A model-based strategy for the COVID-19 vaccine roll-out in the Philippines.

COVID-19 has affected millions of people worldwide, causing illness and death, and disrupting daily life while imposing a significant social and economic burden. Vaccination is an important control measure that significantly reduces mortality if properly and efficiently distributed. In this work, an age-structured model of COVID-19 transmission, incorporating an unreported infectious compartment, is developed. Three age groups are considered: young (0-19 years), adult (20-64 years), and elderly (65+ years). The transmission rate and reporting rate are determined for each group by utilizing the number of COVID-19 cases in the National Capital Region in the Philippines. Optimal control theory is employed to identify the best vaccine allocation to different age groups. Further, three different vaccination periods are considered to reflect phases of vaccination priority groups: the first, second, and third account for the inoculation of the elderly, adult and elderly, and all three age groups, respectively. This study could guide in making informed decisions in mitigating a population-structured disease transmission under limited resources.

A Model-Based Strategy on COVID-19 Vaccine Roll-out in the Philippines

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. Millions of people have fallen sick, and some have died due to this affliction that has spread across the globe. The current pandemic has disrupted normal day-to-day human life, causing a profound social and economic burden. Vaccination is an important control measure that could significantly reduce the incidence of cases and mortality if properly and efficiently distributed. In this work, an age-structured model of COVID-19 transmission, incorporating an unreported infectious compartment, is developed. Three age groups are considered, namely: young (0-19 years), adult (20-64 years), and elderly (65+ years). The transmission and reporting rates are determined for each group by utilizing the number of COVID-19 cases in the National Capital Region in the Philippines. Optimal control theory is employed to identify the best vaccine allocation to different age groups. Further, three different vaccination periods are considered to reflect phases of vaccination priority groups: the first, second, and third account for the inoculation of the elderly, adult and elderly, and all three age groups, respectively. This study could guide in making informed decisions in mitigating a population-structured disease transmission under limited resources.

A mathematical model of the dynamics of lymphatic filariasis in Caraga Region, the Philippines.

Despite being one of the first countries to implement mass drug administration (MDA) for elimination of lymphatic filariasis (LF) in 2001 after a pilot study in 2000, the Philippines is yet to eliminate the disease as a public health problem with 6 out of the 46 endemic provinces still implementing MDA for LF as of 2018. In this work, we propose a mathematical model of the transmission dynamics of LF in the Philippines and a control strategy for its elimination using MDA. Sensitivity analysis using the Latin hypercube sampling and partial rank correlation coefficient methods suggests that the infected human population is most sensitive to the treatment parameters. Using the available LF data in Caraga Region from the Philippine Department of Health, we estimate the treatment rates r 1 and r 2 using the least-squares parameter estimation technique. Parameter bootstrapping showed small variability in the parameter estimates. Finally, we apply optimal control theory with the objective of minimizing the infected human population and the corresponding implementation cost of MDA, using the treatment coverage γ as the control parameter. Simulation results highlight the importance of maintaining a high MDA coverage per year to effectively minimize the infected population by the year 2030.

Explicit solution of a Lotka-Sharpe-McKendrick system involving neutral delay differential equations using the r-Lambert W function.

Structured population models, which account for the state of individuals given features such as age, gender, and size, are widely used in the fields of ecology and biology. In this paper, we consider an age-structured population model describing the population of adults and juveniles. The model consists of a system of ordinary and neutral delay differential equations. We present an explicit solution to the model using a generalization of the Lambert W function called the r-Lambert W function. Numerical simulations with varying parameters and initial conditions are done to illustrate the obtained solution. The proposed method is also applied to an insect population model with long larval and short adult phases.

Factors associated with an increased risk of vertebral fracture in monoclonal gammopathies of undetermined significance.

Monoclonal gammopathies of undetermined significance (MGUS) have been shown to be associated with an increased risk of fractures. This study describes prospectively the bone status of MGUS patients and determines the factors associated with vertebral fracture. We included prospectively 201 patients with MGUS, incidentally discovered, and with no known history of osteoporosis: mean age 66.6±12.5 years, 48.3% women, 51.7% immunoglobulin G (IgG), 33.3% IgM and 10.4% IgA. Light chain was kappa in 64.2% patients. All patients had spinal radiographs and bone mineral density measurement in addition to gammopathy assessment. At least one prevalent non-traumatic vertebral fracture was discovered in 18.4% patients and equally distributed between men and women. Fractured patients were older, had a lower bone density and had also more frequently a lambda light chain isotype. Compared with patients with κ light chain, the odds ratio of being fractured for patients with λ light chain was 4.32 (95% confidence interval 1.80-11.16; P=0.002). These results suggest a high prevalence of non-traumatic vertebral fractures in MGUS associated with lambda light chain isotype and not only explained by low bone density.

The importance of EN ISO 15189 accreditation of allergen-specific IgE determination for reliable in vitro allergy diagnosis.

BACKGROUND: Allergen-specific serum immunoglobulin E detection and quantification have become an important step in allergy diagnosis and follow-up. In line with the current trend of laboratory test accreditation to international standards, we set out to design and assess an accreditation procedure for allergen-specific serum IgE. METHODS: Method validation according to the accreditation procedure under the EN ISO 15189 standard was carried out for allergen-specific immunoglobulin E determination using the fluoroimmunoenzymatic method ImmunoCAP(®) (ThermoFisher). Data were produced by 25 hospital laboratories in France. A total of 29 allergen specificities including mixes, extracts, and molecular allergens were assayed. Allergen-specific serum immunoglobulin E concentrations ranged from 0.1 to 100 kUA /l. RESULTS: Repeatability, reproducibility, and accuracy results fulfilled method validation criteria for automated laboratory tests and proved similar irrespective of the allergen specificity, allergen-specific serum immunoglobulin E concentration, or individual laboratory. CONCLUSION: Allergen-specific serum immunoglobulin E determination with the fluoroimmunoenzymatic method ImmunoCAP(®) is a highly repeatable, reproducible, and accurate method which may be considered as a single analyte assay in view of the EN ISO 15189 accreditation procedure.

Prognosis of vasculitis associated myelodysplasia.

Systemic and immune manifestations have been reported in patients with MDS. The correlation between immunological abnormalities and prognosis in myelodysplastic syndrome patients remains controversial. Most of the authors agree that the median survival in myelodysplastic syndrome is not related to the presence of systemic and immune manifestations, but only with the existence of a systemic vasculitis.

Angio-oedema induced by oestrogen contraceptives is mediated by bradykinin and is frequently associated with urticaria.

BACKGROUND: Hereditary C1-inhibitor (C1-Inh) deficiency is associated with 'bradykinin-mediated angio-oedema' (BK-AO) and is believed not to be associated with urticaria. Acquired AO has been related to oestrogen contraceptives. OBJECTIVE: To demonstrate that AO precipitated by oestrogens and characterized by nonfunctional C1-Inh is mediated by BK and to evaluate the occurrence of urticaria in these patients. METHODS: A retrospective evaluation of patients referred for AO related to oestrogen was undertaken. Circulating C1-Inh, high molecular weight kininogen (HK) and enzymes involved in the metabolism of bradykinin were investigated. RESULTS: Fifteen patients were included. HK cleavage concurrent to oestrogen intake was demonstrated in 10 patients with available plasma. Eight patients reported recurrent or chronic urticaria. Discontinuation of the contraceptive resulted in a return to native C1-Inh and HK in all cases studied and to normal kininogenase activity in all but one. The clinical manifestations completely disappeared in 6 patients and improved in 7 after the withdrawal of oestrogen. CONCLUSION: Patients display extensive cleavage of HK in the plasma, which supports that AO precipitated by oestrogen contraception is BK-mediated. Recurrent urticaria may have been underestimated in this context. The presence of recurrent urticaria should not systematically rule out the diagnosis of BK-AO when the history is suggestive.

[Comparison and relevance of rheumatoid factors, antikeratin antibodies and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptides antibodies in rheumatoid arthritis]. / Comparaison et intérêt des dosages des facteurs rhumatoïdes, des anticorps anti-filaggrine (anti-kératine) et des anticorps anti-peptides cycliques citrullinés dans la polyarthrite rhumatoïde.

OBJECTIVES: to evaluate specificity and sensibility of the rheumatoid factors (RF), the anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies (CCP) and the anti-keratin antibodies (AKA) according to the rheumatoid arthritis (RA) diagnosis; pathology other than RA with at least one of these marker positive; the significance of the flocculent fluorescence of the antibodies AKA by indirect immunofluorescence (IIF). METHOD: two hundred forty height patients were studied: 121 RA, 89 inflammatory rheumatisms, 23 non inflammatory rheumatisms, and 15 non rheumatic affections. The RF was investigated by nephelometry, the anti-CCP by immunofluorometry and the AKA by IIF on rat oesophagus. RESULTS: specificity and sensibility were respectively in a retrospective manner: 68% and 83% for the RF, 95% and 76% for the anti- CCP, 83% and 40% for the AKA during RA with evolution of less than one year. The rates of agreements were: RF versus CCP: 81%, RF versus AKA: 57%, CCP versus AKA: 73%. Twelve patients with pathologies different from RA have positive anti-CCP or AKA. Thirty three of the patients with anti-CCP level superior to 130 U/mL have flocculent AKA versus only 5% when the anti-CCP are lower than 130 U/mL. CONCLUSION: the RF and the anti-CCP are complementary in RA. Autoimmune and neoplasic pathologies are sometimes responsible for the positivity of the anti-CCP and the AKA. The flocculent aspect of AKA in IIF may be associated with raised concentrations of anti-CCP.

Antineutrophil cytoplasmic autoantibodies: how should the biologist manage them?

Antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA) are directed against enzymes found in the granules of the polymorphonuclear (PMN) leukocytes. They are detected by indirect immunofluorescence microscopy assays on human ethanol fixed neutrophils. Three different fluorescence patterns can be distinguished: a cytoplasmic pattern (cANCA), a perinuclear pattern (pANCA), and an atypical pattern (aANCA). The use of other fixatives, e.g., formalin and methanol, allows differentiation between the pANCA and the antinuclear antibodies. ANCA specificity is determined by solid phase assays (ELISA, immunodot, and multiplex assay). ANCA with high titres and defined specificities (antiproteinase 3 [PR 3] or antimyeloperoxidase [MPO]) are proven to be good serological markers of active primary systemic vasculitis: c/PR 3-ANCA for Wegener's granulomatosis and p/MPO-ANCA for microscopic polyangiitis. The former have higher sensitivity and specificity for Wegener's granulomatosis than the latter for microscopic polyangiitis. ANCA with low titres and unknown specificity have been detected in a wide range of inflammatory and infectious diseases leading to a critical reappraisal of the diagnostic significance of ANCA testing. Physicians must keep in mind the possible occurrence of infectious diseases like subacute endocarditis that could be dramatically worsened by irrelevant immunosuppressive therapy. ANCA findings in certain manifestations, such as the pulmonary-renal syndrome in which massive pulmonary hemorrhage can quickly be life-threatening, warrant ANCA testing as an emergency test for patient care.

Immune restoration under HAART in patients chronically infected with HIV-1: diversity of T, B, and NK immune responses.

The aim of the study was to follow prospectively the humoral, cellular and innate immune responses under HAART and to verify if a functional restoration of the B lymphocytes could be evaluated by measuring the anti-HIV-1 IgG antibodies avidity index (AI). Eleven HIV-1 infected and immunosuppressed patients were included in the study. Viral load, naive and memory B-cells, CD4 and CD8 T-cells and NK-cells counts, and anti-HIV-1 IgG AI were determined during the follow-up (18 months). Ten patients were sustained responders under HAART and showed a quantitative restoration of the CD4 T-cell counts (+269 x 10(6)/L). The AI decreased for ten subjects (-11%, p = 0.006) but very slowly and continuously. A quantitative restoration of the humoral immune response began, mainly concerning the naive B-cells (+110 x 10(6)/L). Apart from one patient, the CD8 T-cell subset approached the reference values of healthy subjects either by decreasing or increasing their cell levels. No homogeneous evolution was described concerning the NK-cell subset, apart from trend towards increasing in patients with opportunistic infection (range, +58 to +291 x 10(6)/L). Our study, which evaluated simultaneously for the first time to our knowledge the cellular, humoral and innate immune responses showed that HAART induced a large diversity of immune restoration patterns in responder patients. However, the AI measure appears to be a weak marker to evaluate an immune restoration in chronic HIV-1 infected patients under HAART.

Advanced glycation end-products increase monocyte adhesion to retinal endothelial cells through vascular endothelial growth factor-induced ICAM-1 expression: inhibitory effect of antioxidants.

Accumulating evidence indicates a role for advanced glycation end-products (AGEs) in the development of diabetic retinopathy. In the present study, we examined the in vitro effect of AGEs on human monocyte adhesion to bovine retinal endothelial cells (BRECs) and the molecular mechanisms involved in this effect. Treatment of cultured BRECs with AGEs led to a significant increase in monocyte adhesion and intercellular cell adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) expression. These effects were inhibited by antioxidants including gliclazide and vitamins C and E. On the basis of the stimulatory effect of AGEs on vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) secretion by retinal endothelial cells, the role of this growth factor as mediator of AGE-induced monocyte adhesion to BRECs was next investigated. Incubation of BRECs with VEGF increased monocyte adhesion to these cells and enhanced ICAM-1 expression. Treatment of BRECs with an anti-VEGF antibody abrogated AGE-induced monocyte adhesion and ICAM-1 expression. Finally, incubation of BRECs with protein kinase C (PKC) and nuclear factor (NF)-kappaB inhibitors suppressed monocyte adhesion and ICAM-1 expression elicited by AGEs and VEGF. Taken together, these data indicate that AGEs increase monocyte adhesion to BRECs and that this effect is mediated through VEGF-induced ICAM-1 expression. They also demonstrate that this effect is oxidative stress-sensitive and involves PKC and NF-kappaB-dependent signaling pathways.

Signalling pathways involved in retinal endothelial cell proliferation induced by advanced glycation end products: inhibitory effect of gliclazide.

AIM: We have previously demonstrated that advanced glycation end products (AGEs) stimulate bovine retinal endothelial cell (BREC) proliferation through induction of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) production by these cells. We have also shown that gliclazide, a sulfonylurea which decreases oxidative stress, inhibits this effect. The aim of the present study was to characterize the signalling pathways involved in AGE-induced BREC proliferation and VEGF production and mediating the inhibitory effect of gliclazide on these biological events. METHODS: BRECs were treated or not treated with AGEs in the presence or absence of gliclazide, antioxidants, protein kinase C (PKC), mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) or nuclear factor-kappaB (NF-kappaB) inhibitors. BREC proliferation was assessed by measuring [3H]-thymidine incorporation into DNA. Activation of PKC, MAPK and NF-kappaB signal transduction pathways and determination of VEGF expression were assessed by Western blot analysis using specific antibodies. MAPK activity was also determined by an in vitro kinase assay. RESULTS: Treatment of BRECs with AGEs significantly increased cell proliferation and VEGF expression. AGEs induced PKC-beta translocation, extracellular signal-regulated protein kinase 1/2 and NF-kappaB activation in these cells. Pharmacological inhibition of these signalling pathways abolished AGE effects on cell proliferation and VEGF expression. Exposure of BRECs to gliclazide or antioxidants such as vitamin E or N-acetyl-l-cysteine resulted in a significant decrease in AGE-induced activation of PKC-, MAPK- and NF-kappaB-signalling pathways. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate the involvement of PKC, MAPK and NF-kappaB in AGE-induced BREC proliferation and VEGF expression. Gliclazide inhibits BREC proliferation by interfering with these intracellular signal transduction pathways.

Lack of concordance between plasma markers of cardiovascular risk and intima-media thickness in patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIM: Endothelial dysfunction, oxidative stress and systemic inflammation play an important role in the enhanced cardiovascular risk in diabetes. Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), a widely accepted marker of subclinical atherosclerosis, is known to be increased in patients with type 2 diabetes. The relationships between plasma markers of cardiac risk and carotid IMT are not well known. We therefore studied a group of patients with type 2 diabetes to evaluate the relationships between plasma markers of cardiac risk and carotid IMT. DESIGN AND PATIENTS: We measured carotid IMT and the levels of soluble endothelial adhesion molecules [sE-selectin, intercellular cell adhesion molecule-1 (sICAM-1) and vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1)], C-reactive protein (CRP) and 8-isoprostane in 40 patients with type 2 diabetes without clinical macrovascular complications (HbA1c<10%, duration of diabetes<12 years) and 25 healthy subjects. We then examined the correlations between these plasma markers, carotid IMT and various clinical and biochemical parameters. RESULTS: Diabetic patients had higher plasma sE-selectin (p=0.03), sICAM-1 (p=0.05), CRP (p=0.047) and 8-isoprostane (p=0.001) concentrations than control subjects. Mean IMT values were identical (0.63 +/- 0.02 mm) in diabetic (range, 0.40-0.92 mm) and healthy subjects (range, 0.45-0.85 mm). In diabetic patients, stepwise multivariate analysis showed that HbA1c and plasma glucose were independent predictors of sE-selectin (r2=0.19 and r2=0.17, p<0.01, respectively), whereas waist circumference and body mass index (BMI) were predictors of sICAM-1 (r2=0.27, p=0.001 and r2=0.22, p=0.002, respectively). Waist circumference was the only predictor of CRP (r2=0.2, p<0.01), and systolic blood pressure was the only predictor of 8-isoprostane (r2=0.19, p=0.006). In control subjects, similar analysis showed that plasma glucose and waist circumference were predictors of sE-selectin and sICAM-1, respectively (r2=0.2, p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that some well-controlled type 2 diabetic patients free of clinical macrovascular complications have elevated plasma markers of cardiovascular risk without having increased IMT. The elevation of plasma markers of endothelial cell activation (sE-selectin and s-ICAM-1) or inflammation (CRP) and oxidative stress (8-isoprostane) in diabetics vs. controls is distinct from and cannot be explained simply by differences in the burden of atherosclerosis as assessed by carotid IMT.

Antiatherogenic properties of metformin: the experimental evidence.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the major determining factor of morbidity and mortality in type 2 diabetic patients. The established relationship between type 2 diabetes and atherosclerosis has fueled suggestions that anti-diabetic drugs with beneficial effects on CV risk factors may help attenuate the atherosclerotic process in diabetic patients. Metformin is a hypoglycaemic agent widely used in the management of type 2 diabetes. In addition to its insulin-sensitising action, this drug has favourable effects on various CV risk factors and reduces macrovascular complications in obese type 2 diabetic patients. This review summarises in vivo and in vitro experimental evidence on the antiatherogenic properties of metformin.

Lymphopenia in occupational pulmonary silicosis with or without autoimmune disease.

An increased prevalence of autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis has been demonstrated in silica-exposed patients. The aim of this study was to determine the peripheral blood lymphocyte phenotype in a population of silicotic workers employed in the slate mines of the district. Silicosis was assessed in 58 patients according to the International Labor Office's criteria. Clinical and biological data including flow cytometric evaluation of the lymphocyte subsets were compared with those from 41 healthy volunteers. The silicotic patients had a higher prevalence of autoimmune diseases (6/58 versus 0/41: P < 0.05) and of elevated antinuclear antibody titres compared to the control group. A very significant decrease of total lymphocyte count (P < 0.001) involving B, T and Natural Killer cells was found in silicotic patients as compared with matched healthy volunteers. A significant increase in the percentage of activated T cells (12.3%) was observed in the silicotic group as compared to 6.5% in the control group (P = 5 x 10(-5)). Our results show that in silicotic patients, the absolute number of circulating lymphocytes is diminished with an increased proportion of activated T cells. Whether these findings could predispose to the development of autoimmune disorders is discussed.

Gliclazide decreases vascular smooth muscle cell dysfunction induced by cell-mediated oxidized low-density lipoprotein.

Accumulating evidence indicates that oxidative modification of low-density lipoprotein (LDL) plays an important role in vascular dysfunction associated with diabetes mellitus. The aim of the present study was to investigate the effect of gliclazide, a second-generation sulfonylurea with free-radical-scavenging activity, on human aortic smooth muscle cell (HASMC)-mediated LDL oxidation and HASMC dysfunction induced by oxidatively modified LDL. Incubation of HASMCs with native human LDL (100 microg/mL) in the presence of increasing concentrations of gliclazide (1 to 10 microg/mL) resulted in a dose-dependent decrease in HASMC-mediated LDL oxidation. Exposure of HASMCs to gliclazide (1 to 10 microg/mL) and native LDL (100 microg/mL) also led to a dose-dependent decrease in oxidized LDL-induced human monocyte adhesion to HASMCs. In addition, incubation of HASMCs with gliclazide dramatically reduced the ability of oxidized LDL to stimulate the proliferation of these cells. Finally, treatment of HASMCs with gliclazide resulted in a marked decrease in oxidatively modified LDL-induced monocyte chemoattractant protein (MCP)-1 and human heat shock protein 70 (hsp 70) expression, both at the gene and protein levels. These results show that gliclazide, at concentrations in the therapeutic range (5 to 10 microg/mL), is effective in vitro in reducing vascular smooth muscle cell (VSMC) dysfunction induced by oxidatively modified LDL. These observations suggest that administration of gliclazide to type 2 diabetic patients could form part of the strategy for the prevention and management of diabetic cardiovascular diseases.

Direct regulatory effect of fatty acids on macrophage lipoprotein lipase: potential role of PPARs.

Atherosclerosis is a major complication of type 2 diabetes. The pathogenesis of this complication is poorly understood, but it clearly involves production in the vascular wall of macrophage (Mo) lipoprotein lipase (LPL). Mo LPL is increased in human diabetes. Peripheral factors dysregulated in diabetes, including glucose and free fatty acids (FAs), may contribute to this alteration. We previously reported that high glucose stimulates LPL production in both J774 murine and human Mo. In the present study, we evaluated the direct effect of FAs on murine Mo LPL expression and examined the involvement of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors (PPARs) in this effect. J774 Mo were cultured for 24 h with 0.2 mmol/l unsaturated FAs (arachidonic [AA], eicosapentaenoic [EPA], and linoleic acids [LA]) and monounsaturated (oleic acid [OA]) and saturated FAs (palmitic acid [PA] and stearic acid [SA]) bound to 2% bovine serum albumin. At the end of this incubation period, Mo LPL mRNA expression, immunoreactive mass, activity, and synthetic rate were measured. Incubation of J774 cells with LA, PA, and SA significantly increased Mo LPL mRNA expression. In contrast, exposure of these cells to AA and EPA dramatically decreased this parameter. All FAs, with the exception of EPA and OA, increased extra- and intracellular LPL immunoreactive mass and activity. Intracellular LPL mass and activity paralleled extracellular LPL mass and activity in all FA-treated cells. In Mo exposed to AA, LA, and PA, an increase in Mo LPL synthetic rate was observed. To evaluate the role of PPARs in the modulatory effect of FAs on Mo LPL gene expression, DNA binding assays were performed. Results of these experiments demonstrate an enhanced binding of nuclear proteins extracted from all FA-treated Mo to the peroxisome proliferator-response element (PPRE) consensus sequence of the LPL promoter. PA-, SA-, and OA-stimulated binding activity was effectively diminished by immunoprecipitation of the nuclear proteins with anti-PPAR-alpha antibodies. In contrast, anti-PPAR-gamma antibodies only significantly decreased AA-induced binding activity. Overall, these results provide the first evidence for a direct regulatory effect of FAs on Mo LPL and suggest a potential role of PPARs in the regulation of Mo LPL gene expression by FAs.