[Screening for risk of hospitalization in the elderly: a study based on a single entry point in a health maintenance organization in Brazil]. / Detecção do risco para internação hospitalar em população idosa: um estudo a partir da porta de entrada no sistema de saúde suplementar.

Population aging requires new strategies for the evaluation and care of different elderly groups. The aim of this study was to present a single entry point model for health care to the elderly in a health maintenance organization. The model prioritizes care for individuals at greatest risk, defining the groups followed subsequently under a specific program for prevention and care. Telephone interviews were used to evaluate the probability of hospitalization for 2,637 users of the health plan. 53.9% of the individuals who were contacted agreed to participate in the survey, and an index was calculated to estimate the probability of hospitalization. 3.23% of subjects were classified as high risk, 7.23% as medium-high risk, and 13.4% as medium risk. Subsequent prioritization of care was based on this stratification. The model will enable improved planning and definition of priorities for resource allocation within a health care system subject to serious funding limitations. Studies that identify criteria for the distribution of health care resources are thus essential to the success of consistent and realistic health policies for the elderly.

Detecção do risco para internação hospitalar em população idosa: um estudo a partir da porta de entrada no sistema de saúde suplementar / Screening for risk of hospitalization in the elderly: a study based on a single entry point in a health maintenance organization in Brazil

O envelhecimento populacional impõe a necessidade de criar estratégias de avaliação e acompanhamento para os diferentes grupos da população idosa. O objetivo do artigo é apresentar uma proposta de hierarquização da demanda de idosos em sistema de saúde complementar, com base no uso de instrumento de detecção do risco de internação hospitalar. Esse instrumento foi aplicado por meio telefônico em 2.637 usuários do plano de saúde. A seguir, realizou-se o cálculo do coeficiente de risco de cada idoso, segundo aplicação de regressão logística. A partir dessas respostas calculou-se o índice de probabilidade de admissão hospitalar: 3,23 por cento encontravam-se nos grupos de alto risco; 7,23 por cento de médio-alto, e 13,4 por cento apresentaram médio risco. O modelo permitiu a hierarquização da demanda da população de idosos, de acordo com o risco de internação hospitalar, o que proporcionou melhorar o planejamento e gestão do serviço, pois passou a ser possível dimensionar o quantitativo de indivíduos para intervenção e planejar a assistência. Portanto, estudos que apontem critérios para a distribuição de recursos são cada vez mais imprescindíveis para sustentar políticas de gestão realistas e consistentes.

Population aging requires new strategies for the evaluation and care of different elderly groups. The aim of this study was to present a single entry point model for health care to the elderly in a health maintenance organization. The model prioritizes care for individuals at greatest risk, defining the groups followed subsequently under a specific program for prevention and care. Telephone interviews were used to evaluate the probability of hospitalization for 2,637 users of the health plan. 53.9 percent of the individuals who were contacted agreed to participate in the survey, and an index was calculated to estimate the probability of hospitalization. 3.23 percent of subjects were classified as high risk, 7.23 percent as medium-high risk, and 13.4 percent as medium risk. Subsequent prioritization of care was based on this stratification. The model will enable improved planning and definition of priorities for resource allocation within a health care system subject to serious funding limitations. Studies that identify criteria for the distribution of health care resources are thus essential to the success of consistent and realistic health policies for the elderly.