Revealing the nature of cardiovascular disease using DERGA, a novel data ensemble refinement greedy algorithm.

BACKGROUND: The study aimed to determine the most crucial parameters associated with CVD and employ a novel data ensemble refinement procedure to uncover the optimal pattern of these parameters that can result in a high prediction accuracy. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were collected from 369 patients in total, 281 patients with CVD or at risk of developing it, compared to 88 otherwise healthy individuals. Within the group of 281 CVD or at-risk patients, 53 were diagnosed with coronary artery disease (CAD), 16 with end-stage renal disease, 47 newly diagnosed with diabetes mellitus 2 and 92 with chronic inflammatory disorders (21 rheumatoid arthritis, 41 psoriasis, 30 angiitis). The data were analyzed using an artificial intelligence-based algorithm with the primary objective of identifying the optimal pattern of parameters that define CVD. The study highlights the effectiveness of a six-parameter combination in discerning the likelihood of cardiovascular disease using DERGA and Extra Trees algorithms. These parameters, ranked in order of importance, include Platelet-derived Microvesicles (PMV), hypertension, age, smoking, dyslipidemia, and Body Mass Index (BMI). Endothelial and erythrocyte MVs, along with diabetes were the least important predictors. In addition, the highest prediction accuracy achieved is 98.64%. Notably, using PMVs alone yields a 91.32% accuracy, while the optimal model employing all ten parameters, yields a prediction accuracy of 0.9783 (97.83%). CONCLUSIONS: Our research showcases the efficacy of DERGA, an innovative data ensemble refinement greedy algorithm. DERGA accelerates the assessment of an individual's risk of developing CVD, allowing for early diagnosis, significantly reduces the number of required lab tests and optimizes resource utilization. Additionally, it assists in identifying the optimal parameters critical for assessing CVD susceptibility, thereby enhancing our understanding of the underlying mechanisms.

Prognosis of COVID-19 severity using DERGA, a novel machine learning algorithm.

It is important to determine the risk for admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) in patients with COVID-19 presenting at the emergency department. Using artificial neural networks, we propose a new Data Ensemble Refinement Greedy Algorithm (DERGA) based on 15 easily accessible hematological indices. A database of 1596 patients with COVID-19 was used; it was divided into 1257 training datasets (80 % of the database) for training the algorithms and 339 testing datasets (20 % of the database) to check the reliability of the algorithms. The optimal combination of hematological indicators that gives the best prediction consists of only four hematological indicators as follows: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lactate dehydrogenase, ferritin, and albumin. The best prediction corresponds to a particularly high accuracy of 97.12 %. In conclusion, our novel approach provides a robust model based only on basic hematological parameters for predicting the risk for ICU admission and optimize COVID-19 patient management in the clinical practice.