The Effects of Migration and Limited Medical Resources of the Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Model with Two Patches.

The sudden outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 has caused the shortage of medical resources around the world, especially in developing countries and underdeveloped regions. With the continuous increase in the duration of this disease, the control of migration of humans between regions or countries has to be relaxed. Based on this, we propose a two-patches mathematical model to simulate the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 among two-patches, asymptomatic infected humans and symptomatic infected humans, where a half-saturated detection rate function is also introduced to describe the effect of medical resources. By applying the methods of linearization and constructing a suitable Lyapunov function, the local and global stability of the disease-free equilibrium of this model without migration is obtained. Further, the existence of forward/backward bifurcation is analyzed, which is caused by the limited medical resources. This means that the elimination or prevalence of the disease no longer depends on the basic reproduction number but is closely related to the initial state of asymptomatic and symptomatic infected humans and the supply of medical resources. Finally, the global dynamics of the full model are discussed, and some numerical simulations are carried to explain the main results and the effects of migration and supply of medical resources on the transmission of disease.

Modelling the transmission dynamics of two-strain Dengue in the presence awareness and vector control.

In this paper, a mathematical model describing the transmission of two-strain Dengue virus between mosquitoes and humans, incorporating vector control and awareness of susceptible humans, is proposed. By using the next generation matrix method, we obtain the threshold values to identify the existence and stability of three equilibria states, that is, a disease-free state, a state where only one serotype is present and another state where both serotypes coexist. Further, explicit conditions determining the persistence of this disease are also obtained. In addition, we investigate the sensitivity analysis of threshold conditions and the optimal control strategy for this disease. Theoretical results and numerical simulations suggest that the measures of enhancing awareness of the infected and susceptible human self-protection should be taken and the mosquito control measure is necessary in order to prevent the transmission of Dengue virus from mosquitoes to humans.

Complex dynamic behavior in a viral model with state feedback control strategies.

With the consideration of mechanism of prevention and control for the spread of viral diseases, in this paper, we propose two novel virus dynamics models where state feedback control strategies are introduced. The first model incorporates the density of infected cells (or free virus) as control threshold value; we analytically show the existence and orbit stability of positive periodic solution. Theoretical results imply that the density of infected cells (or free virus) can be controlled within an adequate level. The other model determines the control strategies by monitoring the density of uninfected cells when it reaches a risk threshold value. We analytically prove the existence and orbit stability of semi-trivial periodic solution, which show that the viral disease dies out. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the main results.

A state dependent pulse control strategy for a SIRS epidemic system.

With the consideration of mechanism of prevention and control for the spread of infectious diseases, we propose, in this paper, a state dependent pulse vaccination and medication control strategy for a SIRS type epidemic dynamic system. The sufficient conditions on the existence and orbital stability of positive order-1 or order-2 periodic solution are presented. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the main results and compare numerically the state dependent vaccination strategy and the fixed time pulse vaccination strategy.