Field study to determine the reliability of HIV viral load results shows minimal impact of delayed testing in South Africa.

Background: Understanding factors that impact HIV viral load (VL) accuracy in resource-limited settings is key to quality improvement. Objective: We evaluated whether testing delay and specimen storage between 25 °C and 30 °C before testing affected results. Methods: Between November 2019 and June 2023, 249 individuals on antiretroviral therapy, or with newly diagnosed HIV, were recruited from clinics in Cape Town and Gqeberha, South Africa, and three plasma preparation tubes were collected. One tube was tested within 24 h, while the others were stored uncentrifuged at ambient temperatures before testing. Centrifugation and testing of matched samples were performed on Day 4 and Day 7 after collection. Results: Time delay and ambient storage had minimal impact in specimens with a Day 1 VL of > 100 copies/mL. When grouped by Day 1 VL range, 96% - 100% of specimens at Day 4 and 93% - 100% at Day 7 had VLs within 0.5 log copies/mL of the first result. The greatest variability at Days 4 and 7 was observed when the Day 1 VL was < 100 copies/mL. However, there was no trend of increasing difference over time. Of Day 1 specimens with undetectable VL, or VL < 50 copies/mL, 80% had concordant results at Day 4 and 78% at Day 7. Conclusion: These results show that VL is stable in plasma preparation tubes for 7 days when stored at room temperature. There is significant variability in specimens with low VL, but variability is not affected by testing delay. What this study adds: Ideal HIV VL testing conditions are frequently unachievable in resource-limited settings. Data are needed on whether this impacts on the validity of test results. Our results provide reassurance that storage at ambient temperature for up to 7 days before testing does not substantially affect the VL result.

Experiences of transfer of care among postpartum women living with HIV attending primary healthcare services in South Africa.

Transfers between health facilities for postpartum women living with HIV are associated with disengagement from care. In South Africa, women must transfer from integrated antenatal/HIV care to general HIV services post-delivery. Thereafter, women transfer frequently e.g. due to geographic mobility. To explore barriers to transfer, we conducted in-depth interviews >2 years post-delivery in 28 participants in a trial comparing postpartum HIV care at primary health care (PHC) antiretroviral therapy (ART) facilities versus a differentiated service delivery model, the adherence clubs, which are the predominant model implemented in South Africa. Data were thematically analysed using inductive and deductive approaches. Women lacked information including where they could transfer to and transfer processes. Continuity mechanisms were affected when women transferred silently i.e. without informing facilities or obtaining referral letters. Silent transfers often occurred due to poor relationships with healthcare workers and were managed inconsistently. Fear of disclosure to family and community stigma led to transfers from local PHC ART facilities to facilities further away affecting accessibility. Mobility and the postpartum period presented unique challenges requiring specific attention. Information regarding long-term care options and transfer processes, ongoing counselling regarding disclosure and social support, and increased health system flexibility are required.

Transfers between health facilities of people living with diabetes attending primary health care services in the Western Cape Province of South Africa: A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Transfers between health facilities of people living with HIV attending primary health care (PHC) including hospital to PHC facility, PHC facility to hospital and PHC facility to PHC facility transfers occur frequently, affect health service planning, and are associated with disengagement from care and viraemia. Data on transfers among people living with diabetes attending PHC, particularly transfers between PHC facilities, are few. We assessed the transfer incidence rate of people living with diabetes attending PHC, and the association between transfers between PHC facilities and subsequent HbA1c values. METHODS: We analysed data on HbA1c tests at public sector facilities in the Western Cape Province (2016-March 2020). Individuals with an HbA1c in 2016-2017 were followed-up for 27 months and included in the analysis if ≥18 years at first included HbA1c, ≥2 HbA1cs during follow-up and ≥1 HbA1c at a PHC facility. A visit interval was the duration between two consecutive HbA1cs. Successive HbA1cs at different facilities of any type indicated any transfer, and HbA1cs at different PHC facilities indicated a transfer between PHC facilities. Mixed effects logistic regression adjusted for sex, age, rural/urban facility attended at the start of the visit interval, disengagement (visit interval >14 months) and a hospital visit during follow-up assessed the association between transfers between PHC facilities and HbA1c >8%. RESULTS: Among 102,813 participants, 22.6% had ≥1 transfer of any type. Including repeat transfers, there were 29,994 transfers (14.4 transfers per 100 person-years, 95% confidence interval [CI] 14.3-14.6). A total of 6996 (30.1%) of those who transferred had a transfer between PHC facilities. Visit intervals with a transfer between PHC facilities were longer (349 days, interquartile range [IQR] 211-503) than those without any transfer (330 days, IQR 182-422). The adjusted relative odds of an HbA1c ≥8% after a transfer between PHC facilities versus no transfer were 1.20 (95% CI 1.05-1.37). CONCLUSION: The volume of transfers involving PHC facilities requires consideration when planning services. Individuals who transfer between PHC facilities require additional monitoring and support.

Incidence and distribution of human leptospirosis in the Western Cape Province, South Africa (2010-2019): a retrospective study.

Introduction: leptospirosis is an emerging zoonosis of global importance. In South Africa, the infection is an underreported public health concern, with limited information on its incidence and distribution. This study investigated the incidence of human leptospirosis in Western Cape Province (WCP) between 2010 and 2019, and compared the incidence based on seasonal and demographic factors. Methods: a retrospective study was conducted with data on leptospirosis diagnoses in WCP obtained from the National Health Laboratory Services. With the provincial population sizes as the denominator, incidence of leptospirosis was estimated and expressed as cases per 100,000 population. Negative binomial regression was used to estimate the effect of sex, season, and year on the incidence of leptospirosis. Results: two hundred and fifty-four (254) cases of leptospirosis were reported between 2010 and 2019, with the highest number of cases being in 2015 and the annual incidence ranged between 0.15 and 0.66/100,000 population. Males had a higher incidence compared to females (0.55 vs. 0.25/ 100,000 population; incidence rate ratio (IRR) 2.2, 95% CI: 1.66,3.03). The 18-44 age cohort had the highest average incidence (0.56/100,000 population), while the ≤17 age cohort had the lowest incidence (0.07/100,000 population). The 18-44 (IRR 8.0, 95% CI: 4.65,15.15) and ≥45 (IRR 7.4, 95% CI: 4.17,14.17) age cohorts were more at risk of infection compared to ≤17 age cohort. Conclusion: leptospirosis is an important zoonosis in WCP disproportionately affecting males and the productive age demographic groups. These findings should enhance targeted prevention and provoke further investigation on the importance of environmental and socioeconomic factors on leptospirosis burden.

Cost-effectiveness of point-of-care versus centralised, laboratory-based nucleic acid testing for diagnosis of HIV in infants: a systematic review of modelling studies.

BACKGROUND: Point-of-care (POC) nucleic acid testing for diagnosis of HIV in infants facilitates earlier initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) than with centralised (standard-of-care, SOC) testing, but can be more expensive. We evaluated cost-effectiveness data from mathematical models comparing POC with SOC to provide global policy guidance. METHODS: In this systematic review of modelling studies, we searched PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, the National Health Service Economic Evaluation Database, Econlit, and conference abstracts, combining terms for "HIV" + "infant"/"early infant diagnosis" + "point-of-care" + "cost-effectiveness" + "mathematical models", without restrictions from database inception to July 15, 2022. We selected reports of mathematical cost-effectiveness models comparing POC with SOC for HIV diagnosis in infants younger than 18 months. Titles and abstracts were independently reviewed, with full-text review for qualifying articles. We extracted data on health and economic outcomes and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for narrative synthesis. The primary outcomes of interest were ICERs (comparing POC with SOC) for ART initiation and survival of children living with HIV. FINDINGS: Our search identified 75 records through database search. 13 duplicates were excluded, leaving 62 non-duplicate articles. 57 records were excluded and five were reviewed in full text. One article was excluded as it was not a modelling study, and four qualifying studies were included in the review. These four reports were from two mathematical models from two independent modelling groups. Two reports used the Johns Hopkins model to compare POC with SOC for repeat early infant diagnosis testing in the first 6 months in sub-Saharan Africa (first report, simulation of 25 000 children) and Zambia (second report, simulation of 7500 children). In the base scenario, POC versus SOC increased probability of ART initiation within 60 days of testing from 19% to 82% (ICER per additional ART initiation range US$430-1097; 9-month cost horizon) in the first report; and from 28% to 81% in the second ($23-1609, 5-year cost horizon). Two reports compared POC with SOC for testing at 6 weeks in Zimbabwe using the Cost-Effectiveness of Preventing AIDS Complications-Paediatric model (simulation of 30 million children; lifetime horizon). POC increased life expectancy and was considered cost-effective compared with SOC (ICER $711-850 per year of life saved in HIV-exposed children). Results were robust throughout sensitivity and scenario analyses. In most scenarios, platform cost-sharing (co-use with other programmes) resulted in POC being cost-saving compared with SOC. INTERPRETATION: Four reports from two different models suggest that POC is a cost-effective and potentially cost-saving strategy for upscaling of early infant testing compared with SOC. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Unitaid, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, WHO, and Massachusetts General Hospital Research Scholars.

Mobility during the post-partum period and viraemia in women living with HIV in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: We investigated the association between travel and viraemia in post-partum women with human immunodeficiency virus on antiretroviral therapy (ART). METHODS: Data are from a trial of post-partum ART delivery strategies. Women who initiated ART during pregnancy, were clinically stable with a viral load (VL) <400 copies/ml and were <10 weeks post-partum were enrolled at a primary care antenatal clinic in Cape Town, South Africa. Study visits at 3, 6, 12, 18 and 24 months post-partum included questions about travel, defined as ≥1 night spent outside of the city, and VL testing. Generalised mixed effects models assessed the association between travel and subsequent VL ≥400 copies/ml. RESULTS: Among 402 women (mean age 29 y, 35% born in the Western Cape), 69% reported one or more travel events over 24 months. Being born beyond the Western Cape (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.03 [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.49 to 2.77]), duration post-partum in months (aOR 1.03 [95% CI 1.02 to 1.05]) and living with the child (aOR 0.60 [95% CI 0.38 to 0.93]) were associated with travel. In multivariable analyses, a travel event was associated with a 92% increase in the odds of a VL ≥400 copies/ml (aOR 1.92 [95% CI 1.19 to 3.10]). CONCLUSIONS: Interventions to support women on ART who travel are urgently required.

Virologic outcomes after early referral of stable HIV-positive adults initiating ART to community-based adherence clubs in Cape Town, South Africa: A randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Differentiated service delivery (DSD) models are recommended for stable people living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) but there are few rigorous evaluations of patient outcomes. METHODS: Adherence clubs (ACs) are a form of DSD run by community health workers at community venues with 2-4 monthly ART refills and annual nurse assessments). Clinic-based care involves 2-monthly ART refills and 4-monthly nurse/doctor assessments. We compared virologic outcomes in stable adults randomised to ACs at four months post-ART initiation to those randomised to primary health care (PHC) ART clinics through 12 months on ART in Cape Town, South Africa (NCT03199027). We hypothesised that adults randomised to ACs would be more likely to be virally suppressed at 12 months post-ART initiation, versus adults randomised to continued PHC care. We enrolled consecutive adults on ART for 3-5 months who met local DSD ['adherence clubs' (AC)] eligibility (clinically stable, VL<400 copies/mL). The primary outcome was VL<400 copies/mL at 12 months on ART. RESULTS: Between January 2017 and April 2018, 220 adults were randomised (mean age 35 years; 67% female; median ART duration 18 weeks); 85% and 94% of participants randomised to ACs and PHCs attended their first service visit on schedule respectively. By 12 months on ART, 91% and 93% randomised to ACs and PHCs had a VL<400 copies/mL, respectively. In a binomial model adjusted for age, gender, previous ART use and nadir CD4 cell count, there was no evidence of superiority of ACs compared to clinic-based care (RD, -2.42%; 95% CI, -11.23 to 6.38). Findings were consistent when examining the outcome at a threshold of VL <1000 copies/mL. CONCLUSION: Stable adults referred to DSDs at 4 months post-ART initiation had comparable virologic outcomes at 12 months on ART versus PHC clinics, with no evidence of superiority. Further research on long-term outcomes is required.

Improved virologic outcomes in postpartum women living with HIV referred to differentiated models of care.

OBJECTIVES: Differentiated service delivery (DSD) models are used to deliver antiretroviral therapy (ART) but data are limited in postpartum women, who are at high risk of non-adherence and elevated viral load (VL) over the extended postpartum period. DESIGN: Randomized controlled trial. METHODS: We enrolled consecutive postpartum women who initiated ART during pregnancy and met local DSD eligibility (clinically stable, VL less than 400 copies/ml) at a large primary healthcare (PHC) clinic. Women were randomized to a community-based 'adherence club' (AC, the local DSD model: community health worker-led groups of 20-30 patients with ART dispensing at a community venue) or routine PHC clinics (local standard of care with nurse/doctor-led services). Follow-up visits with VL separate from routine care took place at 3, 6, 12, 18 and 24 months postpartum. Endpoints were time to VL of at least 1000 copies/ml (primary) and VL of at least 50 copies/ml (secondary) by intention-to-treat. RESULTS: At enrolment ( n  = 409), the median duration postpartum was 10 days, all women had a VL less than 1000 copies/ml and 88% had a VL less than 50 copies/ml; baseline characteristics did not differ by arm. Twenty-four-month retention was 89%. Sixteen and 29% of women in AC experienced a VL of at least 1000 copies/ml by 12 and 24 months, compared to 23 and 37% in PHC, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.50-1.01). Thirty-two and 44% of women in ACs had a VL of at least 50 copies/ml by 12 and 24 months, compared to 42 and 56% in PHC, respectively (HR = 0.68; 95% CI = 0.51-0.91). CONCLUSIONS: Early DSD referral was associated with reduced viraemia through 24 months postpartum and may be an important strategy to improve maternal virologic outcomes.

Transfer of Patients on Antiretroviral Therapy Attending Primary Health Care Services in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Patients stable on antiretroviral therapy (ART) may require transfer between health care facilities to maintain continuous care, yet data on the frequency, predictors, and virologic outcomes of transfers are limited. METHODS: Data for all viral load (VL) testing at public sector health facilities in the Western Cape Province (2011-2018) were obtained. Participant inclusion criteria were a first VL between 2011 and 2013, age >15 years at ART initiation, and >1 VL within 5 years of ART initiation, of which ≥1 was at a primary health care facility. Two successive VLs taken at different facilities indicated a transfer. We assessed predictors of transfer using generalized estimating equations with Poisson regression and the association between transfer and subsequent VL> 1000 copies/mL using generalized mixed effects. RESULTS: Overall 84,814 participants (median age at ART initiation 34 years and 68% female) were followed up for up to 4.5 years after their first VL: 34% (n = 29,056) transferred at least once, and among these, 26% transferred twice and 11% transferred thrice or more. Female sex, age <30 years, and first VL > 1000 copies/mL were independently associated with an increased rate of transfer [adjusted rate ratio 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.21 to 1.26; 1.34, 95% CI: 1.31 to 1.36; and 1.42, 95% CI: 1.38 to 1.45, respectively]. Adjusting for age, sex, and disengagement, transfer was associated with an increased relative odds of VL > 1000 copies/mL (odds ratio 1.35, 95% CI: 1.29 to 1.42). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one-third of participants transferred and virologic outcomes were poor post-transfer. Stable patients who transfer may require additional support to maintain adherence.

Use of Tenofovir Diphosphate Levels to Predict Viremia During the Postpartum Period in Women Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV): A Nested Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: There are few data on the utility of tenofovir diphosphate (TFV-DP) in dried blood spots (DBSs) to predict future viral load (VL) in postpartum women with HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART). METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study within a trial of postpartum ART delivery strategies. Participants started ART containing tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) in pregnancy, were <10 weeks postpartum, and had a VL <400 copies/mL. VL and TFV-DP samples were taken every 3-6 months over 24 months. Cases had ≥1 VL ≥20 copies/mL; controls were randomly sampled from women with persistent viral suppression (VS; VL <20 copies/mL). Generalized estimating equations were used to calculate likelihood odds ratios (LORs) for future VL ≥20 copies/mL by TFV-DP concentration at the preceding visit. RESULTS: 61 cases and 20 controls contributed 365 DBS-VL pairs (median ART duration, 16 months). Sensitivity and specificity of TFV-DP <700 fmol/punch to detect future viremia were 62.9% (95% CI, 54.7-70.6%) and 89.7% (84.9-93.4%), respectively. Adjusting for age, ART duration, previous VL, and duration between the TFV-DP and VL measures, LORs of viremia for TFV-DP concentrations 350-699 and <350 fmol/punch versus TFV-DP ≥1850 fmol/punch were 3.5 (95% CI, 1.1-10.8; P = .033) and 12.9 (3.6-46.6; P < .0001), respectively. Including only samples taken during VS, the LOR of future viremia for TFV-DP concentration <350 fmol/punch versus TFV-DP ≥1850 fmol/punch was 9.5 (1.9-47.0). CONCLUSIONS: TFV-DP concentrations in DBSs were strongly associated with future viremia and appear useful to identify nonadherence and predict future elevated VL.

Brief Report: Viral Load Monitoring in Pregnancy to Predict Peripartum Viremia in South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: Enhanced postnatal prophylaxis is recommended in infants of women with viremia during labor, as identified by viral load (VL) testing late in pregnancy. However, data on the use of antenatal VL to predict peripartum viremia are few, particularly in women starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) in pregnancy who experience initial VL declines. METHODS: Between January 2016 and August 2017, we identified HIV-infected women who initiated ART (tenofovir, emtricitabine, and efavirenz) antenatally and had a VL <400 copies/mL before delivery in Cape Town, South Africa. VLs were repeated postdelivery, and sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR+ and LR-) for antenatal VL <100 copies/mL in predicting peripartum VLs <100 and <400 copies/mL were calculated. RESULTS: Among 322 women (median age 29 years, 44% with a history of ART use, median gestation of antenatal VL 33 weeks), antenatal VL was <100 copies/mL in 89% and 100-400 copies/mL in 11%. At a median 9 days postpartum, 91%, 7%, and 2% of women had a VL <100, 100-400, and >400 copies/mL, respectively. Sensitivity of antenatal VL <100 copies/mL in predicting peripartum VL <100 copies/mL was 0.95 (95% confidence interval: 0.92 to 0.97), and specificity was 0.71 (95% confidence interval: 0.51 to 0.87; LR+ 3.28, LR- 0.07). Performance was slightly weaker to detect peripartum VL <400 copies/mL but was similar across strata of gestation at antenatal VL and history of ART use. DISCUSSION: Antenatal VL is a useful predictor of peripartum viremia in women who started ART in pregnancy and attained a VL <400 copies/mL antenatally and may be used to target enhanced postnatal prophylaxis interventions.

Dynamics of sputum conversion during effective tuberculosis treatment: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Two weeks' isolation is widely recommended for people commencing treatment for pulmonary tuberculosis (TB). The evidence that this corresponds to clearance of potentially infectious tuberculous mycobacteria in sputum is not well established. This World Health Organization-commissioned review investigated sputum sterilisation dynamics during TB treatment. METHODS AND FINDINGS: For the main analysis, 2 systematic literature searches of OvidSP MEDLINE, Embase, and Global Health, and EBSCO CINAHL Plus were conducted to identify studies with data on TB infectiousness (all studies to search date, 1 December 2017) and all randomised controlled trials (RCTs) for drug-susceptible TB (from 1 January 1990 to search date, 20 February 2018). Included articles reported on patients receiving effective treatment for culture-confirmed drug-susceptible pulmonary TB. The outcome of interest was sputum bacteriological conversion: the proportion of patients having converted by a defined time point or a summary measure of time to conversion, assessed by smear or culture. Any study design with 10 or more particpants was considered. Record sifting and data extraction were performed in duplicate. Random effects meta-analyses were performed. A narrative summary additionally describes the results of a systematic search for data evaluating infectiousness from humans to experimental animals (PubMed, all studies to 27 March 2018). Other evidence on duration of infectiousness-including studies reporting on cough dynamics, human tuberculin skin test conversion, or early bactericidal activity of TB treatments-was outside the scope of this review. The literature search was repeated on 22 November 2020, at the request of the editors, to identify studies published after the previous censor date. Four small studies reporting 3 different outcome measures were identified, which included no data that would alter the findings of the review; they are not included in the meta-analyses. Of 5,290 identified records, 44 were included. Twenty-seven (61%) were RCTs and 17 (39%) were cohort studies. Thirteen studies (30%) reported data from Africa, 12 (27%) from Asia, 6 (14%) from South America, 5 (11%) from North America, and 4 (9%) from Europe. Four studies reported data from multiple continents. Summary estimates suggested smear conversion in 9% of patients at 2 weeks (95% CI 3%-24%, 1 single study [N = 1]), and 82% of patients at 2 months of treatment (95% CI 78%-86%, N = 10). Among baseline smear-positive patients, solid culture conversion occurred by 2 weeks in 5% (95% CI 0%-14%, N = 2), increasing to 88% at 2 months (95% CI 84%-92%, N = 20). At equivalent time points, liquid culture conversion was achieved in 3% (95% CI 1%-16%, N = 1) and 59% (95% CI 47%-70%, N = 8). Significant heterogeneity was observed. Further interrogation of the data to explain this heterogeneity was limited by the lack of disaggregation of results, including by factors such as HIV status, baseline smear status, and the presence or absence of lung cavitation. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review found that most patients remained culture positive at 2 weeks of TB treatment, challenging the view that individuals are not infectious after this interval. Culture positivity is, however, only 1 component of infectiousness, with reduced cough frequency and aerosol generation after TB treatment initiation likely to also be important. Studies that integrate our findings with data on cough dynamics could provide a more complete perspective on potential transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis by individuals on treatment. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Systematic review registration: PROSPERO 85226.

Delivery of antiretroviral therapy to HIV-infected women during the postpartum period: The Postpartum Adherence Clubs for Antiretroviral Therapy (PACART) trial.

INTRODUCTION: The World Health Organization recommends initiation of lifelong antiretroviral therapy (ART) in all HIV-infected pregnant women ("Option B+"); however, disengagement from care has been documented postnatally and thereafter. The community-based adherence club (AC) system has been widely implemented in Cape Town, South Africa, and provides HIV care to stable adults on ART, but women who initiated ART in antenatal care services are currently referred to local ART clinics postnatally. METHODS: The Postpartum Adherence Clubs for Antiretroviral Therapy (PACART) study is a pragmatic randomised controlled trial evaluating ACs to deliver long-term HIV care to women who initiated ART antenatally. Consecutive eligible women seeking care postnatally at a large primary health care facility in Cape Town were randomised to either the local ART clinic (standard of care), or the AC service. The primary objective is to compare maternal HIV viral suppression up to 24 months postpartum. Six study visits are scheduled through 24 months; measurements at each visit include phlebotomy for viral load and questionnaires assessing maternal health, infant health, and ART adherence. Qualitative interviews examining issues of ART adherence and retention, and assessments of costs and cost-effectiveness will also be done. RESULTS: Enrolment is complete, with 412 women enrolled. Follow-up visits are ongoing. DISCUSSION: There is an urgent need to improve ART delivery for maternal and child health. With a pragmatic trial design, we aim to assess use of the community-based AC system to improve maternal engagement in HIV care in the postpartum period and beyond.

Transfer of primary care patients receiving chronic care: the next step in the continuum of care.

The burden of chronic conditions is increasing rapidly in low- and middle-income countries. Chronic conditions require long-term and continuous care, including for patients transferring between facilities. Patient transfer is particularly important in the context of health service decentralization, which has led to increasing numbers of primary care facilities at which patients can access care, and high levels of migration, which suggest that patients might require care at multiple facilities. This article provides a critical review of existing evidence regarding transfer of stable patients receiving primary care for chronic conditions. Patient transfer has received limited consideration in people living with HIV, with growing concern that patients who transfer are at risk of poor outcomes; this appears similar for people with TB, although studies are few. There are minimal data on transfer of patients with non-communicable diseases, including diabetes. Patient transfer for chronic conditions has thus received surprisingly little attention from researchers; considering the potential risks, more research is urgently required regarding reasons for and outcomes of transfers, transfer processes and interventions to optimize transfers, for different chronic conditions. Ultimately, it is the responsibility of health systems to facilitate successful transfers, and this issue requires increased attention from researchers and policy-makers.