The incidence of early onset colorectal cancer in Aotearoa New Zealand: 2000-2020.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC), diagnosed before age 50, has been rising in many countries in the past few decades. This study aims to evaluate this trend in Aotearoa New Zealand and assess its impact on Maori. METHODS: Crude incidence and age-standardized incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) was analyzed from all new cases from the Aotearoa New Zealand national cancer registry for the period 2000-2020. Trends were estimated by sex, ethnicity, age group and location of cancer and projections made to 2040. RESULTS: Between 2000 and 2020, there were a total of 56,761 cases of CRC diagnosed in Aotearoa New Zealand, 3,702 of these being EOCRC, with age-standardized incidence decreasing significantly (P = 8.2 × 10- 80) from 61.0 to 47.3 cases per 100,000. EOCRC incidence increased on average by 26% per decade (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.26, p = < 0.0001) at all sites (proximal colon, distal colon and rectum), while the incidence in those aged 50-79 years decreased on average by 18% per decade (IRR 0.82, p = < 0.0005), again across all sites. There was no significant average change in CRC incidence in those over 80 years. In Maori, there was no significant change in age-standardized incidence. There was however a significant increase in crude incidence rates (IRR 1.28, p = < 0.0005) driven by significant increases in EOCRC (IRR1.36, p = < 0.0005). By 2040, we predict the incidence of EOCRC will have risen from 8.00 to 14.9 per 100,000 (6.33 to 10.00 per 100,000 in Maori). However, due to the aging population an estimated 43.0% of all CRC cases will be diagnosed in those over 80 years of age (45.9% over 70 years of age in Maori). CONCLUSION: The age-standardized incidence of CRC from 2000 to 2020 decreased in Aotearoa New Zealand, but not for Maori. The incidence of EOCRC over the same period continues to rise, and at a faster rate in Maori. However, with the ageing of the population in Aotearoa New Zealand, and for Maori, CRC in the elderly will continue to dominate case numbers.

Digital spatial profiling identifies molecular changes involved in development of colitis-associated colorectal cancer.

Objective: Chronic colonic inflammation seen in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC). Colitis-associated cancers (CAC) are molecularly different from sporadic CRC. This study aimed to evaluate spatially defined molecular changes associated with neoplastic progression to identify mechanisms of action and potential biomarkers for prognostication. Design: IBD patients who had undergone colectomy for treatment of their IBD or dysplasia were identified from an institutional database. Formalin-fixed paraffin embedded samples from areas of normal, inflamed, dysplastic and adenocarcinoma tissue were identified for digital spatial profiling using the Nanostring GeoMx™ Cancer Transcriptome Atlas. RNA expression and quantification of 1812 genes was measured and analysed in a spatial context to compare differences in gene expression. Results: Sixteen patients were included, nine patients had CAC, two had dysplasia only and five had colitis only. Significant, step-wise differences in gene expression were seen between tissue types, mainly involving progressive over-expression of collagen genes associated with stromal remodelling. Similarly, MYC over-expression was associated with neoplastic progression. Comparison of normal and inflamed tissue from patients who progressed to those who did not also showed significant differences in immune-related genes, including under-expression of thte chemokines CCL18, CCL25 and IL-R7, as well as CD3, CD6 and lysozyme. The known oncogene CD24 was significantly overexpressed. Conclusion: Both tissue types and patient groups are molecularly distinguishable on the basis of their gene expression patterns. Further prospective work is necessary to confirm these differences and establish their clinical significance and potential utility as biomarkers.

Identifying important microbial and genomic biomarkers for differentiating right- versus left-sided colorectal cancer using random forest models.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a heterogeneous disease, with subtypes that have different clinical behaviours and subsequent prognoses. There is a growing body of evidence suggesting that right-sided colorectal cancer (RCC) and left-sided colorectal cancer (LCC) also differ in treatment success and patient outcomes. Biomarkers that differentiate between RCC and LCC are not well-established. Here, we apply random forest (RF) machine learning methods to identify genomic or microbial biomarkers that differentiate RCC and LCC. METHODS: RNA-seq expression data for 58,677 coding and non-coding human genes and count data for 28,557 human unmapped reads were obtained from 308 patient CRC tumour samples. We created three RF models for datasets of human genes-only, microbes-only, and genes-and-microbes combined. We used a permutation test to identify features of significant importance. Finally, we used differential expression (DE) and paired Wilcoxon-rank sum tests to associate features with a particular side. RESULTS: RF model accuracy scores were 90%, 70%, and 87% with area under curve (AUC) of 0.9, 0.76, and 0.89 for the human genomic, microbial, and combined feature sets, respectively. 15 features were identified as significant in the model of genes-only, 54 microbes in the model of microbes-only, and 28 genes and 18 microbes in the model with genes-and-microbes combined. PRAC1 expression was the most important feature for differentiating RCC and LCC in the genes-only model, with HOXB13, SPAG16, HOXC4, and RNLS also playing a role. Ruminococcus gnavus and Clostridium acetireducens were the most important in the microbial-only model. MYOM3, HOXC4, Coprococcus eutactus, PRAC1, lncRNA AC012531.25, Ruminococcus gnavus, RNLS, HOXC6, SPAG16 and Fusobacterium nucleatum were most important in the combined model. CONCLUSIONS: Many of the identified genes and microbes among all models have previously established associations with CRC. However, the ability of RF models to account for inter-feature relationships within the underlying decision trees may yield a more sensitive and biologically interconnected set of genomic and microbial biomarkers.

An epigenetic signature of advanced colorectal cancer metastasis.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. The majority of CRC deaths are caused by tumor metastasis, even following treatment. There is strong evidence for epigenetic changes, such as DNA methylation, accompanying CRC metastasis and poorer patient survival. Earlier detection and a better understanding of molecular drivers for CRC metastasis are of critical clinical importance. Here, we identify a signature of advanced CRC metastasis by performing whole genome-scale DNA methylation and full transcriptome analyses of paired primary cancers and liver metastases from CRC patients. We observed striking methylation differences between primary and metastatic pairs. A subset of loci showed coordinated methylation-expression changes, suggesting these are potentially epigenetic drivers that control the expression of critical genes in the metastatic cascade. The identification of CRC epigenomic markers of metastasis has the potential to enable better outcome prediction and lead to the discovery of new therapeutic targets.

Human gene and microbial analyses in rectal cancer complete responses to radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: The gold standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer is total mesorectal excision after preoperative chemoradiotherapy. Response to chemoradiotherapy varies, with some patients completely responding to the treatment and some failing to respond at all. Identifying biomarkers of response to chemoradiotherapy could allow patients to avoid unnecessary treatment-associated morbidity rate. While previous studies have attempted to identify such biomarkers, none have reached clinical utility, which may be due to heterogeneity of the cancer. In this study, potential human gene and microbial biomarkers were explored in a cohort of rectal cancer patients who underwent chemoradiotherapy. METHODS: RNA sequencing was carried out on matched tumour and adjacent normal rectum biopsies from patients with rectal cancer with varying chemoradiotherapy responses treated between 2016 and 2019 at two institutions. Enriched genes and microbes from tumours of complete responders were compared with those from tumours of others with lesser response. RESULTS: In 39 patients analysed, enriched gene sets in complete responders indicate involvement of immune responses, including immunoglobulin production, B cell activation and response to bacteria (adjusted P values <0.050). Bacteria such as Ruminococcaceae bacterium and Bacteroides thetaiotaomicron were documented to be abundant in tumours of complete responders compared with all other patients (adjusted P value <0.100). CONCLUSION: These results identify potential genetic and microbial biomarkers of response to chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer, as well as suggesting a potential mechanism of complete response to chemoradiotherapy that may benefit further testing in the laboratory.

Retrospective cohort study of the impact of faecoliths on the natural history of acute appendicitis.

BACKGROUND: Despite acute appendicitis is one of the most common surgical emergencies, its aetiology remains incompletely understood. AIM: This study aimed to assess the rate at which faecoliths were present in acute appendicitis treated with appendicectomy and whether their presence was associated with complicated appendicitis. METHODS: All adult patients who underwent appendicectomy for acute appendicitis in a 2 years period (January 2018 and December 2019) at a single institution were retrospectively reviewed. The presence of a faecolith was identified by at least one of three methods: pre-operative CT scan, intraoperative identification, or histopathology report. Patients were grouped according to the presence or absence of a faecolith and demographics, type of appendicitis and surgical outcomes analysed. Complicated appendicitis was defined as appendicitis with perforation, gangrene and/or periappendicular abscess formation. RESULTS: A total of 1035 appendicectomies were performed with acute appendicitis confirmed in 860 (83%), of which 314 (37%) were classified as complicated appendicitis. Three hundred thirty-nine (35%) of the appendicitis cases had faecoliths (complicated 165/314 cases; 53%; uncomplicated 128/546; 23%, p < 0.001). The presence of a faecolith was associated with higher complications and a subsequent longer post-operative stay. CONCLUSION: The rigorous methodology of this study has demonstrated a higher rate of faecolith presence in acute appendicitis than previously documented. It reinforces the association of faecoliths with a complicated disease course and the importance in prioritising emergency surgery and postoperative monitoring for complications.

Early onset colorectal cancer in Canterbury, New Zealand.

BACKGROUND: The overall incidence of colorectal cancer is decreasing in much of the world, yet the incidence in those under 50 years of age is increasing (early onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC)). The reasons for this are unclear. This study was undertaken to describe the clinical, pathological and familial characteristics of patients with EOCRC and their oncological outcomes and compare this with previously published data on late onset colorectal cancer (LOCRC). METHODS: A retrospective review of all patients diagnosed with EOCRC in Canterbury between 2010 and 2017 was conducted. Data was collected on demographics, family history, treatment, and oncologic outcomes. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were calculated to assess overall survival based on disease stage. RESULTS: During the study period (2010-2017) there were 3340 colorectal cancers diagnosed in Canterbury, of which 201 (6%) were in patients under 50 years (range: 17-49). Of these, 87 (43.3%) were female and 125 (62.2%) were aged between 40 and 49 years. 28 (13.9%) were associated with hereditary conditions. Of the 201 patients, 139 (69.2%) had rectal or left-sided cancers. 142 (70.6%) patients presented with either stage 3 or 4 disease and the 5-year overall survival by stage was 79.1% and 14.4%, respectively. CONCLUSION: EOCRC is increasing and usually presents as distal left sided cancers, and often at an advanced stage. They do not appear to have the common risk factors of family history or inherited pre-disposition for colorectal cancer. Planning by healthcare providers for this epidemiological change is imperative in investigating symptomatic patients under 50 and optimizing early detection and prevention.

Risk of colorectal cancer in patients with appendicitis over the age of 40 years.

AIM: Acute appendicitis in late adulthood is hypothesized to be associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aimed to establish whether patients over the age of 40 years presenting with appendicitis had an increased risk of being diagnosed with CRC over the subsequent 3 years. METHOD: This is a retrospective review of patients aged 40 years and over presenting to Canterbury District Health Board with appendicitis from January 2010 to December 2015. Clinical details were obtained for these patients and cross-referenced with the New Zealand Cancer Registry for the 3 years following diagnosis. The incidence ratio rate (IRR) and standardized incidence ratio (SIR) were calculated by establishing the incidence of CRC in this cohort and comparing it with the Canterbury population data. RESULTS: A total of 1099 patients met the inclusion criteria. The majority (75%) underwent CT as part of their initial work-up. The rate of colonoscopy increased with age from around 10% between 40 and 49 years to 27% for those 70 years and over. Eleven cases of CRC were identified, resulting in an IRR 2.35 (95% CI 1.17-4.21). The SIR for this population was 3.28 (95% CI 1.82-5.92). CONCLUSION: The rate of CRC is significantly increased compared with the background population in this cohort. The results of this study support luminal investigation of adults aged 40 years and over who present with acute appendicitis as CT alone was insufficient to detect the pathology.

NKG2D signaling regulates IL-17A-producing γδT cells in mice to promote cancer progression.

γδT cells are unconventional T cells particularly abundant in mucosal tissues that play an important role in tissue surveillance, homeostasis, and cancer. γδT cells recognize stressed cells or cancer cells through the NKG2D receptor to kill these cells and maintain normality. Contrary to the well-established anti-tumor function of these NKG2D-expressing γδT cells, we show here that, in mice, NKG2D regulates a population of pro-tumor γδT cells capable of producing IL-17A. Germline deletion of Klrk1, the gene encoding NKG2D, reduced the frequency of γδT cells in the tumor microenvironment and delayed tumor progression. We further show that blocking NKG2D reduced the capability of γδT cells to produce IL-17A in the pre-metastatic lung and that co-culture of lung T cells with NKG2D ligand-expressing tumor cells specifically increased the frequency of γδT cells. Together, these data support the hypothesis that, in a tumor microenvironment where NKG2D ligands are constitutively expressed, γδT cells accumulate in an NKG2D-dependent manner and drive tumor progression by secreting pro-inflammatory cytokines, such as IL-17A.

Detection of Fusobacterium nucleatum DNA in primary care patient stool samples does not predict progression of colorectal neoplasia.

BACKGROUND: Carriage of certain bacterial species may represent potential biomarkers of colorectal cancer (CRC). Prominent among these is Fusobacterium nucleatum. We explored the association of F. nucleatum DNA in stool samples with the presence of colonic neoplastic lesions in a cohort of primary care patients, and compared our findings with those from an unrelated cohort of colonoscopy patients followed clinically over time. METHODS: Carriage rates of F. nucleatum in stool samples were assessed in 185 patients referred for a faecal immunochemical test (FIT) by their general practitioners (GPs). Comparisons were made with stool samples from 57 patients diagnosed with CRC and 57 age-matched healthy controls, and with tissue samples taken at colonoscopy from 150 patients with a decade of subsequent clinical follow-up. FINDINGS: F. nucleatum DNA was found at a high rate (47.0%) in stool samples from primary care patients, and more often in stool samples from CRC patients (47.4%) than in healthy controls (7.0%), (P = 7.66E-7). No association was found between carriage of F. nucleatum and FIT positivity (P = 0.588). While evidence of stool-associated F. nucleatum DNA was significantly more likely to indicate a lesion in those primary care patients progressed to colonoscopy (P = 0.023), this finding did not extend to the progression of neoplastic lesions in the 150 patients with a decade of follow up. CONCLUSION: The finding of F. nucleatum DNA at similar rates in stool samples from patients diagnosed with CRC and in primary care patients with pre-cancerous lesions supports growing awareness that the presence of these bacteria may be a biomarker for increased risk of disease. However, molecular evidence of F. nucleatum did not predict progression of colonic lesions, which may lessen the utility of this bacterium as a biomarker for increased risk of disease.

Genomic discrimination in New Zealand health and life insurance. AGenDA: Against Genomic Discrimination in Aotearoa.

Nil.

Circulating Bacterial DNA: A New Paradigm for Cancer Diagnostics.

Cell-free DNA applications for screening, diagnosis and treatment monitoring are increasingly being developed for a range of different cancers. While most of these applications investigate circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) or methylation profiles of ctDNA, circulating bacterial DNA (cbDNA) has also been detected in plasma and serum samples from cancer patients. Recent publications have the detection of cbDNA in studies of breast, gastric, colorectal, hepatocellular and ovarian cancers. In several cases, distinction between patients and healthy controls was possible, based on cbDNA profiles, in addition to potential prognostic value. A large pan-cancer study demonstrated the feasibility of cbDNA to distinguish between four types of cancer and healthy controls, even in patients with early-stage disease. While improvements in, and standardization of laboratory and bioinformatics analyses are needed, and the clinical relevance of cbDNA yet to be ascertained for each cancer type, cbDNA analysis presents an exciting prospect for future liquid biopsy screening and diagnostics in cancer.

Enterotoxigenic Bacteroides fragilis activates IL-8 expression through Stat3 in colorectal cancer cells.

BACKGROUND: Enterotoxigenic Bacteroides fragilis (ETBF) has been implicated in colorectal carcinogenesis through the actions of its toxin, B. fragilis toxin (BFT). Studies on colorectal cell lines have shown that treatment with BFT causes disruption of E-cadherin leading to increased expression of the pro-inflammatory cytokine, IL-8. Stat3 activation has also been associated with ETBF-related colitis and tumour development. However, a link between E-cadherin, IL-8 and Stat3 has not been investigated in the context of ETBF infection. RESULTS: We found that co-culture of HT-29 and HCT116 colorectal cell lines with ETBF, had a similar effect on activation of IL8 gene and protein expression as treatment with purified BFT. Inhibition of Stat3 resulted in a decrease in IL-8 gene and protein expression in response to ETBF in both cell lines. A reduction in E-cadherin expression in response to ETBF treatment was not restored by blocking Stat3. CONCLUSION: We found that treatment of colorectal cancer cell lines with live cultures of ETBF had the equivalent effect on IL-8 expression as the use of purified toxin, and this may be a more representative model of ETBF-mediated colorectal carcinogenesis. IL-8 gene and protein expression was mediated through Stat3 in HT-29 and HCT116 cells, whereas disruption of E-cadherin appeared to be independent of Stat3 signalling.

A Final Frontier in Environment-Genome Interactions? Integrated, Multi-Omic Approaches to Predictions of Non-Communicable Disease Risk.

Epidemiological and associative research from humans and animals identifies correlations between the environment and health impacts. The environment-health inter-relationship is effected through an individual's underlying genetic variation and mediated by mechanisms that include the changes to gene regulation that are associated with the diversity of phenotypes we exhibit. However, the causal relationships have yet to be established, in part because the associations are reduced to individual interactions and the combinatorial effects are rarely studied. This problem is exacerbated by the fact that our genomes are highly dynamic; they integrate information across multiple levels (from linear sequence, to structural organisation, to temporal variation) each of which is open to and responds to environmental influence. To unravel the complexities of the genomic basis of human disease, and in particular non-communicable diseases that are also influenced by the environment (e.g., obesity, type II diabetes, cancer, multiple sclerosis, some neurodegenerative diseases, inflammatory bowel disease, rheumatoid arthritis) it is imperative that we fully integrate multiple layers of genomic data. Here we review current progress in integrated genomic data analysis, and discuss cases where data integration would lead to significant advances in our ability to predict how the environment may impact on our health. We also outline limitations which should form the basis of future research questions. In so doing, this review will lay the foundations for future research into the impact of the environment on our health.

Rectal swabs are a reliable method of assessing the colonic microbiome.

BACKGROUND: Advances in genome sequencing have enabled detailed microbiome analysis; however, the ideal specimen type for sequencing is yet to be determined. Rectal swabs may offer a rapid and convenient modality for colonic microbiome analysis. The aim of this study is to evaluate the use of rectal swabs compared to faecal specimens. METHODS AND RESULTS: Twenty health professionals participated in this study and provided a faecal specimen, a self-collected rectal swab and a rectal swab taken by a clinician. DNA was extracted and 16S rRNA gene sequencing was carried out for microbiome analysis. Alpha diversity was higher in swabs compared to faecal specimens; however, the difference was only significant when comparing clinician-obtained swabs to faeces. Analysis of beta diversity consistently showed that few taxa were affected by sample type. We found sample type accounted for only 6.8% of community variation (R2 = 0.067, p < 0.001, permanova). Notably, there were only six genera identified in clinician-obtained swabs that were not also found in the self-taken swabs. CONCLUSIONS: Both self-collected and clinician obtained rectal swabs are a reliable method of analysing the colonic microbiome. Obtaining specimens for microbiome analysis is often time-critical due to therapy, such as antibiotics, influencing the microbiome. Rectal swabs are shown to be a valid and convenient modality for microbiome analysis.

Acute Diverticulitis in Young Patients: A Review of the Changing Epidemiology and Etiology.

Acute diverticulitis is one of the leading gastrointestinal causes for hospitalization. The incidence of acute diverticulitis has been increasing in recent years, especially in patients under 50 years old. Historically, acute diverticulitis in younger patients was felt to represent a separate entity, being more virulent and associated with a higher rate of recurrence. Accordingly, young patients were often managed differently to older counterparts. Our understanding of the natural history of this condition has evolved, and current clinical practice guidelines suggest age should not alter management. The purpose of this review is to evaluate the changing epidemiology of acute diverticulitis, consider potential explanations for the observed increased incidence in younger patients, as well as review the natural history of acute diverticulitis in the younger population.

The Epidemiology and Etiology of Right-Sided Colonic Diverticulosis: A Review.

Diverticulosis of the colon is a common condition in Western countries and most patients will remain asymptomatic, but some will present with symptoms of acute diverticulitis or bleeding. Our understanding of diverticulosis is evolving but is mostly derived from diverticulosis affecting the left-sided colon. In contrast, right-sided colonic diverticulosis (RCD) is more commonly seen in Asian countries but is much less common overall. Based on the marked differences in epidemiology, it is commonly thought that these are 2 distinct disease processes. A review of the literature describing the epidemiology and etiology of RCD was performed, with a comparison to the current understanding of left-sided diverticulosis. RCD is becoming increasingly common. The epidemiology of RCD shows it to be a mostly acquired condition, and not congenital as previously thought. Many factors in the etiology of RCD are similar to that seen in left-sided diverticulosis, with a few variations. It is therefore likely that most cases of RCD represent the same disease process that is seen in the left colon.

Consensus molecular subtypes of primary colon tumors and their hepatic metastases.

AIM: This pilot study aimed to evaluate the congruency in consensus molecular subtypes (CMS) of primary colorectal cancer and corresponding hepatic metastasis (HM). MATERIALS & METHODS: RNA was extracted from both primary colorectal cancer and HM from ten patients, sequenced to establish gene-expression profiles and classified into CMS. Clinical data were collected retrospectively. RESULTS: Of the ten patients recruited, nine had primary tumors that were classifiable: seven were CMS2, one was CMS3 and one was CMS4. Five had incongruent classification in the corresponding HM. Three out of the five patients with incongruent classification had received adjuvant chemotherapy prior to hepatic resection. CONCLUSION: A change in CMS type between matched primary and metastatic colorectal tumors is common and may be attributable to chemotherapy.

The prevalence of right-sided colonic diverticulosis in a New Zealand population.

BACKGROUND: Once considered to be a congenital condition, the epidemiology of right-sided colonic diverticulosis (RCD) is evolving. Acute diverticulitis (AD) is a complication of RCD which is frequently misdiagnosed as appendicitis, resulting in unnecessary surgery, as there is strong evidence supporting medical management for right-sided AD. In general, the incidence of AD correlates with the prevalence of RCD, which shows marked geographic variation. Few data reporting RCD prevalence come from Western countries, so the aim of this study is to define the prevalence of RCD in a New Zealand population. METHODS: Independent review of the imaging from 1000 consecutive patients undergoing a computed tomography Kidney/Ureter/Bladder scan for suspected urolithiasis at Christchurch Hospital between January and November 2017 was undertaken, to determine the presence or absence, and distribution of colonic diverticulosis. Patients were excluded if they had a history of colonic resection, known IBD, or were less than 18-years old. RESULTS: Thirty-one patients were excluded, leaving 969 eligible patients. Overall, 95 patients (9.8%) had RCD identified. The prevalence of RCD increased significantly with advancing age, being present in 2.3% of those aged 18-29, increasing to 20.3% in those greater than 70-years old (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of RCD in a New Zealand population is relatively high and increases significantly with age. This adds support to the role of cross-sectional imaging in the evaluation of suspected appendicitis, to exclude right-sided AD. The association with advancing age supports RCD being an acquired condition rather than a congenital condition as was previously thought.

Acute diverticulitis: an ongoing economic burden on the health system.

BACKGROUND: Acute diverticulitis (AD) is an increasingly common cause of acute hospital admissions. An understanding of its economic burden is necessary to plan resource allocation, and for targeting health research funding. The aim of this study is to obtain an accurate estimate of the cost of AD, accounting not only for the initial episode, but all related costs incurred during long-term follow-up. METHODS: The study captures a cohort of patients who had an initial admission for AD from 1 January 2012-31 December 2012, and their treatment over a 6-year period. Cases were identified from a prospectively maintained database, with AD confirmed by computed tomography scan. The primary outcome was total healthcare cost related to AD. RESULTS: The study included 170 patients. The total cost was NZD1 956 859 with a median cost per patient of NZD4814. A total of 57% of the cost was incurred for the initial inpatient admission, with the remaining 43% incurred through re-admission, follow-up appointments, investigations and management. Half of the total cost was incurred by 11.8% of the cohort. In multivariate analysis, high cost of care was significantly associated with complicated and recurrent disease, operative intervention and length of stay. CONCLUSION: This study provides an accurate estimate of the overall cost of AD and its sequelae. There are considerable long-term costs associated with the index episode and a large proportion of the expenditure is incurred by a small group that included those with complicated disease. These findings are important for healthcare resource allocation and for targeting health research funding.