Associations between environmental noise and myocardial infarction and stroke: Investigating the potential mediating effects of hypertension.

BACKGROUND: We investigated whether hypertension may be a mediator in the pathway linking environmental noise exposure to incident MI and stroke. METHODS: Separately for MI and stroke, we built two population-based cohorts from linked health administrative data. Participants were residents of Montreal (Canada) between 2000 and 2014, aged 45 years and older who were free of hypertension and MI or stroke at time of entry. MI, stroke and hypertension were ascertained from validated case definitions. Residential long-term environmental noise exposure, expressed as the annual mean level acoustic equivalent 24 h (LAeq24h), was estimated from a land use regression model. We performed mediation analysis based on the potential outcomes framework. We used a Cox proportional hazards model for the exposure-outcome model and a logistic regression for the exposure-mediator model. In sensitivity analysis we applied a marginal structural approach to estimate the natural direct and indirect effects. RESULTS: Each cohort included approximately 900 000 individuals, with 26 647 incident cases of MI and 16 656 incident cases of stroke. 36% of incident MI and 40% of incident stokes had previously developed hypertension. The estimated total effect per interquartile range increase (from 55.0 to 60.5 dB A) in the annual mean LAeq24h was 1.073 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.070-1.077) for both MI for stroke. We found no evidence of exposure-mediator interaction for both outcomes. The relationships between environmental noise and MI and stroke was not mediated by hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: This population-based cohort study suggests that the main route by which environmental noise exposure may cause MI or stroke is not through hypertension.

The influence of urban trees and total vegetation on asthma development in children.

Objective: We aimed to assess whether the influence of urban vegetation on asthma development in children (<13 years) varies by type (e.g., total vegetation, tree type, and grass) and season. Methods: We used a cohort of all children born in Montreal, Canada, between 2000 and 2015. Children and cases were identified from linked medico-administrative databases. Exposure to residential vegetation was estimated using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) for total vegetation and using the total area covered by deciduous and evergreen crowns for trees in 250 m buffers centered on residential postal codes. Seasonal variations in vegetation were modeled by setting values to zero on days outside of pollen and leaf-on seasons. Cox models with vegetation exposures, age as a time axis, and adjusted for sex, material deprivation, and health region were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for asthma development. Results: We followed 352,946 children for a total of 1,732,064 person-years and identified 30,816 incident cases of asthma. While annual vegetation (total and trees) measures did not appear to be associated with asthma development, models for pollen and leaf-on seasons yielded significant nonlinear associations. The risk of developing asthma was lower in children exposed to high levels (>33,300 m2) of deciduous crown area for the leaf-on season (HR = 0.69; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.67, 0.72) and increased for the pollen season (HR = 1.07; 95% CI =1.02, 1.12), compared with unexposed children. Similar results were found with the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. Conclusion: The relationship between urban vegetation and childhood asthma development is nonlinear and influenced by vegetation characteristics, from protective during the leaf-on season to harmful during the pollen season.

Improving attribution of extreme heat deaths through interagency cooperation.

Attributing individual deaths to extreme heat events (EHE) in Canada and elsewhere is important for understanding the risk factors, protective interventions, and burden of mortality associated with climate change. However, there is currently no single mechanism for identifying individual deaths due to EHE and different agencies have taken different approaches, including (1) vital statistics coding based on medical certificates of death, (2) probabilistic methods, and (3) enhanced surveillance. The 2018 EHE in Montréal provides an excellent case study to compare EHE deaths identified by these different approaches. There were 353 deaths recorded in the vital statistics data over an 8-day period, of which 102 were potentially attributed to the EHE by at least one approach and 251 were not attributed by any approach. Only nine of the 102 deaths were attributed to the EHE by all three approaches, 23 were attributed by two approaches, and 70 were attributed by only one approach. Given that there were approximately 50 excess deaths during the EHE, it remains unclear exactly which of the total 353 deaths should be attributed to the extreme temperatures. These results highlight the need for a more systematic and cooperative approach to EHE mortality in Canada, which will continue to increase as the climate changes.

RéSUMé: L'attribution des décès individuels aux épisodes de chaleur accablante (ECA) au Canada et ailleurs est importante pour comprendre les facteurs de risque, les interventions de protection et le fardeau de la mortalité associés aux changements climatiques. Cependant, il n'existe actuellement aucun mécanisme unique pour identifier les décès individuels dus à l'ECA et différentes agences ont adopté différentes approches, notamment (1) le codage des statistiques de l'état civil basé sur les certificats médicaux de décès, (2) des méthodes probabilistes et (3) une surveillance renforcée. L'ECA 2018 à Montréal fournit une excellente étude de cas pour comparer les décès ECA identifiés par ces différentes approches. Il y a eu 353 décès enregistrés dans les données des statistiques de l'état civil sur une période de 8 jours, dont 102 ont été potentiellement attribués à l'ECA par au moins une approche et 251 n'ont été attribués par aucune approche. Seuls neuf des 102 décès ont été attribués à l'ECA par les trois approches, 23 ont été attribués par deux approches et 70 ont été attribués par une seule approche. Étant donné qu'il y a eu environ 50 décès supplémentaires pendant l'ECA, on ne sait pas exactement lequel des 353 décès au total doit être attribué aux températures extrêmes. Ces résultats soulignent la nécessité d'une approche plus systématique et coopérative de la mortalité ECA au Canada, qui continuera d'augmenter à mesure que le climat change.

Relationships between long-term residential exposure to total environmental noise and stroke incidence.

Background: Noise has been related to several cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) such as coronary heart disease and to their risk factors such as hypertension, but associations with stroke remain under-researched, even if CVD likely share similar pathophysiologic mechanisms. Aim: The objective of the study was to examine the association between long-term residential exposure to total environmental noise and stroke incidence in Montreal, Canada. Materials and Methods: We created an open cohort of adults aged ≥45years, free of stroke before entering the cohort for the years 2000 to 2014 with health administrative data. Residential total environmental noise levels were estimated with land use regression (LUR) models. Incident stroke was based on hospital admissions. Cox hazard models with age as the time axis and time-varying exposures were used to estimate associations, which were adjusted for material deprivation, year, nitrogen dioxide, stratified for sex, and indirectly adjusted for smoking. Results: There were 9,072,492 person-years of follow-up with 47% men; 26,741 developed stroke (21,402 ischemic; 4947 hemorrhagic; 392 had both). LUR total noise level acoustic equivalent for 24 hours (LAeq24h) ranged 44 to 79 dBA. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for stroke (all types), for a 10-dBA increase in LAeq24h, was 1.06 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03-1.09]. The LAeq24h was associated with ischemic (HR per 10 dBA: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.04-1.12) but not hemorrhagic stroke (HR per 10 dBA: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.90-1.04). Conclusion: The results suggest that total environmental noise is associated with incident stroke, which is consistent with studies on transportation noise and other CVD.

Comparison of Socioeconomic Disparities in Pump Uptake Among Children With Type 1 Diabetes in 2 Canadian Provinces With Different Payment Models.

Importance: Insulin pumps improve glycemic control and quality of life in children with type 1 diabetes (T1D). Canada's provinces have implemented universal pediatric programs to improve access. However, these programs provide differing financial coverage, allowing for unique cross-jurisdictional comparisons. Objective: To evaluate possible socioeconomic status (SES) disparities in pump uptake in Québec, where pumps are fully funded, with those in Manitoba, where pumps are partially funded. Design, Setting, and Participants: Using health administrative databases and a clinical registry, parallel, population-based cohort studies of children with diabetes were conducted from April 1, 2011, in Québec, and April 1, 2012, in Manitoba, until March 31, 2017. In analysis conducted from July 1, 2019, to November 30, 2021, multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied to study the association between pump uptake and SES, defined using validated area-based material and social deprivation indices. Children aged 1 to 17 years with T1D were identified using a validated definition in administrative data (Québec) and a clinical registry (Manitoba). Those using pumps before the initiation of provincial programs were excluded. Exposures: Socioeconomic status. Main Outcomes and Measures: Insulin pump uptake. Results: A total of 2919 children with T1D were identified in Québec: 1550 male (53.1%), mean (SD) age at diagnosis, 8.3 (4.4) years, and 1067 (36.6%) were using a pump. In Manitoba, 636 children were identified: 364 male (57.2%), mean (SD) age at diagnosis, 8.8 (4.4) years, and 106 (16.7%) were using a pump. In Québec, the mean age at diagnosis of T1D was lower in children using the pump compared with those not using a pump (7.6 [4.1] vs 8.7 [4.5] years); sex distribution was similar (562 [52.7%] vs 988 [53.3%] male). No differences in mean (SD) age at diagnosis (8.8 [4.4] vs 8.8 [4.3] years) or sex (57 [53.8%] vs 307 [57.9%] male) were noted in both groups in Manitoba. Increasing material deprivation was associated with decreased pump uptake in both Québec (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.89; 95% CI, 0.85-0.93) and Manitoba (aHR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.60-0.82). Inclusion of ethnic concentration did not change this association. Socioeconomic disparities in pump uptake were greater in Manitoba than Québec (P = .006 by t test; Cochran Q, 8.15; P = .004; I2 = 87.7%; 95% CI, 52.5%-96.8%). Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this study suggest that the program of full coverage for pumps available in Québec partially mitigates observed SES disparities in uptake and may be a model to improve access for all children with T1D.

Increasing Incidence of Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Among Canadian Children.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus is one of the most common pediatric chronic illnesses. Although a rising incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes (T1D) has frequently been documented, an almost 400-fold variation in incidence has been seen worldwide. We aimed to describe the trends in incidence of diabetes (type 1, type 2, all types) among children and adolescents living in the Greater Montréal area of Québec, Canada. METHODS: Using health administrative data (Québec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System) and medical records from the 3 major pediatric diabetes centres in the Greater Montréal area, we conducted serial cross-sectional studies of children aged 1 to 15 years during the period from 2002 to 2010. We conducted a trend analysis of diabetes incidence over time using multivariate Poisson regression models. RESULTS: We identified 696 new cases of diabetes between 2002 and 2010. The age-standardized incidence of diabetes (all types) increased from 16.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 12.4 to 21.2) to 27.8 (95% CI, 22.5 to 34.0) per 100,000, with annual incidence increasing, on average, by 5.2% per year (adjusted rate ratio [aRR], 1.052; 95% CI, 1.022 to 1.083). This was driven predominantly by the T1D annual increase of 5.4% (aRR, 1.054; 95% CI, 1.023 to 1.086). A low number of incident cases of type 2 diabetes limited trend analysis in this group. There were no significant interactions between year and sex or age. CONCLUSIONS: The annual incidence of T1D is increasing in Québec children and does not vary by sex or age. Further research into etiologic factors is indicated.

Nutritional Content of Sliced Bread Available in Quebec, Canada: Focus on Sodium and Fibre Content.

Bread is a highly consumed food and an important source of nutrients in the diet of Canadians, underlining the need to improve its nutritional quality. The Food Quality Observatory (Observatory) aimed to evaluate the nutritional value of the sliced bread products available in Quebec (Canada), according to their grain type and main flour. Analyses included comparing the bread's sodium content to Health Canada's daily values (DV) and sodium voluntary targets, comparing the bread's fibre content thresholds with the source of fibre mentioned, and assessing whether the main flour was associated with the nutrient content. The nutritional values of 294 sliced breads available in Quebec were merged with sales data (from October 2016 to October 2017), with 262 products successfully cross-referenced. The results showed that 64% of the breads purchased were 'low' in fibre (i.e., below 2 g per two slices), while 47% were 'high' in sodium (i.e., above 15% DV per two slices). Attention should be paid to 100% refined grain bread and to bread with refined flour as the main flour, since they are great sellers, while showing a less favourable nutrient content. This study shows that there is room for improvement in the nutritional content of Quebec's bread offer, particularly regarding sodium and fibre content.

Assessing nutritional value of ready-to-eat breakfast cereals in the province of Quebec (Canada): a study from the Food Quality Observatory.

OBJECTIVE: The Food Quality Observatory was created in the province of Quebec (Canada) in 2016. In this study, the Observatory aimed to generate a methodology to (1) test the use of sales data combined with nutrient values to characterise the nutritional composition of ready-to-eat (RTE) breakfast cereals offered and purchased in the province of Quebec (Canada) and (2) verify the extent to which a front-of-pack label based on the percentage of daily value (DV) for total sugar, as a strategy to improve the food supply, would be distributed in this food category. DESIGN: Nutritional information were obtained by purchasing each RTE breakfast cereal available in the Greater Montreal area. Cereals were then classified according to their processing type. SETTING: The nutritional values of 331 RTE breakfast cereals available in Quebec were merged with sales data covering the period between May 2016 and May 2017. A total of 306 products were successfully cross-referenced. RESULTS: Granola and sweetened cereals were the most available (36·6 % and 19·6 %, respectively) and purchased (19·8 % and 40·9 % of sales, respectively). When compared with other types of cereals, granola cereals had a higher energy, fat, saturated fat, protein content and a lower Na content. A larger proportion of chocolate (65 %) and sweetened cereals (49 %) were above 15 % of the DV for sugar. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that the methodology developed generates important data to monitor nutritional quality of the food supply and ultimately contribute to improve the nutritional quality of processed foods.

Changes in diet quality and food security among adults during the COVID-19-related early lockdown: results from NutriQuébec.

BACKGROUND: The impact that the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related early lockdown has had on dietary habits of the population and on food insecurity is unknown. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to document the change in diet quality and in food insecurity observed during the COVID-19-related early lockdown. We hypothesized that the lockdown was associated with a deterioration in overall diet quality and an increase in food insecurity. METHODS: Data are from a COVID-19 subsample of NutriQuébec, a web-based cohort destined to study temporal changes in dietary habits among adults in Quebec, Canada. Participants completed questionnaires before (between June 2019 and February 2020) and during (April to May 2020) early lockdown, including a validated web-based 24-h recall (n = 853) and a questionnaire on food security (n = 922). Primary study outcomes were temporal changes in diet quality measured by the Healthy Eating Index (HEI)-2015 and in the prevalence of food insecurity. RESULTS: There was a small increase in the HEI-2015 during the COVID-19 early lockdown compared with baseline (+1.1 points; 95% CI: 0.6, 1.5), mostly due to small improvements in the intakes of whole grains, greens and beans, refined grains, total vegetables, total dairy, seafood and plant proteins, added sugar, and total protein subscores of the HEI-2015. Exploratory analyses suggested that individuals aged 18-29 y (+3.6 points; 95% CI: 2.4, 4.7), participants with lower education (+1.9 points; 95% CI: 1.3, 2.6), or with obesity (+3.8 points; 95% CI: 2.7, 4.8) showed particularly important increases in the HEI-2015. The prevalence of food insecurity was reduced from 3.8% at baseline to 1.0% during the early lockdown (prevalence ratio = 0.27; 95% CI: 0.08, 0.94). CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to our hypotheses, diet quality has slightly improved and prevalence of food insecurity was reduced in this sample of adults from Quebec during the COVID-19-related early lockdown. These results may be generalizable only to relatively healthy populations.

Manuscript title: Long─term residential exposure to environmental/transportation noise and the incidence of myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular effects of environmental noise are a growing concern. However, the evidence remains largely limited to the association between road traffic noise and hypertension and coronary heart diseases. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between long-term residential exposure to environmental/transportation noise and the incidence of myocardial infarction (MI) in the adult population living in Montreal. METHODS: An open cohort of adults aged 45 years old and over, living on the island of Montreal and free of MI before entering the cohort was created for the years 2000-2014 with the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System; a systematic surveillance system from the Canadian province of Quebec starting in 1996. Residential noise exposure was calculated in three ways: 1) total ambient noise levels estimated by Land use regression (LUR) models; 2) road traffic noise estimated by a noise propagation model CadnaA and 3) distances to transportation sources (roads, airport, railways). Incident MI was based on diagnostic codes in hospital admission records. Cox models with time-varying exposures (age as the time axis) were used to estimate the associations with various adjustments (material deprivation indicator, calendar year, nitrogen dioxide, stratification for sex). Indirect adjustment based on ancillary data for smoking was performed. RESULTS: 1,065,414 individuals were followed (total of 9,000,443 person-years) and 40,718 (3.8%) developed MI. We found positive associations between total environmental noise, estimated by LUR models and the incidence of MI. Total noise LUR levels ranged from ~44 to ~79 dBA and varied slightly with the metric used. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) (also adjusted for smoking) were 1.12 (95% Confidence Intervals [CI]: 1.08-1.15), 1.11 (95%CI: 1.07-1.14) and 1.10 (95%CI: 1.06-1.14) per 10 dBA noise levels increase respectively in Level Accoustic equivalent 24 h (LAeq24 h), Level day-evening-night (Lden) and night level (Lnight). We found a borderline negative association between road noise levels estimated with CadnaA and MI (HR: 0.99 per 10 dBA; 95%CI: 0.98-1.00). Distances to major roads and highways were not associated with MI while the proximity to railways was positively associated with MI (HR for ≤100 vs > 1000 m: 1.07; 95%CI: 1.01-1.14). A negative association was found with the proximity to the airport noise exposure forecast (NEF25); HR (<1 vs >1000 m) = 0.88 (95%CI: 0.81-0.96). CONCLUSIONS: These associations suggest that exposure to total environmental noise at current urban levels may be related to the incidence of MI. Additional studies with more accurate road noise estimates are needed to explain the counterintuitive associations with road noise and specific transportation sources.

NutriQuébec: a unique web-based prospective cohort study to monitor the population's eating and other lifestyle behaviours in the province of Québec.

INTRODUCTION: The epidemic of non-communicable diseases including cardiovascular diseases and type 2 diabetes is attributable in large part to unhealthy eating and physical inactivity. In the fall of 2016, the Québec government launched its first-ever Government Health Prevention Policy (Politique gouvernementale de prévention en santé (PGPS)) to influence factors that lead to improved health status and quality of life as well as reduced social inequalities in health in the population of Québec. NutriQuébec is a web-based prospective open cohort study whose primary aim is to provide essential data for the evaluation of the PGPS on the Québec population's eating and other lifestyle behaviours over time. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Over a first phase of 3 years, NutriQuébec will enrol 20 000 adults living in the province of Québec in Canada through a multimedia campaign designed to reach different segments of the population, including subgroups with lower socioeconomic status. Participants will be invited to complete on a web platform nine core questionnaires on a yearly basis. Questionnaires will assess several dimensions related to lifestyle, including eating and physical activity behaviours, as well as a large number of personal characteristics and global health status. Temporal trends in eating and lifestyle behaviours will be analysed in relation to the implementation of the PGPS to provide essential data for its evaluation at a population level. Data analyses will use sociodemographic weights to adjust responses of participants to achieve, so far as is possible, representativeness of the adult Québec population. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Université Laval Research Ethics Board approved the NutriQuébec project. Data analysis, presentations in conferences and publication of manuscripts are scheduled to start in 2020. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04140071.

Exposure to ambient air pollutants and the onset of dementia in Québec, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Effects of air pollutants are related to oxidative stress which is also linked to the pathogenesis of dementia including Alzheimer's and related diseases. OBJECTIVE: We assessed associations between exposure to air pollutants and the onset of dementia; the association with the distance between residence and major roads was also assessed for the island of Montreal. METHODS: We created an open cohort of adults aged 65 years and older starting in 2000 and ending in 2012 in the province of Québec, Canada using linked medico-administrative databases. New cases of dementia were defined based on a validated algorithm. Annual residential levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and fine particles (PM2.5) at residential levels were estimated for each year of follow up using estimates based on satellite images and ground air monitoring data. Hazard ratios (HRs) were assessed with Extended (time dependent exposure) Cox models with age as the time axis and stratified for sex, for the annual exposure level at each residential address. Models were adjusted for the calendar year, area-wide social and material deprivation indexes and for NO2 or PM2.5; they were also indirectly adjusted for smoking. RESULTS: 1,807,133 persons (13,242,270 person-years) were followed and 199,826 developed dementia. From models (adjusted for calendar year, social and material deprivation indexes), HRs for an interquartile range (IQR) increase in time-varying exposure to NO2 (IQR 13.26 ppb), PM2.5 (IQR 3.90 µg/m³), and distance to major roads (IQR 150 m, in Montreal only), were 1.005 (CI 95% 0.994-1.017), 1.016 (CI 95% 1.003-1.028) and 0.969 (CI 95% 0.958-0.980), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that the onset of dementia may be related to residential exposure to PM2.5, NO2, and distance to major roads.

The Potential Impacts of Urban and Transit Planning Scenarios for 2031 on Car Use and Active Transportation in a Metropolitan Area.

Land use and transportation scenarios can help evaluate the potential impacts of urban compact or transit-oriented development (TOD). Future scenarios have been based on hypothetical developments or strategic planning but both have rarely been compared. We developed scenarios for an entire metropolitan area (Montreal, Canada) based on current strategic planning documents and contrasted their potential impacts on car use and active transportation with those of hypothetical scenarios. We collected and analyzed available urban planning documents and obtained key stakeholders' appreciation of transportation projects on their likelihood of implementation. We allocated 2006-2031 population growth according to recent trends (Business As Usual, BAU) or alternative scenarios (current planning; all in TOD areas; all in central zone). A large-scale and representative Origin-Destination Household Travel Survey was used to measure travel behavior. To estimate distances travelled by mode, in 2031, we used a mode choice model and a simpler method based on the 2008 modal share across population strata. Compared to the BAU, the scenario that allocated all the new population in already dense areas and that also included numerous public transit projects (unlikely to be implemented in 2031), was associated with greatest impacts. Nonetheless such major changes had relatively minor impacts, inducing at most a 15% reduction in distances travel by car and a 28% increase in distances walked, compared to a BAU. Strategies that directly target the reduction of car use, not considered in the scenarios assessed, may be necessary to induce substantial changes in a metropolitan area.

Potentially inappropriate medications in older individuals with diabetes: A population-based study in Quebec, Canada.

AIM: To study the population-based prevalence of potentially inappropriate medication (PIM) among older individuals with diabetes, and to identify factors associated with their use. METHODS: We used the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System (QICDSS) database to conduct a population-based cohort study of individuals with diabetes ≥66 years between April 1st, 2014 and March 31st, 2015. PIMs were defined according to the 2015 Beers Criteria. Factors associated with PIM use were identified using robust Poisson regression models. Risk ratios (RR) and 99% confidence intervals (99%CI) were calculated. RESULTS: More than half (56%) of the 286,962 older individuals with diabetes used at least one PIM over a year. Benzodiazepines (41%), proton pump inhibitors (27%) and endocrine medication (mainly glibenclamide) (25%) were the most common PIMs used. Factors associated with PIM use included female sex (RR: 1.17; 99%CI: 1.16-1.18), and comorbidities such as schizophrenia (1.48; 1.45-1.51), anxiety disorders (1.34; 1.33-1.35) and Alzheimer's disease (1.14; 1.13-1.25). Risks of using PIMs increased both with increasing comorbidities and number of medications. CONCLUSION: PIM use is highly prevalent among older individuals with diabetes. Interventions to promote optimal medication use should particularly target individuals with comorbidities and polypharmacy who are most vulnerable to adverse drug events.

Environmental and health impacts of transportation and land use scenarios in 2061.

We compared numbers of trips and distances by transport mode, air pollution and health impacts of a Business As Usual (BAU) and an Ideal scenario with urban densification and reductions in car share (76%-62% in suburbs; 55%-34% in urban areas) for the Greater Montreal (Canada) for 2061. We estimated the population in 87 municipalities using a demographic model and population projections. Year 2031 (Y2031) trips (from mode choice modeling) and distances were used to estimate those of Y2061. Emissions of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and carbon dioxide (CO2) were estimated and NO2 used with dispersion modeling to estimate concentrations. Walking and Public Transit (PT) use and corresponding distances walked in Y2061 were >70% higher for the Ideal scenario vs the BAU, while car share and distances were <40% lower. NO2 levels were slightly lower in the Ideal scenario vs the BAU, but always higher in the urban core. Health impacts, summarized with disability adjusted life years (DALY), differed between urban and suburb areas but globally, the Ideal scenario reduced the impacts of the Y2061 BAU by 33% DALY. Percentages of car and PT trips were similar for the Y2031 and Y2061 BAU but kms travelled by car, CO2 and NO2 increased, due to increased populations. Drastic measures to decrease car share appear necessary to substantially reduce impacts of transportation.

Polypharmacy and Pharmacological Treatment of Diabetes in Older Individuals: A Population-Based Study in Quebec, Canada.

Our objectives were to describe the use of pharmacological treatments in older adults with diabetes and to identify the factors associated with the use of a combination of hypoglycemic, antihypertensive and lipid-lowering agents. Using the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System, we conducted a population-based cohort study among individuals aged 66-75 years with diabetes in 2014-2015. We described the number of medications and the classes of medications used and calculated the proportion of individuals using at least one medication from each of these classes: hypoglycemics, antihypertensives and lipid-lowering agents. We identified the factors associated with the use of this combination of treatments by performing robust Poisson regressions. The 146,710 individuals used an average of 12 (SD 7) different medications, mostly cardiovascular (91.3% of users), hormones, including hypoglycemic agents (84.5%), and central nervous system medications (79.8%). The majority of individuals (59%) were exposed to the combination of treatments and the factor most strongly associated was the presence of cardiovascular comorbidities (RR: 1.29; 99% CI: 1.28-1.31). Older individuals with diabetes are exposed to a large number of medications. While the use of the combination of treatments is significant and could translate into cardiovascular benefits at the population level, the potential risk associated with polypharmacy needs to be documented.

Identifying pediatric diabetes cases from health administrative data: a population-based validation study in Quebec, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Type 1 diabetes is one of the most common chronic diseases in childhood with a worldwide incidence that is increasing by 3-5% per year. The incidence of type 2 diabetes, traditionally viewed as an adult disease, is increasing at alarming rates in children, paralleling the rise in childhood obesity. As the rates of diabetes increase in children, accurate population-based assessment of disease burden is important for those implementing strategies for health services delivery. Health administrative data are a powerful tool that can be used to track disease burden, health services use, and health outcomes. Case validation is essential in ensuring accurate disease identification using administrative databases. AIM: The aim of our study was to define and validate a pediatric diabetes case ascertainment algorithm (including any form of childhood-onset diabetes) using health administrative data. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a two-stage method using linked health administrative data and data extracted from charts. In stage 1, we linked chart data from a large urban region to health administrative data and compared the diagnostic accuracy of various algorithms. We selected those that performed the best to be validated in stage 2. In stage 2, the most accurate algorithms were validated with chart data within two other geographic areas in the province of Quebec. RESULTS: Accurate identification of diabetes in children (ages ≤15 years) required four physician claims or one hospitalization (with International Classification of Disease codes within 1 year (sensitivity 91.2%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 89.2-92.9]; positive predictive value [PPV] 93.5%, 95% CI 91.7-95.0) or using only four physician claims in 2 years (sensitivity 90.4%, 95% CI 88.3-92.2; PPV 93.2%, 95% CI 91.7-95.0). Separating the physician claims by 30 days increased the PPV of all algorithms tested. CONCLUSION: Patients with child-onset diabetes can be accurately identified within health administrative databases providing a valid source of information for health care resource planning and evaluation.

Capturing the spatial variability of noise levels based on a short-term monitoring campaign and comparing noise surfaces against personal exposures collected through a panel study.

Environmental noise can cause important cardiovascular effects, stress and sleep disturbance. The development of appropriate methods to estimate noise exposure within a single urban area remains a challenging task, due to the presence of various transportation noise sources (road, rail, and aircraft). In this study, we developed a land-use regression (LUR) approach using a Generalized Additive Model (GAM) for LAeq (equivalent noise level) to capture the spatial variability of noise levels in Toronto, Canada. Four different model formulations were proposed based on continuous 20-min noise measurements at 92 sites and a leave one out cross-validation (LOOCV). Models where coefficients for variables considered as noise sources were forced to be positive, led to the development of more realistic exposure surfaces. Three different measures were used to assess the models; adjusted R2 (0.44-0.64), deviance (51-72%) and Akaike information criterion (AIC) (469.2-434.6). When comparing exposures derived from the four approaches to personal exposures from a panel study, we observed that all approaches performed very similarly, with values for the Fractional mean bias (FB), normalized mean square error (NMSE), and normalized absolute difference (NAD) very close to 0. Finally, we compared the noise surfaces with data collected from a previous campaign consisting of 1-week measurements at 200 fixed sites in Toronto and observed that the strongest correlations occurred between our predictions and measured noise levels along major roads and highway collectors. Our validation against long-term measurements and panel data demonstrates that manual modifications brought to the models were able to reduce bias in model predictions and achieve a wider range of exposures, comparable with measurement data.

Estimating the health benefits of planned public transit investments in Montreal.

BACKGROUND: Since public transit infrastructure affects road traffic volumes and influences transportation mode choice, which in turn impacts health, it is important to estimate the alteration of the health burden linked with transit policies. OBJECTIVE: We quantified the variation in health benefits and burden between a business as usual (BAU) and a public transit (PT) scenarios in 2031 (with 8 and 19 new subway and train stations) for the greater Montreal region. METHOD: Using mode choice and traffic assignment models, we predicted the transportation mode choice and traffic assignment on the road network. Subsequently, we estimated the distance travelled in each municipality by mode, the minutes spent in active transportation, as well as traffic emissions. Thereafter we estimated the health burden attributed to air pollution and road traumas and the gains associated with active transportation for both the BAU and PT scenarios. RESULTS: We predicted a slight decrease of overall trips and kilometers travelled by car as well as an increase of active transportation for the PT in 2031 vs the BAU. Our analysis shows that new infrastructure will reduce the overall burden of transportation by 2.5 DALYs per 100,000 persons. This decrease is caused by the reduction of road traumas occurring in the inner suburbs and central Montreal region as well as gains in active transportation in the inner suburbs. CONCLUSION: Based on the results of our study, transportation planned public transit projects for Montreal are unlikely to reduce drastically the burden of disease attributable to road vehicles and infrastructures in the Montreal region. The impact of the planned transportation infrastructures seems to be very low and localized mainly in the areas where new public transit stations are planned.

Sleep Disturbance from Road Traffic, Railways, Airplanes and from Total Environmental Noise Levels in Montreal.

The objective of our study was to measure the impact of transportation-related noise and total environmental noise on sleep disturbance for the residents of Montreal, Canada. A telephone-based survey on noise-related sleep disturbance among 4336 persons aged 18 years and over was conducted. LNight for each study participant was estimated using a land use regression (LUR) model. Distance of the respondent's residence to the nearest transportation noise source was also used as an indicator of noise exposure. The proportion of the population whose sleep was disturbed by outdoor environmental noise in the past 4 weeks was 12.4%. The proportion of those affected by road traffic, airplane and railway noise was 4.2%, 1.5% and 1.1%, respectively. We observed an increased prevalence in sleep disturbance for those exposed to both rail and road noise when compared for those exposed to road only. We did not observe an increased prevalence in sleep disturbance for those that were both exposed to road and planes when compared to those exposed to road or planes only. We developed regression models to assess the marginal proportion of sleep disturbance as a function of estimated LNight and distance to transportation noise sources. In our models, sleep disturbance increased with proximity to transportation noise sources (railway, airplane and road traffic) and with increasing LNight values. Our study provides a quantitative estimate of the association between total environmental noise levels estimated using an LUR model and sleep disturbance from transportation noise.