Comparing AVPU and Glasgow Coma Scales Among Children Seen by Emergency Medical Services.

OBJECTIVES: Consciousness assessment is an important component in the prehospital care of ill or injured children. Both the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and the Alert, Verbal, Pain, Unresponsive (AVPU) scale are used for this purpose. We sought to identify cut points for the GCS to correspond to the AVPU scale for pediatric emergency medical services (EMS) encounters. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional analysis using the 2019-2022 National EMS Information System data set, including children (<18 years) with a GCS and AVPU score. We evaluated several approaches to develop cut points for the GCS within the AVPU scale and reported measures of performance. RESULTS: Of 6 186 663 pediatric encounters, 4 311 598 with both GCS and AVPU documentation were included (median age was 10 years [interquartile range 3-15]; 50.9% boys). Lower AVPU scores correlated with life-sustaining procedures, including those for airway management, seizure, and cardiac arrest. Optimal GCS cut points obtained via a grid-based search were 14 to 15 for alert, 11 to 13 for verbal, 7 to 10 for pain, and 3 to 6 for unresponsive. Overall accuracy was 0.95, with kappa of 0.61. Intraclass F1 statistics were lower for verbal (0.37) and pain (0.50) categories compared with alert (0.98) and unresponsive (0.78). CONCLUSIONS: We developed a cross-walking between the AVPU and GCS scales. Overall performance was high, though performance within the verbal and pain categories was lower. These findings can be useful to enhance clinician handovers and to aid in the development of EMS-based prediction models.

A randomized, embedded, pragmatic, Bayesian clinical trial examining clinical decision support for high flow nasal cannula management in children with bronchiolitis: design and statistical analysis plan.

BACKGROUND: High flow nasal cannula (HFNC) has been increasingly adopted in the past 2 decades as a mode of respiratory support for children hospitalized with bronchiolitis. The growing use of HFNC despite a paucity of high-quality data regarding the therapy's efficacy has led to concerns about overutilization. We developed an electronic health record (EHR) embedded, quality improvement (QI) oriented clinical trial to determine whether standardized management of HFNC weaning guided by clinical decision support (CDS) results in a reduction in the duration of HFNC compared to usual care for children with bronchiolitis. METHODS: The design and summary of the statistical analysis plan for the REspiratory SupporT for Efficient and cost-Effective Care (REST EEC; "rest easy") trial are presented. The investigators hypothesize that CDS-coupled, standardized HFNC weaning will reduce the duration of HFNC, the trial's primary endpoint, for children with bronchiolitis compared to usual care. Data supporting trial design and eventual analyses are collected from the EHR and other real world data sources using existing informatics infrastructure and QI data sources. The trial workflow, including randomization and deployment of the intervention, is embedded within the EHR of a large children's hospital using existing vendor features. Trial simulations indicate that by assuming a true hazard ratio effect size of 1.27, equivalent to a 6-h reduction in the median duration of HFNC, and enrolling a maximum of 350 children, there will be a > 0.75 probability of declaring superiority (interim analysis posterior probability of intervention effect > 0.99 or final analysis posterior probability of intervention effect > 0.9) and a > 0.85 probability of declaring superiority or the CDS intervention showing promise (final analysis posterior probability of intervention effect > 0.8). Iterative plan-do-study-act cycles are used to monitor the trial and provide targeted education to the workforce. DISCUSSION: Through incorporation of the trial into usual care workflows, relying on QI tools and resources to support trial conduct, and relying on Bayesian inference to determine whether the intervention is superior to usual care, REST EEC is a learning health system intervention that blends health system operations with active evidence generation to optimize the use of HFNC and associated patient outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05909566. Registered on June 18, 2023.

Association Between the COI and Excess Health Care Utilization and Costs for ACSC.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The authors of previous work have associated the Childhood Opportunity Index (COI) with increased hospitalizations for ambulatory care sensitive conditions (ACSC). The burden of this inequity on the health care system is unknown. We sought to understand health care resource expenditure in terms of excess hospitalizations, hospital days, and cost. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cross-sectional study of the Pediatric Health Information Systems database, including inpatient hospitalizations between January 1, 2016 and December 31, 2022 for children <18 years of age. We compared ACSC hospitalizations, mortality, and cost across COI strata. RESULTS: We identified 2 870 121 hospitalizations among 1 969 934 children, of which 44.5% (1 277 568/2 870 121) were for ACSCs. A total of 49.1% (331 083/674 548) of hospitalizations in the very low stratum were potentially preventable, compared with 39.7% (222 037/559 003) in the very high stratum (P < .001). After adjustment, lower COI was associated with higher odds of potentially preventable hospitalization (odds ratio 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17-1.19). Compared with the very high COI stratum, there were a total of 137 550 (95% CI 134 582-140 517) excess hospitalizations across all other strata, resulting in an excess cost of $1.3 billion (95% CI $1.28-1.35 billion). Compared with the very high COI stratum, there were 813 (95% CI 758-871) excess deaths, with >95% from the very low and low COI strata. CONCLUSIONS: Children with lower neighborhood opportunity have increased risk of ACSC hospitalizations. The COI may identify communities in which targeted intervention could reduce health care utilization and costs.

Respiratory Support Practices for Bronchiolitis in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit.

Importance: Admissions to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) due to bronchiolitis are increasing. Whether this increase is associated with changes in noninvasive respiratory support practices is unknown. Objective: To assess whether the number of PICU admissions for bronchiolitis between 2013 and 2022 was associated with changes in the use of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC), noninvasive ventilation (NIV), and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and to identify factors associated with HFNC and NIV success and failure. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study examined encounter data from the Virtual Pediatric Systems database on annual PICU admissions for bronchiolitis and ventilation practices among patients aged younger than 2 years admitted to 27 PICUs between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2022. Use of HFNC and NIV was defined as successful if patients were weaned to less invasive support (room air or low-flow nasal cannula for HFNC; room air, low-flow nasal cannula, or HFNC for NIV). Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was the number of PICU admissions for bronchiolitis requiring the use of HFNC, NIV, or IMV. Linear regression was used to analyze the association between admission year and absolute numbers of encounters stratified by the maximum level of respiratory support required. Multivariable logistic regression was used to analyze factors associated with HFNC and NIV success and failure (defined as not meeting the criteria for success). Results: Included in the analysis were 33 816 encounters for patients with bronchiolitis (20 186 males [59.7%]; 1910 patients [5.6%] aged ≤28 days and 31 906 patients [94.4%] aged 29 days to <2 years) treated at 27 PICUs from 2013 to 2022. A total of 7615 of 15 518 patients (49.1%) had respiratory syncytial virus infection and 1522 of 33 816 (4.5%) had preexisting cardiac disease. Admissions to the PICU increased by 350 (95% CI, 170-531) encounters annually. When data were grouped by the maximum level of respiratory support required, HFNC use increased by 242 (95% CI, 139-345) encounters per year and NIV use increased by 126 (95% CI, 64-189) encounters per year. The use of IMV did not significantly change (10 [95% CI, -11 to 31] encounters per year). In all, 22 381 patients (81.8%) were successfully weaned from HFNC to low-flow oxygen therapy or room air, 431 (1.6%) were restarted on HFNC, 3057 (11.2%) were escalated to NIV, and 1476 (5.4%) were escalated to IMV or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Successful use of HFNC increased from 820 of 1027 encounters (79.8%) in 2013 to 3693 of 4399 encounters (84.0%) in 2022 (P = .002). In all, 8476 patients (81.5%) were successfully weaned from NIV, 787 (7.6%) were restarted on NIV, and 1135 (10.9%) were escalated to IMV or ECMO. Success with NIV increased from 224 of 306 encounters (73.2%) in 2013 to 1335 of 1589 encounters (84.0%) in 2022 (P < .001). In multivariable logistic regression, lower weight, higher Pediatric Risk of Mortality III score, cardiac disease, and PICU admission from outside the emergency department were associated with greater odds of HFNC and NIV failure. Conclusions and Relevance: Findings of this cross-sectional study of patients aged younger than 2 years admitted for bronchiolitis suggest there was a 3-fold increase in PICU admissions between 2013 and 2022 associated with a 4.8-fold increase in HFNC use and a 5.8-fold increase in NIV use. Further research is needed to standardize approaches to HFNC and NIV support in bronchiolitis to reduce resource strain.

Concurrent use of continuous kidney replacement therapy during extracorporeal membrane oxygenation: what pediatric nephrologists need to know-PCRRT-ICONIC practice points.

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) provides temporary cardiorespiratory support for neonatal, pediatric, and adult patients when traditional management has failed. This lifesaving therapy has intrinsic risks, including the development of a robust inflammatory response, acute kidney injury (AKI), fluid overload (FO), and blood loss via consumption and coagulopathy. Continuous kidney replacement therapy (CKRT) has been proposed to reduce these side effects by mitigating the host inflammatory response and controlling FO, improving outcomes in patients requiring ECMO. The Pediatric Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy (PCRRT) Workgroup and the International Collaboration of Nephrologists and Intensivists for Critical Care Children (ICONIC) met to highlight current practice standards for ECMO use within the pediatric population. This review discusses ECMO modalities, the pathophysiology of inflammation during an ECMO run, its adverse effects, various anticoagulation strategies, and the technical aspects and outcomes of implementing CKRT during ECMO in neonatal and pediatric populations. Consensus practice points and guidelines are summarized. ECMO should be utilized in patients with severe acute respiratory failure despite the use of conventional treatment modalities. The Extracorporeal Life Support Organization (ELSO) offers guidelines for ECMO initiation and management while maintaining a clinical registry of over 195,000 patients to assess outcomes and complications. Monitoring and preventing fluid overload during ECMO and CKRT are imperative to reduce mortality risk. Clinical evidence, resources, and experience of the nephrologist and healthcare team should guide the selection of ECMO circuit.

Retrospective Validation of a Computerized Physiologic Equation to Predict Minute Ventilation Needs in Critically Ill Children.

OBJECTIVES: Mechanical ventilation (MV) is pervasive among critically ill children. We sought to validate a computerized physiologic equation to predict minute ventilation requirements in children and test its performance against clinician actions in an in silico trial. DESIGN: Retrospective, electronic medical record linkage, cohort study. SETTING: Quaternary PICU. PATIENTS: Patients undergoing invasive MV, serial arterial blood gas (ABG) analysis within 1-6 hours, and pharmacologic neuromuscular blockade (NMB). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: ABG values were filtered to those occurring during periods of NMB. Simultaneous ABG and minute ventilation data were linked to predict serial Pa co2 and pH values using previously published physiologic equations. There were 15,121 included ABGs across 500 encounters among 484 patients, with a median (interquartile range [IQR]) of 20 (10-43) ABGs per encounter at a duration of 3.6 (2.1-4.2) hours. The median (IQR) Pa co2 prediction error was 0.00 (-3.07 to 3.00) mm Hg. In Bland-Altman analysis, the mean error was -0.10 mm Hg (95% CI, -0.21 to 0.01 mm Hg). A nested, in silico trial of ABGs meeting criteria for weaning (respiratory alkalosis) or escalation (respiratory acidosis), compared the performance of recommended ventilator changes versus clinician decisions. There were 1,499 of 15,121 ABGs (9.9%) among 278 of 644 (43.2%) encounters included in the trial. Calculated predictions were favorable to clinician actions in 1124 of 1499 ABGs (75.0%), equivalent to clinician choices in 26 of 1499 ABGs (1.7%), and worse than clinician decisions in 349 of 1499 ABGs (23.3%). Calculated recommendations were favorable to clinician decisions in sensitivity analyses limiting respiratory rate, analyzing only when clinicians made changes, excluding asthma, and excluding acute respiratory distress syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: A computerized equation to predict minute ventilation requirements outperformed clinicians' ventilator adjustments in 75% of ABGs from critically ill children in this retrospective analysis. Prospective validation studies are needed.

Short stay unit led by pediatric hospital medicine advanced practice providers.

BACKGROUND: In response to a critical pediatric bed shortage in 2022, an urgent process change was required to provide safe and timely medical care. We proposed a pilot for an advanced practice provider (APP)-run short stay unit (SSU) for select pediatric hospital medicine (PHM) patients. OBJECTIVE: To compare length of stay (LOS) and cost before and after implementation of a PHM APP-led SSU pilot at a tertiary pediatric hospital. DESIGNS, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: Single-center prospective pilot observational cohort study with historical control. Observation encounters for patients with asthma, bronchiolitis, croup, and dehydration were included. INTERVENTION: An independent-practice model SSU staffed by APPs on the PHM service. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: SSU encounters (September 1, 2022-December 1, 2022) were compared against pre-SSU encounters (September 1, 2021-August 31, 2022). Cohorts were described with summary statistics. SSU encounters were matched against pre-SSU encounters based on demographics and diagnosis, and the average effect of treatment was calculated. LOS was abstracted from the enterprise data warehouse and standardized unit cost from the Pediatric Health Information Systems database. RESULTS: There were 1110 encounters included, 155 in the SSU cohort and 955 in the pre-SSU cohort: 24.2% asthma, 30.8% bronchiolitis, 8.3% croup, and 36.7% dehydration. Median (interquartile range) unit LOS decreased from 21 (16-26) to 18 (10-22) h, p < .001. Cost decreased from $3593 ($3031-$4560) to $2958 ($2278-$3856), p < .001. After matching, the average treatment effect was reduction of 3.88 h (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.91-5.85) and $593 (95% CI $348-$839). There were no significant differences in 7-day ED revisit rates.

Virtual Learning Improves Attendance for Critical Care Education During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

The COVID-19 pandemic has pushed medical educators and learners to adapt to virtual learning (VL) in an expedited manner. The effect of VL for critical care education has not yet been evaluated. In a quantitative analysis of survey data and attendance records, we sought to determine the association of VL with conference attendance and work-life balance. Attending physicians, fellows, and advanced practice providers (APP) at a pediatric critical care department at a quaternary children's hospital participated in the study. Attendance records were obtained before and after the adaption of a VL platform. In addition, an electronic, anonymous survey to evaluate current satisfaction and the strengths and weaknesses of VL as well as its impact on work-life balance was administered. In total, 31 learners (17 attending physicians, 13 fellows, and 1 APP) completed the survey. A total of 83.9% (26/31) of participants were satisfied, and 77.4% (24/31) found VL to be similar or more engaging than non-VL. However, 6.5% (2/31) of learners reported difficulty in using the new platform, 87% (27/31) of participants supported VL as an effective learning tool, and 83.3% (25/30) reported a positive impact on work-life balance. Additionally, median monthly conference attendance increased significantly from 85 to 114 attendees per month ( p < 0.05). Our results suggest that a virtual model has advantages for overall attendance and work-life balance. We anticipate VL will continue to be an integral part of medical education. Future work evaluating the impact of VL on interdepartmental and interinstitutional collaborations is needed.

Admissions for Bronchiolitis at Children's Hospitals Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Importance: The COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with a transient decrease in bronchiolitis hospitalizations compared with prepandemic patterns, but current effects remain unknown. Objective: To analyze changes in patterns of bronchiolitis admissions at US children's hospitals during the 2020-2023 bronchiolitis seasons compared with the 2010-2019 seasons. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cross-sectional study used data from 41 US children's hospitals in the Pediatric Health Information System database. Bronchiolitis has winter-predominant seasonality, so hospitalizations were grouped according to bronchiolitis season (from July through June). This study included all patients aged younger than 2 years admitted with a diagnosis of bronchiolitis between July 1, 2010, and June 30, 2023. Bronchiolitis seasons from July through June between 2010-2011 and 2019-2020 were classified as the prepandemic era, and seasons between 2020-2021 and 2022-2023 were classified as the pandemic era. Data analysis was performed from July 1, 2010, through June 30, 2023. Exposures: Admission date. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was number of hospitalizations for bronchiolitis by season and month. Monthly admission counts from the prepandemic era were transformed into time series and used to train seasonal ensemble forecasting models. Forecasts were compared to monthly admissions during the pandemic era. Results: In this study, there were 400 801 bronchiolitis admissions among 349 609 patients between July 1, 2010, and June 30, 2023. The median patient age was 6 (IQR, 2-12) months; 58.7% were boys and 43.7% were White. Hospitalizations increased gradually during the prepandemic era (median, 29 309 [IQR, 26 196-34 157]), decreased 69.2% (n = 9030) in the 2020-2021 season, and increased 75.3% (n = 51 397) in the 2022-2023 season. Patients in the pandemic era were older than those in the prepandemic era (median, 7 [IQR, 3-14] vs 6 [2-12] months; P < .001). Intensive care unit (ICU) admissions increased from 32.2% (96 245 of 298 535) in the prepandemic era to 36.7% (37 516 of 102 266) in the pandemic era (P < .001). The seasonality of bronchiolitis admissions changed during the pandemic era. Admissions peaked in August 2021 (actual 5036 vs 943 [95% CI, 0-2491] forecasted) and November 2022 (actual 10 120 vs 5268 [95% CI, 3425-7419] forecasted). These findings were unchanged in sensitivity analyses excluding children with complex chronic conditions and excluding repeat admissions. In a sensitivity analysis including all viral lower respiratory tract infections in children aged younger than 5 years, there were 66 767 admissions in 2022-2023 vs 35 623 (31 301-41 002) in the prepandemic era, with the largest increase in children aged 24 to 59 months. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cross-sectional study suggest that bronchiolitis hospitalizations decreased transiently and then increased markedly during the COVID-19 pandemic era. Patients admitted during the pandemic era were older and were more likely to be admitted to an ICU. These findings suggest that bronchiolitis seasonality has not yet returned to prepandemic patterns, and US hospitals should prepare for the possibility of atypical timing again in 2023.

Temporal Patterns in Brain Tissue and Systemic Oxygenation Associated with Mortality After Severe Traumatic Brain Injury in Children.

BACKGROUND: Brain tissue hypoxia is an independent risk factor for unfavorable outcomes in traumatic brain injury (TBI); however, systemic hyperoxemia encountered in the prevention and/or response to brain tissue hypoxia may also impact risk of mortality. We aimed to identify temporal patterns of partial pressure of oxygen in brain tissue (PbtO2), partial pressure of arterial oxygen (PaO2), and PbtO2/PaO2 ratio associated with mortality in children with severe TBI. METHODS: Data were extracted from the electronic medical record of a quaternary care children's hospital with a level I trauma center for patients ≤ 18 years old with severe TBI and the presence of PbtO2 and/or intracranial pressure monitors. Temporal analyses were performed for the first 5 days of hospitalization by using locally estimated scatterplot smoothing for less than 1,000 observations and generalized additive models with integrated smoothness estimation for more than 1,000 observations. RESULTS: A total of 138 intracranial pressure-monitored patients with TBI (median 5.0 [1.9-12.8] years; 65% boys; admission Glasgow Coma Scale score 4 [3-7]; mortality 18%), 71 with PbtO2 monitors and 67 without PbtO2 monitors were included. Distinct patterns in PbtO2, PaO2, and PbtO2/PaO2 were evident between survivors and nonsurvivors over the first 5 days of hospitalization. Time-series analyses showed lower PbtO2 values on day 1 and days 3-5 and lower PbtO2/PaO2 ratios on days 1, 2, and 5 among patients who died. Analysis of receiver operating characteristics curves using Youden's index identified a PbtO2 of 30 mm Hg and a PbtO2/PaO2 ratio of 0.12 as the cut points for discriminating between survivors and nonsurvivors. Univariate logistic regression identified PbtO2 < 30 mm Hg, hyperoxemia (PaO2 ≥ 300 mm Hg), and PbtO2/PaO2 ratio < 0.12 to be independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Lower PbtO2, higher PaO2, and lower PbtO2/PaO2 ratio, consistent with impaired oxygen diffusion into brain tissue, were associated with mortality in this cohort of children with severe TBI. These results corroborate our prior work that suggests targeting a higher PbtO2 threshold than recommended in current guidelines and highlight the potential use of the PbtO2/PaO2 ratio in the management of severe pediatric TBI.

Healthcare Use in the Year Following Bronchiolitis Hospitalization.

OBJECTIVES: Healthcare utilization after bronchiolitis hospitalization is incompletely understood. We aimed to characterize readmissions and outpatient visits within 1 year after hospital discharge. METHODS: Retrospective multicenter observational cohort study of children under 24-months old admitted with bronchiolitis between January 1, 2010 and December 12, 2019 to the Pediatric Health Information Systems database. A single-center nested subset using linked electronic health records allowed analysis of outpatient visits. RESULTS: There were 308 306 admissions for bronchiolitis among 271 115 patients across 47 hospitals between 2010-2019. The percent of patients readmitted within 30 days after discharge was 6.0% (16 167 of 271 115), and 17.8% (48 332 of 271 115) of patients were readmitted within 1 year. 22.9% (16 919 of 74 001) of patients admitted to an ICU and 26.8% (7865 of 29 378) of patients undergoing mechanical ventilation were readmitted within 1 year. There were 1438 patients with outpatient healthcare data available. There were a median (interquartile range) of 9 (6-13) outpatient visits per patient within 1 year after discharge. Outpatient healthcare use increased for 4 months following bronchiolitis hospitalization compared with previously reported age-matched controls. Higher income, white race, commercial insurance, complex chronic conditions, ICU admission, and mechanical ventilation were associated with higher outpatient utilization. Higher quartiles of outpatient use were associated with readmission for bronchiolitis and all-cause readmissions. CONCLUSIONS: Readmissions in the year after bronchiolitis hospitalization are common, and outpatient healthcare use is increased for 4 months following discharge. Prospective study is needed to track long-term outcomes of infants with bronchiolitis.

Gender, Parenting Status, and the Academic Productivity of Pediatricians During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

BACKGROUND: During the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, many women physicians experienced increased caregiver responsibilities, potentially leading to worsened gender inequities. METHODS: We surveyed faculty and trainees at a quaternary-care children's hospital regarding work environment, household obligations, and academic productivity to examine differential effects on productivity by gender and parenting status. We used descriptive statistics for demographics and analyzed Likert-scale responses with χ2 or Fisher's exact tests. We performed multivariable logistic regression to determine factors associated with self-reported academic productivity. We analyzed free-response comments using thematic analysis. RESULTS: The August 2021 survey was completed by 366 respondents (65% women; 46% response rate). Women were significantly more likely to report decreased academic productivity than men (66% [146/222] vs 30% [38/129], P <.001). Nearly one-half (49%) were parents with 80% utilizing childcare. Of these, 61% experienced unreliable childcare during the pandemic. Parents with unreliable childcare reported significantly decreased academic productivity compared with those with reliable childcare (76% [64/84] vs 36% [19/53], P <.001), and, among those with unreliable childcare, women disproportionally reported decreased academic productivity compared with men (88.5% [54/61] vs 43.5% [10/23], P <.001). After multivariable adjustment, women physicians with children were significantly more likely to report decreased academic productivity than men with children (adjusted odds ratio: 10.19, 95% confidence interval: 4.68-22.23). CONCLUSIONS: The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has differentially impacted men and women physicians, with women physician parents more likely to report decreased academic productivity than men with children. Unreliable childcare was a significant contributor to this disparity. Institutions must prioritize initiatives to improve gender equity in medicine.

Association between pediatric TBI mortality and median family income in the United States: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There are regional disparities in pediatric traumatic brain injury (TBI) mortality across the United States, but the factors underlying these differences are unclear. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cross-sectional analysis of the Pediatric Health Information System database including inpatient hospital encounters for children less than 18 years old with a primary diagnosis of TBI between 2010-2019. FINDINGS: Lower median family income was associated with pediatric TBI mortality. Encounters from zip-codes with a median family income of <$20,000 had a 3.1% (29/950) mortality, as opposed to 1.3% (29/2,267) mortality for zip-codes with a median family income of >$80,000 (p = 0.00096). In multivariable logistic regression, every $10,000 of income was associated with an odds ratio of mortality of 0.94 (95% confidence interval 0.90 - 0.98). 82.5% (397/481) of ballistic TBI injuries were caused by a firearm. Lower income was associated with a higher proportion of ballistic TBI injuries (2.5% [24/950] for <$20,000 versus 0.3% [7/2,267] for >$80,000, p < 0.0001). In multivariable logistic regression, ballistic TBI injuries were associated with an odds ratio of mortality of 5.19 (95% confidence interval 4.00 - 6.73). United States regional variation in pediatric TBI mortality was linearly associated with the percentage of ballistic TBI (adjusted r-squared 0.59, p = 0.0097). INTERPRETATION: Children from lower income zip-codes are more likely to sustain a ballistic TBI, and more likely to die. Further work is necessary to determine causal factors underlying these associations and to design interventions that prevent these injuries and/or improve outcomes.

Tandem Therapeutic Plasma Exchange Reduces Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy Downtime.

INTRODUCTION: Continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) has become a primary treatment of severe acute kidney injury in children admitted to the intensive care unit. CRRT "downtime" (when the circuit is not active) can represent a significant portion of the prescribed treatment time and adversely affects clearance. The objective of this study was to evaluate factors associated with CRRT "downtime" and to determine whether instituting a tandem therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) protocol could significantly and robustly decrease circuit downtime in patients receiving both therapies. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of 116 patients undergoing CRRT in the pediatric, neonatal, or cardiac ICU at UPMC Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh from January 2014 to July 2020. We performed multivariable logistic regression to determine factors associated with CRRT downtime. We instituted a tandem TPE protocol whereby TPE and CRRT could run in parallel without pausing CRRT in April 2018. We analyzed the effect of the protocol change by plotting downtime for patients undergoing CRRT and TPE on a run chart. The effect of initiating tandem TPE on downtime was assessed by special cause variation. RESULTS: For 108/139 (77.7%) sessions with downtime data available, the median (IQR) percentage of downtime was 6.2% (1.7-12.7%). Multivariable logistic regression showed that TPE was significantly associated with CRRT downtime (p = 0.003), and that age, sex, race, catheter size, and anticoagulation were not. For patients undergoing TPE, the median (IQR) percentage of downtime was 14.7% (10.5-26%) and 3.4% (1.3-4.9%) before and after initiation of tandem TPE, respectively (p < 0.001). The difference in downtime percentage met criteria for special cause variation. CONCLUSIONS: Interruptions for TPE increase CRRT downtime. Tandem TPE significantly reduces CRRT downtime in patients undergoing both procedures concomitantly.

An Evaluation of Antimicrobial Prescribing and Risk-adjusted Mortality.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends tracking risk-adjusted antimicrobial prescribing. Prior studies have used prescribing variation to drive quality improvement initiatives without adjusting for severity of illness. The present study aimed to determine the relationship between antimicrobial prescribing and risk-adjusted ICU mortality in the Pediatric Health Information Systems (PHIS) database, assessed by IBM-Watson risk of mortality. A nested analysis sought to assess an alternative risk model incorporating laboratory data from federated electronic health records. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of pediatric ICU patients in PHIS between 1/1/2010 and 12/31/2019, excluding patients admitted to a neonatal ICU, and a nested study of PHIS+ from 1/1/2010 to 12/31/2012. Hospital antimicrobial prescription volumes were assessed for association with risk-adjusted mortality. RESULTS: The cohort included 953,821 ICU encounters (23,851 [2.7%] nonsurvivors). There was 4-fold center-level variability in antimicrobial use. ICU antimicrobial use was not correlated with risk-adjusted mortality assessed using IBM-Watson. A risk model incorporating laboratory data available in PHIS+ significantly outperformed IBM-Watson (c-statistic 0.940 [95% confidence interval 0.933-0.947] versus 0.891 [0.881-0.901]; P < 0.001, area under the precision recall curve 0.561 versus 0.297). Risk-adjusted mortality was inversely associated with antimicrobial prescribing in this smaller cohort using both the PHIS+ and Watson models (P = 0.05 and P < 0.01, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Antimicrobial prescribing among pediatric ICUs in the PHIS database is variable and not associated with risk-adjusted mortality as assessed by IBM-Watson. Expanding existing administrative databases to include laboratory data can achieve more meaningful insights when assessing multicenter antibiotic prescribing practices.

Forecast modeling to identify changes in pediatric emergency department utilization during the COVID-19 pandemic.

OBJECTIVE: To identify trends in pediatric emergency department (ED) utilization following the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study from 37 geographically diverse US children's hospitals. We included ED encounters between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2020, transformed into time-series data. We constructed ensemble forecasting models of the most common presenting diagnoses and the most common diagnoses leading to admission, using data from 2010 through 2019. We then compared the most common presenting diagnoses and the most common diagnoses leading to admission in 2020 to the forecasts. RESULTS: 29,787,815 encounters were included, of which 1,913,085 (6.4%) occurred during 2020. ED encounters during 2020 were lower compared to prior years, with a 65.1% decrease in April relative to 2010-2019. In forecasting models, encounters for depression and diabetic ketoacidosis remained within the 95% confidence interval [CI]; fever, bronchiolitis, hyperbilirubinemia, skin/subcutaneous infections and seizures occurred within the 80-95% CI during the portions of 2020, and all other diagnoses (abdominal pain, otitis media, asthma, pneumonia, trauma, upper respiratory tract infections, and urinary tract infections) occurred below the predicted 95% CI. CONCLUSION: Pediatric ED utilization has remained low following the COVID-19 pandemic, and below forecasted utilization for most diagnoses. Nearly all conditions demonstrated substantial declines below forecasted rates from the prior decade and which persisted through the end of the year. Some declines in non-communicable diseases may represent unmet healthcare needs among children. Further study is warranted to understand the impact of policies aimed at curbing pandemic disease on children.