Evaluation of an automatic article selection method for timelier updates of the Comet Core Outcome Set database.

Curated databases of scientific literature play an important role in helping researchers find relevant literature, but populating such databases is a labour intensive and time-consuming process. One such database is the freely accessible Comet Core Outcome Set database, which was originally populated using manual screening in an annually updated systematic review. In order to reduce the workload and facilitate more timely updates we are evaluating machine learning methods to reduce the number of references needed to screen. In this study we have evaluated a machine learning approach based on logistic regression to automatically rank the candidate articles. Data from the original systematic review and its four first review updates were used to train the model and evaluate performance. We estimated that using automatic screening would yield a workload reduction of at least 75% while keeping the number of missed references around 2%. We judged this to be an acceptable trade-off for this systematic review, and the method is now being used for the next round of the Comet database update.

Measuring the impact of screening automation on meta-analyses of diagnostic test accuracy.

BACKGROUND: The large and increasing number of new studies published each year is making literature identification in systematic reviews ever more time-consuming and costly. Technological assistance has been suggested as an alternative to the conventional, manual study identification to mitigate the cost, but previous literature has mainly evaluated methods in terms of recall (search sensitivity) and workload reduction. There is a need to also evaluate whether screening prioritization methods leads to the same results and conclusions as exhaustive manual screening. In this study, we examined the impact of one screening prioritization method based on active learning on sensitivity and specificity estimates in systematic reviews of diagnostic test accuracy. METHODS: We simulated the screening process in 48 Cochrane reviews of diagnostic test accuracy and re-run 400 meta-analyses based on a least 3 studies. We compared screening prioritization (with technological assistance) and screening in randomized order (standard practice without technology assistance). We examined if the screening could have been stopped before identifying all relevant studies while still producing reliable summary estimates. For all meta-analyses, we also examined the relationship between the number of relevant studies and the reliability of the final estimates. RESULTS: The main meta-analysis in each systematic review could have been performed after screening an average of 30% of the candidate articles (range 0.07 to 100%). No systematic review would have required screening more than 2308 studies, whereas manual screening would have required screening up to 43,363 studies. Despite an average 70% recall, the estimation error would have been 1.3% on average, compared to an average 2% estimation error expected when replicating summary estimate calculations. CONCLUSION: Screening prioritization coupled with stopping criteria in diagnostic test accuracy reviews can reliably detect when the screening process has identified a sufficient number of studies to perform the main meta-analysis with an accuracy within pre-specified tolerance limits. However, many of the systematic reviews did not identify a sufficient number of studies that the meta-analyses were accurate within a 2% limit even with exhaustive manual screening, i.e., using current practice.