Segond Fractures Can Be Identified With Excellent Accuracy Utilizing Deep Learning on Anteroposterior Knee Radiographs.

Purpose: To develop a deep learning model for the detection of Segond fractures on anteroposterior (AP) knee radiographs and to compare model performance to that of trained human experts. Methods: AP knee radiographs were retrieved from the Hospital for Special Surgery ACL Registry, which enrolled patients between 2009 and 2013. All images corresponded to patients who underwent anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction by 1 of 23 surgeons included in the registry data. Images were categorized into 1 of 2 classes based on radiographic evidence of a Segond fracture and manually annotated. Seventy percent of the images were used to populate the training set, while 20% and 10% were reserved for the validation and test sets, respectively. Images from the test set were used to compare model performance to that of expert human observers, including an orthopaedic surgery sports medicine fellow and a fellowship-trained orthopaedic sports medicine surgeon with over 10 years of experience. Results: A total of 324 AP knee radiographs were retrieved, of which 34 (10.4%) images demonstrated evidence of a Segond fracture. The overall mean average precision (mAP) was 0.985, and this was maintained on the Segond fracture class (mAP = 0.978, precision = 0.844, recall = 1). The model demonstrated 100% accuracy with perfect sensitivity and specificity when applied to the independent testing set and the ability to meet or exceed human sensitivity and specificity in all cases. Compared to an orthopaedic surgery sports medicine fellow, the model required 0.3% of the total time needed to evaluate and classify images in the independent test set. Conclusions: A deep learning model was developed and internally validated for Segond fracture detection on AP radiographs and demonstrated perfect accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity on a small test set of radiographs with and without Segond fractures. The model demonstrated superior performance compared with expert human observers. Clinical Relevance: Deep learning can be used for automated Segond fracture identification on radiographs, leading to improved diagnosis of easily missed concomitant injuries, including lateral meniscus tears. Automated identification of Segond fractures can also enable large-scale studies on the incidence and clinical significance of these fractures, which may lead to improved management and outcomes for patients with knee injuries.

A practical guide to the implementation of AI in orthopaedic research, Part 6: How to evaluate the performance of AI research?

Artificial intelligence's (AI) accelerating progress demands rigorous evaluation standards to ensure safe, effective integration into healthcare's high-stakes decisions. As AI increasingly enables prediction, analysis and judgement capabilities relevant to medicine, proper evaluation and interpretation are indispensable. Erroneous AI could endanger patients; thus, developing, validating and deploying medical AI demands adhering to strict, transparent standards centred on safety, ethics and responsible oversight. Core considerations include assessing performance on diverse real-world data, collaborating with domain experts, confirming model reliability and limitations, and advancing interpretability. Thoughtful selection of evaluation metrics suited to the clinical context along with testing on diverse data sets representing different populations improves generalisability. Partnering software engineers, data scientists and medical practitioners ground assessment in real needs. Journals must uphold reporting standards matching AI's societal impacts. With rigorous, holistic evaluation frameworks, AI can progress towards expanding healthcare access and quality. Level of Evidence: Level V.

Clinical Results of Primary Repair Versus Reconstruction of the Anterior Cruciate Ligament: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Contemporary Trials.

Background: Primary anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) repair has gained renewed interest in select centers for patients with proximal or midsubstance ACL tears. Therefore, it is important to reassess contemporary clinical outcomes of ACL repair to determine whether a clinical benefit exists over the gold standard of ACL reconstruction (ACLR). Purpose: To (1) perform a meta-analysis of comparative trials to determine whether differences in clinical outcomes and adverse events exist between ACL repair versus ACLR and (2) synthesize the midterm outcomes of available trials. Study Design: Systematic review; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: The PubMed, OVID/Medline, and Cochrane databases were queried in August 2023 for prospective and retrospective clinical trials comparing ACL repair and ACLR. Data pertaining to tear location, surgical technique, adverse events, and clinical outcome measures were recorded. DerSimonian-Laird random-effects models were constructed to quantitatively evaluate the association between ACL repair/ACLR, adverse events, and clinical outcomes. A subanalysis of minimum 5-year outcomes was performed. Results: Twelve studies (893 patients; 464 ACLR and 429 ACL repair) were included. Random-effects models demonstrated a higher relative risk (RR) of recurrent instability/clinical failure (RR = 1.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-2.57; P = .032), revision ACLR (RR = 1.63; 95% CI, 1.03-2.59; P = .039), and hardware removal (RR = 4.94; 95% CI, 2.10-11.61; P = .0003) in patients who underwent primary ACL repair versus ACLR. The RR of reoperations and complications (knee-related) were not significantly different between groups. No significant differences were observed when comparing patient-reported outcome scores. In studies with minimum 5-year outcomes, no significant differences in adverse events or Lysholm scores were observed. Conclusion: In contemporary comparative trials of ACL repair versus ACLR, the RR of clinical failure, revision surgery due to ACL rerupture, and hardware removal was greater for primary ACL repair compared with ACLR. There were no observed differences in patient-reported outcome scores, reoperations, or knee-related complications between approaches. In the limited literature reporting on minimum 5-year outcomes, significant differences in adverse events or the International Knee Documentation Committee score were not observed.

High incidence of medial meniscus root/radial tears and extrusion in 253 patients with subchondral insufficiency fractures of the knee.

PURPOSE: The demographic and radiological risk factors of subchondral insufficiency fractures of the knee (SIFK) continue to be a subject of debate. The purpose of this study was to associate patient-specific factors with SIFK in a large cohort of patients. METHODS: Inclusion criteria consisted of patients with SIFK as verified on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). All radiographs and MRIs were reviewed to assess characteristics such as meniscus tear presence and type, subchondral oedema presence and location, location of SIFK, mechanical limb alignment, osteoarthritis as assessed by Kellgren-Lawrence grade and ligamentous injury. A total of 253 patients (253 knees) were included, with 171 being female. The average body mass index (BMI) was 32.1 ± 7.0 kg/m2. RESULTS: SIFK was more common in patients with medial meniscus tears (77.1%, 195/253) rather than tears of the lateral meniscus (14.6%, 37/253) (p < 0.001). Medial meniscus root and radial tears of the posterior horn were present in 71.1% (180/253) of patients. Ninety-one percent (164/180) of medial meniscus posterior root and radial tears had an extrusion ≥3.0 mm. Eighty-one percent (119/147) of patients with SIFK on the medial femoral condyle and 86.8% (105/121) of patients with SIFK on the medial tibial plateau had a medial meniscus tear. Varus knees had a significantly increased rate of SIFK on the medial femoral condyle in comparison to valgus knees (p = 0.016). CONCLUSION: In this large cohort of patients with SIFK, there was a high association with medial meniscus root and radial tears of the posterior horn, meniscus extrusion ≥3.0 mm as well as higher age, female gender and higher BMI. Additionally, there was a particularly strong association of medial compartment SIFK with medial meniscus tears. As SIFK is frequently undiagnosed, identifying patient-specific demographic and radiological risk factors will help achieve a prompt diagnosis. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level IV.

A practical guide to the implementation of artificial intelligence in orthopaedic research-Part 2: A technical introduction.

Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) present a broad range of possibilities in medical research. However, orthopaedic researchers aiming to participate in research projects implementing AI-based techniques require a sound understanding of the technical fundamentals of this rapidly developing field. Initial sections of this technical primer provide an overview of the general and the more detailed taxonomy of AI methods. Researchers are presented with the technical basics of the most frequently performed machine learning (ML) tasks, such as classification, regression, clustering and dimensionality reduction. Additionally, the spectrum of supervision in ML including the domains of supervised, unsupervised, semisupervised and self-supervised learning will be explored. Recent advances in neural networks (NNs) and deep learning (DL) architectures have rendered them essential tools for the analysis of complex medical data, which warrants a rudimentary technical introduction to orthopaedic researchers. Furthermore, the capability of natural language processing (NLP) to interpret patterns in human language is discussed and may offer several potential applications in medical text classification, patient sentiment analysis and clinical decision support. The technical discussion concludes with the transformative potential of generative AI and large language models (LLMs) on AI research. Consequently, this second article of the series aims to equip orthopaedic researchers with the fundamental technical knowledge required to engage in interdisciplinary collaboration in AI-driven orthopaedic research. Level of Evidence: Level IV.

Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence for Detection of Scaphoid and Distal Radius Fractures: A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE: To review the existing literature to (1) determine the diagnostic efficacy of artificial intelligence (AI) models for detecting scaphoid and distal radius fractures and (2) compare the efficacy to human clinical experts. METHODS: PubMed, OVID/Medline, and Cochrane libraries were queried for studies investigating the development, validation, and analysis of AI for the detection of scaphoid or distal radius fractures. Data regarding study design, AI model development and architecture, prediction accuracy/area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC), and imaging modalities were recorded. RESULTS: A total of 21 studies were identified, of which 12 (57.1%) used AI to detect fractures of the distal radius, and nine (42.9%) used AI to detect fractures of the scaphoid. AI models demonstrated good diagnostic performance on average, with AUROC values ranging from 0.77 to 0.96 for scaphoid fractures and from 0.90 to 0.99 for distal radius fractures. Accuracy of AI models ranged between 72.0% to 90.3% and 89.0% to 98.0% for scaphoid and distal radius fractures, respectively. When compared to clinical experts, 13 of 14 (92.9%) studies reported that AI models demonstrated comparable or better performance. The type of fracture influenced model performance, with worse overall performance on occult scaphoid fractures; however, models trained specifically on occult fractures demonstrated substantially improved performance when compared to humans. CONCLUSIONS: AI models demonstrated excellent performance for detecting scaphoid and distal radius fractures, with the majority demonstrating comparable or better performance compared with human experts. Worse performance was demonstrated on occult fractures. However, when trained specifically on difficult fracture patterns, AI models demonstrated improved performance. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: AI models can help detect commonly missed occult fractures while enhancing workflow efficiency for distal radius and scaphoid fracture diagnoses. As performance varies based on fracture type, future studies focused on wrist fracture detection should clearly define whether the goal is to (1) identify difficult-to-detect fractures or (2) improve workflow efficiency by assisting in routine tasks.

A practical guide to the development and deployment of deep learning models for the orthopaedic surgeon: Part III, focus on registry creation, diagnosis, and data privacy.

Deep learning is a subset of artificial intelligence (AI) with enormous potential to transform orthopaedic surgery. As has already become evident with the deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) like ChatGPT (OpenAI Inc.), deep learning can rapidly enter clinical and surgical practices. As such, it is imperative that orthopaedic surgeons acquire a deeper understanding of the technical terminology, capabilities and limitations associated with deep learning models. The focus of this series thus far has been providing surgeons with an overview of the steps needed to implement a deep learning-based pipeline, emphasizing some of the important technical details for surgeons to understand as they encounter, evaluate or lead deep learning projects. However, this series would be remiss without providing practical examples of how deep learning models have begun to be deployed and highlighting the areas where the authors feel deep learning may have the most profound potential. While computer vision applications of deep learning were the focus of Parts I and II, due to the enormous impact that natural language processing (NLP) has had in recent months, NLP-based deep learning models are also discussed in this final part of the series. In this review, three applications that the authors believe can be impacted the most by deep learning but with which many surgeons may not be familiar are discussed: (1) registry construction, (2) diagnostic AI and (3) data privacy. Deep learning-based registry construction will be essential for the development of more impactful clinical applications, with diagnostic AI being one of those applications likely to augment clinical decision-making in the near future. As the applications of deep learning continue to grow, the protection of patient information will become increasingly essential; as such, applications of deep learning to enhance data privacy are likely to become more important than ever before. Level of Evidence: Level IV.

Biomechanical Characteristics of Ulnar Collateral Ligament Injuries Treated With and Without Augmentation: A Network Meta-analysis of Controlled Laboratory Studies.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of ulnar collateral ligament (UCL) tears with suture tape augmentation has gained interest given preliminary reports of favorable biomechanical characteristics. No study to date has quantitatively assessed the biomechanical effects of multiple augmentation techniques relative to the native UCL. PURPOSE: To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of controlled laboratory studies to assess and comparatively rank biomechanical effects of UCL repair or reconstruction with or without augmentation. STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis; Level of evidence, 4. METHODS: PubMed, OVID/Medline, and Cochrane databases were queried in January 2023. A frequentist network meta-analytic approach was used to perform mixed-treatment comparisons of UCL repair and reconstruction techniques with and without augmentation, with the native UCL as the reference condition. Pooled treatment estimates were quantified under the random-effects assumption. Competing treatments were ranked in the network meta-analysis by using point estimates and standard errors to calculate P scores (greater P score indicates superiority of treatment for given outcome). RESULTS: Ten studies involving 206 elbow specimens in which a distal UCL tear was simulated were included. UCL reconstruction with suture tape augmentation (AugRecon) restored load to failure to a statistically noninferior magnitude (mean difference [MD], -1.99 N·m; 95% CI, -10.2 to 6.2 N·m; P = .63) compared with the native UCL. UCL reconstruction (Recon) (MD, -12.7 N·m; P < .001) and UCL repair with suture tape augmentation (AugRepair) (MD, -14.8 N·m; P < .001) were both statistically inferior to the native UCL. The AugRecon condition conferred greater load to failure compared with Recon (P < .001) and AugRepair (P = .002) conditions. AugRecon conferred greater torsional stiffness relative to all other conditions and was not statistically different from the native UCL (MD, 0.32 N·m/deg; 95% CI, -0.30 to 0.95 N·m/deg; P = .31). Medial ulnohumeral gapping was not statistically different for the AugRepair (MD, 0.30 mm; 95% CI, -1.22 to 1.82 mm; P = .70), AugRecon (MD, 0.57 mm; 95% CI, -0.70 to 1.84 mm; P = .38), or Recon (MD, 1.02 mm; 95% CI, -0.02 to 2.05 mm; P = .055) conditions compared with the native UCL. P-score analysis indicated that AugRecon was the most effective treatment for increasing ultimate load to failure and torsional stiffness, whereas AugRepair was the most effective for minimizing medial gapping. CONCLUSION: AugRecon restored load to failure and torsional stiffness most similar to the parameters of the native UCL, whereas Recon and AugRepair did not restore the same advantageous properties at time zero. Medial ulnohumeral gapping during a valgus load was minimized by all 3 treatments. Based on network interactions, AugRecon was the superior treatment approach for restoring important biomechanical features of the UCL at time zero that are jeopardized during a complete distal tear.

Machine learning/artificial intelligence in sports medicine: state of the art and future directions.

Machine learning (ML) is changing the way health care is practiced and recent applications of these novel statistical techniques have started to impact orthopaedic sports medicine. Machine learning enables the analysis of large volumes of data to establish complex relationships between "input" and "output" variables. These relationships may be more complex than could be established through traditional statistical analysis and can lead to the ability to predict the "output" with high levels of accuracy. Supervised learning is the most common ML approach for healthcare data and recent studies have developed algorithms to predict patient-specific outcome after surgical procedures such as hip arthroscopy and anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. Deep learning is a higher-level ML approach that facilitates the processing and interpretation of complex datasets through artificial neural networks that are inspired by the way the human brain processes information. In orthopaedic sports medicine, deep learning has primarily been used for automatic image (computer vision) and text (natural language processing) interpretation. While applications in orthopaedic sports medicine have been increasing exponentially, one significant barrier to widespread adoption of ML remains clinician unfamiliarity with the associated methods and concepts. The goal of this review is to introduce these concepts, review current machine learning models in orthopaedic sport medicine, and discuss future opportunities for innovation within the specialty.

Unsupervised Machine Learning of the Combined Danish and Norwegian Knee Ligament Registers: Identification of 5 Distinct Patient Groups With Differing ACL Revision Rates.

BACKGROUND: Most clinical machine learning applications use a supervised learning approach using labeled variables. In contrast, unsupervised learning enables pattern detection without a prespecified outcome. PURPOSE/HYPOTHESIS: The purpose of this study was to apply unsupervised learning to the combined Danish and Norwegian knee ligament register (KLR) with the goal of detecting distinct subgroups. It was hypothesized that resulting groups would have differing rates of subsequent anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR) revision. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. METHODS: K-prototypes clustering was performed on the complete case KLR data. After performing the unsupervised learning analysis, the authors defined clinically relevant characteristics of each cluster using variable summaries, surgeons' domain knowledge, and Shapley Additive exPlanations analysis. RESULTS: Five clusters were identified. Cluster 1 (revision rate, 9.9%) patients were young (mean age, 22 years; SD, 6 years), received hamstring tendon (HT) autograft (91%), and had lower baseline Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) Sport and Recreation (Sports) scores (mean, 25.0; SD, 15.6). Cluster 2 (revision rate, 6.9%) patients received HT autograft (89%) and had higher baseline KOOS Sports scores (mean, 67.2; SD, 16.5). Cluster 3 (revision rate, 4.7%) patients received bone-patellar tendon-bone (BPTB) or quadriceps tendon (QT) autograft (94%) and had higher baseline KOOS Sports scores (mean, 65.8; SD, 16.4). Cluster 4 (revision rate, 4.1%) patients received BPTB or QT autograft (88%) and had low baseline KOOS Sports scores (mean, 20.5; SD, 14.0). Cluster 5 (revision rate, 3.1%) patients were older (mean age, 42 years; SD, 7 years), received HT autograft (89%), and had low baseline KOOS Sports scores (mean, 23.4; SD, 17.6). CONCLUSION: Unsupervised learning identified 5 distinct KLR patient subgroups and each grouping was associated with a unique ACLR revision rate. Patients can be approximately classified into 1 of the 5 clusters based on only 3 variables: age, graft choice (HT, BPTB, or QT autograft), and preoperative KOOS Sports subscale score. If externally validated, the resulting groupings may enable quick risk stratification for future patients undergoing ACLR in the clinical setting. Patients in cluster 1 are considered high risk (9.9%), cluster 2 patients medium risk (6.9%), and patients in clusters 3 to 5 low risk (3.1%-4.7%) for revision ACLR.

Platelet-Rich Plasma Versus Alternative Injections for Osteoarthritis of the Knee: A Systematic Review and Statistical Fragility Index-Based Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

BACKGROUND: Based in part on the results of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that suggest a beneficial effect over alternative treatment options, the use of platelet-rich plasma (PRP) for the management of knee osteoarthritis (OA) is widespread and increasing. However, the extent to which these studies are vulnerable to slight variations in the outcomes of patients remains unknown. PURPOSE: To evaluate the statistical fragility of conclusions from RCTs that reported outcomes of patients with knee OA who were treated with PRP versus alternative nonoperative management strategies. STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis; Level of evidence, 2. METHODS: All RCTs comparing PRP with alternative nonoperative treatment options for knee OA were identified. The fragility index (FI) and reverse FI were applied to assess the robustness of conclusions regarding the efficacy of PRP for knee OA. Meta-analyses were performed to determine the minimum number of patients from ≥1 trials included in the meta-analysis for which a modification on the event status would change the statistical significance of the pooled treatment effect. RESULTS: In total, this analysis included outcomes from 1993 patients with a mean ± SD age of 58.0 ± 3.8 years. The mean number of events required to reverse significance of individual RCTs (FI) was 4.57 ± 5.85. Based on random-effects meta-analyses, PRP demonstrated a significantly higher rate of successful outcomes when compared with hyaluronic acid (P = .002; odds ratio [OR], 2.19; 95% CI, 1.33-3.62), as well as higher rates of patient-reported symptom relief (P = .019; OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.07-2.24), not requiring a reintervention after the initial injection treatment (P = .002; OR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.33-3.53), and achieving the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) for pain improvement (P = .007; OR, 6.19; 95% CI, 1.63-23.42) when compared with all alternative nonoperative treatments. Overall, the mean number of events per meta-analysis required to change the statistical significance of the pooled treatment effect was 8.67 ± 4.50. CONCLUSION: Conclusions drawn from individual RCTs evaluating PRP for knee OA demonstrated slight robustness. On meta-analysis, PRP demonstrated a significant advantage over hyaluronic acid as well as improved symptom relief, lower rates of reintervention, and more frequent achievement of the MCID for pain improvement when compared with alternative nonoperative treatment options. Statistically significant pooled treatment effects evaluating PRP for knee OA are more robust than approximately half of all comparable meta-analyses in medicine and health care. Future RCTs and meta-analyses should consider reporting FIs and fragility quotients to facilitate interpretation of results in their proper context.

External validation of the Norwegian anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction revision prediction model using patients from the STABILITY 1 Trial.

PURPOSE: A machine learning-based anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) revision prediction model has been developed using Norwegian Knee Ligament Register (NKLR) data, but lacks external validation outside Scandinavia. This study aimed to assess the external validity of the NKLR model (https://swastvedt.shinyapps.io/calculator_rev/) using the STABILITY 1 randomized clinical trial (RCT) data set. The hypothesis was that model performance would be similar. METHODS: The NKLR Cox Lasso model was selected for external validation owing to its superior performance in the original study. STABILITY 1 patients with all five predictors required by the Cox Lasso model were included. The STABILITY 1 RCT was a prospective study which randomized patients to receive either a hamstring tendon autograft (HT) alone or HT plus a lateral extra-articular tenodesis (LET). Since all patients in the STABILITY 1 trial received HT ± LET, three configurations were tested: 1: all patients coded as HT, 2: HT + LET group coded as bone-patellar tendon-bone (BPTB) autograft, 3: HT + LET group coded as unknown/other graft choice. Model performance was assessed via concordance and calibration. RESULTS: In total, 591/618 (95.6%) STABILITY 1 patients were eligible for inclusion, with 39 undergoing revisions within 2 years (6.6%). Model performance was best when patients receiving HT + LET were coded as BPTB. Concordance was similar to the original NKLR prediction model for 1- and 2-year revision prediction (STABILITY: 0.71; NKLR: 0.68-0.69). Concordance 95% confidence interval (CI) ranged from 0.63 to 0.79. The model was well calibrated for 1-year prediction while the 2-year prediction demonstrated evidence of miscalibration. CONCLUSION: When patients in STABILITY 1 who received HT + LET were coded as BPTB in the NKLR prediction model, concordance was similar to the index study. However, due to a wide 95% CI, the true performance of the prediction model with this Canadian and European cohort is unclear and a larger data set is required to definitively determine the external validity. Further, better calibration for 1-year predictions aligns with general prediction modelling challenges over longer periods. While not a large enough sample size to elicit the true accuracy and external validity of the prediction model when applied to North American patients, this analysis provides more support for the notion that HT plus LET performs similarly to BPTB reconstruction. In addition, despite the wide confidence interval, this study suggests optimism regarding the accuracy of the model when applied outside of Scandinavia. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 3, cohort study.

Risk of Arthroplasty in Patients with Subchondral Insufficiency Fractures of the Knee: A Matched Study of the Implantable Shock Absorber using a Validated Predictive Model.

Subchondral insufficiency fractures of the knee (SIFK) can result in high rates of osteoarthritis and arthroplasty. The implantable shock absorber (ISA) implant is a titanium and polycarbonate urethane device which reduces the load on the medial compartment of the knee by acting as an extra-articular load absorber while preserving the joint itself. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether partially unloading the knee with the ISA altered the likelihood of progression to arthroplasty utilizing a validated predictive risk model (SIFK score). A retrospective case-control (2:1) study was performed on patients with SIFK without any previous surgery and on those implanted with the ISA with the primary outcome being progression to arthroplasty compared with nonoperative treatment at 2 years. Baseline and final radiographs, as well as magnetic resonance imagings, were reviewed for the evaluation of meniscus or ligament injuries, insufficiency fractures, and subchondral edema. Patients from a prospective study were matched using the exact SIFK Score, a validated predictive score for progression to arthroplasty in patients with SIFK, to those who received the ISA implant. Kaplan-Meier analysis was conducted to assess survival. A total of 57 patients (38 controls:19 ISA) with a mean age of 60.6 years and 54% female were included. The SIFK score was matched exactly between cases and controls for all patients. The 2-year survival rate of 100% for the ISA group was significantly higher than the corresponding rate of 61% for the control group (p < 0.01). In ISA, 0% of the patients converted to arthroplasty at 2 years, and 5% (one patient) had hardware removal at 1 year. When stratified by risk, the ISA group did not have a significantly higher survival compared with low-risk (p = 0.3) or medium-risk (p = 0.2) controls, though it had a significantly higher survival for high-risk groups at 2 years (100 vs. 15%, p < 0.01). SIFK of the medial knee can lead to significant functional limitation and high rates of conversion to arthroplasty. Implants such as the ISA have the potential to alter the progression to arthroplasty in these patients, especially those at high risk.

A Machine Learning Model Demonstrates Excellent Performance in Predicting Subscapularis Tears Based on Pre-Operative Imaging Parameters Alone.

PURPOSE: To develop a machine learning model capable of identifying subscapularis tears before surgery based on imaging and physical examination findings. METHODS: Between 2010 and 2020, 202 consecutive shoulders underwent arthroscopic rotator cuff repair by a single surgeon. Patient demographics, physical examination findings (including range of motion, weakness with internal rotation, lift/push-off test, belly press test, and bear hug test), and imaging (including direct and indirect signs of tearing, biceps status, fatty atrophy, cystic changes, and other similar findings) were included for model creation. RESULTS: Sixty percent of the shoulders had partial or full thickness tears of the subscapularis verified during surgery (83% of these were upper third). Using only preoperative imaging-related parameters, the XGBoost model demonstrated excellent performance at predicting subscapularis tears (c-statistic, 0.84; accuracy, 0.85; F1 score, 0.87). The top 5 features included direct signs related to the presence of tearing as evidenced on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) (changes in tendon morphology and signal), as well as the quality of the MRI and biceps pathology. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, machine learning was successful in predicting subscapularis tears by MRI alone in 85% of patients, and this accuracy did not decrease by isolating the model to the top features. The top five features included direct signs related to the presence of tearing as evidenced on MRI (changes in tendon morphology and signal), as well as the quality of the MRI and biceps pathology. Last, in advanced modeling, the addition of physical examination or patient characteristics did not make a significant difference in the predictive ability of this model. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, diagnostic case-control study.

Autologous Osteochondral Transfer of the Knee Demonstrates Continued High Rates of Return to Sport and Low Rates of Conversion to Arthroplasty at Long-Term Follow-Up: A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE: To perform a systematic review of the literature to evaluate (1) activity level and knee function, (2) reoperation and failure rates, and (3) risk factors for reoperation and failure of autologous osteochondral transfer (AOT) at long-term follow-up. METHODS: A comprehensive review of the long-term outcomes of AOT was performed. Studies reported on activity-based outcomes (Tegner Activity Scale) and clinical outcomes (Lysholm score and International Knee Documentation Committee score). Reoperation and failure rates as defined by the publishing authors were recorded for each study. Modified Coleman Methodology Scores were calculated to assess study methodological quality. RESULTS: Twelve studies with a total of 495 patients and an average age of 32.5 years at the time of surgery and a mean follow-up of 15.1 years (range, 10.4-18.0 years) were included. The mean defect size was 3.2 cm2 (range, 1.9-6.9 cm2). The mean duration of symptoms before surgery was 5.1 years. Return to sport rates ranged from 86% to 100%. Conversion to arthroplasty rates ranged from 0% to 16%. The average preoperative International Knee Documentation Committee scores ranged from 32.9 to 36.8, and the average postoperative International Knee Documentation Committee scores at final follow-up ranged from 66.3 to 77.3. The average preoperative Lysholm scores ranged from 44.5 to 56.0 and the average postoperative Lysholm scores ranged from 70.0 to 96.5. The average preoperative Tegner scores ranged from 2.5 to 3.0, and the average postoperative scores ranged from 4.1 to 7.0. CONCLUSIONS: AOT of the knee resulted in high rates of return to sport with correspondingly low rates of conversion to arthroplasty at long-term follow-up. In addition, AOT demonstrated significant improvements in long-term patient-reported outcomes from baseline. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level IV, systematic review of Level I-IV studies.

Deep Learning Artificial Intelligence Tool for Automated Radiographic Determination of Posterior Tibial Slope in Patients With ACL Injury.

Background: An increased posterior tibial slope (PTS) corresponds with an increased risk of graft failure after anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction (ACLR). Validated methods of manual PTS measurements are subject to potential interobserver variability and can be inefficient on large datasets. Purpose/Hypothesis: To develop a deep learning artificial intelligence technique for automated PTS measurement from standard lateral knee radiographs. It was hypothesized that this deep learning tool would be able to measure the PTS on a high volume of radiographs expeditiously and that these measurements would be similar to previously validated manual measurements. Study Design: Cohort study (diagnosis); Level of evidence, 2. Methods: A deep learning U-Net model was developed on a cohort of 300 postoperative short-leg lateral radiographs from patients who underwent ACLR to segment the tibial shaft, tibial joint surface, and tibial tuberosity. The model was trained via a random split after an 80 to 20 train-validation scheme. Masks for training images were manually segmented, and the model was trained for 400 epochs. An image processing pipeline was then deployed to annotate and measure the PTS using the predicted segmentation masks. Finally, the performance of this combined pipeline was compared with human measurements performed by 2 study personnel using a previously validated manual technique for measuring the PTS on short-leg lateral radiographs on an independent test set consisting of both pre- and postoperative images. Results: The U-Net semantic segmentation model achieved a mean Dice similarity coefficient of 0.885 on the validation cohort. The mean difference between the human-made and computer-vision measurements was 1.92° (σ = 2.81° [P = .24]). Extreme disagreements between the human and machine measurements, as defined by ≥5° differences, occurred <5% of the time. The model was incorporated into a web-based digital application front-end for demonstration purposes, which can measure a single uploaded image in Portable Network Graphics format in a mean time of 5 seconds. Conclusion: We developed an efficient and reliable deep learning computer vision algorithm to automate the PTS measurement on short-leg lateral knee radiographs. This tool, which demonstrated good agreement with human annotations, represents an effective clinical adjunct for measuring the PTS as part of the preoperative assessment of patients with ACL injuries.

Current clinical applications of artificial intelligence in shoulder surgery: what the busy shoulder surgeon needs to know and what's coming next.

Background: Artificial intelligence (AI) is a continuously expanding field with the potential to transform a variety of industries-including health care-by providing automation, efficiency, precision, accuracy, and decision-making support for simple and complex tasks. Basic knowledge of the key features as well as limitations of AI is paramount to understand current developments in this field and to successfully apply them to shoulder surgery. The purpose of the present review is to provide an overview of AI within orthopedics and shoulder surgery exploring current and forthcoming AI applications. Methods: PubMed and Scopus databases were searched to provide a narrative review of the most relevant literature on AI applications in shoulder surgery. Results: Despite the enormous clinical and research potential of AI, orthopedic surgery has been a relatively late adopter of AI technologies. Image evaluation, surgical planning, aiding decision-making, and facilitating patient evaluations over time are some of the current areas of development with enormous opportunities to improve surgical practice, research, and education. Furthermore, the advancement of AI-driven strategies has the potential to create a more efficient medical system that may reduce the overall cost of delivering and implementing quality health care for patients with shoulder pathology. Conclusion: AI is an expanding field with the potential for broad clinical and research applications in orthopedic surgery. Many challenges still need to be addressed to fully leverage the potential of AI to clinical practice and research such as privacy issues, data ownership, and external validation of the proposed models.

Application of Machine Learning Algorithms for Prognostic Assessment in Rotator Cuff Pathologies: A Clinical Data-Based Approach.

AIM: The overall aim of this proposal is to ameliorate the care of rotator cuff (RC) tear patients by applying an innovative machine learning approach for outcome prediction after arthroscopic repair. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We applied state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms to evaluate the best predictors of the outcome, and 100 RC patients were evaluated at baseline (T0), after 1 month (T1), 3 months (T2), 6 months (T3), and 1 year (T4) from surgical intervention. The outcome measure was the Costant-Murley Shoulder Score, whereas age, sex, BMI, the 36-Item Short-Form Survey, the Simple Shoulder Test, the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, the American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons Score, the Oxford Shoulder Score, and the Shoulder Pain and Disability Index were considered as predictive factors. Support vector machine (SVM), k-nearest neighbors (k-NN), naïve Bayes (NB), and random forest (RF) algorithms were employed. RESULTS: Across all sessions, the classifiers demonstrated suboptimal performance when using both the complete and shrunken sets of features. Specifically, the logistic regression (LR) classifier achieved a mean accuracy of 46.5% ± 6%, while the random forest (RF) classifier achieved 51.25% ± 4%. For the shrunken set of features, LR obtained a mean accuracy of 48.5% ± 6%, and RF achieved 45.5% ± 4.5%. No statistical differences were found when comparing the performance metrics of ML algorithms. CONCLUSIONS: This study underlines the importance of extending the application of AI methods to new predictors, such as neuroimaging and kinematic data, in order to better record significant shifts in RC patients' prognosis. LIMITATIONS: The data quality within the cohort could represent a limitation, since certain variables, such as smoking, diabetes, and work injury, are known to have an impact on the outcome.

Ceiling Effect of the Combined Norwegian and Danish Knee Ligament Registers Limits Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction Outcome Prediction.

BACKGROUND: Clinical tools based on machine learning analysis now exist for outcome prediction after primary anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR). Relying partly on data volume, the general principle is that more data may lead to improved model accuracy. PURPOSE/HYPOTHESIS: The purpose was to apply machine learning to a combined data set from the Norwegian and Danish knee ligament registers (NKLR and DKRR, respectively), with the aim of producing an algorithm that can predict revision surgery with improved accuracy relative to a previously published model developed using only the NKLR. The hypothesis was that the additional patient data would result in an algorithm that is more accurate. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. METHODS: Machine learning analysis was performed on combined data from the NKLR and DKRR. The primary outcome was the probability of revision ACLR within 1, 2, and 5 years. Data were split randomly into training sets (75%) and test sets (25%). There were 4 machine learning models examined: Cox lasso, random survival forest, gradient boosting, and super learner. Concordance and calibration were calculated for all 4 models. RESULTS: The data set included 62,955 patients in which 5% underwent a revision surgical procedure with a mean follow-up of 7.6 ± 4.5 years. The 3 nonparametric models (random survival forest, gradient boosting, and super learner) performed best, demonstrating moderate concordance (0.67 [95% CI, 0.64-0.70]), and were well calibrated at 1 and 2 years. Model performance was similar to that of the previously published model (NKLR-only model: concordance, 0.67-0.69; well calibrated). CONCLUSION: Machine learning analysis of the combined NKLR and DKRR enabled prediction of the revision ACLR risk with moderate accuracy. However, the resulting algorithms were less user-friendly and did not demonstrate superior accuracy in comparison with the previously developed model based on patients from the NKLR alone, despite the analysis of nearly 63,000 patients. This ceiling effect suggests that simply adding more patients to current national knee ligament registers is unlikely to improve predictive capability and may prompt future changes to increase variable inclusion.