Incidental pulmonary nodules may lead to a high proportion of early-stage lung cancer: but it requires more than a high CT volume to achieve this.

Background: The management of pulmonary nodules plays a critical role in early detection of lung cancer. Computed tomography (CT) has led to a stage-shift towards early-stage lung cancer, but regional differences in survival rates have been reported in Denmark. This study aimed to evaluate whether variations in nodule management among Danish health regions contributed to these differences. Material and Methods: The Danish Health Data Authority and Danish Lung Cancer Registry provided data on CT usage and lung cancer stage distribution, respectively. Auditing of lung cancer stage IA patient referrals and nodule management of stage IV lung cancer patients was conducted in seven Danish lung cancer investigation centers, covering four of the five Danish health regions. CT scans were performed up to 2 years before the patients' diagnosis from 2019 to 2021. Results: CT usage has increased steadily in Denmark over the past decade, with a simultaneous increase in the proportion of early-stage lung cancers, particularly stage IA. However, one Danish health region, Region Zealand, exhibited lower rates of early-stage lung cancer and overall survival despite a CT usage roughly similar to that of the other health regions. The audit did not find significant differences in pulmonary nodule management or a higher number of missed nodules by radiologists in this region compared to others. Conclusion: This study suggests that a high CT scan volume alone is not sufficient for the early detection of lung cancer. Factors beyond hospital management practices, such as patient-related delays in socioeconomically disadvantaged areas, may contribute to regional differences in survival rates. This has implications for future strategies for reducing these differences.

Lung cancer registries in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden: a comparison and proposal for harmonization.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related death in all Nordic countries which, though similar in demographics and healthcare systems, have noticeable differences in lung cancer survival. Historically, Denmark and Finland have had higher lung cancer incidences and lower survival than Norway and Sweden. All four countries have national cancer registries. Data in these registries are often compared, but their full potential as a source of learning across the Nordic countries is impeded by differences between the registries. In this paper, we describe and compare the Nordic registries on lung cancer-specific data and discuss how a more harmonized registration practice could increase their usefulness as a source for mutual learning and quality improvements. METHODS: We describe and compare the characteristics of data on lung cancer cases from registries in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden. Moreover, we compare the results from the latest annual reports and specify how data may be acquired from the registries for research. RESULTS: Denmark has a separate clinical lung cancer registry with more detailed data than the other Nordic countries. Finland and Norway report lung cancer survival as relative survival, whereas Denmark and Sweden report overall survival. The Danish Lung Cancer Registry and the Swedish Cancer Registry do not receive data from the Cause of Death registries in contrast to the Finnish Cancer Registry and the Cancer Registry of Norway. CONCLUSION: The lung cancer registries in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden have high level of completeness. However, several important differences between the registries may bias comparative analyses.

A pilot study on the use of the super dimension navigation system for optimal cryobiopsy location in interstitial lung disease diagnostics.

BACKGROUND: Transbronchial cryobiopsies has become increasingly important in the diagnostic workup for interstitial lung diseases. The rate of complications and mortality are low compared to surgical lung biopsies, but the diagnostic yield is not as high. The reason for the lower diagnostic yield could in some cases be explained by biopsies taken too centrally or in less affected areas. In this pilot study we examined the feasibility of using the electromagnetic navigation system, superDimension (SD), when performing cryobiopsies to increase the diagnostic yield. METHODS: Electromagnetic navigation bronchoscopy and cryobiopsies were performed using SD. An electromagnetic board placed on the back of the patient and a position sensor at the tip of the navigational probe created a real-time 3D reconstruction of previously acquired computer tomography images. The procedure was performed with the patients in general anesthesia using a rigid bronchoscope when performed in Florence and with a flexible bronchoscope through an orotracheal tube when performed in Aarhus. RESULTS: In total, 18 patients were included. Five patients were excluded, partly due to technical difficulties. Disposable 1.7 mm cryoprobes were used in Aarhus, and reusable 1.9 mm probes in Florence. Pneumothorax was detected in three (23%), mild hemorrhage was seen in one (8%) and moderate hemorrhage in six (46%). The biopsies contributed to the diagnosis in 11 of the patients (85%). CONCLUSION: Using superDimension electromagnetic navigation system when performing cryobiopsies is feasible. A larger prospective trial is necessary to homogenize the technique between centres and to evaluate diagnostic advantage and complications.

Increased use of computed tomography in Denmark: stage shift toward early stage lung cancer through incidental findings.

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography (CT) examinations are increasingly used worldwide and incidental findings are growing likewise. Lung cancer stage at diagnosis is pivotal to survival. The earliest stage of lung cancer, stage IA is in most cases asymptomatic. Potentially, increased use of clinical CTs could induce a stage shift toward earlier lung cancer diagnosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on the number of CT thorax in Denmark and the stage distribution of Danish lung cancer patients 2013-2020 were acquired from, respectively, the Danish Health Data Authority and the Danish Lung Cancer Registry. Clinical auditing of stage IA lung cancer patients was performed in the period 2019-2021 in a Danish region to assess the reasons for referral. Auditing of stage IV lung cancer patients was done to see whether a CT thorax was performed in a two-year period before diagnosis. RESULTS: All regions showed an increase in CTs per 1000 inhabitants. However, the number of CTs performed in 2013 differed by more than 50% among regions, and the increase per year also differed, from an increase of 1.9 to 3.4 more examinations per year. A significant correlation between CTs and fraction of stage IA lung cancers was seen in four out of the five regions. The audit of stage IA lung cancer cases revealed that 86.8% were incidental findings. Audit of stage IV lung cancer found that 4.3% had a nodule/infiltrate on a previous CT within a 2-year period prior to the diagnosis of lung cancer that was the probable origin of stage IV lung cancer. CONCLUSION: The study found that the vast majority of early-stage lung cancers were incidental findings. It highlights that follow-up algorithms of incidental findings should be used in accordance with guidelines and it should be unequivocally how the CT follow-up of pulmonary infiltrates is managed.

Launching a multidisciplinary European collaboration towards a cure for HIV: The EU2Cure Consortium.

We felt the urgency to launch the EU2Cure Consortium to support research and find a cure for the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection through intensified collaboration within Europe. This consortium is open to stakeholders on cure in Europe from academia and the community to connect. The aim of this consortium is to intensify the research collaboration amongst European HIV cure groups and the community and facilitate interactions with other academic and community cure consortia, private parties, and policy makers. Our main aim is to create a European research agenda, data sharing, and development of best practice for clinical and translational science to achieve breakthroughs with clinically feasible HIV cure strategies. This consortium should also enable setting up collaborative studies accessible to a broader group of people living with HIV. Besides reservoir studies, we have identified three overlapping scientific interests in the consortium that provide a starting point for further research within a European network: developing "shock and kill" cure strategies, defining HIV cure biomarkers, and connecting cure cohorts. This strategy should aid stakeholders to sustain progress in HIV cure research regardless of coincidental global health or political crises.

Managing HIV-associated inflammation and ageing in the era of modern ART.

OBJECTIVES: This paper aims to address the concerns around ongoing immune activation, inflammation, and resistance in those ageing with HIV that represent current challenges for clinicians. METHODS: Presentations at a symposium addressing issues of ageing with HIV infection were reviewed and synthesised. RESULTS: The changing natural history and demographics of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals means new challenges in contemporary management. In the early years of the epidemic,management was focussed on acute, potentially life-threatening AIDS-related complications. From initial monotherapy with first-generation antiretroviral therapy (ART), the development of combination highly active ART (HAART) allowed HIV control but ART toxicities, treatment adherence and drug resistance emerged as major issues. Today, the availability of potent and tolerable ART has made viral suppression achievable in most people living with HIV (PLHIV), and clinicians are confronted with managing a chronic condition among an ageing population. The combination of diseases of ageing and the co-morbidities associated with HIV-infection, even when well controlled, results in a complex set of challenges for many older PLHIV. There is a growing appreciation that many non-AIDS-related co-morbidities are caused, at least in part, by persistent, low-grade immune activation, inflammation, and hypercoagulability, despite suppressive ART. CONCLUSIONS: In order to further improve HIV management, it is important to understand the enduring effects of chronically suppressed HIV infection, the potential contribution of these factors to the ageing process, the possibility of drug resistance, and the impact of different treatment strategies, including early ART initiation.

A changing landscape: Temporal trends in incidence and characteristics of patients hospitalized with venous thromboembolism 2006-2015.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) has major clinical and public health impact. However, only sparse data on calendar time trends in incidence from unselected populations reflecting current clinical practice are available. OBJECTIVES: To examine temporal trends in the incidence and characteristics of patients hospitalized with first-time VTE in Denmark between 2006 and 2015. PATIENTS/METHODS: Using nationwide health care registries, we calculated yearly hospitalization rates for first-time VTE from 2006 to 2015. The rates were standardized to the age and sex distribution in 2006. Based on the hospitalization and prescription history of each patient, we assessed the risk profile and evaluated changes over time. RESULTS: We identified 67,426 patients with a first-time VTE hospitalization. The age- and sex-standardized incidence rate increased from 12.6 (95% CI: 12.3-12.9) per 10,000 person years at risk in 2006 to 15.1 (95% CI: 14.7-15.4) in 2015, corresponding to an increase of 19.8%. The increase was due to a 73.9% increase in the standardized incidence rate of pulmonary embolism (PE), whereas no increase was observed for deep vein thrombosis. The risk profile changed with an increasing proportion of elderly patients and patients with comorbidity (proportion of patients with a Charlson's Comorbidity Index score of ≥1). CONCLUSIONS: The hospitalization rate of first-time VTE, and particularly PE, has increased substantially within the last decade in Denmark. In addition, the risk profile of the VTE population has changed with more elderly and more patients with comorbidity being diagnosed. Further efforts are warranted to explore the changes in VTE epidemiology and the clinical implications.

Migration of Aortic Occlusion Balloons in an in vitro model of the human circulation.

BACKGROUND: Aortic Occlusion Balloons (AOB) are used for hemorrhage control in hemodynamically unstable patients. Stability of an AOB is essential for reliable aortic occlusion. The primary aim of this study is to determine whether different types of AOB migrate after total, intermittent or partial occlusion in a porcine aorta positioned in an in vitro model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A porcine thoracic aortic section was positioned in a model of the human circulation. Primary and secondary migration was tested in Cook Coda™ 2-9.0-35-120-32 and 2-10-35-140-46, Cook Medical, USA; Rescue balloon™ Tokai RB-167080-E, Tokai Medical Products, Japan; Reliant™ AB46, Medtronic, USA; Russian prototype AOB; ER-REBOA™, Prytime Medical Devices, USA; LeMaitre™ 28 and 45 Aortic Occlusion Catheter, LeMaitre Vascular, USA. These AOB were tested in hypotensive, normotensive and hypertensive scenarios. Migration in total occlusion, intermittent occlusion and partial occlusion was recorded for all AOB. RESULTS: Limited primary migration occurred in all AOB after total occlusion. The Cook Coda™ 2-9.0-35-120-32 balloon showed maximal migration in 1 test cycle. No migration occurred during intermittent occlusion. Kinking occurs in various degrees but does not seem to prevent a successful occlusion of the aorta. No migration occurred during partial occlusion except in the Russian prototype AOB. In a partial occlusion scenario, distal perfusion occurred only with 5 ml remaining in all balloon types. CONCLUSIONS: All AOB were successful in full aortic occlusion. Limited primary migration occurred in all AOB after total occlusion only the Cook Coda™ 2-9.0-35-120-32 balloon showed maximal migration once. No migration occurred during intermittent occlusion, during partial occlusion only the Russian prototype AOB migrated. Stiffness and size of the catheter are important factors in preventing migration and kinking.

Long-Term Complications of Appendectomy: A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Appendectomy is a common surgical procedure, but no overview of the long-term consequences exists. Our aim was to systematically review the long-term complications of appendectomy for acute appendicitis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This systematic review was reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. A protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42017064662). The databases PubMed and EMBASE were searched for original reports on appendectomy with n ≥ 500 and follow-up >30 days. The surgical outcomes were ileus and incisional hernia; other outcomes were inflammatory bowel disease, cancer, fertility, and mortality. RESULTS: We included 37 studies. The pooled estimate of the ileus prevalence was 1.0% over a follow-up period of 4.6 (range, 0.5-15) years. Regarding incisional hernia, we found a pooled estimate of 0.7% prevalence within a follow-up period of 6.5 (range, 1.9-10) years. Ulcerative colitis had a pooled estimate of 0.15% prevalence in the appendectomy group and 0.19% in controls. The opposite pattern was found regarding Crohn's disease with a pooled estimate of 0.20% prevalence in the appendectomy group and 0.12% in controls. No clear pattern was found regarding most of the examined cancers in appendectomy groups compared with background populations. Pregnancy rates increased after appendicitis compared with controls in most studies. Mortality was low after appendectomy. CONCLUSION: Appendectomy had a low prevalence of long-term surgical complications. We did not find any significant other long-term complications, though the prevalence of Crohn's disease was higher and the prevalence of ulcerative colitis was lower after appendectomy than in controls. Appendectomy did not impair fertility.

Short time window for transmissibility of African swine fever virus from a contaminated environment.

Since the introduction of African swine fever virus (ASFV) into the Baltic states and Poland in 2014, the disease has continued to spread within these regions. In 2017, the virus spread further west and the first cases of disease were reported in the Czech Republic and Romania, in wild boar and domestic pigs, respectively. To control further spread, knowledge of different modes of transmission, including indirect transmission via a contaminated environment, is crucial. Up until now, such an indirect mode of transmission has not been demonstrated. In this study, transmission via an environment contaminated with excretions from ASFV-infected pigs was investigated. Following euthanasia of pigs that were infected with an isolate of ASFV from Poland (POL/2015/Podlaskie/Lindholm), healthy pigs were introduced into the pens, in which the ASFV-infected pigs had been housed. Introduction was performed at 1, 3, 5 or 7 days, following euthanasia of the infected pig groups. Pigs, that were introduced into the contaminated environment after 1 day, developed clinical disease within 1 week, and both ASFV DNA and infectious virus were isolated from their blood. However, pigs introduced into the contaminated pens after 3, 5 or 7 days did not develop any signs of ASFV infection and no viral DNA was detected in blood samples obtained from these pigs within the following 3 weeks. Thus, it was shown that exposure of pigs to an environment contaminated with ASFV can result in infection. However, the time window for transmissibility of ASFV seems very limited, and, within our experimental system, there appears to be a rapid decrease in the infectivity of ASFV in the environment.

Fibrinolysis in trauma: a review.

Fibrinolytic dysregulation is an important mechanism in traumatic coagulopathy. It is an incompletely understood process that consists of a spectrum ranging from excessive breakdown (hyperfibrinolysis) and the shutdown of fibrinolysis. Both hyperfibrinolysis and shutdown are associated with excess mortality and post-traumatic organ failure. The pathophysiology appears to relate to endothelial injury and hypoperfusion, with several molecular markers identified in playing a role. Although there are no universally accepted diagnostic tests, viscoelastic studies appear to offer the greatest potential for timely identification of patients presenting with fibrinolytic dysregulation. Treatment is multimodal, involving prompt hemorrhage control and resuscitation, with controversy surrounding the use of antifibrinolytic drug therapy. This review presents the current evidence on the pathophysiology, diagnostic challenges, as well as the management of this hemostatic dysfunction. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

The TLR9 agonist MGN1703 triggers a potent type I interferon response in the sigmoid colon.

Toll-like receptor 9 (TLR9) agonists are being developed for treatment of colorectal and other cancers, yet the impact of these drugs on human intestines remains unknown. This, together with the fact that there are additional potential indications for TLR9 agonist therapy (e.g., autoimmune and infectious diseases), led us to investigate the impact of MGN1703 (Lefitolimod) on intestinal homeostasis and viral persistence in HIV-positive individuals. Colonic sigmoid biopsies were collected (baseline and week four) from 11 HIV+ individuals on suppressive antiretroviral therapy, who received MGN1703 (60 mg s.c.) twice weekly for 4 weeks in a single-arm, phase 1b/2a study. Within sigmoid mucosa, global transcriptomic analyses revealed 248 modulated genes (false discovery rate<0.05) including many type I interferon (IFN)-stimulated genes. MGN1703 increased the frequencies of cells exhibiting MX1 (P=0.001) and ISG15 (P=0.014) protein expression. No changes were observed in neutrophil infiltration (myeloperoxidase; P=0.97). No systematic effect on fecal microbiota structure was observed (analysis of similarity Global R=-0.105; P=0.929). TLR9 expression at baseline was inversely proportional to the change in integrated HIV DNA during MGN1703 treatment (P=0.020). In conclusion, MGN1703 induced a potent type I IFN response, without a concomitant general inflammatory response, in the intestines.

Effects of pericardiectomy on training- and myocardial infarction-induced left ventricular hypertrophy, chamber dimensions and gene expression.

The primary purpose of the study was to evaluate whether a pericardiectomy (PERI) alters training- or myocardial infarction (MI)-induced left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), chamber geometry, gene expression and/or running performance. Mice were randomized into 6 groups: naïve control (CONT)-sedentary (Sed), CONT-trained (Tr), PERI-Sed, PERI-Tr, MI-Sed and MI-Tr. MI mice also received a pericardiectomy as part of the MI surgical procedure. 10 weeks of treadmill running resulted in enhanced running performance-to-exhaustion in all 3 trained groups (CONT-Tr, PERI-Tr, MI-Tr) compared to sedentary cohorts (P<0.001). Training also resulted in similar increases in normalized LVH (LV/BW) in CONT-Tr and PERI-Tr mice. 2D-echocardiographic evaluation of LV internal chamber dimensions revealed that stroke diameter (SD) was larger in PERI compared to MI (P<0.01) but not CONT mice. Ventricular B-type natriuretic peptide mRNA (BNP) was elevated only in the 2 MI groups. Left ventricle ß1-adrenergic receptor (ß1-AR) and melusin transcripts both demonstrated an overall increase in trained compared to sedentary mice (both P<0.05). Additionally long-term pericardiectomy did not further enhance running performance or increase LV/BW in either sedentary or trained mice.

Mucosal and systemic immune modulation by Trichuris trichiura in a self-infected individual.

Helminthic therapy of immune-mediated diseases has gained attention in recent years, but we know little of how helminths modulate human immunity. In this study, we investigated how self-infection with Trichuris (T.) trichiura in an adult man without intestinal disease affected mucosal and systemic immunity. Colonic mucosal biopsies were obtained at baseline, during T. trichiura infection, and after its clearance following mebendazole treatment. Unexpectedly, the volunteer experienced a Campylobacter colitis following T. trichiura clearance, and this served as a positive infectious control. Trichuris trichiura colonization induced equally increased expressions of T-helper (h)1-, Th2-, Th17- and Treg-associated cytokines and transcription factors, measured by quantitative polymerase chain reaction. We observed several indicators of modulation of systemic immunity during the T. trichiura infection. Plasma eosinophils and anti-Trichuris antibodies rose markedly during the inoculation phase, and a shift towards a Th2-dominated T cell response at the expense of the Th1-response was observed in circulating T cells. Taken together, our findings corroborate that helminths modulate regional and systemic human immunity.

Experimental Infection of Young Pigs with an Early European Strain of Porcine Epidemic Diarrhoea Virus and a Recent US Strain.

Outbreaks of porcine epidemic diarrhoea (PED) were reported across Europe during the 1980s and 1990s, but only sporadic outbreaks occurred in recent years. PED virus (PEDV) spread for the first time into the USA in 2013 and has caused severe economic losses. Retrospectively, it was found that two different strains of PEDV have been introduced into the United States, both are closely related to strains circulating in China where a new wave of the disease occurred from 2010 onwards. Since autumn 2014, new outbreaks of PED have occurred in Europe. In this study, weaned piglets were inoculated with an early European isolate (Br1/87) or faecal/intestinal suspensions derived from pigs infected with a recent European strain of PEDV (from Germany) or a US strain of PEDV. No evidence for infection resulted from inoculation of pigs with the German sample that contained high levels of PEDV RNA; there were no clinical signs, excretion of viral RNA or anti-PEDV antibody production. In contrast, all the pigs in the other two groups showed evidence of infection. Mild clinical signs of disease, mainly diarrhoea, occurred in piglets inoculated with the Br1/87 and US PEDV strains. PEDV RNA was detected throughout the intestine in euthanized animals at 4 days post-inoculation. In addition, within these animals, low levels of viral RNA were detected in lungs and livers with higher levels in spleens. Seroconversion against PEDV occurred in all surviving infected animals within 10 days. PEDV RNA excretion occurred for at least 2 weeks. The US PEDV RNA was detected at low levels in serum samples on multiple days. It is apparent that current diagnostic systems can detect infection by the different virus strains.

Exosomal proteins as prognostic biomarkers in non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Use of exosomes as biomarkers in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is an intriguing approach in the liquid-biopsy era. Exosomes are nano-sized vesicles with membrane-bound proteins that reflect their originating cell. Prognostic biomarkers are needed to improve patient selection for optimal treatment. We here evaluate exosomes by protein phenotyping as a prognostic biomarker in NSCLC. METHODS: Exosomes from plasma of 276 NSCLC patients were phenotyped using the Extracellular Vesicle Array; 49 antibodies captured the proteins on the exosomes, and a cocktail of biotin-conjugated antibodies binding the general exosome markers CD9, CD81 and CD63 was used to visualise the captured exosomes. For each individual membrane-bound protein, results were analysed based on presence, in a concentration-dependent manner, and correlated to overall survival (OS). RESULTS: The 49 proteins attached to the exosomal membrane were evaluated. NY-ESO-1, EGFR, PLAP, EpCam and Alix had a significant concentration-dependent impact on inferior OS. Due to multiple testing, NY-ESO-1 was the only marker that maintained a significant impact on inferior survival (hazard rate (HR) 1.78 95% (1.78-2.44); p = 0.0001) after Bonferroni correction. Results were adjusted for clinico-pathological characteristics, stage, histology, age, sex and performance status. CONCLUSION: We illustrate the promising aspects associated with the use of exosomal membrane-bound proteins as a biomarker and demonstrate that they are a strong prognostic biomarker in NSCLC.

Characterization of a Novel Chimeric Swine Enteric Coronavirus from Diseased Pigs in Central Eastern Europe in 2016.

During a severe outbreak of diarrhoea and vomiting in a pig herd in Central Eastern Europe, faecal samples were tested positive for porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus (PEDV) and negative for transmissible gastroenteritis virus (TGEV) using a commercial RT-qPCR assay that can detect both of these coronaviruses. However, further analyses, using other TGEV- and PEDV-specific RT-qPCR assays, provided results inconsistent with infection by either of these viruses. Sequencing of an amplicon (ca. 1.6 kb), generated by an RT-PCR specific for the PEDV S-gene, indicated a very close similarity (ca. 99% identity) to recently described chimeric viruses termed swine enteric coronaviruses (SeCoVs). These viruses (with an RNA genome of ca. 28 kb) were first identified in Italy in samples from 2009 but have not been detected there since 2012. A closely related virus was detected in archived samples in Germany from 2012, but has not been detected subsequently. Building on the initial sequence data, further amplicons were generated and over 9 kb of sequence corresponding to the 3'-terminus of the new SeCoV genome was determined. Sequence comparisons showed that the three known SeCoVs are ≥98% identical across this region and contain the S-gene and 3a sequences from PEDV within a backbone of TGEV, but the viruses are clearly distinct from each other. It is demonstrated, for the first time, that pigs from within the SeCoV-infected herd seroconverted against PEDV but tested negative in a TGEV-specific ELISA that detects antibodies against the S protein. These results indicate that SeCoV is continuing to circulate in Europe and suggest it can cause a disease that is very similar to PED. Specific detection of the chimeric SeCoVs either requires development of a new diagnostic RT-qPCR assay or the combined use of assays targeting the PEDV S-gene and another part of the TGEV genome.

Meta-analysis of prognostic factors for amputation following surgical repair of lower extremity vascular trauma.

BACKGROUND: Lower extremity vascular trauma (LEVT) is a major cause of amputation. A clear understanding of prognostic factors for amputation is important to inform surgical decision-making, patient counselling and risk stratification. The aim was to develop an understanding of prognostic factors for amputation following surgical repair of LEVT. METHODS: A systematic review was conducted to identify potential prognostic factors. Bayesian meta-analysis was used to calculate an absolute (pooled proportion) and relative (pooled odds ratio, OR) measure of the amputation risk for each factor. RESULTS: Forty-five studies, totalling 3187 discrete LEVT repairs, were included. The overall amputation rate was 10·0 (95 per cent credible interval 7·4 to 13·1) per cent. Significant prognostic factors for secondary amputation included: associated major soft tissue injury (26 versus 8 per cent for no soft tissue injury; OR 5·80), compartment syndrome (28 versus 6 per cent; OR 5·11), multiple arterial injuries (18 versus 9 per cent; OR 4·85), duration of ischaemia exceeding 6 h (24 versus 5 per cent; OR 4·40), associated fracture (14 versus 2 per cent; OR 4·30), mechanism of injury (blast 19 per cent, blunt 16 per cent, penetrating 5 per cent), anatomical site of injury (iliac 18 per cent, popliteal 14 per cent, tibial 10 per cent, femoral 4 per cent), age over 55 years (16 versus 9 per cent; OR 3·03) and sex (men 7 per cent versus women 8 per cent; OR 0·64). Shock and nerve or venous injuries were not significant prognostic factors for secondary amputation. CONCLUSION: A significant proportion of patients who undergo lower extremity vascular trauma repair will require secondary amputation. This meta-analysis describes significant prognostic factors needed to inform surgical judgement, risk assessment and patient counselling.