La dramática pérdida de potencia estadística al dicotomizar variables continuas / The dramatic loss of statistical power when dichotomising continuous variables

Una práctica muy habitual en la investigación médica, durante el proceso de análisis de los datos, es dicotomizar variables numéricas en dos grupos. Dicha práctica conlleva la pérdida de información muy útil que puede restar eficacia a la investigación. A través de varios ejemplos, se muestra cómo con la dicotomización de variables numéricas los estudios pierden potencia estadística. Esto puede ser un aspecto crítico que impida valorar, por ejemplo, si un procedimiento terapéutico es más efectivo o si un determinado factor es de riesgo. Por tanto, se recomienda no dicotomizar las variables continuas si no existe un motivo muy concreto para ello. (AU)

Abstract. A very common practice in medical research, during the process of data analysis, is to dichotomise numerical variables in two groups. This leads to the loss of very useful information that can undermine the effectiveness of the research. Several examples are used to show how the dichotomisation of numerical variables can lead to a loss of statistical power in studies. This can be a critical aspect in assessing, for example, whether a therapeutic procedure is more effective or whether a certain factor is a risk factor. Dichotomising continuous variables is therefore not recommended unless there is a very specific reason to do so. (AU)

El mito del tamaño de la muestra / The sample size myth

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Ovarian Hormone-Dependent Effects of Dietary Lipids on APP/PS1 Mouse Brain.

The formation of senile plaques through amyloid-ß peptide (Aß) aggregation is a hallmark of Alzheimer's disease (AD). Irrespective of its actual role in the synaptic alterations and cognitive impairment associated with AD, different therapeutic approaches have been proposed to reduce plaque formation. In rodents, daily intake of omega-3 (n-3) long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (LC-PUFAs) is required for neural development, and there is experimental and epidemiological evidence that their inclusion in the diet has positive effects on several neurodegenerative diseases. Similarly, estradiol appears to reduce senile plaque formation in primary mouse cell cultures, human cortical neurons and mouse AD models, and it prevents Aß toxicity in neural cell lines. We previously showed that differences in dietary n-6/n-3 LC-PUFAs ratios modify the lipid composition in the cerebral cortex of female mice and the levels of amyloid precursor protein (APP) in the brain. These effects depended in part on the presence of circulating estradiol. Here we explored whether this potentially synergistic action between diet and ovarian hormones may influence the progression of amyloidosis in an AD mouse model. Our results show that a diet with high n-3 LC-PUFA content, especially DHA (22:6n-3), reduces the hippocampal accumulation of Aß1 - 4 0, but not amyloid Aß1 - 42 in female APPswe/PS1 E9A mice, an effect that was counteracted by the loss of the ovaries and that depended on circulating estradiol. In addition, this interaction between dietary lipids and ovarian function also affects the composition of the brain lipidome as well as the expression of certain neuronal signaling and synaptic proteins. These findings provide new insights into how ovarian hormones and dietary composition affect the brain lipidome and amyloid burden. Furthermore, they strongly suggest that when designing dietary or pharmacological strategies to combat human neurodegenerative diseases, hormonal and metabolic status should be specifically taken into consideration as it may affect the therapeutic response.

Ovarian Function Modulates the Effects of Long-Chain Polyunsaturated Fatty Acids on the Mouse Cerebral Cortex.

Different dietary ratios of n-6/n-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (LC-PUFAs) may alter brain lipid profile, neural activity, and brain cognitive function. To determine whether ovarian hormones influence the effect of diet on the brain, ovariectomized and sham-operated mice continuously treated with placebo or estradiol were fed for 3 months with diets containing low or high n-6/n-3 LC-PUFA ratios. The fatty acid (FA) profile and expression of key neuronal proteins were analyzed in the cerebral cortex, with intact female mice on standard diet serving as internal controls of brain lipidome composition. Diets containing different concentrations of LC-PUFAs greatly modified total FAs, sphingolipids, and gangliosides in the cerebral cortex. Some of these changes were dependent on ovarian hormones, as they were not detected in ovariectomized animals, and in the case of complex lipids, the effect of ovariectomy was partially or totally reversed by continuous administration of estradiol. However, even though differential dietary LC-PUFA content modified the expression of neuronal proteins such as synapsin and its phosphorylation level, PSD-95, amyloid precursor protein (APP), or glial proteins such as glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), an effect also dependent on the presence of the ovary, chronic estradiol treatment was unable to revert the dietary effects on brain cortex synaptic proteins. These results suggest that, in addition to stable estradiol levels, other ovarian hormones such as progesterone and/or cyclic ovarian secretory activity could play a physiological role in the modulation of dietary LC-PUFAs on the cerebral cortex, which may have clinical implications for post-menopausal women on diets enriched with different proportions of n-3 and n-6 LC-PUFAs.

Correlation of Blood Pressure Variability as Measured By Clinic, Self-measurement at Home, and Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring.

BACKGROUND: Blood pressure variability (BPV) has been postulated as a potential predictor of cardiovascular outcomes. No agreement exists as to which measurement method is best for BPV estimation. We attempt to assess the correlation between BPV obtained at the doctor's office, self-measurement at home (SMBP) and ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM). METHODS: Eight weekly clinic BP measurements, 2 SMBP series, and 1 24-hour ABPM recording were carried out in a sample of treated hypertensive patients. BPV was calculated using the SD, the "coefficient of variation" and the "average real variability." Determinants of short-, mid-, and long-term BPV (within each measurement method) were also calculated. The different BPV determinants were correlated "intramethod" and "intermethod" by linear regression test. RESULTS: For the 104 patients (66.5 ± 7.7 years, 58.7% males), the ABPM BPV (SD, systolic/diastolic: 14.5 ± 3.1/9.8 ± 2.5 mm Hg) was higher than the SMBP (12.2 ± 9.8/7.4 ± 5.8 mm Hg; P < 0.001) and clinic BPV (10 ± 8.9/5.9 ± 4.9 mm Hg; P = 0.001). The main BPV correlation between methods was weak, with a maximum R2 = 0.17 (P < 0.001) between clinic and SMBP systolic BPV. The "intramethod" correlation of BPV yielded a maximum R2 = 0.21 (P < 0.001) between morning diastolic SMBP intershift/intermeans variability. The "intermethod" correlation of short-, mid-, and long-term BPV determinants was weak (maximum R2 = 0.22, P < 0.001, between clinic intraday variability/SMBP morning intershift variability). CONCLUSIONS: The "intramethod" and "intermethod" correlation between BPV determinants was weak or nonexistent, even when comparing determinants reflecting the same type of temporal BPV. Our data suggest that BPV reflects a heterogeneous phenomenon that strongly depends on the estimation method and the time period evaluated.

Influence of renal function on anticoagulation control in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation taking vitamin K antagonists.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has been related to poor anticoagulation control and an increased risk of bleeding. This study aims to evaluate the association between impaired renal function (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 ) and anticoagulation control in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) on vitamin K antagonists (VKA) therapy. We also assessed whether the predictive value of the SAMe-TT2 R2 score prevailed for subgroups both with and without CKD. METHODS: This is an ancillary analysis of 1381 patients from the PAULA study, which was a cross-sectional, retrospective and nationwide multicenter study. RESULTS: A total of 370 patients had eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 . Anticoagulation control levels progressively worsened across each stage of CKD. Multiple linear regression analysis showed CKD as an independent predictor of time in therapeutic range (TTR). In the subgroup of patients with preserved renal function, female sex, diet affecting INR, polypharmacy and amiodarone were associated with poorer TTR. The SAMe-TT2 R2 score had a significant but modest predictive value for TTR<65% (AUC, area under the curve 0.558, P = .002). In the subgroup of patients with CKD, the SAMe-TT2 R2 (>2 points) showed no significant predictive capacity for TTR (AUC 0.528, P = .354). The average TTR was similar for both sexes (P = .255), but with a higher percentage of males subjects with TTR ≥65% (P = .013). CONCLUSION: Chronic kidney disease is associated with poor anticoagulation control in patients with non-valvular AF taking VKA. The SAMe-TT2 R2 score was not predictive of poor TTR in the subgroup with CKD, although a modest predictive value for poor TTR was found in those without CKD.

Blood pressure control in anticoagulated patients with hypertension and atrial fibrillation.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the clinical profile and blood pressure (BP) control rates of anticoagulated patients with hypertension and atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: The PAULA study was a multicenter cross-sectional/retrospective observational study conducted throughout Spain. The study included patients with nonvalvular AF who were receiving vitamin K antagonist therapy during the past year and were attended at primary care setting. Adequate BP control was defined according to 2013 ESC/ESH guidelines. RESULTS: A total of 1,222 hypertensive patients were included (mean age 77.9 ± 8.3 years; 51.2% women; CHADS2 2.5 ± 1.1; CHA2DS2-VASc 4.2 ± 1.4; HAS-BLED 1.6 ± 0.9). 33.5% of patients had diabetes, 24.9% heart failure and 14.0% prior stroke/transient ischemic attack. Mean BP was 131.4 ± 14.5/74.9 ± 9.8 mm Hg. With regard to antihypertensive treatment, most of patients were on combined therapy (67.9%). The commonest prescribed antihypertensive drugs were diuretics (64.4%), followed by angiotensin receptor blockers (30.1%), and beta blockers (29.4%). 75.2% of hypertensive patients achieved BP control targets; 86.6% of patients ≥80 years and 67.6% of diabetics. CONCLUSIONS: More than 75% of hypertensive patients with AF achieved BP goals, and this rate was higher in elderly. More than 2 thirds of patients were on combined therapy. BP control appears to be better in AF patients than in general hypertensive population.

Effectiveness of dry needling for chronic nonspecific neck pain: a randomized, single-blinded, clinical trial.

Chronic neck pain attributed to a myofascial pain syndrome is characterized by the presence of muscle contractures referred to as myofascial trigger points. In this randomized, parallel-group, blinded, controlled clinical trial, we examined the effectiveness of deep dry needling (DDN) of myofascial trigger points in people with chronic nonspecific neck pain. The study was conducted at a public Primary Health Care Centre in Madrid, Spain, from January 2010 to December 2014. A total of 130 participants with nonspecific neck pain presenting with active myofascial trigger points in their cervical muscles were included. These participants were randomly allocated to receive: DDN plus stretching (n = 65) or stretching only (control group [n = 65]). Four sessions of treatment were applied over 2 weeks with a 6-month follow-up after treatment. Pain intensity, mechanical hyperalgesia, neck active range of motion, neck muscle strength, and perceived neck disability were measured at baseline, after 2 sessions of intervention, after the intervention period, and 15, 30, 90, and 180 days after the intervention. Significant and clinically relevant differences were found in favour of dry needling in all the outcomes (all P < 0.001) at both short and long follow-ups. Deep dry needling and passive stretching is more effective than passive stretching alone in people with nonspecific neck pain. The results support the use of DDN in the management of myofascial pain syndrome in people with chronic nonspecific neck pain.

Prevalencia de la esclerosis múltiple en la Región de Murcia / Prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the Region of Murcia

Introducción. La esclerosis múltiple (EM) es una enfermedad inflamatoria desmielinizante del sistema nervioso central con patogenia inmunomediada. Recientes estudios indican un aumento de su prevalencia, y numerosos trabajos relacionan el virus de Epstein-Barr (VEB) con su etiología. Objetivo. Análisis de prevalencia de la EM en la Región de Murcia, incluyendo la descripción de las características clínicas en el momento del inicio de la enfermedad, y del estado serológico del VEB de los pacientes con EM. Pacientes y métodos. Estudio epidemiológico retrospectivo, tomando como muestra la población residente en el área sanitaria centro-oeste de la Región de Murcia (257.865 habitantes). Se analizan datos clínicos y serológicos extraídos de diferentes fuentes. Resultados. Prevalencia de la EM en la población estudiada: 88 casos/100.000 habitantes. Prevalencia de la EM junto con el síndrome desmielinizante aislado: 98,4 casos/100.000 habitantes. Incidencia media de la EM: 5,8 casos/100.000 habitantes/año. En el inicio de la EM, el 67,8% eran mujeres, el 81,9% presentaba un curso recurrente-remitente, la edad media era de 31,4 años, el sistema funcional más frecuentemente afectado era el sensitivo (45,1%), el inicio fue monofocal en el 55,4% y el grado de discapacidad en la Expanded Disability Status Scale era de 2,1 puntos. La seroprevalencia del VEB fue del 99,3%. La reactivación de la infección por VEB se relacionó con actividad clínica de EM en 10 pacientes (45,4%). Conclusiones. Actualmente, la prevalencia de la EM en la Región de Murcia es similar a la estimada en otras comunidades autónomas españolas. El estudio confirma la tendencia de incremento de prevalencia observada en las últimas décadas (AU)

Introduction. Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a demyelinating inflammatory disease of the central nervous system with immunemediated pathogenesis. Recent research points to an increase in its prevalence, and a number of studies relate EpsteinBarr virus (EBV) with its aetiology. Aims. This study seeks to analyse the prevalence of MS in the Region of Murcia, and includes a description of the clinical characteristics at the time of onset of the disease, and of the EBV serological status of patients with MS. Patients and methods. We conducted a retrospective epidemiological study based on a sample consisting of the population living within the central-west healthcare area of the Region of Murcia (257,865 inhabitants). Clinical and serological data extracted from different sources were analysed. Results. Prevalence of MS in the population under study: 88 cases/100,000 inhabitants. Prevalence of MS together with isolated demyelinating syndrome: 98.4 cases/100,000 inhabitants. Mean incidence of MS: 5.8 cases/100,000 inhabitants/ year. At the onset of MS, 67.8% were females, 81.9% presented a relapsing-remitting course, the mean age was 31.4 years, the sensory system was the most frequently compromised (45.1%), onset was monofocal in 55.4% and the degree of disability on the Expanded Disability Status Scale was 2.1 points. The seroprevalence of EBV was 99.3%. The reactivation of EBV infection was related to the clinical activity of MS in 10 patients (45.4%). Conclusions. Currently, the prevalence of MS in the Region of Murcia is similar to that estimated in other Spanish autonomous regions. The study confirms the trend of increased prevalence observed over the last few decades (AU)

Evaluation of SAMe-TT2R2 score and other clinical factors influencing the quality of anticoagulation therapy in non-valvular atrial fibrillation: a nationwide study in Spain.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the major clinical factors affecting the quality of anticoagulation and evaluate the predictive value of the SAMe-TT2R2 score to identify patients who will achieve a high average time in therapeutic range (T.T.R.) with vitamin K antagonist (V.K.A.) treatment. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This observational, cross-sectional, retrospective and nationwide multicenter study included 1524 patients from the primary care setting with non-valvular atrial fibrillation receiving V.K.A. (≥12 months). We performed a bivariate analysis to identify factors individually associated with the T.T.R. and a multiple regression analysis to identify the independent predictive factors. For the validation of the SAMe-TT2R2 score, the receiver operating characteristic (R.O.C.) curve was calculated and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to test calibration. RESULTS: A total of 94.8% of patients received acenocumarol (4.8% warfarin). A progressive decrease in mean T.T.R. was found when the SAMe-TT2R2 score increased from 0 points (72.1 ± 17.1%) to 4 points (64.1 ± 23.2%), p < 0.001. Other risk scores (CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc, HAS-BLED) were also associated with the mean T.T.R. We found a significant association between low T.T.R. and the following clinical factors: female sex, three or more comorbidities, amiodarone treatment, dietary habits, bleeding history and the intake of ≥7 tablets per day besides V.K.A. (p < 0.01). Regarding SAMe-TT2R2 score validation, the R.O.C. curve showed significant capability, although not high, of discriminating good anticoagulation control (T.T.R. ≥65%) with an area under the curve of 0.562 (95% C.I. 0.533-0.592, p < 0.001) which increased, remaining modest, to 0.594 (95% C.I. 0.564-0.624, p < 0.001) when the factors not included in SAMe-TT2R2 score were added. CONCLUSION: In this cohort, the SAMe-TT2R2 score had a significant, although modest, ability to assess the likelihood of good international normalized ration (I.N.R.) control, and its predictive value might slightly improve by adding other simple clinical factors. Further research is needed to refine the predictive scales.