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1.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21268451

RESUMO

BackgroundWe conducted a repeat serosurvey in Delhi, India to estimate the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in the general population and compare the antibody prevalence in the vaccinated and non-vaccinated groups. MethodsThis cross-sectional study was conducted from September 24 to October 14 2021 in 280 wards of Delhi among 27811 participants selected through a multistage sampling technique with housing settlement based stratification. The SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin (IgG) antibodies were screened with the VITROS(R) (Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Raritan, NJ, USA) assay (90% sensitivity, 100% specificity). ResultsA total of 24895 (89.5%) samples were seropositive. The crude seroprevalence was 87.99% (95% CI 89.1, 89.8), weighted for age and sex was 88% (95% CI 87.6, 88.4), and after adjustment of assay performance was estimated as 97.5% (95% CI 97.0, 98.0). The weighted seroprevalence in the 11 districts ranged from 84.9% (South-West district) to 90.8% (East district) Females in all the age-groups (<18, 18-49 and [≥]50) had significantly higher odds of seropositivity (p<0.001). On adjusted analysis, the odds of seroconversion in the participants vaccinated with at-least one dose of either Covid-19 vaccine (Covishield/Covaxin) was more than four times compared to the unvaccinated (aRR 4.2 (3.8, 4.6)). The seroprevalence was also comparable among the complete and partially vaccinated subgroups for both vaccines (Table 4). Most (86.8%) seropositive individuals had a SARS-CoV-2 signal/cut-off [≥]4.0 except in children O_TBL View this table: org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1482d5forg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@19ab8a1org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@cf675dorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@8b427aorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@b96a54_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_TBL O_FLOATNOTable 4.C_FLOATNO O_TABLECAPTIONVaccination status and seroprevalence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2, Delhi, September-October 2021* C_TABLECAPTION C_TBL ConclusionsWe observed IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in most of the general population of Delhi with likely higher antibody titres in the vaccinated compared to the unvaccinated groups.

2.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21268472

RESUMO

We conducted this study to estimate seroprevalence of neutralizing antibodies in the general population and to further correlate it with the IgG SARS-CoV-2 IgG levels. This present cross-sectional analysis was conducted as a sequel to a state level community-based seroepidemiological study in Delhi, India. A total of 2564 seropositive samples were selected from 25622 seropositive samples through simple random sampling. Neutralizing capacity was estimated by performing a surrogate virus neutralization test with the sVNT (GenScript) assay. Neutralizing antibody against the SARS-CoV-2 virus was operationally considered as detected when the signal inhibition was [≥]30%. A total of 2233 (87.1%, 95% C.I. 85.7, 88.3) of the 2564 SARS-CoV-2 seropositive samples had detectable neutralizing antibodies. On bi-variate analysis but not on adjusted analysis, Covid-19 vaccination showed a statistically significant association with the presence of neutralizing antibodies (p<0.001). The signal/ cut off (S/CO) of SARS-CoV-2 IgG ranged from 1.00 to 22.8 (median 11.40). In samples with S/CO [≥]4.00, the neutralizing antibodies ranged from 94.5 to 100%, while in samples with S/CO <4.00, it ranged from 52.0 to 79.2%. The neutralizing antibody seroprevalence strongly correlated with the S/CO range (r=0.62, p=0.002). In conclusion, in populations with high SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence, neutralizing antibodies are generated in nearly 9 of 10 seropositive individuals.

3.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21263331

RESUMO

BackgroundWe report the findings of a large follow-up community-based serosurvey and correlating it with the COVID-19 test-positivity rate and the case load observed during the peak of the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic in Delhi, India. MethodsIndividuals of age [≥]5 years were recruited from 274 wards of the state (population [~] 19.6 million) during January 11 to January 22 2021. A total of 100 participants each were included from all the wards for a net sample size of [~]28,000. A multi-stage sampling technique was applied for selection of participants for the household serosurvey. Anti SARS CoV-2 IgG antibodies were detected by using the VITROS assay (90% Sn, 100% Sp). ResultsAntibody positivity was observed in 14,298 (50.76%) of the 28,169 samples. The age, sex and district population weighted seroprevalence of the IgG SARS-CoV-2 was 50.52% (95% C.I. 49.94-51.10) and after adjustment for assay characteristics was 56.13% (95% C.I. 55.49-56.77). On adjusted analysis, participants aged [≥]50 years, of female gender, housewives, having ever lived in containment zones, urban slum dwellers, and diabetes or hypertensive patients had significantly higher odds of SARS-CoV-2 antibody positivity. The peak infection rate and the test positivity rate since October 2020 were initially observed in mid-November 2020 with a subsequent steep declining trend, followed by a period of persistently low case burden lasting until the first week of March 2021. This was followed by a steady increase followed by an exponential surge in infections from April 2021 onwards culminating in the second wave of the pandemic. ConclusionsThe presence of infection induced immunity from SARS-CoV-2 even in more than one in two people can be ineffective in protecting the population.

4.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20248123

RESUMO

BackgroundThree rounds of a repeated cross-sectional serosurvey to estimate the seroprevalence and trends of SARS-CoV-2 were conducted from August-October 2020 in the state of Delhi in India in the general population aged [≥]5 years. MethodsThe selection of participants was through a multi-stage sampling design from all the 11 districts and 280 wards of the city-state, with two-stage allocation proportional to population- size. Household selected was via systematic random sampling, and individual participant selection through the age-order procedure. The blood samples were screened using the IgG ELISA COVID-Kawach kit (August Round), and the ERBALISA COVID-19 IgG (September and October) rounds. The seroprevalence was estimated by applying the sampling weights based on age and sex with further adjustment for the assay-kit characteristics. ResultsA total of 4267 (n=15046), 4311 (n=17409), and 3829 (n=15015) positive tests indicative of the presence of IgG antibody to SARS-CoV-2 were observed during the August, September, and October 2020 serosurvey rounds, respectively. The adjusted seroprevalence declined from 28.39% (95% CI 27.65-29.14) (August) to 24.08% (95% CI 23.43-24.74) (September), and 24.71% (95% CI 24.01, 25.42%) (October). The antibody positivity was highest in the [≥]50 and female age-group during all rounds of the serosurvey, while the decline was maximum among the younger age-group (5-17 years). On adjusted analysis, participants with lower per capita income, living in slums or overcrowded households, and those with diabetes comorbidity had significantly higher statistical odds of antibody positivity. ConclusionsDespite high IgG seroprevalence, there was evidence for waning of antibody positivity with the progression of the COVID-19 epidemic, implying a potential reduction in population immunity, especially if also associated with the lack of trained T cell immunity.

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