Uncertainty Analysis of Time-Integrated Activity Coefficient in Single-Time-Point Dosimetry Using Bayesian Fitting Method.

Purpose: Calculation of the uncertainty of the individual time-integrated activity coefficient (TIACs) is desirable in molecular radiotherapy. However, the calculation of TIAC's uncertainty in single-time-point (STP) method has never been reported in the literature. This study presents a method based on the Bayesian fitting (BF) to calculate the standard deviation (SD) of individual TIACs in the STP dosimetry. Methods: Biokinetic data of 177Lu-DOTATATE in kidneys were obtained from PMID33443063. BF methods with extended objective function, which optimize the fitting using prior knowledge of the function's parameters, were used. Reference TIACs (rTIACs) were calculated by fitting a mono-exponential function to the all-time-point data. The goodness of fit was checked based on the visual inspection and the coefficient of variations (CV) of the fitted parameters < 0.5. BF with relative (BFr) and absolute-based (BFa) variance methods were used to obtain the calculated TIACs (cTIACs) from the STP dosimetry. Performance of the STP method was obtained by calculating the relative deviation (RD) between cTIACs and rTIACs. Results: Visual inspection showed a good fit for all patients with CV of fitted parameters less than 50%. The mean ± SD of cTIAC's %RD were 7.0 ± 25.2 for BFr and 2.6 ± 8.9 for BFa. The range of %CV of the individual cTIAC's SD for BFr and BFa methods was 36-78% and 22-33%, respectively, while the %CV of the rTIAC SD was 0.8-49%. Conclusion: We introduce the BF method to calculate the SD of individual TIACs in STP dosimetry. The presented method might be used as an alternative method for uncertainty analysis in STP dosimetry. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13139-024-00851-8.

Population-based model selection for an accurate estimation of time-integrated activity using non-linear mixed-effects modelling.

PURPOSE: Personalized treatment planning in Molecular Radiotherapy (MRT) with accurately determining the absorbed dose is highly desirable. The absorbed dose is calculated based on the Time-Integrated Activity (TIA) and the dose conversion factor. A crucial unresolved issue in MRT dosimetry is which fit function to use for the TIA calculation. A data-driven population-based fitting function selection could help solve this problem. Therefore, this project aims to develop and evaluate a method for accurately determining TIAs in MRT, which performs a Population-Based Model Selection within the framework of the Non-Linear Mixed-Effects (NLME-PBMS) model. METHODS: Biokinetic data of a radioligand for the Prostate-Specific Membrane Antigen (PSMA) for cancer treatment were used. Eleven fit functions were derived from various parameterisations of mono-, bi-, and tri-exponential functions. The functions' fixed and random effects parameters were fitted (in the NLME framework) to the biokinetic data of all patients. The goodness of fit was assumed acceptable based on the visual inspection of the fitted curves and the coefficients of variation of the fitted fixed effects. The Akaike weight, the probability that the model is the best among the whole set of considered models, was used to select the fit function most supported by the data from the set of functions with acceptable goodness of fit. NLME-PBMS Model Averaging (MA) was performed with all functions having acceptable goodness of fit. The Root-Mean-Square Error (RMSE) of the calculated TIAs from individual-based model selection (IBMS), a shared-parameter population-based model selection (SP-PBMS) reported in the literature, and the functions from NLME-PBMS method to the TIAs from MA were calculated and analysed. The NLME-PBMS (MA) model was used as the reference as this model considers all relevant functions with corresponding Akaike weights. RESULTS: The function [Formula: see text] was selected as the function most supported by the data with an Akaike weight of (54 ±â€¯11) %. Visual inspection of the fitted graphs and the RMSE values show that the NLME model selection method has a relatively better or equivalent performance than the IBMS or SP-PBMS methods. The RMSEs of the IBMS, SP-PBMS, and NLME-PBMS (f3a) methods are 7.4%, 8.8%, and 2.4%, respectively. CONCLUSION: A procedure including fitting function selection in a population-based method was developed to determine the best fit function for calculating TIAs in MRT for a given radiopharmaceutical, organ and set of biokinetic data. The technique combines standard practice approaches in pharmacokinetics, i.e. an Akaike-weight-based model selection and the NLME model framework.

Single-time-point dosimetry using model selection and nonlinear mixed-effects modelling: a proof of concept.

PURPOSE: This project aims to develop and evaluate a method for accurately determining time-integrated activities (TIAs) in single-time-point (STP) dosimetry for molecular radiotherapy. It performs a model selection (MS) within the framework of the nonlinear mixed-effects (NLME) model (MS-NLME). METHODS: Biokinetic data of [111In]In-DOTATATE activity in kidneys at T1 = (2.9 ± 0.6) h, T2 = (4.6 ± 0.4) h, T3 = (22.8 ± 1.6) h, T4 = (46.7 ± 1.7) h, and T5 = (70.9 ± 1.0) h post injection were obtained from eight patients using planar imaging. Eleven functions were derived from various parameterisations of mono-, bi-, and tri-exponential functions. The functions' fixed and random effects parameters were fitted simultaneously (in the NLME framework) to the biokinetic data of all patients. The Akaike weights were used to select the fit function most supported by the data. The relative deviations (RD) and the root-mean-square error (RMSE) of the calculated TIAs for the STP dosimetry at T3 = (22.8 ± 1.6) h and T4 = (46.7 ± 1.7) h p.i. were determined for all functions passing the goodness-of-fit test. RESULTS: The function [Formula: see text] with four adjustable parameters and [Formula: see text] was selected as the function most supported by the data with an Akaike weight of (45 ± 6) %. RD and RMSE values show that the MS-NLME method performs better than functions with three or five adjustable parameters. The RMSEs of TIANLME-PBMS and TIA3-parameters were 7.8% and 10.9% (for STP at T3), and 4.9% and 10.7% (for STP at T4), respectively. CONCLUSION: An MS-NLME method was developed to determine the best fit function for calculating TIAs in STP dosimetry for a given radiopharmaceutical, organ, and patient population. The proof of concept was demonstrated for biokinetic 111In-DOTATATE data, showing that four-parameter functions perform better than three- and five-parameter functions.

Single-time-point estimation of absorbed doses in PRRT using a non-linear mixed-effects model.

INTRODUCTION: Estimation of accurate time-integrated activity coefficients (TIACs) and radiation absorbed doses (ADs) is desirable for treatment planning in peptide-receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT). This study aimed to investigate the accuracy of a simplified dosimetry using a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model, a nonlinear mixed effect (NLME) model, and single-time-point imaging to calculate the TIACs and ADs of 90Y-DOTATATE in various organs of dosimetric interest and tumors. MATERIALS & METHODS: Biokinetic data of 111In-DOTATATE in tumors, kidneys, liver, spleen, and whole body were obtained from eight patients using planar scintigraphic imaging at T1 = (2.9 ±â€¯0.6), T2 = (4.6 ±â€¯0.4), T3 = (22.8 ±â€¯1.6), T4 = (46.7 ±â€¯1.7) and T5 = (70.9 ±â€¯1.0) h post injection. Serum activity concentration was measured at 5 and 15 min; 0.5, 1, 2, and 4 h; and 1, 2, and 3 d p.i.. A published PBPK model for PRRT, NLME, and a single-time-point imaging datum at different time points were used to calculate TIACs in tumors, kidneys, liver, spleen, whole body, and serum. Relative deviations (RDs) (median [min, max]) between the calculated TIACs from single-time-point imaging were compared to the TIACs calculated from the all-time-points fit. The root mean square error (RMSE) of the difference between the computed ADs from the single-time-point imaging and reference ADs from the all-time point fittings were analyzed. A joint root mean square error RMSEjoint of the ADs was calculated with the RSME from both the tumor and kidneys to sort the time points concerning accurate results for the kidneys and tumor dosimetry. The calculations of TIACs and ADs from the single-time-point dosimetry were repeated using the sum of exponentials (SOE) approach introduced in the literature. The RDs and the RSME of the PBPK approach in our study were compared to the SOE approach. RESULTS: Using the PBPK and NLME models and the biokinetic measurements resulted in a good fit based on visual inspection of the fitted curves and the coefficient of variation CV of the fitted parameters (<50%). T4 was identified being the time point with a relatively low median and range of TIACs RDs, i.e., 5 [1, 21]% and 2 [-15, 21]% for kidneys and tumors, respectively. T4 was found to be the time point with the lowest joint root mean square error RMSEjoint of the ADs. Based on the RD and RMSE, our results show a similar performance as the SOE and NLME model approach. SUMMARY: In this study, we introduced a simplified calculation of TIACs/ADs using a PBPK model, an NLME model, and a single-time-point measurement. Our results suggest a single measurement might be used to calculate TIACs/ADs in the kidneys and tumors during PRRT.

A population-based method to determine the time-integrated activity in molecular radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: The calculation of time-integrated activities (TIAs) for tumours and organs is required for dosimetry in molecular radiotherapy. The accuracy of the calculated TIAs is highly dependent on the chosen fit function. Selection of an adequate function is therefore of high importance. However, model (i.e. function) selection works more accurately when more biokinetic data are available than are usually obtained in a single patient. In this retrospective analysis, we therefore developed a method for population-based model selection that can be used for the determination of individual time-integrated activities (TIAs). The method is demonstrated at an example of [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-I&T kidneys biokinetics. It is based on population fitting and is specifically advantageous for cases with a low number of available biokinetic data per patient. METHODS: Renal biokinetics of [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-I&T from thirteen patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer acquired by planar imaging were used. Twenty exponential functions were derived from various parameterizations of mono- and bi-exponential functions. The parameters of the functions were fitted (with different combinations of shared and individual parameters) to the biokinetic data of all patients. The goodness of fits were assumed as acceptable based on visual inspection of the fitted curves and coefficients of variation CVs < 50%. The Akaike weight (based on the corrected Akaike Information Criterion) was used to select the fit function most supported by the data from the set of functions with acceptable goodness of fit. RESULTS: The function [Formula: see text] with shared parameter [Formula: see text] was selected as the function most supported by the data with an Akaike weight of 97%. Parameters [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] were fitted individually for every patient while parameter [Formula: see text] was fitted as a shared parameter in the population yielding a value of 0.9632 ± 0.0037. CONCLUSIONS: The presented population-based model selection allows for a higher number of parameters of investigated fit functions which leads to better fits. It also reduces the uncertainty of the obtained Akaike weights and the selected best fit function based on them. The use of the population-determined shared parameter for future patients allows the fitting of more appropriate functions also for patients for whom only a low number of individual data are available.