[Analysis of Change and Driving Factors of PM2.5 Mass Concentration in Tianjin from 2000 to 2020].

Based on real-time tracking data, PM2.5 mass concentration, and meteorological observations of the Tianjin Meteorological Bureau and the Ecological Environment Bureau, combined with the fine particle meteorological condition diffusion index constructed using the environmental model, the change and driving factors of the PM2.5 mass concentration in Tianjin from 2000 to 2020 were studied to analyze the impact of meteorology on the atmospheric environment. The study showed that change in PM2.5 mass concentration in Tianjin took place in three stages from 2000 to 2020; the first stage showed a continuous increase from 2000 to 2007. The rapid increase in emissions in this stage was the dominant factor, and its effect was four times that of the annual fluctuation in meteorological conditions. The second stage was from 2007 to 2013, in which the PM2.5 mass concentration fluctuated, with two peak years (2007 and 2013). The emissions were stable in this stage. The annual fluctuation of meteorological conditions had an important influence on the annual fluctuation in PM2.5 mass concentration. The third stage was from 2013 to 2020; the PM2.5 mass concentration decreased rapidly, and the decline in emissions was decisive, which reduced the PM2.5 mass concentration by 40% to 50%. The improvement in the meteorological diffusion conditions also provided a positive contribution, which reduced the PM2.5 mass concentration by approximately 10%. Based on the analysis of the data over the past 20 years, the annual variation in atmospheric diffusion conditions caused by the annual variation in meteorological conditions was periodic, with trough values from 2003 to 2004 and 2013 to 2015 and peaks from 2008 to 2010 and 2018 to 2020; the distance between peaks and valleys was approximately 11 years. It was estimated that the next atmospheric diffusion condition valley stage will occur circa 2025. The average intensity of the annual fluctuation in atmospheric diffusion conditions caused by the annual variation in meteorological conditions was 4%, which can explain 25%-50% of the annual variation in PM2.5 mass concentration over the past 20 years, with a difference between peaks and valleys of 16%. The periodic fluctuations in meteorological diffusion conditions have an important impact on the future PM2.5 target setting and corresponding measures design.

[Heavy Pollution Episode in Tianjin Based on UAV Meteorological Sounding and Numerical Model].

Pollution occurs in the boundary layer, and the thermal and dynamic vertical structure of the boundary layer has a significant influence on the formation of heavy pollution episodes. Based on unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) sounding, ground-based remote sensing and numerical modeling, this paper analyzes the vertical structure of the boundary layer and the causes of pollution during the heavy pollution episode in Tianjin from January 10 to 15, 2019, with a view to strengthening the understanding of the influence law of boundary layer processes on heavy pollution in northern coastal cities and improving the accuracy of weather forecasts and heavy pollution warnings. The results show that atmospheric temperature stratification had a significant influence on the formation, persistence, and dissipation of heavy pollution episodes. During an episode, accompanied by the development and dissipation of the inversion layer, a high PM2.5 concentration area developed to the upper atmosphere with a height of over 300 m in the daytime and compressed to the ground at night with a height about 100 m. When fog appeared and continued in the daytime, the vertical structure characteristics of the boundary layer changed. A temperature inversion above the fog restrained the diffusion of pollutants to the upper air and made the contribution of turbulence vertical mixing process decrease significantly in the daytime, leading to the persistence and development of heavy pollution near the surface. Regional pollution transport accounted for 66.6% during the episode, which was closely related to regional pollution transport. Regional pollution transport mainly appeared at the top of the boundary layer and above the fog inversion layer where high wind speeds occurred. Pollutants were transported to the ground by a sinking motion as the boundary layer and fog height changed. This is how regional pollution transport occurred when Tianjin was controlled by a weak high pressure field in the north. The vertical structure of the boundary layer also affected the improvement of air quality by cold air. The strong temperature inversion at the top of the fog resulted in the failure of the cold air to transmit to the ground through turbulent shear stress in the S3 stage. There was an obvious difference in wind speed between the upper and lower air. The influence of cold air on the ground was delayed, and the effect of it was weakened. Thus, the heavy pollution episode could not be alleviated completely.