RESUMO
The paper aims at comparative analysis of future trends of population ageing in Russia and Ukraine. The UN Population Prospects (The 2004 Revision) and probabilistic projections for Russia and Ukraine up to the year 2050 are analyzed. A number of ageing characteristics (proportions of the population aged 65+ and 80+, old age dependency ratio, median age) are considered.
Assuntos
Envelhecimento/fisiologia , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Feminino , Previsões , Humanos , Masculino , Federação Russa , UcrâniaRESUMO
The paper aim is making a comparative analysis of demographic forecasts for Russia and Ukraine till the 30-th of the 21-st century published in the last decade. More than ten forecasts made by different scientific centres and demographers have been considered, each of them in turn consisting of several variants. Some authors' projections have been also included.
Assuntos
Dinâmica Populacional , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Demografia , Feminino , Previsões , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vigilância da População , Federação Russa , Distribuição por Sexo , UcrâniaRESUMO
"A concept of instability as an integral measure for estimating [the] age structure of real and stable populations is substantiated. A system of instability indices is suggested [that] permits estimating the effect of external conditions and internal factors of population reproduction on the age structure." The geographical focus is on the USSR. (SUMMARY IN ENG)
Assuntos
Distribuição por Idade , Modelos Teóricos , Dinâmica Populacional , Estatística como Assunto , Fatores Etários , Demografia , Países Desenvolvidos , População , Características da População , Densidade Demográfica , Pesquisa , U.R.S.S.RESUMO
PIP: Aspects of contemporary population growth in the Ukrainian SSR are analyzed. Trends and regional characteristics of fertility and mortality are described. The need to improve the quality of the labor force is emphasized. (SUMMARY IN ENG)^ieng
