine for school-based HPV vaccination of 13-year old female students in Singapore. Substantial price reductions would be required to justify its inclusion in the school-based programme in the future.

Cost-effectiveness of pertuzumab and trastuzumab biosimilar combination therapy as initial treatment for HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer in Singapore.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of pertuzumab with trastuzumab biosimilar and docetaxel as initial treatment for HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer (MBC) in Singapore. METHODS: A partitioned survival model with three health states was developed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of trastuzumab biosimilar and docetaxel with or without pertuzumab from a healthcare system perspective over a 15-year time horizon for patients with HER2-positive MBC. Key clinical inputs were derived from the CLEOPATRA trial. Health state utilities were derived from the literature and direct medical costs were obtained from local public healthcare institutions. RESULTS: The base-case resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of SGD366,658 (USD272,244) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. One-way sensitivity analyses showed that the ICER was sensitive to utilities in the progression-free state, price of pertuzumab and time horizon. When the price for trastuzumab reference biologic (branded) was applied, the ICER was even higher (SGD426,996 [USD317,045]/QALY). CONCLUSION: Although trastuzumab biosimilar reduced the cost of the pertuzumab combination regimen, the ICER remained high and was not cost effective in Singapore's context. As pertuzumab contributed 80% of the overall combination treatment cost, price reductions for pertuzumab will be required to improve the cost-effectiveness of combination treatment to an acceptable level.

Cost-effectiveness of olaparib maintenance therapy when used with and without restriction by BRCA1/2 mutation status for platinum-sensitive relapsed ovarian cancer.

Objectives: To determine whether olaparib maintenance therapy, used with and without restriction by BRCA1/2 mutation status, is cost-effective at the population level for platinum-sensitive relapsed ovarian cancer in Singapore.Methods: A partitioned survival model compared three management strategies: 1) treat all patients with olaparib; 2) test for germline BRCA1/2 mutation, followed by targeted olaparib use in mutation carriers only; 3) observe all patients. Mature overall survival (OS) data from Study 19 and a 15-year time horizon were used and direct medical costs were applied. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore uncertainties.Results: Treating all patients with olaparib was the most costly and effective strategy, followed by targeted olaparib use, and observation of all patients. Base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for all-olaparib and targeted use strategies were SGD133,394 (USD100,926) and SGD115,736 (USD87,566) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained, respectively, compared to observation. ICERs were most sensitive to the cost of olaparib, time horizon and discount rate for outcomes. When these parameters were varied, ICERs remained above SGD92,000 (USD69,607)/QALY.Conclusions: At the current price, olaparib is not cost-effective when used with or without restriction by BRCA1/2 mutation status in Singapore, despite taking into account potential OS improvement over a long time horizon.

Cost-effectiveness of ribociclib as initial treatment for premenopausal women with advanced breast cancer in Singapore.

BACKGROUND: CDK4/6 inhibitors have shown promising results for treating advanced breast cancer (ABC) and are routinely used in Singapore. In view of their high costs, it is important to assess their relative value compared to existing standards of care in the local setting. AIMS: This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of adding ribociclib to goserelin and a nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor or tamoxifen as initial therapy for premenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) ABC in Singapore. METHODS: A partitioned survival model with four health states (progression-free on first-line treatment, progression-free on second-line treatment, progressed disease, and death) was developed from a healthcare system perspective over a 10-year time horizon. Key clinical inputs were derived from the MONALEESA-7 trial, and survival curves were extrapolated beyond the trial period. Health state utilities were derived from the literature and direct medical costs were obtained from local public healthcare institutions. A discount rate of 3% was applied to both costs and outcomes. One-way deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore uncertainties. RESULTS: The base-case analysis resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of SGD197, 667 per quality-adjusted life-year. Sensitivity analyses showed that the ICER was sensitive to the survival parametric distribution, ribociclib price, time horizon, and utility weights used. Even when these were varied, ICERs remained high and not cost-effective in the local context. CONCLUSION: At its current price, adding ribociclib to endocrine therapy is unlikely to be cost-effective in Singapore for HR+, HER2- ABC. Results from this study are useful to inform future funding decisions for CDK4/6 inhibitors alongside other factors including clinical effectiveness, safety, and budget impact considerations.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of osimertinib for first-line treatment of locally advanced or metastatic EGFR mutation positive non-small cell lung cancer in Singapore.

OBJECTIVE: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) accounts for 80-90% of all lung cancer cases and is usually associated with a poor prognosis. However, targeted therapy with first and second generation tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) has so far improved progression-free survival of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutant NSCLC patients. Osimertinib, a third generation EGFR TKI has recently shown improved overall survival of 6.8 months in previously untreated EGFR mutant NSCLC patients. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of osimertinib versus standard EGFR TKIs (gefitinib or erlotinib) as first-line treatment for advanced or metastatic EGFR mutant NSCLC patients in Singapore. METHODS: A partitioned survival model with three health states (progression-free, progressive disease, and death) was developed from the Singapore healthcare payer perspective. Survival curves based on the overall trial population from the FLAURA trial were extrapolated beyond trial period over a 10-year time horizon to estimate the underlying progression-free survival and overall survival parametric distributions. Health state utilities were derived from the literature and direct costs were sourced from public healthcare institutions in Singapore. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore the impact of uncertainties and assumptions on cost-effectiveness results. RESULTS: Compared with first or second generation TKI, osimertinib had a base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of SG$418,839 (US$304,277) per quality-adjusted life year gained. One-way sensitivity analysis showed the ICER was most sensitive to time horizon and variations in progression-free utility values. Scenario analyses showed that a 50% reduction in the cost of osimertinib was still associated with a high ICER that was unlikely to be deemed cost effective. CONCLUSIONS: Osimertinib is not cost effective as a first-line treatment compared to standard EGFR TKIs in advanced EGFR mutant NSCLC patients in Singapore. The findings from our evaluation, alongside other considerations including the lack of survival benefit in the Asian subgroup of the FLAURA trial, will be useful to inform policy makers on funding decisions for NSCLC treatments in Singapore.