Association between the severity of hypothermia and in-hospital mortality in patients with infectious diseases: The J-Point registry.

Aim: Hypothermia is associated with poor prognosis in patients with sepsis. However, no studies have explored the correlation between the severity of hypothermia and prognosis. Methods: Using data from the Japanese accidental hypothermia network registry (J-Point registry), we examined adult patients aged ≥18 years with infectious diseases whose initial body temperature was ≤35°C from April 1, 2011 to March 31, 2016, in 12 centers. Patients were divided into three groups according to their body temperature: Tertile 1 (T1) (32.0-35.0°C), Tertile 2 (T2) (28.0-31.9°C), and Tertile 3 (T3) (<28.0°C). In-hospital mortality was employed as a metric to assess outcomes. We conducted a multivariate logistic regression analysis to investigate the relationship between the three categories and the occurrence of in-hospital mortality. Results: A total of 572 patients were registered, and 170 eligible patients were identified. Of these patients, 55 were in T1 (32.0-35.0°C), 76 in T2 (28.0-31.9°C), and 39 in T3 (<28.0°C) groups. The overall in-hospital mortality rate in accidental hypothermia (AH) patients with infectious diseases was 34.1%. The in-hospital mortality rates in the T1, T2, and T3 groups were 34.5%, 36.8%, and 28.2%, respectively. The multivariable analysis demonstrated no significant differences regarding in-hospital mortality among the three groups (T2 vs. T1, adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.58-2.89 and T3 vs. T1, adjusted OR: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.30-2.31). Conclusion: In this multicenter retrospective observational study, hypothermia severity was not associated with in-hospital mortality in AH patients with infectious diseases.

Targeted temperature management on outcome of older adult patients after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: Targeted temperature management (TTM) can potentially improve the prognosis of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). However, the effectiveness of TTM in older adults remains unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the outcomes of older adult patients with OHCA who underwent TTM. METHODS: This study was a multicenter, retrospective, nationwide observational analysis of the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (JAAM-OHCA) registry. We included patients aged ≥18 years who had experienced OHCA and underwent TTM from June 1, 2014, to December 31, 2017, in Japan. The primary outcome was a 1-month neurological favorable outcome, and the secondary outcome was 1-month survival. RESULTS: A total of 1847 patients were included in the analysis. 79 of 389 patients aged ≥75 years (20.3%) had a 1-month neurological favorable outcome compared with 369 of 959 patients aged 18-64 years (38.5%) (adjusted odds ratios, 0.31; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.21-0.45; P for trend <0.001). With increasing age, 1-month mortality showed an increasing trend; however, there was no significant difference. CONCLUSION: In this retrospective nationwide observational study in Japan, neurological outcomes worsened as age increased in patients with OHCA who underwent TTM.

Anti-Muscle-Specific Kinase (MuSK) Antibody-Positive Myasthenia Gravis Presenting With Dyspnea in an Elderly Woman: A Case Report.

Myasthenia gravis (MG) is an autoimmune disease and represents one of the most common disorders associated with neuromuscular transmission defects. Within MG, the anti-muscle-specific kinase antibody-positive subtype (MuSK-positive MG) is rare. While it shares similarities with the common form of MG by presenting with ocular weakness, MuSK-positive MG typically presents with more atypical symptoms. Although MuSK-positive MG can lead to type 2 respiratory failure due to respiratory weakness, there have been limited reports where initial presentation involves only respiratory compromise. This study details a case of MuSK-positive MG presenting dyspnea. An 84-year-old female presented to the emergency department due to a three-day history of progressive respiratory distress, characterized by increased respiratory effort and shallow breathing, resulting in a diagnosis of type 2 respiratory failure. Despite the absence of neurological abnormalities, she tested positive for anti-muscle-specific kinase antibodies, confirming a diagnosis of MuSK-positive MG. This case highlights the significance of considering MG in the context of type 2 respiratory failure, even in the absence of typical neurological symptoms, especially in elderly patients.

Varicella-zoster virus meningitis coincident with bacteremia caused by liver abscess: a case report.

Varicella-zoster virus (VZV) meningitis is sometimes associated with herpes zoster, which is also associated with various other infectious diseases. However, there are limited case reports of VZV meningitis with concomitant infectious diseases. Herein, we report a unique case of VZV meningitis concomitant with a pyogenic liver abscess. VZV meningitis was associated with herpes zoster ophthalmicus, Klebsiella pneumoniae bacteremia, and liver abscess. When VZV meningitis is suspected, clinicians should be aware of its relatively rare epidemiology, nonspecific presentation, and many background risks shared with other infections and should never omit thorough examinations to rule out other infectious causes.

Post-Resuscitation Partial Pressure of Arterial Carbon Dioxide and Outcome in Patients with Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study.

We aimed to estimate the association between PaCO2 level in the patient after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) resuscitation with patient outcome based on a multicenter prospective cohort registry in Japan between June 2014 and December 2015. Based on the PaCO2 within 24 h after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), patients were divided into six groups as follows: severe hypocapnia (<25 mmHg), mild hypocapnia (25−35 mmHg,), normocapnia (35−45 mmHg), mild hypercapnia (45−55 mmHg), severe hypercapnia (>55 mmHg), or exposure to both hypocapnia and hypercapnia. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to calculate the adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the 1-month poor neurological outcome (Cerebral Performance Category ≥ 3). Among the 13,491 OHCA patients, 607 were included. Severe hypocapnia, mild hypocapnia, severe hypercapnia, and exposure to both hypocapnia and hypercapnia were associated with a higher rate of 1-month poor neurological outcome compared with mild hypercapnia (aORs 6.68 [95% CI 2.16−20.67], 2.56 [1.30−5.04], 2.62 [1.06−6.47], and 5.63 [2.21−14.34], respectively). There was no significant difference between the outcome of patients with normocapnia and mild hypercapnia. In conclusion, maintaining normocapnia and mild hypercapnia during the 24 h after ROSC was associated with better neurological outcomes than other PaCO2 abnormalities in this study.

Clinical relevance of impaired consciousness in accidental hypothermia: a Japanese multicenter retrospective study.

AIM: This study aimed to investigate the association between level of impaired consciousness and severe hypothermia (<28°C) and to evaluate the association between level of impaired consciousness and inhospital mortality among accidental hypothermia patients. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective study using the J-Point registry database, which includes data regarding patients whose core body temperature was 35.0°C or less and who were treated as accidental hypothermia in emergency departments between April 1, 2011 and March 31, 2016. We estimated adjusted odds ratios of the level of impaired consciousness for severe hypothermia less than 28°C and inhospital mortality using a logistic regression model. RESULTS: The study included 505 of 572 patients in the J-Point registry. Relative to mildly impaired consciousness (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] 13-15), the adjusted odds ratios for severe hypothermia less than 28°C were: moderate (GCS 9-12), 3.26 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.69-6.25); and severe (GCS < 9), 4.68 (95% CI, 2.40-9.14). Relative to mildly impaired consciousness (GCS 13-15), the adjusted odds ratios for inhospital mortality were: moderate (GCS9-12), 1.65 (95% CI, 0.95-2.88); and severe (GCS < 9), 2.10 (95% CI, 1.17-3.78). CONCLUSION: The level of impaired consciousness in patients with accidental hypothermia was associated with severe hypothermia and inhospital mortality.

Impact of cooling method on the outcome of initial shockable or non-shockable out of hospital cardiac arrest patients receiving target temperature management: a nationwide multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the effectiveness of surface cooling (SC) and endovascular cooling (EC) on the outcome of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients receiving target temperature management (TTM) according to their initial rhythm. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed data from the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest registry, a multicentre, prospective nationwide database in Japan. For our analysis, OHCA patients aged ≥ 18 years who were treated with TTM between June 2014 and December 2017 were included. The primary outcome was 30-day survival with favourable neurological outcome defined as a Glasgow-Pittsburgh cerebral performance category score of 1 or 2. Cooling methods were divided into the following groups: SC (ice packs, fans, air blankets, and surface gel pads) and EC (endovascular catheters and any dialysis technique). We investigated the efficacy of the two categories of cooling methods in two different patient groups divided according to their initially documented rhythm at the scene (shockable or non-shockable) using multivariable logistic regression analysis and propensity score analysis with inverse probability weighting (IPW). RESULTS: In the final analysis, 1082 patients were included. Of these, 513 (47.4%) had an initial shockable rhythm and 569 (52.6%) had an initial non-shockable rhythm. The proportion of patients with favourable neurological outcomes in SC and EC was 59.9% vs. 58.3% (264/441 vs. 42/72), and 11.8% (58/490) vs. 21.5% (17/79) in the initial shockable patients and the initial non-shockable patients, respectively. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, differences between the two cooling methods were not observed among the initial shockable patients (adjusted odd ratio [AOR] 1.51, 95% CI 0.76-3.03), while EC was associated with better neurological outcome among the initial non-shockable patients (AOR 2.21, 95% CI 1.19-4.11). This association was constant in propensity score analysis with IPW (OR 1.40, 95% CI 0.83-2.36; OR 1.87, 95% CI 1.01-3.47 among the initial shockable and non-shockable patients, respectively). CONCLUSION: We suggested that the use of EC was associated with better neurological outcomes in OHCA patients with initial non-shockable rhythm, but not in those with initial shockable rhythm. A TTM implementation strategy based on initial rhythm may be important.

Association between cardiac rhythm conversion and neurological outcome among cardiac arrest patients with initial shockable rhythm: a nationwide prospective study in Japan.

AIMS: Initial cardiac rhythm, particularly shockable rhythm, is a key factor in resuscitation for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients. The purpose of this study was to clarify the association between cardiac rhythm conversion and neurologic prognosis in OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm at the scene. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included adult patients with OHCA due to medical causes with pre-hospital initial shockable rhythm and who were still in cardiac arrest at hospital arrival. Multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify the adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of cardiac arrest rhythm at hospital arrival for 1-month favourable neurologic status and 1-month survival, adjusted for potential confounders. Of 34 754 patients in the 2014-2017 JAAM-OHCA Registry, 1880 were included in the final study analysis. The percentages of 1-month favourable neurologic status for shockable rhythm, pulseless electrical activity (PEA), and asystole at hospital arrival were 17.4% (137/789), 3.6% (18/507), and 1.5% (9/584), respectively. The AORs for 1-month favourable neurologic status comparing to OHCA patients who maintained shockable rhythm at hospital arrival were PEA, 0.19 (95% CI, 0.11-0.32) and asystole, 0.08 (95% CI, 0.04-0.16), respectively. CONCLUSION: Findings showed that the 1-month neurologic outcome in OHCA patients who converted to non-shockable rhythm at hospital arrival was very poor compared with patients who had sustained shockable rhythm. Also, patients with conversion to PEA had better neurologic prognosis than conversion to asystole.

Machine learning-based prediction models for accidental hypothermia patients.

BACKGROUND: Accidental hypothermia is a critical condition with high risks of fatal arrhythmia, multiple organ failure, and mortality; however, there is no established model to predict the mortality. The present study aimed to develop and validate machine learning-based models for predicting in-hospital mortality using easily available data at hospital admission among the patients with accidental hypothermia. METHOD: This study was secondary analysis of multi-center retrospective cohort study (J-point registry) including patients with accidental hypothermia. Adult patients with body temperature 35.0 °C or less at emergency department were included. Prediction models for in-hospital mortality using machine learning (lasso, random forest, and gradient boosting tree) were made in development cohort from six hospitals, and the predictive performance were assessed in validation cohort from other six hospitals. As a reference, we compared the SOFA score and 5A score. RESULTS: We included total 532 patients in the development cohort [N = 288, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality: 22.0% (64/288)], and the validation cohort [N = 244, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality 27.0% (66/244)]. The C-statistics [95% CI] of the models in validation cohorts were as follows: lasso 0.784 [0.717-0.851] , random forest 0.794[0.735-0.853], gradient boosting tree 0.780 [0.714-0.847], SOFA 0.787 [0.722-0.851], and 5A score 0.750[0.681-0.820]. The calibration plot showed that these models were well calibrated to observed in-hospital mortality. Decision curve analysis indicated that these models obtained clinical net-benefit. CONCLUSION: This multi-center retrospective cohort study indicated that machine learning-based prediction models could accurately predict in-hospital mortality in validation cohort among the accidental hypothermia patients. These models might be able to support physicians and patient's decision-making. However, the applicability to clinical settings, and the actual clinical utility is still unclear; thus, further prospective study is warranted to evaluate the clinical usefulness.

Associations between initial serum pH value and outcomes of pediatric out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

INTRODUCTION: Pediatric out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is one of the most critical conditions seen in the emergency department (ED). Although initial serum pH value is reported to be associated with outcome in adult OHCA patients, the association is unclear in pediatric OHCA patients. Thus, we aimed to identify the association between initial pH value and outcome among pediatric OHCA patients. METHODS: This study was a retrospective analysis of a multicenter prospective cohort registry (Japanese Association for Acute Medicine out-of-hospital cardiac arrest registry) from 87 hospitals in Japan. We included pediatric OHCA patients younger than 16 years of age who were registered in this registry between June 2014 and December 2017. Of the 34,754 patients in the database, 458 patients were ultimately included in the analysis. We equally divided the patients into four groups, based on their initial pH value, and conducted a multivariate logistic regression analysis to calculate the adjusted odds ratios of the initial pH value on hospital arrival with their 95% confidence intervals for the primary outcome. RESULTS: The median (interquartile range) age was 1 (0-6) year, and 77.9% (357/458) of the first monitored rhythm was asystole. The primary outcome was 1-month survival. The overall 1-month survival was 13.3% (61/458), and a 1-month favorable neurologic outcome was seen in 5.2% (24/458) of cases. The adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the pH 6.81-6.64, pH 6.63-6.47, pH <6.47, and pH unknown groups compared with the pH ≥6.82 group for 1-month survival were 0.39 (0.16-0.97), 0.13 (0.04-0.44), 0.03 (0.00-0.24), and 0.07 (0.02-0.21), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the association between the initial pH value on hospital arrival and 1-month survival among pediatric OHCA patients.

Care at critical care medical centers is associated with improved outcomes in patients with accidental hypothermia: a historical cohort study from the J-Point registry.

AIM: The recommendation that patients with accidental hypothermia should be transported to specialized centers that can provide extracorporeal life support has not been validated, and the efficacy remains unclear. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective cohort study of patients with a body temperature of ≤35°C presenting at the emergency department of 12 hospitals in Japan between April 2011 and March 2016. We divided the patients into two groups based on the point of care delivery: critical care medical center (CCMC) or non-CCMC. The primary outcome of this study was in-hospital death. In-hospital death was compared using a multivariable logistic regression analysis. Subgroup analyses were carried out according to patients with severe hypothermia (<28°C) or systolic blood pressure (sBP) of <90 mmHg. RESULTS: A total of 537 patients were included, 413 patients (76.9%) in the CCMC group and 124 patients (23.1%) in the non-CCMC group. The in-hospital death rate was lower in the CCMC group than in the non-CCMC group (22.3% versus 31.5%, P < 0.001). The multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) of the CCMC group was 0.54 (95% confidence interval, 0.32-0.90). In subgroup analyses, patients with systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg in the CCMC group were less likely to experience in-hospital death (AOR 0.36; 95% CI, 0.23-0.56). However, no such association was observed among patients with severe hypothermia (AOR 1.08; 95% CI, 0.63-1.85). CONCLUSIONS: Our multicenter study indicated that care at a CCMC was associated with improved outcomes in patients with accidental hypothermia.

Rear seating position is associated with a higher risk of mortality in motor vehicle crashes: analysis of Japanese Trauma Data Bank.

AIM: The study examined the association of vehicle seating positions with the risk of death in serious motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) in Japan. METHODS: Data from the Japan Trauma Data Bank between 2004 and 2015 were analyzed. All MVC drivers with the legal age for driving and all copassengers were enrolled (n = 23,040). The cases were divided into three groups based on their seating position during the crash: the driver seat, front passenger seat, and rear passenger seats. The primary outcome variable was in-hospital mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association between the seating position and in-hospital mortality. Potential factors associated with each seating position and in-hospital mortality were also assessed. RESULTS: The odds ratios (ORs) for deaths were estimated for front and rear passengers compared to those for the driver in MVCs. The adjusted ORs (95% confidence interval [CI]) for death were 0.96 (0.84-1.11) and 1.22 (1.04-1.42) for front and rear passengers, respectively. Factors significantly associated with MVC deaths were age over 71 years (OR = 3.38; 95% CI, 2.58-4.41), male gender (OR = 1.54; 95% CI, 1.39-1.71), and night driving (OR = 1.17; 95% CI, 1.06-1.29). CONCLUSIONS: This hospital-based study suggested that rear seating increased the risk of MVC-related death. Further studies are needed in order to find mechanisms of the increase in mortality by the seating position.

Osborn Wave Is Related to Ventricular Fibrillation and Tachycardia in Hypothermic Patients.

BACKGROUND: The Osborn wave (OW) is often observed in hypothermic patients; however, whether OW in hypothermic patients is related to the development of fatal ventricular arrhythmia, including ventricular fibrillation (VF) and pulseless ventricular tachycardia (VT), remains undetermined. This study aimed to estimate the association between OW and the incidence of fatal ventricular arrhythmias.Methods and Results: This retrospective study used the Japanese Accidental Hypothermia Network registry database and included 572 hypothermic patients. Patients were divided into the OW group (those with OW) and non-OW group (those without OW). The relationship between the development of fatal arrhythmias and presence of OW was assessed using the chi-squared test. All patients who developed VF/VT (n=10) had OW on electrocardiogram upon hospital arrival. The presence of OW had a sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 47.8%, positive predictive value of 4.0%, and negative predictive value of 100% for VF/VT development. The in-hospital mortality rate was 22.3% in the OW group and 21.2% in the non-OW group (P=0.781). CONCLUSIONS: OW was observed in all hypothermic patients with VF/VT. The occurrence of ventricular arrhythmias is highly unlikely in the absence of OW on the electrocardiogram. Although the presence of OW might be used to predict these fatal arrhythmias in hypothermic patients, there was no association between the presence of OW and in-hospital mortality.

Indoor Versus Outdoor Occurrence in Mortality of Accidental Hypothermia in Japan: The J-Point Registry.

The impact of the location where accidental hypothermia (AH) occurs has not been fully investigated thus far. This was a multicenter retrospective study of patients with a body temperature ≤35°C obtained at the emergency department of 12 hospitals in Japan between April 2011 and March 2016. We divided the patients into two groups according to the location where AH occurred (indoor group versus outdoor group). The association between each location of the occurrence of AH and in-hospital mortality was evaluated via a multivariable logistic regression analysis. The primary outcome of this study was in-hospital death. The secondary outcomes were the lengths of ICU and hospital stay. A total of 572 patients were enrolled in the hypothermia database, and 537 patients were included in the analyses. A total of 119 and 418 patients experienced hypothermia with outdoor and indoor occurrence, respectively. The indoor group was older and had worse activities of daily living compared with the outdoor group. With regard to the outcome, the proportion of in-hospital death was higher in the indoor group than in the outdoor group (28.2% [118/418] vs. 10.9% [13/119], p < 0.001). The multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that the adjusted odds ratio of the indoor group was 2.48 (95% confidence interval, 1.18-5.17). In terms of secondary outcomes, both the lengths of ICU and hospital stay of the survivors were longer in the indoor group than in the outdoor group. Hypothermia with indoor occurrence accounts for ∼78% of the total AH cases in this study, and the proportion of in-hospital deaths was higher in the indoor group than in the outdoor group. Warnings about the indoor onset of AH must be provided, and countermeasures for the prevention and early recognition of AH with indoor occurrence must be taken.

Prognostic ability of the sequential organ failure assessment score in accidental hypothermia: a multi-institutional retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Severe accidental hypothermia (AH) is life threatening. Thus, prognostic prediction in AH is essential to rapidly initiate intensive care. Several studies on prognostic factors for AH are known, but none have been established. We clarified the prognostic ability of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score in comparison with previously reported prognostic factors among patients with AH. METHODS: The J-point registry database is a multi-institutional retrospective cohort study for AH in 12 Japanese emergency departments. From this registry, we enrolled patients who were treated at the intensive care unit (ICU) in various critical care medical centers. In-hospital mortality was the primary outcome. We investigated the discrimination ability of each candidate prognostic factor and the in-hospital mortality by applying the logistic regression models with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) with 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Of the 572 patients with AH registered in the J-point registry, 220 were eligible for the analyses. The in-hospital mortality was 23.2%. The AUROC of the SOFA score (0.80; 95% CI: 0.72-0.86) was the highest among all factors. The other factors were serum potassium (0.65; 95% CI: 0.55-0.73), lactate (0.67; 95% CI: 0.57-0.75), quick SOFA (qSOFA) (0.55; 95% CI: 0.46-0.65), systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) (0.60; 95% CI: 0.50-0.69), and 5A severity scale (0.77; 95% CI: 0.68-0.84). DISCUSSION: Although serum potassium and lactate had relatively good discrimination ability as mortality predictors, the SOFA score had slightly better discrimination ability. The reason is that lactate and serum potassium were mainly reflected by the hemodynamic state; conversely, the SOFA score is a comprehensive score of organ failure, basing on six different scores from the respiratory, cardiovascular, hepatic, coagulation, renal, and neurological systems. Meanwhile, the qSOFA and SIRS scores underestimated the severity, with low discrimination abilities for mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The SOFA score demonstrated better discrimination ability as a mortality predictor among all known prognostic factors in patients with AH.

Impact of rewarming rate on the mortality of patients with accidental hypothermia: analysis of data from the J-Point registry.

BACKGROUND: Accidental hypothermia (AH) is defined as an involuntary decrease in core body temperature to < 35 °C. The management of AH has been progressing over the last few decades, and numerous techniques for rewarming have been validated. However, little is known about the association between rewarming rate (RR) and mortality in patients with AH. METHOD: This was a multicentre chart review study of patients with AH visiting the emergency department of 12 institutions in Japan from April 2011 to March 2016 (Japanese accidental hypothermia network registry, J-Point registry). We retrospectively registered patients using the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision code T68: 'hypothermia'. We excluded patients whose body temperatures were unknown or ≥ 35 °C, who could not be rewarmed, whose rewarmed temperature or rewarming time was unknown, those aged < 18 years, or who or whose family members had refused to join the registry. RR was calculated based on the body temperature on arrival at the hospital, time of arrival at the hospital, the documented temperature during rewarming, and time of the temperature documentation. RR was classified into the following five groups: ≥2.0 °C/h, 1.5-< 2.0 °C/h, 1.0-< 1.5 °C/h, 0.5-< 1.0 °C/h, and < 0.5 °C/h. The primary outcome of this study was in-hospital mortality. The association between RR and in-hospital mortality was evaluated using multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULT: During the study, 572 patients were registered in the J-Point registry, and 481 patients were included in the analysis. The median body temperature on arrival to the hospital was 30.7 °C (interquartile range [IQR], 28.2 °C-32.4 °C), and the median RR was 0.85 °C/h (IQR, 0.53 °C/h-1.31 °C/h). The in-hospital mortality rates were 19.3% (11/57), 11.1% (4/36), 14.4% (15/104), 20.1% (35/175), and 34.9% (38/109) in the ≥2.0 °C/h, 1.5-< 2.0 °C/h, 1.0-< 1.5 °C/h, 0.5-< 1.0 °C/h, and < 0.5 °C/h groups, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that in-hospital mortality rate increased with each 0.5 °C/h decrease in RR (adjusted odds ratio, 1.49; 95% confidence interval, 1.15-1.94; Ptrend < 0.01). CONCLUSION: This study showed that slower RR is independently associated with in-hospital mortality.

Correction to: The development and validation of a "5A" severity scale for predicting in-hospital mortality after accidental hypothermia from J-point registry data.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1186/s40560-019-0384-2.].

The development and validation of a "5A" severity scale for predicting in-hospital mortality after accidental hypothermia from J-point registry data.

BACKGROUND: Accidental hypothermia is a serious condition that requires immediate and accurate assessment to determine severity and treatment. Currently, accidental hypothermia is evaluated using the Swiss grading system which uses core body temperature and clinical findings; however, research has shown that core body temperature is not associated with in-hospital mortality in urban settings. Therefore, we developed and validated a severity scale for predicting in-hospital mortality among urban Japanese patients with accidental hypothermia. METHODS: Data for this multi-center retrospective cohort study were obtained from the J-point registry. We included patients with accidental hypothermia who were admitted to an emergency department. The total cohort was divided into a development cohort and validation cohort, based on the location of each institution. We developed a logistic regression model for predicting in-hospital mortality using the development cohort and assessed its internal validity using bootstrapping. The model was then subjected to external validation using the validation cohorts. RESULTS: Among the 572 patients in the J-point registry, 532 were ultimately included and divided into the development cohort (N = 288, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality 22.0%) and the validation cohort (N = 244, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality 27.0%). The 5 "A" scoring system based on age, activities-of-daily-living status, near arrest, acidemia, and serum albumin level was developed based on the variables' coefficients in the development cohort. In the validation cohort, the prediction performance was validated. CONCLUSION: Our "5A" severity scoring system could accurately predict the risk of in-hospital mortality among patients with accidental hypothermia.

Prognostic factors for patients with accidental hypothermia: A multi-institutional retrospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: In cases of severe accidental hypothermia (AH) in urban areas, the prognostic factors are unknown. We identified factors associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with moderate-to-severe AH in urban areas of Japan. METHOD: The J-Point registry database is a multi-institutional retrospective cohort study for AH in 12 Japanese emergency departments. From this registry, we enrolled patients whose core body temperature was 32 °C or less on admission. In-hospital death was the primary outcome of this study. We investigated the association between each candidate prognostic factor and in-hospital death by applying the multivariate logistic regression analyses with adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and their 95% confidence interval [CI] as the effect variables. RESULTS: Of 572 patients registered in the J-point registry, 358 hypothermic patients were eligible for analyses. Median body temperature was 29.2 °C (interquartile range, 27.0 °C-30.8 °C). In-hospital deaths comprised 26.3% (94/358) of all study patients. Factors associated with in-hospital death were age ≥ 75 years (AOR, 3.09; 95% CI, 1.31-7.27), need for assistance with activities of daily living (ADL; AOR, 3.06; 95% CI, 1.68-5.59), hemodynamic instability (AOR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.32-4.68), and hyperkalemia (≥5.6 mEq/L; AOR, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.13-6.21). CONCLUSION: The independent prognostic factors associated with in-hospital mortality of patients with moderate-to-severe AH in urban areas of Japan were age ≥ 75 years, need for assistance with ADL, hemodynamic instability, and hyperkalemia.

Motor vehicle accident mortality by elderly drivers in the super-aging era: A nationwide hospital-based registry in Japan.

Motor vehicle accidents (MVAs) are one of the major public health burdens worldwide. In particular, MVAs by elderly drivers have been significantly increasing in recent years in industrialized countries. This study aimed to assess the MVA characteristics and outcomes caused by elderly drivers in Japan.Japan Trauma Data Bank (JTDB) is a prospective, nationwide, hospital-based registry for trauma patients from 256 institutions in Japan. This study enrolled all MVA drivers older than the legal age for driving between 2004 and 2015. The included patients were divided into the following 3 groups: adults (aged ≤64 years), young-old (aged 65-74 years), and old-old (aged ≥75 years). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The trend in the proportion of MVAs caused by the young-old or the old-old group was evaluated using the Cochran-Armitage trend test. To assess the association of the old-old group with in-hospital mortality, compared with the adult group, we used multivariable logistic regression analysis.During the study period, a total of 236,698 trauma patients were registered, and 39,691 patients (16.8%) were eligible for our analysis. The proportion of MVAs caused by elderly drivers aged ≥65 years significantly increased from 11.7% in 2004 to 23.8% in 2015 (P < .001). As for the primary outcome, unadjusted in-hospital mortality increased with age, but decreased year-by-year irrespective of the age group. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in the old-old group than in the adult group [17.3% (584/3372) vs 8.0% (2556/31,985); adjusted odds ratio 4.80; 95% confidence interval 4.06-5.67].In the super-aging society of Japan, the proportion of MVAs by elderly drivers increased year-by-year, and the mortality rate was highest in those aged above 75 years.