The influence of physical activity on vascular complications and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

AIMS: There is limited evidence regarding the association between physical activity and vascular complications, particularly microvascular disease, in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: From the 11 140 patients in the ADVANCE (Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease: Preterax and Diamicron modified release Controlled Evaluation) trial, the effect of physical activity, categorized as none, mild, moderate or vigorous, and the number of sessions within a week, was examined in multivariable regression models adjusted for potential confounders. The study end-points were major cardiovascular events, microvascular complications and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Forty-six percent of participants reported undertaking moderate to vigorous physical activity for >15 min at least once in the previous week. During a median of 5 years of follow-up, 1031 patients died, 1147 experienced a major cardiovascular event and 1136 a microvascular event. Compared to patients who undertook no or mild physical activity, those reporting moderate to vigorous activity had a decreased risk of cardiovascular events (HR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.69-0.88, p < 0.0001), microvascular events (HR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.76-0.96, p = 0.010) and all-cause mortality (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.73-0.94, p = 0.0044). CONCLUSIONS: Moderate to vigorous, but not mild, physical activity is associated with a reduced incidence of cardiovascular events, microvascular complications and all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Resting heart rate and the risk of death and cardiovascular complications in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: An association between resting heart rate and mortality has been described in the general population and in patients with cardiovascular disease. There are, however, few data exploring this relationship in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. The current study addresses this issue. METHODS: The relationship between baseline resting heart rate and all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death and major cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or non-fatal stroke) was examined in 11,140 patients who participated in the Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease: Preterax and Diamicron Modified Release Controlled Evaluation (ADVANCE) Study. RESULTS: A higher resting heart rate was associated with a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (fully adjusted HR 1.15 per 10 bpm [95% CI 1.08, 1.21], p<0.001), cardiovascular death and major cardiovascular outcomes without adjustment and after adjusting for age and sex and multiple covariates. The increased risk associated with a higher baseline resting heart rate was most obvious in patients with previous macrovascular complications (fully adjusted HR for death 1.79 for upper [mean 91 bpm] vs lowest [mean 58 bpm] fifth of resting heart rate in this subgroup [95% CI 1.28, 2.50], p = .001). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Among patients with type 2 diabetes, a higher resting heart rate is associated with an increased risk of death and cardiovascular complications. It remains unclear whether a higher heart rate directly mediates the increased risk or is a marker for other factors that determine a poor outcome.

Metabolic syndrome, impaired fasting glucose and obesity, as predictors of incident diabetes in 14 120 hypertensive patients of ASCOT-BPLA: comparison of their relative predictability using a novel approach.

AIMS: To evaluate, in hypertensive patients, whether the metabolic syndrome is a better predictor of new-onset diabetes compared with impaired fasting glucose, obesity or its other individual components alone, or collectively. METHODS: Cox models were developed to assess the risk of new-onset diabetes associated with the metabolic syndrome after adjusting for a priori confounders (age, sex, ethnicity and concomitant use of non-cardiovascular medications), its individual components and other determinants of new-onset diabetes. Area under receiver operator curves using the metabolic syndrome or models of impaired fasting glucose were compared, and the ability of these models to correctly identify those who (after 5-years of follow-up) would or would not develop diabetes was assessed. RESULTS: The metabolic syndrome adjusted for a priori confounders and its individual components, and further adjusted for other determinants, was associated with significantly increased risk of new-onset diabetes [1.19 (1.00-1.40), P = 0.05 and 1.22 (1.03-1.44), P = 0.02, respectively]. The discriminative ability of the metabolic syndrome model [area under receiver operating curve: 0.764 (0.750-0.778)] was significantly better than the model of impaired fasting glucose [0.742 (0.727-0.757)] (P < 0.001). The metabolic syndrome correctly allocates the risk of new-onset diabetes in a significantly higher proportion of patients (62.3%) than impaired fasting glucose status (37.7%) (P < 0.001). The presence of both the metabolic syndrome and impaired fasting glucose were associated with an approximately 9-fold (7.47-10.45) increased risk of new-onset diabetes. Among normoglycaemic patients, the metabolic syndrome was also associated with significantly increased risk of new-onset diabetes, after adjusting for BMI and a priori confounders [1.66 (1.29-2.13)]. CONCLUSIONS: Both impaired fasting glucose and the metabolic syndrome predict the risk of new-onset diabetes; however, the metabolic syndrome is a better predictor than impaired fasting glucose in assigning the risk of new-onset diabetes in hypertensive patients, and among those with normoglycaemia.

The economic consequences of non-adherence to lipid-lowering therapy: results from the Anglo-Scandinavian-Cardiac Outcomes Trial.

BACKGROUND: Adherence to lipid-lowering therapy in clinical practice is less than ideal. Analysis of registry data has indicated that this is associated with poor outcomes. The objective of the present analysis was to assess the impact of high adherence to drug (defined as > 80% of days covered), compared with low adherence to drug (< 50% of days covered) in terms of risk of events and long-term economic consequences. DESIGN: Open-label follow up of a randomised placebo-controlled trial in hypertensive patients. METHODS: Cox proportional hazards and Poisson regression models were used to assess the hazard ratio of patients with high adherence compared with low adherence while controlling for cardiovascular risk. A Markov model was used to predict the long-term costs and health outcomes associated with poor adherence during the follow-up period. RESULTS: Both statistical models indicated that high adherence is associated with improved prognosis [Cox model: 0.75; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.56-0.98, Poisson model hazard ratio: 0.73; 95% CI: 0.58-0.98]. Discounted at 3.5% per year, the Markov model predicts that as a consequence of higher adherence during the follow-up period, costs would be higher (1689 pounds per patient compared with 1323 pounds per patient) because of higher drug costs, but the projected survival and quality-adjusted survival (QALY) would also be longer (10.83 compared with 10.81 life years and 8.13 compared with 8.11 QALYs). CONCLUSION: Given the higher risk of cardiovascular events associated with low adherence shown here, measures to improve adherence are an important part of the prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Effects of HIV status and antiretroviral therapy on blood pressure.

OBJECTIVE: High blood pressure is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease and concerns have been raised over its possible association with antiretroviral drugs. The objective of this study was to explore the associations among blood pressure, HIV status and two predefined highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) regimens: treatment with and without nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) (NNRTI- and non-NNRTI-based HAART). METHOD: A cross-sectional survey was conducted among 612 adults attending the Sexual Health Outpatient Department at St Mary's NHS Hospital Trust, London. RESULTS: HIV-infected patients treated with NNRTIs had a blood pressure that was 4.6/4.2 mmHg higher than those who were HIV positive but treatment naïve. The diastolic difference remained statistically significant after adjusting for potential confounders of this association (2.4 mmHg; P=0.03). There was no difference in blood pressure between those treated with non-NNRTI-based regimens and those who were HIV positive but treatment naïve. CONCLUSION: NNRTIs may be associated with an increase in blood pressure. Pending further more robust evidence from randomized clinical trials it would be prudent for clinicians to monitor blood pressure in all HIV-infected patients, particularly after initiating treatment with NNRTIs, and to commence antihypertensive therapy whenever appropriate.

Determinants of new-onset diabetes among 19,257 hypertensive patients randomized in the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial--Blood Pressure Lowering Arm and the relative influence of antihypertensive medication.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the baseline predictors of new-onset diabetes (NOD) in hypertensive patients and to develop a risk score to identify those at high risk of NOD. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Among 19,257 hypertensive patients in the Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial-Blood Pressure Lowering Arm (ASCOT-BPLA) who were randomly assigned to receive one of two antihypertensive regimens (atenolol +/- thiazide or amlodipine +/- perindopril), 14,120 were at risk of developing diabetes at baseline. Of these, 1,366 (9.7%) subsequently developed NOD during median follow-up of 5.5 years. A multivariate Cox model was developed to identify the independent predictors of NOD and individual risk scores. RESULTS: NOD was significantly associated with an increase in baseline fasting plasma glucose (FPG), BMI, serum triglycerides, and systolic blood pressure. In contrast, amlodipine +/- perindopril in comparison with atenolol +/- thiazide treatment (hazard ratio 0.66 [95% CI 0.59-0.74]), high HDL cholesterol, alcohol use, and age >55 years were found to be significantly protective factors. FPG was the most powerful predictor with risk increasing by 5.8 times (95% CI 5.23-6.43) for each millimole per liter rise >5 mmol/l. The risk of NOD increased steadily with increasing quartile of risk score, with a 19-fold increase (95% CI 14.3-25.4) among those in the highest compared with those in the lowest quartile. The model showed excellent internal validity and discriminative ability. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline FPG >5 mmol/l, BMI, and use of an atenolol +/- diuretic regimen were among the major determinants of NOD in hypertensive patients. The model developed from these data allows accurate prediction of NOD among hypertensive subjects.

Economic evaluation of ASCOT-BPLA: antihypertensive treatment with an amlodipine-based regimen is cost effective compared with an atenolol-based regimen.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the cost effectiveness of an amlodipine-based strategy and an atenolol-based strategy in the treatment of hypertension in the UK and Sweden. DESIGN: A prospective, randomised trial complemented with a Markov model to assess long-term costs and health effects. SETTING: Primary care. PATIENTS: Patients with moderate hypertension and three or more additional risk factors. INTERVENTIONS: Amlodipine 5-10 mg with perindopril 4-8 mg added as needed or atenolol 50-100 mg with bendroflumethiazide 1.25-2.5 mg and potassium added as needed MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cost per cardiovascular event and procedure avoided, and cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained. RESULTS: In the UK, the cost to avoid one cardiovascular event or procedure would be euro18 965, and the cost to gain one quality-adjusted life-year would be euro21 875. The corresponding figures for Sweden were euro13 210 and euro16 856. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with the thresholds applied by NICE and in the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare's Guidelines for Cardiac Care, an amlodipine-based regimen is cost effective for the treatment of hypertension compared with an atenolol-based regimen in the population studied.

Lipid levels and the use of lipid-lowering agents in England and Scotland.

OBJECTIVE: Preventing cardiovascular events with lipid-lowering drugs has been established in several trials reported since 1994. Consequently national guidelines recommend statins for those with established cardiovascular disease (CVD) and those at high risk of developing CVD. We evaluated blood lipid levels, and compare treatment and control of dyslipidaemia in English and Scottish adults with national recommendations for lipid lowering. DESIGN AND METHODS: In 1998 the nationally-representative Health Survey for England and the Scottish Health Survey included valid cholesterol results for 9631 (England) and 6065 (Scotland) adults aged 16-74. Mean blood levels of total, high-density lipoproteins (HDL-), and total:HDL-cholesterol ratio; prevalence of elevated total cholesterol levels, and total:HDL-cholesterol ratios; prevalence of use of lipid-lowering agents in high risk subgroups; and lipid levels of those on treatment were calculated. RESULTS: Levels of dyslipidaemia, treatment and control were not significantly different between Scotland and England. Combining these data, mean total cholesterol levels were 5.43 and 5.48 mmol/l in men and women respectively; and mean HDL-cholesterol levels were 1.29 and 1.56 mmol/l. Overall 64.6% of adults had a total cholesterol > or =5 mmol/l, 24.6% had a total:HDL ratio > or =5 and 2.3% reported taking lipid-lowering drugs. Treatment rates among those with a total cholesterol >5 mmol/l and a history of coronary heart disease or stroke, hypertension, or diabetes, were 27.3%, 15.4% and 17.8% respectively, and control rates (total cholesterol <5 mmol/l) among those treated were 45.3%, 38.5% and 32.7%. CONCLUSIONS: Low treatment rates with lipid-lowering drugs existed overall, among high-risk patients suitable for primary prevention, and among those with established cardiovascular disease.

Better blood pressure control: how to combine drugs.

Prospective comparisons of different drug classes have shown that differences in blood pressure control, rather than differences between drug classes, have the over-riding influence on overall outcome. The same studies have also reinforced the need, in the majority of patients, to use combinations of drugs in order to achieve the target of <140/85 mmHg. By contrast, most patients in routine practice receive single agents and consequently fail to achieve target blood pressure. This failure reflects in part the emphasis in individual studies and subsequent guidelines on comparison of individual drugs. In this article we show how the consistency of both theory and a broad range of evidence permits a didactic approach to combination therapy. Our advice is based on the growing recognition that essential hypertension and its treatment fall into two main categories. Younger Caucasians usually have renin-dependent hypertension that responds well to angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibition or angiotensin receptor blockade (A) or ss blockade (B). Most other patients have low-renin hypertension that responds better to calcium channel blockade (C) or diuretics (D). These latter drugs activate the renin system rendering patients responsive to the addition of renin suppressive therapy. Coincidence of the initials of these main drug classes with the first four letters of the alphabet permits an AB/CD rule, according to which recommended combinations are one drug from each of the "AB" and "CD" categories of drugs. However, the diabetogenic potential of the older "B" and "D" classes leads us to advise against combining "B" and "D" in older patients, and to recommend "A" + "C" + "D" as standard triple therapy for resistant hypertension.

Effects of blood pressure lowering with amlodipine or lisinopril on vascular structure of the common carotid artery.

Increased intima-media thickness of the common carotid artery predicts increased risk of myocardial infarction and stroke. Preliminary evidence suggests that a decrease in blood pressure (BP) is associated with diminished wall thickness. It is not known if all classes of anti-hypertensive agents have similar protective effects. In this double-blind parallel-group clinical trial, 69 previously untreated patients with hypertension were allocated randomly to 1 year of treatment with either amlodipine (5-10 mg daily) or lisinopril (5-20 mg daily). Doxazosin and bendrofluazide were added if required to achieve BP control. After 12 months of treatment, clinic BP, ambulatory BP and cardiac mass were reduced similarly by the two treatment regimens. Common carotid artery intima-media thickness decreased by 0.048 mm (95% confidence intervals -0.066, -0.031 mm) in the amlodipine-treated group, but decreased by only 0.027 mm (-0.046, -0.007 mm) in the lisinopril-treated group (P<0.05 for difference between treatments). Common carotid artery lumen diameter declined significantly only in patients treated with lisinopril [amlodipine, -0.02 mm (-0.14, 0.10 mm); lisinopril, -0.21 mm (-0.32, -0.11 mm); P<0.02], while intima-media area declined similarly in the two treatment groups [amlodipine -1.32 mm(2) (-1.91, -0.74 mm(2)), lisinopril -1.26 mm(2) (-1.80, -0.72 mm(2)); not significant]. The results confirm that a decrease in BP causes regression of structural changes in the carotid artery in hypertensive patients. The nature of the structural regression differed markedly between the two treatment regimens, in spite of similar decreases in BP. The calcium channel blocker induced greater regression of common carotid artery intima-media thickness than the angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor. However, carotid artery wall mass, as indicated by intima-media area, was reduced to a similar extent by the two treatments. It remains to be established whether such differences confer a prognostic advantage.

Improved hypertension management and control: results from the health survey for England 1998.

A survey in 1994 showed that among the 20% of the adult English population who were identified as hypertensive, approximately 30% had their blood pressures controlled to <160 mm Hg systolic and <95 mm Hg diastolic. The 1998 Health Survey for England data update the 1994 findings in light of new thresholds and targets for treatment outlined in recent national and international guidelines. This cross-sectional survey is analyzed to describe the prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension in a random, nationally representative sample of 11 529 English adults (>/=16 years) living in noninstitutional households in 1998 and to compare these rates with those from 1994. In 1998, 20% and 37% of adults were hypertensive according to the old (systolic >/=160 mm Hg or diastolic >/=95 mm Hg) and new (systolic >/=140 mm Hg or diastolic >/=90 mm Hg) definitions, respectively. Corresponding values in 1994 were 20% and 38%. Treatment and control rates among hypertensive adults (new definition) improved from 26% to 32% and from 6% to 9%, respectively, although 60% of those on treatment received only 1 antihypertensive drug in both years. Among persons with controlled hypertension, 59% reported having received nonpharmacological advice from their physicians in 1998 compared with 30% in 1994. Rates of hypertension treatment and control have increased significantly (P=0.05 and P<0.01, respectively) since 1994 but remain low by international standards. The 1998 data suggest that improved detection, greater use of nonpharmacological measures, and increased use of >1 antihypertensive agent per patient would produce greater success in achieving target levels. This could lead to major reductions in fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events.