Ensembles of knowledge graph embedding models improve predictions for drug discovery.

Recent advances in Knowledge Graphs (KGs) and Knowledge Graph Embedding Models (KGEMs) have led to their adoption in a broad range of fields and applications. The current publishing system in machine learning requires newly introduced KGEMs to achieve state-of-the-art performance, surpassing at least one benchmark in order to be published. Despite this, dozens of novel architectures are published every year, making it challenging for users, even within the field, to deduce the most suitable configuration for a given application. A typical biomedical application of KGEMs is drug-disease prediction in the context of drug discovery, in which a KGEM is trained to predict triples linking drugs and diseases. These predictions can be later tested in clinical trials following extensive experimental validation. However, given the infeasibility of evaluating each of these predictions and that only a minimal number of candidates can be experimentally tested, models that yield higher precision on the top prioritized triples are preferred. In this paper, we apply the concept of ensemble learning on KGEMs for drug discovery to assess whether combining the predictions of several models can lead to an overall improvement in predictive performance. First, we trained and benchmarked 10 KGEMs to predict drug-disease triples on two independent biomedical KGs designed for drug discovery. Following, we applied different ensemble methods that aggregate the predictions of these models by leveraging the distribution or the position of the predicted triple scores. We then demonstrate how the ensemble models can achieve better results than the original KGEMs by benchmarking the precision (i.e., number of true positives prioritized) of their top predictions. Lastly, we released the source code presented in this work at https://github.com/enveda/kgem-ensembles-in-drug-discovery.

Causal reasoning over knowledge graphs leveraging drug-perturbed and disease-specific transcriptomic signatures for drug discovery.

Network-based approaches are becoming increasingly popular for drug discovery as they provide a systems-level overview of the mechanisms underlying disease pathophysiology. They have demonstrated significant early promise over other methods of biological data representation, such as in target discovery, side effect prediction and drug repurposing. In parallel, an explosion of -omics data for the deep characterization of biological systems routinely uncovers molecular signatures of disease for similar applications. Here, we present RPath, a novel algorithm that prioritizes drugs for a given disease by reasoning over causal paths in a knowledge graph (KG), guided by both drug-perturbed as well as disease-specific transcriptomic signatures. First, our approach identifies the causal paths that connect a drug to a particular disease. Next, it reasons over these paths to identify those that correlate with the transcriptional signatures observed in a drug-perturbation experiment, and anti-correlate to signatures observed in the disease of interest. The paths which match this signature profile are then proposed to represent the mechanism of action of the drug. We demonstrate how RPath consistently prioritizes clinically investigated drug-disease pairs on multiple datasets and KGs, achieving better performance over other similar methodologies. Furthermore, we present two case studies showing how one can deconvolute the predictions made by RPath as well as predict novel targets.

Drug2ways: Reasoning over causal paths in biological networks for drug discovery.

Elucidating the causal mechanisms responsible for disease can reveal potential therapeutic targets for pharmacological intervention and, accordingly, guide drug repositioning and discovery. In essence, the topology of a network can reveal the impact a drug candidate may have on a given biological state, leading the way for enhanced disease characterization and the design of advanced therapies. Network-based approaches, in particular, are highly suited for these purposes as they hold the capacity to identify the molecular mechanisms underlying disease. Here, we present drug2ways, a novel methodology that leverages multimodal causal networks for predicting drug candidates. Drug2ways implements an efficient algorithm which reasons over causal paths in large-scale biological networks to propose drug candidates for a given disease. We validate our approach using clinical trial information and demonstrate how drug2ways can be used for multiple applications to identify: i) single-target drug candidates, ii) candidates with polypharmacological properties that can optimize multiple targets, and iii) candidates for combination therapy. Finally, we make drug2ways available to the scientific community as a Python package that enables conducting these applications on multiple standard network formats.