Socioeconomic inequalities in health outcomes among Thai older population in the era of Universal Health Coverage: trends and decomposition analysis.

BACKGROUND: Thailand's Universal Health Coverage (UHC) has been achieved since 2002 when the entire population are covered by three main public health security schemes: (1) Civil Servant Medical Benefit Scheme (CSMBS); (2) Social Security Scheme (SSS); and (3) Universal Coverage Scheme (UCS). Citizens have access to healthcare services at all life stages and are protected from catastrophic expenditure and medical impoverishment. However, there are health inequalities in both health outcomes and access to healthcare among older Thais. This study aims to: (1) assess the degrees of socioeconomic inequalities in health outcomes among the older Thai population during the period of Thailand's UHC implementation (2003-2019), and (2) explain socioeconomic inequalities in health outcomes through decomposition of the contributions made by Thailand's UHC policy and other health determinants. METHODS: Data sets come from a four-year series of the National Health and Welfare Survey (HWS) between 2003 and 2019. The health outcome of interest was obtained from the Thai EQ-5D index. The Erreygers' concentration index (CI) was used to calculate the socioeconomic inequality in health outcomes. Multivariate methods were employed to decompose inequalities. RESULTS: Findings indicated Thai older adults (aged 50 and older) are healthier during the UHC implementation. Better health outcomes remain concentrated among the wealthier groups (pro-rich inequality). However, the degree of socioeconomic inequalities in health outcomes significantly declined by almost a factor-of-three (from CI = 0.061 in 2003 to CI = 0.024 in 2019) after the roll-out of the UHC. Decomposed results reported that Thailand's UHC, urban residence, and household wealth were major contributors in explaining pro-rich inequalities in health outcomes among Thai older adults. CONCLUSIONS: Older persons in Thailand have better health while health inequalities between the rich and the poor have substantially decreased. However, there is inequalities in health outcomes within all three national health security schemes in Thailand. Minimizing differences between schemes continues to be a crucial cornerstone to tackling health inequalities among the older population. At the same time, making Thailand's UHC sustainable is necessary through preparing financial sustainability and developing health resources to better serve an ageing society.

Reliable mortality statistics in Myanmar: a qualitative assessment of challenges in two townships.

BACKGROUND: The vital registration system is universally recognized as the main source of mortality data which is essential for policy formulation, proper interventions and resource allocation to address priority health challenges. To improve availability and quality of mortality statistics by strengthening the vital registration system, understanding the current vital registration system is essential. This study identified challenges in generating reliable mortality statistics in the vital registration system of Myanmar. METHODS: Qualitative methods were used to collect data in two selected townships of Mandalay Region. Grey literature related to the management of mortality registration was reviewed; in-depth interviews of sixteen key informants and fourteen focus group discussions were conducted with those involved in death registration at the local level, such as healthcare providers, local administrators and knowledgeable adults in households where deaths occurred during the past three years. Thematic analysis was performed to identify system barriers in the death registration process. RESULTS: Weaknesses in the death registration system are classified in three areas: a) administrative which includes the lack of enforcement of mandatory death registration, limited issuance of death certificates and no formal mandatory notification of death events by households and; b) technical which includes absence of proper and regular on-the-job trainings, ineffective cause-of-death certification practice for deaths in the communities and the absence of routine data plausibility checks at the local level; and c) societal which includes poor community awareness and inadequate participation in death registration. CONCLUSION: The study highlighted challenges in the death registration system at the operational level, which undermines the achievement of a satisfactory level of completeness and accuracy of mortality data. We recommend establishing a strong legal framework, improving technical capacities and raising public awareness and cooperation to strengthen the system that can generate reliable mortality statistics.

A workplace intervention program and the increase in HIV knowledge, perceived accessibility and use of condoms among young factory workers in Thailand.

Vulnerability to Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) infection among factory workers is a global problem. This study investigated the effectiveness of an intervention to increase AIDS knowledge, perceived accessibility to condoms and condom use among young factory workers in Thailand. The intervention was a workplace program designed to engage the private sector in HIV prevention. A cross-sectional survey conducted in 2008 to measure program outcomes in factories in Thailand was used in this study. The workplace intervention included the development of policies for management of HIV-positive employees, training sessions for managers and workers, and distribution of educational materials and condoms. A multi-level analysis was used to investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS prevention program components at the workplace on HIV/AIDS knowledge, perceived accessibility to condoms and condom use with regular sexual partners among 699 young factory workers (aged 18-24 years), controlling for their individual socio-demographic characteristics. Interventions related to the management and services component including workplace AIDS policy formulation, condom services programs and behavioral change campaigns were found to be significantly related to increased AIDS knowledge, perceived accessibility to condoms and condom use with regular partners. The effect of the HIV/AIDS training for managers, peer leaders and workers was positive but not statistically significant. With some revision of program components, scaling up of workplace interventions and the engagement of the private sector in HIV prevention should be seriously considered.

Myanmar mortality registration: an assessment for system improvement.

BACKGROUND: The vital registration system in Myanmar has a long history and geographical coverage is currently high. However, a recent assessment of vital registration systems of 148 countries showed poor performance of the death registration system in Myanmar, suggesting the need for improvement. This study assessed the quality of mortality data generated from the vital registration system with regard to mortality levels and patterns, quality of cause of death data, and completeness of death registration in order to identify areas for improvement. METHODS: The study used registered deaths in 2013 from the vital registration system, data from the 2014 Myanmar Population and Housing Census, and mortality indicators and COD information for the country estimated by international organizations. The study applied the guidelines recommended by AbouZahr et al. 2010 to assess mortality levels and patterns and quality of cause of death data. The completeness of death registration was assessed by a simple calculation based on the estimated number of deaths. RESULTS: Findings suggested that the completeness of death registration was critically low (less than 60%). The under-registration was more severe in rural areas, in states and regions with difficult transportation and poor accessibility to health centers and for infant and child deaths. The quality of cause of death information was poor, with possible over-reporting of non-communicable disease codes and a high proportion of ill-defined causes of death (22.3% of total deaths). CONCLUSION: The results indicated that the vital registration system in Myanmar does not produce reliable mortality statistics. In response to monitoring mortalities as mandated by the Sustainable Development Goals, a significant and sustained government commitment and investment in strengthening the vital registration system in Myanmar is recommended.

Climate Shocks and Migration: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach.

This is a study of migration responses to climate shocks. We construct an agent-based model that incorporates dynamic linkages between demographic behaviors, such as migration, marriage, and births, and agriculture and land use, which depend on rainfall patterns. The rules and parameterization of our model are empirically derived from qualitative and quantitative analyses of a well-studied demographic field site, Nang Rong district, Northeast Thailand. With this model, we simulate patterns of migration under four weather regimes in a rice economy: 1) a reference, 'normal' scenario; 2) seven years of unusually wet weather; 3) seven years of unusually dry weather; and 4) seven years of extremely variable weather. Results show relatively small impacts on migration. Experiments with the model show that existing high migration rates and strong selection factors, which are unaffected by climate change, are likely responsible for the weak migration response.

From whom do older persons prefer support? The case of rural Thailand.

This study explores rural elderly preferences for support across a multi-dimensional measure of elderly care needs. Applying a framework developed in the U.S. to Thailand for the first time, five diverse types of support are considered: meal preparation, personal care, transportation, financial support, and emotional support. The emphasis is on preferences for care and not actual care received. The data are from focus group discussions conducted in seven villages in Nang Rong district, northeastern Thailand. Thailand and the study site represent the social and economic conditions faced by many rapidly industrializing places-where there has been a dramatic demographic transition (lowered fertility and substantial out-migration), growing numbers of older persons remaining in rural settings, and limited publically-financed elderly care or market-based elder care available for purchase. For this study, in each village, male and female older persons aged 60 and over participated in the focus group discussions. As part of the discussion, focus group participants were asked to rank their first four preferences by type of support. Male and female older persons' preferences were slightly different for genderized tasks. In addition, social closeness and geographical proximity mattered. Traditional matrilocal residence patterns contributed to the perceptions of the older persons. Neighbors were preferred when kin were not available. Preferences inform strategic choices by older persons given the context of available resources. Understanding preferences and strategic choices among the older persons can help policy makers tailor programs more effectively and efficiently, without jeopardizing elderly well-being.

Changes in active life expectancy among older thais: results from the 1997 and 2004 national health examination surveys.

This study aims to determine the disability prevalence and changes in active life expectancy of the Thai older people between 1997 and 2004. Data on disability of older people aged ≥60 years were obtained from the National Health Examination Surveys. Disability refers to one or more restrictions on the activities of daily living. The Sullivan method was used to calculate active life expectancy. A total of 4048 older people in 1997 and 19 372 older people in 2004 were included in the analysis. Active life expectancy at age 60 of men was 16.5 years in 1997 and 17.6 years in 2004, whereas that of women was 17.9 and 19.9 years, respectively. Women spent a greater proportion of the remaining life with disability. The proportion of active life for both genders also increased during the 7-year period suggesting an evidence of the compression of morbidity in Thai older people.

Under-registration of deaths in Thailand in 2005-2006: results of cross-matching data from two sources.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the magnitude of under-registration of deaths, by age and sex, in Thailand. METHODS: THE DATA IN THIS STUDY WERE DERIVED FROM TWO SOURCES: the Thai Survey of Population Changes (SPC) 2005-2006, a consecutive multi-round household survey conducted over a 12-month period, and Thailand's vital registration records. SPC death entries for people of all ages were matched to 2005-2006 death records from vital registration. The principles of a dual records system were applied to estimate the magnitude of under-registration of deaths, classified by age and sex, using the Chandrasekaran-Deming formula. FINDINGS: Overall under-registration of deaths during 2005-2006 was 9.00% (95% confidence interval, CI: 8.95-9.05) for males and 8.36% (95% CI: 8.31-8.41) for females. For both males and females, under-registration decreased as age increased. Under-registration was greatest among people of either sex aged 1-4 years, whereas it was < 10% among people 60 years of age and older, both males and females. CONCLUSION: These findings provided correction factors that can be used for adjusting mortality data from the registration system.

Obesity and mortality among older Thais: a four year follow up study.

BACKGROUND: To assess the association of body mass index with mortality in a population-based setting of older people in Thailand. METHODS: Baseline data from the National Health Examination Survey III (NHES III) conducted in 2004 was linked to death records from vital registration for 2004-2007. Complete information regarding body mass index (BMI) (n = 15997) and mortality data were separately analysed by sex. The Cox Proportional Hazard Model was used to test the association between BMI and all-cause mortality controlling for demographic, socioeconomic, and health risk factors. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up time of 3.8 years (60545.8 person-years), a total of 1575 older persons, (936 men and 639 women) had died. A U-shaped and reverse J-shaped of association between BMI and all-cause mortality were observed in men and women, respectively. However there was no significant increased risk in the higher BMI categories. Compared to those with BMI 18.5-22.9 kg/m2, the adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of all-cause mortality for those with BMI <18.5, 23.0-24.9, 25.0-27.4, 27.5-29.9, 30.0-34.9, and ≥35.0 were 1.34 (95% CI, 1.14-1.58), 0.79 (95% CI, 0.65-0.97), 0.81 (95% CI, 0.65-1.00), 0.67 (95% CI, 0.48-0.94), 0.60 (95% CI, 0.35-1.03), and 1.87 (95% CI, 0.77-4.56), respectively, for men, and were 1.29 (95% CI,1.04-1.60), 0.70 (95% CI, 0.55-0.90), 0.79 (95% CI, 0.62-1.01), 0.57 (95% CI, 0.41-0.81), 0.58 (95% CI, 0.39-0.87), and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.38-1.59), respectively, for women. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study support the obesity paradox phenomenon in older Thai people, especially in women. Improvement in quality of mortality data and further investigation to confirm such association are needed in this population.

Correlates of unintended pregnancy among currently pregnant married women in Nepal.

BACKGROUND: Women living in every country, irrespective of its development status, have been facing the problem of unintended pregnancy. Unintended pregnancy is an important public health issue in both developing and developed countries because of its negative association with the social and health outcomes for both mothers and children. This study aims to determine the prevalence and the factors influencing unintended pregnancy among currently pregnant married women in Nepal. METHODS: This paper reports on data drawn from Nepal Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS) which is a nationally representative survey. The analysis is restricted to currently pregnant married women at the time of survey. Association between unintended pregnancy and the explanatory variables was assessed in bivariate analysis using Chi-square tests. Logistic regression was used to assess the net effect of several independent variables on unintended pregnancy. RESULTS: More than two-fifth of the currently pregnant women (41%) reported that their current pregnancy was unintended. The results indicate that age of women, age at first marriage, ideal number of children, religion, exposure to radio and knowledge of family planning methods were key predictors of unintended pregnancy. Experience of unintended pregnancy augments with women's age (odds ratio, 1.11). Similarly, increase in the women's age at first marriage reduces the likelihood of unintended pregnancy (odds ratio, 0.93). Those who were exposed to the radio were less likely (odds ratio, 0.63) to have unintended pregnancy compared to those who were not. Furthermore, those women who had higher level of knowledge about family planning methods were less likely to experience unintended pregnancy (odds ratio, 0.60) compared to those having lower level of knowledge. CONCLUSION: One of the important factors contributing to high level of maternal and infant mortality is unintended pregnancy. Programs should aim to reduce unintended pregnancy by focusing on all these identified factors so that infant and maternal mortality and morbidity as well as the need for abortion are decreased and the overall well-being of the family is maintained and enhanced.

Measuring housing quality in the absence of a monetized real estate market.

Measuring housing quality or value or both has been a weak component of demographic and development research in less developed countries that lack an active real estate (housing) market. We describe a new method based on a standardized subjective rating process. It is designed to be used in settings that do not have an active, monetized housing market. The method is applied in an ongoing longitudinal study in north-east Thailand and could be straightforwardly used in many other settings. We develop a conceptual model of the process whereby households come to reside in high-quality or low-quality housing units. We use this theoretical model in conjunction with longitudinal data to show that the new method of measuring housing quality behaves as theoretically expected, thus providing evidence of face validity.

Epidemiologic transition interrupted: a reassessment of mortality trends in Thailand, 1980-2000.

BACKGROUND: In the late 1980s and early 1990s a generalized HIV epidemic affected Thailand which was relatively well controlled by an intensive national campaign by the mid 1990s. The extent to which the epidemic has slowed or possibly reversed the epidemiological transition in Thailand is relatively unknown. METHODS: Under-five mortality rates (U5MR) were determined from various sources and weighted least squares regression conducted to determine U5MR over the years 1980-2000. Direct and indirect estimates of the completeness of death registration were used to estimate mortality levels in those aged more than 5 years for the 1980-90 and 1990-2000 periods. Life tables were constructed using the various estimates to determine changes in life-expectancy between the two time periods. RESULTS: U5MR in Thailand is estimated to have been 58/1000 live births in 1980, declining to 30 in 1990 and to 23 in 2000. The vital registration system clearly underestimates U5MR. Successive surveys of Population Change (SPC) imply coverage of death registration improving from 75-77% in 1985-86 to 95% in 1995-96, partly due to a reliance on self-reported registration in the latter survey. In contrast, the General Growth Balance-Synthetic Extinction Generations (GGB-SEG) method suggests coverage worsening from 78-85% in 1980-90 to 64-72% in 1990-2000. Life tables based on SPC adjustments show continued declines in female, and to a lesser extent, male adult mortality with corresponding increases in life-expectancy at birth of around 6 years for both sexes from 1980-90 to 1990-2000. In contrast, the indirect adjustments suggest a substantial increase in male adult mortality with female adult mortality unchanged; life expectancy decreased by 4 years for males and was only marginally higher in females. CONCLUSION: Given the conflicting evidence a definitive assessment of mortality change in Thailand between 1980 and 2000 is difficult to make. Indirect adjustments, based on demographic methods point to a major reversal in mortality decline among males, and a slowing in females. If adult mortality registration has declined, and given the continued under-registration of infant and child deaths, remedial measures are urgently required if the mortality system is to better inform and monitor health development in Thailand.

The completeness of death registration in Thailand: Evidence from demographic surveillance system of the Kanchanaburi Project.

This study aims to assess the quality of mortality data from the registration system of Thailand. The study takes advantage of the Kanchanaburi Project by comparing the deaths found in the annual censuses to those recorded in the civil registration system in order to measure the level of under-registration. The age and sex pattern of death registration found in this study might be useful information in adjusting the data from this source. Moreover, this study also pointed out a possible gap between the multiple steps of death registration, from notifying the death to officially registering it. This finding suggested a hypothesis to be further tested.