Predicting Length of Stay and Discharge Destination for Surgical Patients: A Cohort Study.

Discharge planning is important to prevent surgical site infections, reduce costs, and improve the hospitalization experience. The identification of early variables that can predict a longer-than-expected length of stay or the need for a discharge with additional needs can improve this process. A cohort study was conducted in the largest hospital of Northern Italy, collecting discharge records from January 2017 to January 2020 and pre-admission visits in the last three months. Socio-demographic and clinical data were collected. Linear and logistic regression models were fitted. The main outcomes were the length of stay (LOS) and discharge destination. The main predictors of a longer LOS were the need for additional care at discharge (+10.76 days), hospitalization from the emergency department (ED) (+5.21 days), and age (+0.04 days per year), accounting for clinical variables (p < 0.001 for all variables). Each year of age and hospitalization from the ED were associated with a higher probability of needing additional care at discharge (OR 1.02 and 1.77, respectively, p < 0.001). No additional findings came from pre-admission forms. Discharge difficulties seem to be related mainly to age and hospitalization procedures: those factors are probably masking underlying social risk factors that do not show up in patients with planned admissions.

Clinical and epidemiological characteristics associated with pneumonia at disease onset in patients admitted for COVID-19 to the Emergency Department of a large Hospital in Piedmont (North-Western Italy).

OBJECTIVES: to explore clinical and epidemiological characteristics associated with an imaging feature of COVID-19 pneumonia at disease onset, in order to identify factors that may be evaluable by general practitioners at patient's home, and which may lead to identify a more severe disease, needing hospitalization. DESIGN: this is a retrospective/prospective observational hospital cohort. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: the study population includes all patients consecutively admitted to the emergency department of Città della salute e della scienza University Hospital from 01.03 to 31.05.2020 with a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: patients were classified in two groups according to the findings of X-ray imaging, lung ultrasound and chest computer tomography, as pneumonia or not pneumonia patients. RESULTS: in multivariable analysis, factors most strongly associated with emergency department admission with pneumonia were age, oxygen saturation <90% (adj OR 4.16 ;95%CI 1.44-12.07), respiratory rate >24 breaths/min (adj OR 6.50; 95%CI 2.36-17.87), fever ≥38° (adj OR 3.05; 95%CI 1.53-6.08) and the presence of gastroenteric symptoms (vomiting and diarrhea). A delay (> 7 days) between the appearance of the initial lung symptoms (cough and dyspnea) and the admission to the emergency department was also related to a higher probability of receiving a positive imaging report (OR 4.99; 95%CI 2,02-12,34). CONCLUSIONS: in order to reorganize the management of COVID-19 patients in Italy, in view of the risk of a second wave of epidemic or of local outbreaks, it would be desirable to relocate the triage, and possibly the patient's care, from hospital to home. In this scenario it is important to identify all symptoms and signs associated with COVID-19 pneumonia that would facilitate the decision-making process of GPs leading to patients hospitalization.

Search for genetic association between IgA nephropathy and candidate genes selected by function or by gene mapping at loci IGAN2 and IGAN3.

BACKGROUND: IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is not generally considered a hereditary disease, even though extensive evidence suggests an undefined genetic influence. Linkage analysis identified a number of genome regions that could contain variations linked to IgAN. METHODS: In this case-control association study, genes possibly involved in the development of IgAN were investigated. DNA samples from 460 North Italian patients with IgAN and 444 controls were collected. Candidate genes were selected based on their possible functional involvement (6 genes) or because of their location within linkage-identified genomic regions IGAN2 and IGAN3 (5 and 13 genes within chromosome 4q26-31 and 17q12-22, respectively). One hundred and ninety-two tag and functional single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were typed with Veracode GoldenGate technology (Illumina). RESULTS: C1GALT1 showed an association with IgAN (rs1008898: P = 0.0019 and rs7790522: P = 0.0049). Associations were found when the population was stratified by gender (C1GALT1, CD300LG, GRN, ITGA2B, ITGB3 in males and C1GALT1, TRPC3, B4GALNT2 in females) and by age (TLR4, ITGB3 in patients aged <27 years). Furthermore, rs7873784 in TLR4 showed an association with proteinuria (G allele: P = 0.0091; GG genotype: P = 0.0077). CONCLUSIONS: Age and gender are likely to evidence distinct immunological and inflammatory reactions leading to individual susceptibility to IgAN. Overall, a genetic predisposition to sporadic IgAN was found. We might hypothesize that C1GALT1 and TLR4 polymorphisms influence the risk to develop IgAN and proteinuria, respectively.

B cell positive cross-match not due to anti-HLA Class I antibodies and first kidney graft outcome.

The effect of B cell cross-match (XM) was investigated in 680 first deceased-donor kidney transplants in a single centre from 1990 to 1999: 74 transplants presented a B-positive XM (Group 1) 606 had a B-negative XM (Group 2). The absence in Group 1 of weak/low-titre anti-HLA Class I antibodies was assured blocking anti-Class I reactivity by treating B cells with non-cytotoxic anti-beta2 microglobulin (alphabeta2 M) serum before XM. Graft survivals up to 5 years were not significantly different; some differences were nevertheless observed: HLA-A,B,DR mismatches influenced graft outcome in Group 1: patients with 0-2 mismatches had better survival than patients with 3-4. When analysed according DR mismatch, patients with 1 mismatch had worse graft survival than well matched patients (p<0.05). No significant difference depending on HLA match was observed in Group 2. Early acute rejection rate was similar in the Groups except the rejection episodes after one year: Group 1 had significantly more. 61/74 patients of Group 1 were retrospectively analysed for anti-HLA-DR,DQ reactivity: only 11/61 had anti-HLA-DR or DQ antibodies (3/11 were donor specific); graft survival and rejections were not significantly different in the patients with and without anti-HLA Class II antibodies. Anti-donor B cell reactivity, at XM, once excluded the presence of weak/low-titre anti-HLA Class I antibodies, did not influence first kidney graft survival.

Preferential allocation of marginal kidney allografts to elderly recipients combined with modified immunosuppression gives good results.

BACKGROUND: There is an increasing tendency to allocate kidneys from marginal donors in older recipients. This combination optimizes the uses of an expanded donor pool but demands attention for the higher nephrotoxic sensitivity of the kidney and the increased immunosuppression vulnerability of the elderly recipients. We aimed to reduce these hazards by means of a calcineurin-free induction therapy followed by a maintenance regimen targeted to minimize/withdraw steroid. METHODS: Eighty-eight single (43%) or double (57%) transplant recipients (58.4+/-5.7 years) from 88 marginal donors (67+/-8.3 years) received monoclonal anti-IL-2 receptor antibodies, mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), and steroid. When serum creatinine was less than 2.6 mg/dL, tacrolimus was started and MMF was withdrawn when the tacrolimus trough level was above 15 ng/ml. Steroid was tapered to 5 mg at day 45 and then progressively reduced. RESULTS: Overall patient and graft survival at the first and fourth year were respectively 100 and 96%, and 98 and 79%. Acute rejection rate was 13.6% (12/88), creatinine clearance remained stable (48.2 ml/min at the sixth month, 50.9 ml/min at 48th month). At the first, second, third, and fourth years, 23, 69, 80, and 100% of recipients were off steroids. For those on steroids, mean dose was respectively 2.6 mg/day from month 12. No recipient re-assumed steroids CONCLUSIONS: In the "old-for-old" allocation, the calcineurin-inhibitor avoidance at induction and the steroid withdrawal/minimization during the tacrolimus-based maintenance regimen allow a low acute rejection rate, a stable renal function, and favorable recipient and graft outcomes.

[Hospital mortality at a cardiosurgical unit in Torino: international comparisons and time trend]. / Mortalità ospedaliera in una unità di cardiochirurgia di Torino: confronti internazionali e andamento temporale.

OBJECTIVE: To compare hospital mortality in a cardiac surgery unit with external data and to assess changes in time (patients undergoing surgery in two different periods). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on risk factors for hospital mortality were collected from clinical records (retrospectively for the first period and prospectively for the second) for all patients undergoing open heart surgery at the Heart Surgery Unit of the University of Turin (Italy) during 1991 and 1995 (n = 1794) and 1999 (n = 892). Comparisons of in-hospital mortality, expressed as Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMR), were adjusted for risk factors defined according to EuroSCORE (European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation). RESULTS: In the first and second period, complete information on all the 17 EuroSCORE items was available for 58.3% and 89.6% patients respectively. After exclusion of patients with one or more missing data, observed and expected numbers of death were found to be very similar, with SMRs ranging between 0.82 (isolated bypass in the second period) and 1.06 ("other" surgery in the first period). Mortality was higher among patients with missing data, but at least in 1999 the latter had a limited impact on the overall estimates. Compared to the first period, mortality was reduced during 1999 (from 5.9% to 5.4%), in particular for isolated bypass (from 4.4% to 3.4%). CONCLUSIONS: In the unit under investigation, hospital mortality following heart surgery was similar to that predicted from EuroSCORE and seemed to be lower in 1999 than in 1991-95, particularly for isolated bypass. Incompleteness of data on individual risk factors may have been a source of bias, especially when data were collected retrospectively.