Target strength measurements of individual sub-Arctic krill have frequency-dependent differences from scattering model predictions.

Target strength (TS) is commonly used to convert acoustic backscatter from marine organisms to numerical abundance estimates. Shipboard, tank-based TS measurements were made on four sub-Arctic krill species (Euphausia pacifica, Thysanoessa spinifera, Thysanoessa inermis, and Thysanoessa raschii) from the eastern Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska at discrete frequencies between 42 and 455 kHz. These measurements were compared to scattering model predictions parameterized with data from the same (when possible) individual krill. Statistically significant differences between modeled and experimental estimates at 42, 45, 120, and 131 kHz exceeded 2 dB on average. Variability in the signal-to-noise ratio, animal length, and measurements from two separate narrowband and broadband transducer pairs (at those frequencies) did not account for these differences. Scattering predictions at 120 and 131 kHz were consistent with the expected transition from Rayleigh-to-geometric scattering where models become increasingly sensitive to orientation and body shape variability. Disagreement between modeled and measured TS may be due to using scattering models developed for, and validated on, larger krill (i.e., Euphausia superba) rather than smaller species of krill. Acoustic surveys of smaller (15-30 mm) krill may require further validation of both the generalizability and parameterization of applied scattering models.

Using a climate attribution statistic to inform judgments about changing fisheries sustainability.

Sustainability-maintaining catches within the historical range of socially and ecologically acceptable values-is key to fisheries success. Climate change may rapidly threaten sustainability, and recognizing these instances is important for effective climate adaptation. Here, we present one approach for evaluating changing sustainability under a changing climate. We use Bayesian regression models to compare fish population processes under historical climate norms and emerging anthropogenic extremes. To define anthropogenic extremes we use the Fraction of Attributable Risk (FAR), which estimates the proportion of risk for extreme ocean temperatures that can be attributed to human influence. We illustrate our approach with estimates of recruitment (production of young fish, a key determinant of sustainability) for two exploited fishes (Pacific cod Gadus macrocephalus and walleye pollock G. chalcogrammus) in a rapidly warming ecosystem, the Gulf of Alaska. We show that recruitment distributions for both species have shifted towards zero during anthropogenic climate extremes. Predictions based on the projected incidence of anthropogenic temperature extremes indicate that expected recruitment, and therefore fisheries sustainability, is markedly lower in the current climate than during recent decades. Using FAR to analyze changing population processes may help fisheries managers and stakeholders to recognize situations when historical sustainability expectations should be reevaluated.

Timing of ice retreat alters seabird abundances and distributions in the southeast Bering Sea.

Timing of spring sea-ice retreat shapes the southeast Bering Sea food web. We compared summer seabird densities and average bathymetry depth distributions between years with early (typically warm) and late (typically cold) ice retreat. Averaged over all seabird species, densities in early-ice-retreat-years were 10.1% (95% CI: 1.1-47.9%) of that in late-ice-retreat-years. In early-ice-retreat-years, surface-foraging species had increased numbers over the middle shelf (50-150 m) and reduced numbers over the shelf slope (200-500 m). Pursuit-diving seabirds showed a less clear trend. Euphausiids and the copepod Calanus marshallae/glacialis were 2.4 and 18.1 times less abundant in early-ice-retreat-years, respectively, whereas age-0 walleye pollock Gadus chalcogrammus near-surface densities were 51× higher in early-ice-retreat-years. Our results suggest a mechanistic understanding of how present and future changes in sea-ice-retreat timing may affect top predators like seabirds in the southeastern Bering Sea.

Material properties of euphausiids and other zooplankton from the Bering Sea.

Acoustic assessment of Bering Sea euphausiids and their predators can provide useful data for ecosystem studies if the acoustic scattering characteristics of these animals are known. The amount of acoustic energy that is scattered by different marine zooplankton taxa is strongly affected by the contrast of the animal's density (g) and sound speed (h) with the surrounding seawater. Density and sound speed contrast were measured in the Bering Sea during the summer of 2008 for several different zooplankton and nekton taxa including: euphausiids (Thysanoessa inermis, Thysanoessa raschii, and Thysanoessa spinifera), copepods, amphipods, chaetognaths, gastropods, fish larvae, jellyfish, and squid. Density contrast values varied between different taxa as well as between individual animals within the same species. Sound speed contrast was measured for monospecific groups of animals and differences were found among taxa. The range, mean, and standard deviation of g and h for all euphausiid species were: g = 1.001-1.041; 1.018 ± 0.009 and h = 0.990-1.017; 1.006 ± 0.008. Changes in the relationship between euphausiid material properties and animal length, seawater temperature, seawater density, and geographic location were also evaluated. Results suggest that environmental conditions at different sample locations led to significant differences in animal density and material properties.