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1.
Br J Anaesth ; 133(1): 125-134, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38729814

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Surgical risk stratification is crucial for enhancing perioperative assistance and allocating resources efficiently. However, existing models may not capture the complexity of surgical care in Brazil. Using data from various healthcare settings nationwide, we developed a new risk model for 30-day in-hospital mortality (the Ex-Care BR model). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in 10 hospitals from different geographic regions in Brazil. Data were analysed using multilevel logistic regression models. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), Brier score, and calibration plots. Derivation and validation cohorts were randomly assigned. RESULTS: A total of 107,372 patients were included, and 30-day in-hospital mortality was 2.1% (n=2261). The final risk model comprised four predictors related to the patient and surgery (age, ASA physical status classification, surgical urgency, and surgical size), and the random effect related to hospitals. The model showed excellent discrimination (AUROC=0.93, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.93-0.94), calibration, and overall performance (Brier score=0.017) in the derivation cohort (n=75,094). Similar results were observed in the validation cohort (n=32,278) (AUROC=0.93, 95% CI, 0.92-0.93). CONCLUSIONS: The Ex-Care BR is the first model to consider regional and organisational peculiarities of the Brazilian surgical scene, in addition to patient and surgical factors. It is particularly useful for identifying high-risk surgical patients in situations demanding efficient allocation of limited resources. However, a thorough exploration of mortality variations among hospitals is essential for a comprehensive understanding of risk. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT05796024.


Assuntos
Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Brasil/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso , Medição de Risco/métodos , Adulto , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Operatórios/mortalidade , Estudos de Coortes , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Curva ROC , Adulto Jovem , Fatores de Risco
2.
Clin Neurol Neurosurg ; 236: 108068, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38064880

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Intracranial mycotic or infectious aneurysms result from the infection of arterial walls, most caused by bacterial or fungal organisms. These infections can weaken the arterial wall, leading to the formation of an aneurysm, a localized dilation, or a bulge. The management can be conservative mainly based on antibiotics or invasive methods such as clipping or endovascular treatment. PURPOSE: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the current literature on endovascular treatment of mycotic aneurysms, analyzing the safety and efficacy associated with this procedure. METHODS: We systematically searched on PUBMED, Cochrane Library, Embase, and Web of Science databases. Our search strategy was carefully crafted to conduct a thorough investigation of the topic, utilizing a comprehensive combination of relevant keywords. This meta-analysis included all studies that reported endovascular treatment of mycotic aneurysms. To minimize the risk of bias, studies with fewer than four patients, studies where the main outcome was not found, and studies with no clear differentiation between microsurgical and endovascular treatment were excluded. RESULTS: In a comprehensive analysis of 134 patients, it was observed that all except one patient received antibiotics as part of their treatment. Among the patients, 56% (a total of 51 out of 90 patients) underwent cardiac surgery. Additionally, three patients required a craniotomy following endovascular treatment. 12 patients experienced morbidity related to the procedures performed, indicating complications arising from the interventions. Furthermore, four aneurysms experienced rebleeding while treatment. A pooled analysis of the endovascular treatment of the mycotic aneurysm revealed a good level of technical success, achieving a 100% success rate in 12 out of 14 studies (97-100%; CI 95%; I2 = 0%), as illustrated in Fig. 2. Similarly, the aneurysm occlusion rate demonstrated a notable efficacy, with a success rate of 97% observed in 12 out of 14 studies (97-100%; CI 95%; I2 = 0%), as depicted in Fig. 3. CONCLUSION: The results strongly support the efficacy of endovascular treatment in achieving technical success, complete aneurysm occlusion, and favorable neurological outcomes. Additionally, the notably low incidence of complications and procedure-related mortality reaffirms the safety and benefits associated with this intervention.


Assuntos
Aneurisma Infectado , Embolização Terapêutica , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Aneurisma Intracraniano , Humanos , Aneurisma Infectado/cirurgia , Aneurisma Infectado/epidemiologia , Aneurisma Infectado/microbiologia , Aneurisma Intracraniano/terapia , Resultado do Tratamento , Morbidade , Embolização Terapêutica/métodos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/métodos , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico
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