Illustrating anticipatory life cycle assessment for emerging photovoltaic technologies.

Current research policy and strategy documents recommend applying life cycle assessment (LCA) early in research and development (R&D) to guide emerging technologies toward decreased environmental burden. However, existing LCA practices are ill-suited to support these recommendations. Barriers related to data availability, rapid technology change, and isolation of environmental from technical research inhibit application of LCA to developing technologies. Overcoming these challenges requires methodological advances that help identify environmental opportunities prior to large R&D investments. Such an anticipatory approach to LCA requires synthesis of social, environmental, and technical knowledge beyond the capabilities of current practices. This paper introduces a novel framework for anticipatory LCA that incorporates technology forecasting, risk research, social engagement, and comparative impact assessment, then applies this framework to photovoltaic (PV) technologies. These examples illustrate the potential for anticipatory LCA to prioritize research questions and help guide environmentally responsible innovation of emerging technologies.

Ovarian irradiation and prednisone following surgery and radiotherapy for carcinoma of the breast.

Following mastectomy, patients aged 35 to 76 years with operable breast cancer underwent postoperative irradiation of the chest wall and regional lymph nodes. They were then assigned at random to receive no further therapy (NT), ovarian irradiation (R) 2000 rads in 5 days, or ovarian irradiation in the same dosage plus prednisone (R + P) 7.5 mg daily for up to five years. A total of 703 eligible patients received the randomly assigned treatment. The median follow up was 21 years with a range of 14 to 25 years. Overall, there was a delay in recurrence (p = 0.03) and survival was prolonged (p = 0.19) for patients who received R, but in neither case was the difference significant after adjusting for the multiplicity in our data. Overall, patients who received R + P experienced a significant delay in recurrence (p = 0.0003) and a significantly prolonged survival (p = 0.005), even after adjusting for multiple comparisons. In premenopausal patients who received R, the recurrence of breast cancer was delayed and survival prolonged, but not significantly. In premenopausal women aged 45 years or more, R + P therapy significantly prolonged survival (p = 0.0004), while the delay in recurrence although significant (p = 0.02) was only marginally so after allowance for multiple comparisons. No value was demonstrated for ovarian irradiation with or without prednisone therapy in postmenopausal patients. A new finding in this review was that contralateral breast cancer as the first failure was reduced by R + P compared to NT in the overall group.

Long-term results of bone marrow transplantation for patients with AML, ALL and CML prepared with single dose total body irradiation of 500 cGy delivered with a high dose rate.

One hundred and sixty-six patients between the ages of 12 and 48 years with acute myelogenous leukemia (AML), acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) or chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML) underwent allogeneic bone marrow transplantation following single fraction total body irradiation (TBI) of 500 cGy from a cobalt source. Patients also received one of three chemotherapeutic regimens according to their diagnosis or disease status at time of transplant. The median follow-up was 67 months with a range of 33-120 months. The actuarial 5-year event-free survival (EFS) for the subgroup of patients with good risk disease (first complete remission AML and ALL or first chronic phase CML) was 43% with an actuarial relapse rate at 5 years of 26%. Patients with poor risk disease (other than first remission AML and ALL or other than first chronic phase CML) had an EFS at 5 years of 15% with a relapse rate of 62%. Disease status at the time of transplantation was the most important factor predicting outcome in this patient population. We conclude that preparation of good risk patients with chemotherapy and single fraction TBI of 500 cGy at a dose rate of 42-91 cGy/min resulted in EFS and relapse rates similar to those observed by centers using fractionated radiotherapy schedules, without a concomitant increase in toxicity, in particular interstitial pneumonitis and cataracts.

Bladder cancer: long-term follow-up results of patients treated with radical radiation.

Carcinoma of the bladder is commonly treated for cure with external beam radiation. Whilst short-term results are associated with a good chance of disease control there is little information about the long-term results of such therapy. We present a retrospective review of the Princess Margaret Hospital experience in treating transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder and emphasis on the long-term follow-up of patients treated with radiotherapy (XRT). Between 1972 and 1980, 355 patients were treated with a radical course of external beam radiation. The overall survival was 20% at 10 years and the cause-specific survival was 32%. Radiation treatment resulted in a long-term bladder preservation in at least 25% of patients. The majority of long-term survivors without evidence of relapse were patients with T1 (solitary tumours), T2 and T3a tumours. This subgroup represents patients with disease favourable for treatment with radiation. Factors affecting response to the XRT and survival included T stage and tumour bulk. Radiation complications were frequent and were usually associated with local disease recurrence.

Treatment of metastatic prostatic cancer with low-dose prednisone: evaluation of pain and quality of life as pragmatic indices of response.

Thirty-seven men with symptomatic bone metastases from prostate cancer that had progressed following earlier treatment with estrogens and/or orchidectomy were treated with low-dose prednisone (7.5 to 10 mg daily). The rationale for this treatment was that some patients might still have hormone-sensitive disease that was stimulated by weak androgens of adrenal origin, and that these androgens could be suppressed by prednisone through its negative feedback on secretion of adrenocorticotrophic hormone (ACTH). Response to treatment was assessed by requirement for analgesics, by the McGill-Melzack pain questionnaire, and by a series of 17 linear analog self-assessment (LASA) scales relating to pain and to various aspects of quality of life. Fourteen patients (38%) had improvement in indices used to assess pain at 1 month after starting prednisone, and seven patients (19%) maintained this improvement for 3 to 30 months (median, 4 months). Reduction in pain was associated with improvement in other dimensions of quality of life, and in the scale for overall well-being. Prednisone treatment led to a decrease in the concentration of serum testosterone in seven of nine patients where it was not initially suppressed below 2 nmol/L, and caused a decrease in serum levels of androstenedione and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate in more than 50% of patients. Symptomatic response was associated with a decrease in serum concentration of adrenal androgens. We conclude that (1) low-dose prednisone may cause useful relief of pain in some patients with advanced prostatic cancer; (2) relief of pain was associated with suppression of adrenal androgens; and (3) measures of pain and quality of life can be used to assess possible benefits of systemic therapy in patients with metastatic prostate cancer.

Half-body radiotherapy in the treatment of canine lymphoma.

In a Phase I-II study, half-body radiotherapy was used to treat 14 dogs with multicentric lymphoma. Using this technique, a radiation dose of 7 Gray (Gy) was delivered to one half of the body in a single exposure. The other half of the body was treated approximately 28 days later. Of 14 treated dogs, 11 (79%) had a measurable decrease in tumor size. Five dogs achieved a complete or partial remission with a mean duration of 102 and 54 days, respectively. In predicting response to therapy, poor prognostic factors included large tumor burdens, advanced disease stage, and chemotherapy-resistant tumors. Side effects of treatment were divided chronologically into acute (radiation sickness, tumor lysis), subacute (bone marrow suppression), and chronic (radiation pneumonitis, lymphoma-cell leukemia) syndromes. Complications were more severe in tumor-bearing dogs when compared with healthy control animals. Dogs with small tumor burdens and minimal internal disease had fewer complications compared with those with more advanced disease.

Half-body radiotherapy. Evaluation of the technique in normal dogs.

Eight healthy mongrel dogs were treated with half-body irradiation (HBI) in a pilot study to evaluate the technique and radiotolerance of different organs. Cranial and caudal half-body fields were established using the 13th thoracic vertebra as the dividing point. Under general anesthesia, either 7 or 8 Gray (Gy) were delivered to one half of the body using opposing radiation portals. The other half of the body was similarly treated 28 days later. The dogs were monitored for 12 months. Significant radiation effects included transient bone marrow suppression and radiation sickness. There were no serious or life-threatening problems, but the 8 Gy group consistently showed more severe clinical signs and histologic changes than the 7 Gy group. Total body irradiation in two fractions of 7 or 8 Gy given 1 month apart appears to be a safe treatment that can be developed for therapy in veterinary oncology.

Poor prognosis metastatic gestational trophoblastic disease: experience with moderate dose methotrexate plus folinic acid rescue as initial therapy.

From 1971 to 1981, twenty patients with poor-prognosis metastatic gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (GTN) were treated with moderate-dose methotrexate (1 g) and folinic-acid rescue (MD-MTX-FAR) as initial therapy. Seven (35%) were cured with MD-MTX-FAR, and salvage chemotherapy was successful in an additional seven, for a total cure rate of 70%. The ultimate outcome is similar to that reported for MAC triple therapy during this era. Hematologic and mucosal toxicity were negligible and no serious complications were encountered. We now use combination chemotherapy in patients with poor-prognosis GTN as first-line treatment. However, these results suggest that there may be advantages to the incorporation of MD-MTX-FAR in combination regimens in place of low-dose methotrexate, because of reduced toxicity and potential benefits for the prophylaxis and treatment of cerebral metastases.

Ewing's sarcoma: a trial of adjuvant chemotherapy and sequential half-body irradiation.

The results of a pilot study using adjuvant chemotherapy and sequential half-body irradiation (HBI) for nonmetastatic Ewing's sarcoma are presented. Seventeen patients received Cyclophosphamide, Vincristine, and Adriamycin (8 cycles), followed by sequential radiation treatment of the upper (500 cGy) and lower (600 cGy) half body. Survival at 3 years was 49%. These results are contrasted with those for 18 concurrently treated patients who received standard adjuvant therapy. Overall 5-year survival and relapse-free survival for these 35 consecutive patients was 61 and 53%. The pilot protocol was given on an out-patient basis with limited and acceptable acute toxicology. Further study is necessary to determine the value of the pilot protocol.

Postoperative local abdominal irradiation for cancer of the colon above the peritoneal reflection.

A retrospective analysis of 82 patients with cancer of the colon above the peritoneal reflection who received postoperative local abdominal irradiation was undertaken to assess the survival, patterns of failure, and toxicity of treatment. Forty-eight patients (adjuvant group) had a complete resection, but were felt to be at high risk for local relapse and received postoperative local abdominal irradiation. Thirty-four patients had gross residual disease following surgery. The 5-year actuarial survival and local relapse free survival were 67 and 67%, respectively, in the adjuvant group. In this group, local relapse was observed in 9 of 28 patients with Stage C disease in contrast to 3 of 20 patients with Stage B2 disease; 1 of 14 patients with lesions in the right colon failed locally compared to 11 of 35 patients with lesions in the left. Only 2 of the 34 patients with gross residual disease remained relapse free from 93% of patients having a component of local failure. The majority of the treatment morbidity was seen in patients with gross residual disease. Prospective randomized studies should be done to determine the efficacy of postoperative irradiation in patients with colon carcinoma who are at high risk for local recurrence following surgical resection.

Radical radiation therapy with 5-fluorouracil infusion and mitomycin C for oesophageal squamous carcinoma.

Thirty-five patients with clinically staged non-metastatic squamous carcinoma of the oesophagus were treated with radiation combined with mitomycin C, and 5-fluorouracil (5-FUra) infusion. Twenty patients were planned for a split course regimen 2250-2500 cGy in 10 fractions and chemotherapy. This dose of radiation to be repeated with another course of chemotherapy after 4 weeks rest. Fifteen patients were planned for a single course 4500-5000 cGy in 20 fractions and a single course of chemotherapy. Thirty-one patients are available for a minimum follow-up of one year, 26 patients for a minimum follow-up of 2 years. All 35 patients are included in the survival and local relapse-free analysis. Survival at one year is 47% and at 2 years 28%. The local relapse-free rate at both one and 2 years is 48%. There was an improvement in survival and local relapse-free rate for the single course regimen compared to the split course; 2 years survival 48% versus 12% (p = 0.24) local relapse-free rate 79% versus 27% (p = 0.07). All patients receiving radiation and chemotherapy were compared with historical controls treated by radiation alone. This matching procedure was done independent of knowledge of outcome (two controls were matched/case). Patients were matched for age, sex. TNM stage, and total radiation dose. There was a significant difference in survival p = 0.004 and local relapse-free rate p = 0.05 for patients receiving radiation and chemotherapy.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Carcinoma of the tonsil: the effect of dose-time-volume factors on local control.

Between 1970 and 1979, 372 patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the tonsil were treated with primary irradiation therapy, with salvage surgery for failures. The median age was 60 years and the male to female ratio was 2:1. The staging system used was the 1974 UICC TNM system. There were 47 T1 lesions (13%), 161 T2 lesions (43%), and 164 T3 lesions (44%). Regional nodes were not palpable in 173 (46%); 122 had N1 nodes (33%), 6 had N2 nodes (2%) and 71 had N3 nodes (19%). All patients received external beam radiation which was supplemented in 68 patients with a radioactive implant for disease into adjacent tongue. The overall survival for all patients was 38% at 5 years and 54% when corrected for intercurrent disease. Local control was 87% for T1 lesions, 68% for T2 lesions and 50% for T3 lesions. Regional control was 96% for N0, 67% for N1 and 37% for N2-3. A detailed dose-time-volume analysis revealed that increasing volume improved local control in T1 and T2 lesions (77% had local control if the volume was greater than 80 cm2 versus 53% if the volume was less than 80 cm2, p = 0.014), except for T3 lesions. Increasing the dose in the range of 5000 to 6500 rad had no significant effect on primary control in any stage of disease. The addition of a radioactive implant did not increase local control if disease extended into the tongue (57% local control if implant, 52% if no implant). This study demonstrates the significance of adequate treatment volume in local control for carcinoma of the tonsil. No significant dose response was found and subsequent surgery was not compromised when a moderate dose of radiation was used.

Eye sparing in high energy X ray beams.

Treatment of cancer of the antrum and nasopharynx often includes the radiation of tissues close to an uninvolved eye. One treatment method consists of using an anterior high energy X ray beam directed to the tumor through the eye. To maintain a high dose adjacent to and behind the eye while reducing the entrance dose to the eye, build-up material is placed on the skin and a tunnel cut through to the eye. When the build-up material is tissue-like, the tunnel can be several centimeters in height and scattered radiation from the tunnel walls will largely offset the build-up properties of the beam. Using higher density build-up material, the dose to the superficial layers of the eye can be reduced almost to the limit set by the open beam characteristics. This technique has been used successfully for 8 years.

Magnetic resonance imaging of the prostate.

Twenty-two normal volunteers and 32 patients with either benign prostatic hypertrophy or prostatic carcinoma were examined by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The images were of high quality and clearly demonstrated the prostate gland and the surrounding anatomy but were of limited value in differentiating between benign and malignant prostatic disease. Using a specific pulse sequence, the authors were able to visualize what they believed to be the periprostatic venous plexus and suggest that the demonstration of this venous plexus may be of value in showing extraglandular spread of carcinoma of the prostate.

Myeloproliferative disorders in patients with rheumatoid arthritis treated with total body irradiation.

Four patients with refractory rheumatoid arthritis were treated with total body irradiation administered in two sittings, 300 to 400 rads to each half of the body. All four patients had taken antimetabolites prior to receiving total body irradiation, and two continued to use them after total body irradiation. Two patients had taken alkylating agents before, and one had used them after total body irradiation. All patients showed clinical improvement. However, in two patients myeloproliferative disorders developed: a myelodysplastic preleukemia at 40 months after total body irradiation in one and acute myelogenous leukemia at 25 months in the other. Total body irradiation differs from total nodal irradiation in the total dose of irradiation (300 to 400 rads versus 2,000 to 3,000), and in the duration of the therapy (two sittings versus treatment over several weeks to months). Furthermore, the patients in the total body irradiation study frequently used cytotoxic drugs before and/or after irradiation, whereas in one total nodal irradiation study, azathioprine (2 mg/kg per day or less) was permitted, but no other cytotoxic agents were allowed. Rheumatologists may therefore face a binding decision when deciding to treat a patient with rheumatoid arthritis with either a cytotoxic drug or irradiation.

Primary radiation therapy for juvenile nasopharyngeal angiofibroma.

Evidence is presented of the effectiveness and relative lack of serious toxicity of external beam megavoltage radiation therapy (RT) as primary treatment for juvenile nasopharyngeal angiofibroma. The importance of careful radiological evaluation of tumor extent prior to irradiation is stressed, and only moderate dose RT is required. Fifty-five patients have been treated by RT and followed for from 3 to 26 years. Forty-four of 55 patients (80%) had permanent tumor control following a single course of 3000 cGy to 3500 cGy over 3 weeks. Surgical resection or a second course of RT controlled the tumor in all 11 patients in whom regrowth occurred. Angiofibromas involute slowly after RT so that 50% of patients still had visible masses in the nasopharynx 12 months after treatment, but only 10% had any visible abnormality 36 months after RT. Retreatment was necessary only if symptoms recurred, and continued follow-up showed that most asymptomatic nasopharyngeal masses resolved completely. Acute and late toxicity rates were low. Two patients developed tumors in the head or neck following RT. There was no significant clinical impairment of growth or endocrine function. A single course of external beam megavoltage radiation to 3000 cGy in 3 weeks is an effective first treatment for patients with juvenile nasopharyngeal angiofibroma.

Results and toxicity of the treatment of anal canal carcinoma by radiation therapy or radiation therapy and chemotherapy.

The results of treating anal canal carcinoma by radical external beam radiation alone (RT) or by combined 5-fluorouracil, mitomycin C and radiation (FUMIR), were compared in nonrandomized groups of patients treated in a single center. In each treatment regimen, surgery was reserved for those patients with residual carcinoma. The uncorrected 5-year survival rate in each group was approximately 70%, but primary tumor control was achieved in 93% (28/30) with FUMIR compared to 60% (15/25) treated with RT. Acute hematologic and enterocolic toxicity with uninterrupted external beam radiation courses of 5000 cGy in 4 weeks plus chemotherapy led to the adoption of split-course treatment. Serious late toxicity requiring surgical intervention occurred in 3 of 25 following RT, and in 5 of 30 following FUMIR. Colostomies were needed as part of treatment for residual carcinoma or for the management of treatment-related toxicity in 11 of 25 treated by RT and have been required to date in 4 of 30 treated by FUMIR. The improvement in the primary tumor control rate and the reduction in the number of patients requiring colostomy when compared with the results of RT favor combined chemotherapy and radiation as the initial treatment for anal canal carcinoma.

Total abdominal irradiation for cancer of the colon.

A retrospective analysis of 55 patients treated with whole abdominal irradiation following surgical excision for cancer of the colon is presented. Three groups of patients were given whole abdominal irradiation, eight with gross residual tumor following surgery, 17 with peritoneal seeding, and 30 who had complete surgical excision of the tumor but were felt to be at high risk for relapse. Only one of the eight patients with gross residual tumor, and one of the 17 with peritoneal metastases, are currently alive and well, with the majority dying from local or peritoneal metastases. The 5 year actuarial survival for the 30 patients irradiated following complete surgical excision is 55%. The treatment was well tolerated and few complications were observed. It is concluded that whole abdominal irradiation is ineffective for the treatment of colon cancer if peritoneal metastases are present, or if gross residual tumor is left behind following surgery. A randomized controlled clinical trial is being organized to test whether total abdominal irradiation is of benefit in terms of survival in high risk colon cancer patients following complete surgical removal.

Radical external beam radiation therapy for prostate carcinoma.

Between 1970 and 1978, 202 patients with carcinoma of the prostate were treated with radical external beam radiation with curative intent. Intracapsular disease was present in 38% and the remaining 62% had disease extending through the prostatic capsule. The overall survival is 72% at five years, and despite the large number of patients with advanced disease the five-year disease-free survival is 46%. Significant prognostic factors include: i) tumor, grade, ii) extent of primary disease, iii) procedure done to determine diagnosis (TURP vs. needle biopsy) and iv) tumor dose. There was a significant improvement in survival at a minimum dose of 5000 Gy. Prostate carcinoma is radiosensitive and a dose-response relationship in treatment has been demonstrated by this review.