Severe sepsis in two Ugandan hospitals: a prospective observational study of management and outcomes in a predominantly HIV-1 infected population.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis likely contributes to the high burden of infectious disease morbidity and mortality in low income countries. Data regarding sepsis management in sub-Saharan Africa are limited. We conducted a prospective observational study reporting the management and outcomes of severely septic patients in two Ugandan hospitals. We describe their epidemiology, management, and clinical correlates for mortality. METHODOLOGY/RESULTS: Three-hundred eighty-two patients fulfilled enrollment criteria for a severe sepsis syndrome. Vital signs, management and laboratory results were recorded. Outcomes measured included in-hospital and post-discharge mortality. Most patients were HIV-infected (320/377, 84.9%) with a median CD4+ T cell (CD4) count of 52 cells/mm(3) (IQR, 16-131 cells/mm(3)). Overall mortality was 43.0%, with 23.7% in-hospital mortality (90/380) and 22.3% post-discharge mortality (55/247). Significant predictors of in-hospital mortality included admission Glasgow Coma Scale and Karnofsky Performance Scale (KPS), tachypnea, leukocytosis and thrombocytopenia. Discharge KPS and early fluid resuscitation were significant predictors of post-discharge mortality. Among HIV-infected patients, CD4 count was a significant predictor of post-discharge mortality. Median volume of fluid resuscitation within the first 6 hours of presentation was 500 mLs (IQR 250-1000 mls). Fifty-two different empiric antibacterial regimens were used during the study. Bacteremic patients were more likely to die in hospital than non-bacteremic patients (OR 1.83, 95% CI = 1.01-3.33). Patients with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) bacteremia (25/249) had higher in-hospital mortality (OR 1.97, 95% CI = 1.19-327) and lower median CD4 counts (p = 0.001) than patients without MTB bacteremia. CONCLUSION: Patients presenting with sepsis syndromes to two Ugandan hospitals had late stage HIV infection and high mortality. Bacteremia, especially from MTB, was associated with increased in-hospital mortality. Most clinical predictors of in-hospital mortality were easily measurable and can be used for triaging patients in resource-constrained settings. Procurement of low cost and high impact treatments like intravenous fluids and empiric antibiotics may help decrease sepsis-associated mortality in resource-constrained settings.

Frequency of long-term nonprogressors in HIV-1 seroconverters From Rakai Uganda.

OBJECTIVE: Studies on long-term nonprogressors (LTNP) have been conducted in the USA and Europe. This study examined the frequency of LTNPs and HIV controllers among 637 HIV-1 seroconverters in rural Uganda. DESIGN AND METHODS: LTNPs were defined as being infected for more than 7 years with a CD4 T-cell count above 600 cells per microliter, and HIV controllers as having undetectable viral loads on 3 separate occasions without antiretroviral treatment. HIV-1 viral load and subtype distribution between LTNP and non-LTNP populations were determined. RESULTS: Of the HIV seroconverters, 9.1% (58/637) were LTNPs and 1.4% (9/637) were HIV controllers. LTNPs had a significantly lower viral load at set point than non-LTNP participants (P < 0.001). The Kaplan-Meier joint probability of surviving to 7 years with a CD4 count >600 was 19.2%. Individuals who survived 7 years had a significantly higher frequency of HIV-1 subtype A (P < 0.05), but seroconverters infected with HIV-1A did not have a significantly higher probability of becoming an LTNP. CONCLUSIONS: The frequency of LTNPs appears to be relatively high in Uganda and it may be important to take this into account when designing studies of viral pathogenesis and performing HIV vaccine trials in sub-Saharan Africa.

Circumcision in HIV-infected men and its effect on HIV transmission to female partners in Rakai, Uganda: a randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Observational studies have reported an association between male circumcision and reduced risk of HIV infection in female partners. We assessed whether circumcision in HIV-infected men would reduce transmission of the virus to female sexual partners. METHODS: 922 uncircumcised, HIV-infected, asymptomatic men aged 15-49 years with CD4-cell counts 350 cells per microL or more were enrolled in this unblinded, randomised controlled trial in Rakai District, Uganda. Men were randomly assigned by computer-generated randomisation sequence to receive immediate circumcision (intervention; n=474) or circumcision delayed for 24 months (control; n=448). HIV-uninfected female partners of the randomised men were concurrently enrolled (intervention, n=93; control, n=70) and followed up at 6, 12, and 24 months, to assess HIV acquisition by male treatment assignment (primary outcome). A modified intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis, which included all concurrently enrolled couples in which the female partner had at least one follow-up visit over 24 months, assessed female HIV acquisition by use of survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards modelling. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00124878. FINDINGS: The trial was stopped early because of futility. 92 couples in the intervention group and 67 couples in the control group were included in the modified ITT analysis. 17 (18%) women in the intervention group and eight (12%) women in the control group acquired HIV during follow-up (p=0.36). Cumulative probabilities of female HIV infection at 24 months were 21.7% (95% CI 12.7-33.4) in the intervention group and 13.4% (6.7-25.8) in the control group (adjusted hazard ratio 1.49, 95% CI 0.62-3.57; p=0.368). INTERPRETATION: Circumcision of HIV-infected men did not reduce HIV transmission to female partners over 24 months; longer-term effects could not be assessed. Condom use after male circumcision is essential for HIV prevention. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation with additional laboratory and training support from the National Institutes of Health and the Fogarty International Center.

The safety of adult male circumcision in HIV-infected and uninfected men in Rakai, Uganda.

BACKGROUND: The objective of the study was to compare rates of adverse events (AEs) related to male circumcision (MC) in HIV-positive and HIV-negative men in order to provide guidance for MC programs that may provide services to HIV-infected and uninfected men. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A total of 2,326 HIV-negative and 420 HIV-positive men (World Health Organization [WHO] stage I or II and CD4 counts > 350 cells/mm3) were circumcised in two separate but procedurally identical trials of MC for HIV and/or sexually transmitted infection prevention in rural Rakai, Uganda. Participants were followed at 1-2 d and 5-9 d, and at 4-6 wk, to assess surgery-related AEs, wound healing, and resumption of intercourse. AE risks and wound healing were compared in HIV-positive and HIV-negative men. Adjusted odds ratios (AdjORs) were estimated by multiple logistic regression, adjusting for baseline characteristics and postoperative resumption of sex. At enrollment, HIV-positive men were older, more likely to be married, reported more sexual partners, less condom use, and higher rates of sexually transmitted disease symptoms than HIV-negative men. Risks of moderate or severe AEs were 3.1/100 and 3.5/100 in HIV-positive and HIV-negative participants, respectively (AdjOR 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47-1.74). Infections were the most common AEs (2.6/100 in HIV-positive versus 3.0/100 in HIV-negative men). Risks of other complications were similar in the two groups. The proportion with completed healing by 6 wk postsurgery was 92.7% in HIV-positive men and 95.8% in HIV-negative men (p = 0.007). AEs were more common in men who resumed intercourse before wound healing compared to those who waited (AdjOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.05-2.33). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the safety of MC was comparable in asymptomatic HIV-positive and HIV-negative men, although healing was somewhat slower among the HIV infected. All men should be strongly counseled to refrain from intercourse until full wound healing is achieved. TRIAL REGISTRATION: http://www.ClinicalTrials.gov; for HIV-negative men #NCT00425984 and for HIV-positive men, #NCT000124878.

Limitations of rapid HIV-1 tests during screening for trials in Uganda: diagnostic test accuracy study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the limitations of rapid tests for HIV-1. DESIGN: Diagnostic test accuracy study. SETTING: Rural Rakai, Uganda. PARTICIPANTS: 1517 males aged 15-49 screened for trials of circumcision for HIV prevention. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive values, and positive predictive values of an algorithm using three rapid tests for HIV, compared with the results of enzyme immunoassay and western blotting as the optimal methods. RESULTS: Rapid test results were evaluated by enzyme immunoassay and western blotting. Sensitivity was 97.7%. Among 639 samples where the strength of positive bands was coded if the sample showed positivity for HIV, the algorithm had low specificity (94.1%) and a low positive predictive value (74.0%). Exclusion of 37 samples (5.8%) with a weak positive band improved the specificity (99.6%) and positive predictive value (97.7%). CONCLUSION: Weak positive bands on rapid tests for HIV should be confirmed by enzyme immunoassay and western blotting before disclosing the diagnosis. Programmes using rapid tests routinely should use standard serological assays for quality control. Trial registration Clinical Trials NCT00425984.

Male circumcision for HIV prevention in men in Rakai, Uganda: a randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Ecological and observational studies suggest that male circumcision reduces the risk of HIV acquisition in men. Our aim was to investigate the effect of male circumcision on HIV incidence in men. METHODS: 4996 uncircumcised, HIV-negative men aged 15-49 years who agreed to HIV testing and counselling were enrolled in this randomised trial in rural Rakai district, Uganda. Men were randomly assigned to receive immediate circumcision (n=2474) or circumcision delayed for 24 months (2522). HIV testing, physical examination, and interviews were repeated at 6, 12, and 24 month follow-up visits. The primary outcome was HIV incidence. Analyses were done on a modified intention-to-treat basis. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, with the number NCT00425984. FINDINGS: Baseline characteristics of the men in the intervention and control groups were much the same at enrollment. Retention rates were much the same in the two groups, with 90-92% of participants retained at all time points. In the modified intention-to-treat analysis, HIV incidence over 24 months was 0.66 cases per 100 person-years in the intervention group and 1.33 cases per 100 person-years in the control group (estimated efficacy of intervention 51%, 95% CI 16-72; p=0.006). The as-treated efficacy was 55% (95% CI 22-75; p=0.002); efficacy from the Kaplan-Meier time-to-HIV-detection as-treated analysis was 60% (30-77; p=0.003). HIV incidence was lower in the intervention group than it was in the control group in all sociodemographic, behavioural, and sexually transmitted disease symptom subgroups. Moderate or severe adverse events occurred in 84 (3.6%) circumcisions; all resolved with treatment. Behaviours were much the same in both groups during follow-up. INTERPRETATION: Male circumcision reduced HIV incidence in men without behavioural disinhibition. Circumcision can be recommended for HIV prevention in men.

Survival of HIV-infected treatment-naive individuals with documented dates of seroconversion in Rakai, Uganda.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the survival time from HIV infection to death. METHODS: A community cohort in Rakai district, Uganda, identified 837 seroconverters followed annually between 1995 and 2003 until they died, were censored by outmigration or truncated on 31 December 2003 because antiretroviral treatment became available. HIV-1 subtype was determined by multiple hybridization assay for 396 seroconverters. The median interval from infection to death was estimated by Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and Weibull models. Hazard ratios (HR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) associated with survival were estimated using Cox proportional hazards modeling RESULTS: There were 122 deaths over 2330 person-years (py), an average mortality of 5.2/100 py. The median survival time was 8.7 years (95% CI 8.1-9.3), and did not differ by sex, place of residence or time period of seroconversion. Survival time decreased significantly with older age at infection (P = 0.01). Survival was shorter with subtypes D, AD recombinant or multiple infections compared with subtype A (log rank P = 0.04), but this was of borderline significance after adjustment (adjusted HR 3.47, 95% CI 0.89-15.44, P = 0.07). Non-A subtypes constituted 84.6% of all identifiable infections and had a median survival time of 7.5 years (95% CI 6.4-8.5), whereas over 90% of those infected with subtype A were still alive 7 years post-infection. CONCLUSION: The median survival time in Rakai was shorter than reported in other African populations, and we hypothesize that this may be a result of the predominance of non-A subtypes with faster disease progression in this population.