Temporal Trends in Surgical Resection Rates and Biologic Prescribing in Crohn's Disease: A Population-based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The use of biologic therapy for Crohn's disease [CD] continues to evolve, however, the effect of this on the requirement for surgery remains unclear. We assessed changes in biologic prescription and surgery over time in a population-based cohort. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of all 1753 patients diagnosed with CD in Lothian, Scotland, between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2017, reviewing the electronic health record of each patient to identify all CD-related surgery and biologic prescription. Cumulative probability and hazard ratios for surgery and biologic prescription from diagnosis were calculated and compared using the log-rank test and Cox regression analysis stratified by year of diagnosis into cohorts. RESULTS: The 5-year cumulative risk of surgery was 20.4% in cohort 1 [2000-2004],18.3% in cohort 2 [2005-2008], 14.7% in cohort 3 [2009-2013], and 13.0% in cohort 4 [2014-2017] p <0.001. The 5-year cumulative risk of biologic prescription was 5.7% in cohort 1, 12.2% in cohort 2, 22.0% in cohort 3, and 44.9% in cohort 4 p <0.001. CONCLUSIONS: The increased and earlier use of biologic therapy in CD patients corresponded with a decreasing requirement for surgery over time within our cohort. This could mean that adopting a top-down or accelerated step-up treatment strategy may be effective at reducing the requirement for surgery in newly diagnosed CD.

Real-world Effectiveness and Safety of Vedolizumab for the Treatment of Inflammatory Bowel Disease: The Scottish Vedolizumab Cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Vedolizumab is an anti-a4b7 monoclonal antibody that is licensed for the treatment of moderate to severe Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. The aims of this study were to establish the real-world effectiveness and safety of vedolizumab for the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease. METHODS: This was a retrospective study involving seven NHS health boards in Scotland between June 2015 and November 2017. Inclusion criteria included: a diagnosis of ulcerative colitis or Crohn's disease with objective evidence of active inflammation at baseline (Harvey-Bradshaw Index[HBI] ≥5/Partial Mayo ≥2 plus C-reactive protein [CRP] >5 mg/L or faecal calprotectin ≥250 µg/g or inflammation on endoscopy/magnetic resonance imaging [MRI]); completion of induction; and at least one clinical follow-up by 12 months. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to establish 12-month cumulative rates of clinical remission, mucosal healing, and deep remission [clinical remission plus mucosal healing]. Rates of serious adverse events were described quantitatively. RESULTS: Our cohort consisted of 180 patients with ulcerative colitis and 260 with Crohn's disease. Combined median follow-up was 52 weeks (interquartile range [IQR] 26-52 weeks). In ulcerative colitis, 12-month cumulative rates of clinical remission, mucosal healing, and deep remission were 57.4%, 47.3%, and 38.5%, respectively. In Crohn's disease, 12-month cumulative rates of clinical remission, mucosal healing, and deep remission were 58.4%, 38.9%, and 28.3% respectively. The serious adverse event rate was 15.6 per 100 patient-years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Vedolizumab is a safe and effective treatment for achieving both clinical remission and mucosal healing in ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease.

Faecal Calprotectin and Magnetic Resonance Enterography in Ileal Crohn's Disease: Correlations Between Disease Activity and Long-Term Follow-Up.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Magnetic resonance enterography [MRE] is the gold standard for assessing ileal inflammation in Crohn's disease [CD]. The aim of the present study was to correlate faecal calprotectin [FC] to MRE via a simple score in an exclusive ileal cohort with long-term follow-up for association with time to surgery or biologic therapy. METHODS: In total, 150 MRE studies with matched FC [±30 days] were identified from the Edinburgh FC Register [2008-12; n = 18138]. Scans were re-read blinded to clinical data, independently, by two expert gastrointestinal radiologists, to generate a simple MRE score [range 0-10] from assessment of the worst intestinal segment plus total disease extent. RESULTS: In total, 119 MRE scans were evaluated from 104 patients with ileal CD [L1 or L3 with panproctocolectomy]. Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed an area under the curve of 0.77 [0.67-0.87, p < 0.0001] for FC and MRE score >1, with an optimal cut-off of 145 µg/g for severe inflammation on MRE with 69.3% [57.6-79.5] sensitivity and 71.4% [53.7-85.4] specificity. Long-term follow-up over a median [interquartile range] of 2086 days [1786-2353] revealed FC ≥ 145 µg/g was associated with reduced biologic-free survival until 3 years following MRE, whereas MRE score [severe vs absent] was associated with reduced surgery- and biologic-free survival throughout follow-up. Backwards stepwise logistic regression revealed that length of ileal disease (odds ratio [OR] 3.8, 1.1-13.2, p = 0.034) and increased bowel wall thickness at MRE [OR 4.2, 1.6-10.7, p < 0.0001] or female sex [OR 5.2, 1.5-18.7, p = 0.011] increased the risk of biologic use or surgery, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: FC correlates well with MRE assessment of ileal CD with MRE parameters associated with long-term biologic- and surgery-free remission.

Index serum hyaluronic acid independently and accurately predicts mortality in patients with liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Hyaluronic acid is a recognised noninvasive marker of liver fibrosis. However, its prognostic ability has not been extensively studied. AIMS: To investigate the ability of an index serum hyaluronic acid measurement to independently predict transplant-free survival in patients with liver disease of varying aetiology and severity. METHODS: This was a retrospective single-centre cohort study. Serum hyaluronic acid was measured at the discretion of the attending clinicians, in patients attending the liver clinic, to assess disease severity. Patients with a hyaluronic acid measurement between 1995 and 2010 were identified. Patient characteristics at the point of hyaluronic acid measurement were recorded from medical records. Follow-up was from date of index hyaluronic acid measurement to date of death, date of transplant or censor date (July 01, 2015). Primary outcomes were all-cause and liver-related mortality. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare survival in 3 patient groups with hyaluronic acid levels of <100 µg/L, 100-300 µg/L and >300 µg/L. Survival models were constructed using Cox proportional hazard and prediction accuracy was assessed by Harrell's C-statistic. RESULTS: Five hundred and eighty nine patients fulfilled inclusion criteria. Median follow-up was 5.6 years (range 0.1-19.7). Transplant-free survival was significantly different between patients with hyaluronic acid <100 µg/L, 100-300 µg/L and >300 µg/L for liver-related as well as all-cause mortality (P < 0.001). Hyaluronic acid level was an independent predictor of survival (liver-related: HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.20-1.60, P < 0.001; all-cause: HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.06, P = 0.001). The liver-related prediction accuracy of hyaluronic acid was 0.74 (Standard error 0.03). CONCLUSION: Index hyaluronic acid measurement can accurately and independently predict liver-related and all-cause mortality in patients with liver disease.