Quantifying the impact of wildfire smoke on solar photovoltaic generation in Australia.

The 2019-20 Australian wildfires caused extreme haze events across New South Wales (NSW), which reduced photovoltaic (PV) power output. We analyze 30-min energy data from 160 geographically separated residential PV systems in NSW with a total capacity of 312 kW from 6 Nov 2019-15 Jan 2020. The observed mean power reduction rate for PV energy generation as a function of the fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration is 13 ± 2% per 100 µg/m3 of PM2.5. The resulting energy loss for residential and utility PV systems is estimated at 175 ± 35 GWh, equating to a worst-case financial loss of 19 ± 4 million USD. We found the relative impact to be most significant in the mornings and evenings, which may necessitate the installation of additional energy storage. As PV systems are sensitive to smoke and become ubiquitous, we propose employing them to support wildfire detection and monitoring.

Bypassing the Single Junction Limit with Advanced Photovoltaic Architectures.

Multijunction devices and photon up- and down-conversion are prominent concepts aimed at increasing photovoltaic efficiencies beyond the single junction limit. Integrating these concepts into advanced architectures may address long-standing issues such as processing complexity, microstructure control, and resilience against spectral changes of the incoming radiation. However, so far, no models have been established to predict the performance of such integrated architectures. Here, a simulation environment based on Bayesian optimization is presented, that can predict and virtually optimize the electrical performance of multi-junction architectures, both vertical and lateral, in combination with up- and down-conversion materials. Microstructure effects on performance are explicitly considered using machine-learned predictive models from high throughput experimentation on simpler architectures. Two architectures that would surpass the single junction limit of photovoltaic energy conversion at reasonable complexity are identified: a vertical "staggered half octave system," where selective absorption allows the use of 6 different bandgaps, and the lateral "overlapping rainbow system" where selective irradiation allows the use of a narrowband energy acceptor with reduced voltage losses, according to the energy gap law. Both architectures would be highly resilient against spectral changes, in contrast with two terminal multi-junction architectures which are limited by Kirchhoff's law.

Photovoltaics at multi-terawatt scale: Waiting is not an option.

25% annual PV growth is possible over the next decade.

The role of innovation for economy and sustainability of photovoltaic modules.

The role of innovation for the success of photovoltaics cannot be overstated. Photovoltaics have enjoyed the most substantial price learning of any energy technology. Innovation affects photovoltaic performance in more ways, though. Here, we explore the role of innovation for economics and greenhouse gas savings of photovoltaic modules using replacement scenarios. We find that the greenhouse gas displacement potential of photovoltaic modules has improved substantially over the last 20 years-4-fold for the presented example. We show that the economically ideal time for repowering is after around 20 years, but that repowering may reduce greenhouse gas savings. Expanding photovoltaic installations is generally preferable, economically and sustainably, to repowering. We argue that i) we should maximize the greenhouse gas saving potential of each module, which requires a global strategy, ii) tandem solar cells should aim for stability, and iii) efforts to continue and accelerate innovation in photovoltaic technology are needed.

The Impact of COVID-19-Related Measures on the Solar Resource in Areas with High Levels of Air Pollution.

Restrictions enacted to reduce the spreading of COVID-19 have resulted in notably clearer skies around the world. In this study, we confirm that reduced levels of air pollution correlate with unusually high levels of clear-sky insolation in Delhi, India. Restrictions here were announced on March 19th, with the nation going into lockdown on March 24th. Comparing insolation data before and after these dates with insolation from previous years (2017 to 2019), we observe an 8.3% ± 1.7% higher irradiance than usual in late March and a 5.9% ± 1.6% higher one in April, while we find no significant differences in values from previous years in February or early March. Using results from a previous study, we calculated the expected increase in insolation based on measured PM2.5 concentration levels. Measurements and calculations agree within confidence intervals, suggesting that reduced pollution levels are a major cause for the observed increase in insolation.

The realistic energy yield potential of GaAs-on-Si tandem solar cells: a theoretical case study.

Si based tandem solar cells represent an alternative to traditional compound III-V multijunction cells as a promising way to achieve high efficiencies. A theoretical study on the energy yield of GaAs on Si (GaAs/Si) tandem solar cells is performed to assess their energy yield potential under realistic illumination conditions with varying spectrum. We find that the yield of a 4-terminal contact scheme with thick top cell is more than 15% higher than for a 2-terminal scheme. Furthermore, we quantify the main losses that occur for this type of solar cell under varying spectra. Apart from current mismatch, we find that a significant power loss can be attributed to low irradiance seen by the sub-cells. The study shows that despite non-optimal bandgap combination, GaAs/Si tandem solar cells have the potential to surpass 30% energy conversion efficiency.

Phase space considerations for light path lengths in planar, isotropic absorbers.

Fundamental limits for path lengths of light in isotropic absorbers are calculated. The method of calculation is based on accounting for occupied states in optical phase space. Light trapping techniques, such as scattering or diffraction, are represented by the way how the available states are occupied. One finding of the presented investigation is that the path length limit is independent of the light trapping mechanism and only depends on the conditions for light incidence to, and escape from the absorber. A further finding is that the maximum path length is obtained for every light trapping mechanisms which results in a complete filling of the available states in phase space. For stationary solar cells, the Yablonovitch limit of 4dn², with n the refractive index of the absorber, is a very good approximation of this limit.