A prospective study on incidence, risk factors, and validation of a risk score for post-infection irritable bowel syndrome in coastal eastern India.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Post-infection irritable bowel syndrome (PI-IBS) can occur following acute gastroenteritis (AGE). This study was designed to evaluate the incidence and risk factors of PI-IBS following AGE and to validate a PI-IBS risk score. METHODS: This prospective study was performed between September 2014 and October 2016 on AGE patients by documenting their AGE severity and following up after 3 and 6 months to study the development of IBS (ROME III criteria). The risk score was calculated for all the subjects, and its discrimination ability was tested. RESULTS: Out of 136 hospitalized AGE patients, 35 developed PI-IBS after 6 months. The factors associated with PI-IBS were younger age, longer duration of AGE, anxiety, depression, abdominal pain, bloody stool, vomiting, fever, family history of IBS, and positive stool culture (univariate analysis); however, on multivariate analysis, younger age (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.5; p 0.03), prolonged duration of AGE (AOR 8.6; p 0.01), and abdominal cramps (AOR 2.1; p 0.02) were the independent factors influencing its occurrence. PI-IBS occurred even after infection with Vibrio cholerae. The PI-IBS risk score was significantly higher in patients who developed PI-IBS (72.4 ± 14.48 vs. 31.56 ± 20.4, p-value < 0.001); score > 50 had a sensitivity and specificity of 91.4% and 84.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION: One fourth of AGE patients developed PI-IBS after 6 months. Factors influencing its development were younger age, long duration of AGE, and abdominal pain. The PI-IBS risk score had good predictive accuracy in our population.

Acute Kidney Injury at Admission Is a Better Predictor of Mortality than Its Persistence at 48 h in Patients with Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure.

Background and Aims: Acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs commonly in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, there are scant data regarding the impact of AKI on survival in ACLF. We performed a prospective study to evaluate the impact of AKI on survival in ACLF. Methods: This study was conducted in ACLF patients hospitalized in the Gastroenterology Department of Sriram Chandra Bhanja Medical College (India) between October 2016 and February 2018. Demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters were recorded, and outcomes were compared between patients with and without AKI and between patients with persistent AKI and AKI reversal at 48 h. Results: We screened 439 chronic liver disease patients as per the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria and found that 113 (25.7%) of them had ACLF and 78 (69%) of them had AKI as per the Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria. ACLF patients with AKI had reduced 28-day survival (44.9% vs. 74.3%; p = 0.004) and 90-day survival (25.6% vs. 51.4%; p = 0.007), in comparison to ACLF patients without AKI. However, when comparison was made between AKI reverters and AKI persisters at 48 h, survival was comparable for both at 28 days and 90 days. Further, about one-tenth of ACLF patients with AKI died within 48 h of hospitalization. Conclusions: Over two-thirds of ACLF patients had AKI. Although ACLF itself is a predictor of reduced survival, a very small increase in serum creatinine further worsens survival. Importantly, AKI at admission is a better predictor of early mortality in ACLF patients since recovery from AKI at 48 h does not improve survival.