RESUMO
The major economic and health consequences of COVID-19 called for various protective measures and mass vaccination campaigns. A previsional model was used to predict the future impacts of various measure combinations on COVID-19 mortality over a 400-day period in France. Calibrated on previous national hospitalization and mortality data, an agent-based epidemiological model was used to predict individual and combined effects of booster doses, vaccination of refractory adults, and vaccination of children, according to infection severity, immunity waning, and graded non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). Assuming a 1.5 hospitalization hazard ratio and rapid immunity waning, booster doses would reduce COVID-19-related deaths by 50-70% with intensive NPIs and 93% with moderate NPIs. Vaccination of initially-refractory adults or children ≥5 years would half the number of deaths whatever the infection severity or degree of immunity waning. Assuming a 1.5 hospitalization hazard ratio, rapid immunity waning, moderate NPIs and booster doses, vaccinating children ≥12 years, ≥5 years, and ≥6 months would result in 6212, 3084, and 3018 deaths, respectively (vs. 87,552, 64,002, and 48,954 deaths without booster, respectively). In the same conditions, deaths would be 2696 if all adults and children ≥12 years were vaccinated and 2606 if all adults and children ≥6 months were vaccinated (vs. 11,404 and 3624 without booster, respectively). The model dealt successfully with single measures or complex combinations. It can help choosing them according to future epidemic features, vaccination extensions, and population immune status.
RESUMO
The outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, enhanced by rapid spreads of variants, has caused a major international health crisis, with serious public health and economic consequences. An agent-based model was designed to simulate the evolution of the epidemic in France over 2021 and the first six months of 2022. The study compares the efficiencies of four theoretical vaccination campaigns (over 6, 9, 12, and 18 months), combined with various non-pharmaceutical interventions. In France, with the emergence of the Alpha variant, without vaccination and despite strict barrier measures, more than 600,000 deaths would be observed. An efficient vaccination campaign (i.e., total coverage of the French population) over six months would divide the death toll by 10. A vaccination campaign of 12, instead of 6, months would slightly increase the disease-related mortality (+6%) but require a 77% increase in ICU bed-days. A campaign over 18 months would increase the disease-related mortality by 17% and require a 244% increase in ICU bed-days. Thus, it seems mandatory to vaccinate the highest possible percentage of the population within 12, or better yet, 9 months. The race against the epidemic and virus variants is really a matter of vaccination strategy.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Discovering gene interactions and their characterizations from biological text collections is a crucial issue in bioinformatics. Indeed, text collections are large and it is very difficult for biologists to fully take benefit from this amount of knowledge. Natural Language Processing (NLP) methods have been applied to extract background knowledge from biomedical texts. Some of existing NLP approaches are based on handcrafted rules and thus are time consuming and often devoted to a specific corpus. Machine learning based NLP methods, give good results but generate outcomes that are not really understandable by a user. RESULTS: We take advantage of an hybridization of data mining and natural language processing to propose an original symbolic method to automatically produce patterns conveying gene interactions and their characterizations. Therefore, our method not only allows gene interactions but also semantics information on the extracted interactions (e.g., modalities, biological contexts, interaction types) to be detected. Only limited resource is required: the text collection that is used as a training corpus. Our approach gives results comparable to the results given by state-of-the-art methods and is even better for the gene interaction detection in AIMed. CONCLUSIONS: Experiments show how our approach enables to discover interactions and their characterizations. To the best of our knowledge, there is few methods that automatically extract the interactions and also associated semantics information. The extracted gene interactions from PubMed are available through a simple web interface at https://bingotexte.greyc.fr/. The software is available at https://bingo2.greyc.fr/?q=node/22.
RESUMO
There is a critical need for new and efficient computational methods aimed at discovering putative transcription factor binding sites (TFBSs) in promoter sequences. Among the existing methods, two families can be distinguished: statistical or stochastic approaches, and combinatorial approaches. Here we focus on a complete approach incorporating a combinatorial exhaustive motif extraction, together with a statistical Twilight Zone Indicator (TZI), in two datasets: a positive set and a negative one, which represents the result of a classical differential expression experiment. Our approach relies on the existence of prior biological information in the form of two sets of promoters of differentially expressed genes. We describe the complete procedure used for extracting either exact or degenerated motifs, ranking these motifs, and finding their known related TFBSs. We exemplify this approach using two different sets of promoters. The first set consists in promoters of genes either repressed or not by the transforming form of the v-erbA oncogene. The second set consists in genes the expression of which varies between self-renewing and differentiating progenitors. The biological meaning of the found TFBSs is discussed and, for one TF, its biological involvement is demonstrated. This study therefore illustrates the power of using relevant biological information, in the form of a set of differentially expressed genes that is a classical outcome in most of transcriptomics studies. This allows to severely reduce the search space and to design an adapted statistical indicator. Taken together, this allows the biologist to concentrate on a small number of putatively interesting TFs.
