The HIV Care Cascade for Older Adults in Rural South Africa: A Longitudinal Cohort Study (2014-2019).

BACKGROUND: As people with HIV grow older, stable engagement in care is essential for healthy aging. We evaluate the HIV care cascade for older adults in rural South Africa at 2 time points cross-sectionally and assess movement in the cascade over time. SETTING: We evaluated the cascade stage at waves 1 (2014-2015) and 2 (2018-2019) of Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDPETH Community in South Africa, a population-based longitudinal cohort study in Mpumalanga Province, South Africa. METHODS: Biomarker screening defined cascade stages [HIV+/no antiretroviral therapy (ART); ART+/unsuppressed viral load; ART+/suppressed viral load]. Between-wave probability of death, cascade progression, regression, cascade transitions, and sociodemographic predictors were assessed with Poisson regression. The impact of death was considered using the Fine and Gray competing risk model. RESULTS: We observed a higher prevalence of antiretroviral therapy with viral suppression over time (50% in wave 1 vs. 70% in wave 2). Among those alive, the oldest age group (70+ years old) was most likely to have cascade progression [adjusted risk ratio for treatment initiation vs. 40-49 years old: 1.38 (95% confidence interval: 1.02 to 1.86)]. However, there was a significant risk of death and cascade regression. Death between waves reached 40% for 70+-year-olds who were ART+/unsuppressed. In competing risk models, older age was associated with equivalent or less cascade progression. CONCLUSION: Older age groups who were unsuppressed on treatment and men had poorer cascade outcomes. Improvements observed in HIV treatment coverage over time for older adults must be interpreted in the context of the high risk of death for older HIV-positive adults, especially among those failing treatment.

The Association Between HIV-Related Stigma and the Uptake of HIV Testing and ART Among Older Adults in Rural South Africa: Findings from the HAALSI Cohort Study.

HIV testing and antiretroviral therapy (ART) remain critical for curbing the spread of HIV/AIDS, but stigma can impede access to these services. Using data from the Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI), we used a multivariable logistic regression to examine the correlation between HIV-related stigma, HIV testing and ART uptake in older adults. We used four questions to measure stigma, with three assessing social stigma (reflecting social distancing preferences) and one assessing anticipated stigma (disclosure concern). We combined the three social stigma questions to generate a social stigma score ranging from 0 to 3, with higher scores indicating higher stigma. Anticipated stigma was prevalent 85% (95% CI 0.84-0.86), and social stigma was also frequent 25% (95% CI 0.24-0.27). Higher social stigma scores correlated with decreased HIV testing for all participants with social stigma. Compared to those with a score of 0, odds of testing decreased with higher stigma scores (OR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.53-0.81, p = 0.000) for a score of 1 and (OR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.38-0.83, p = 0.004) for a score of 3. ART uptake also decreased with higher social stigma scores among people living with HIV (PLWH), although it was significant for those with a score of 2 (OR = 0.41, 95% CI 0.19-0.87, p = 0.020). These findings emphasize that HIV-related stigma hampers testing and ART uptake among older adults in rural South Africa. Addressing stigma is crucial for improving testing rates, early diagnosis, and treatment initiation among the older population and achieving UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets.

Impact of a post-partum family planning intervention on contraception and fertility in Tanzania: two-year follow-up of a cluster-randomised controlled trial.

PURPOSE: We evaluate contraceptive use and pregnancy two years following an intervention in Tanzania, which provided antenatal post-partum family planning counselling and post-partum intrauterine device (PPIUD) services following delivery. METHODS: We analyse data from five hospitals in Tanzania using a difference-in-difference cluster randomised design, with randomisation at the hospital level. We use women-level data collected at the index birth and a follow-up survey two years later among 6,410 women. Outcomes (overall modern contraceptive use, contraceptive type, pregnancy) are modelled with an intent-to-treat (ITT) approach using linear regression. We compare with the complier average causal effect (CACE) of the intervention among those counselled. RESULTS: The intervention increased long-term PPIUD use by 5.8 percentage points (95% CI: 0.7-11.2%) through substitution away from other modern methods. There was no impact on overall modern contraceptive prevalence or pregnancy. Only 29% of women reported receiving PPIUD counselling. When accounting for this in the CACE analysis we saw a larger impact with 25.7% percentage point increase in PPIUD use (95% CI: 22.7-28.6%). CONCLUSION: The intervention provided women an additional contraceptive choice, resulting in higher use of PPIUD over two years. Increase in PPIUD use was brought about by shifting methods, not creating new modern contraceptive users.

The post-partum family planning intervention in Tanzania offered women a new contraceptive option and increased sustained use of post-partum IUD. The intervention did not attract new modern contraception users and could have a greater impact if implemented more widely.

Depressive symptoms and their association with age, chronic conditions and health status among middle-aged and elderly people in peri-urban Tanzania.

Background: Depression is a global mental health challenge. We assessed the prevalence of depressive symptoms and their association with age, chronic conditions, and health status among middle-aged and elderly people in peri-urban Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Methods: Depressive symptoms were measured in 2,220 adults aged over 40 years from two wards of Dar es Salaam using the ten-item version of the Center of Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D-10) and a cut-off score of 10 or higher. The associations of depressive symptoms with age, 13 common chronic conditions, multimorbidity, self-rated health and any limitation in six activities of daily living were examined in univariable and multivariable logistic regressions. Results: The estimated prevalence of depressive symptoms was 30.7% (95% CI 28.5-32.9). In univariable regressions, belonging to age groups 45-49 years (OR 1.35 [95% CI 1.04-1.75]) and over 70 years (OR 2.35 [95% CI 1.66-3.33]), chronic conditions, including ischemic heart disease (OR 3.43 [95% CI 2.64-4.46]), tuberculosis (OR 2.42 [95% CI 1.64-3.57]), signs of cognitive problems (OR 1.90 [95% CI 1.35-2.67]), stroke (OR 1.56 [95% CI 1.05-2.32]) and anemia (OR 1.32 [95% CI 1.01-1.71]) and limitations in activities of daily living (OR 1.35 [95% CI 1.07-1.70]) increased the odds of depressive symptoms. Reporting good or very good health was associated with lower odds of depressive symptoms (OR 0.48 [95% CI 0.35-0.66]). Ischemic heart disease and tuberculosis remained independent predictors of depressive symptoms in multivariable regressions. Conclusion: Depressive symptoms affected almost one in three people aged over 40 years. Their prevalence differed across age groups and was moderated by chronic conditions, health status and socioeconomic factors.

Home-based HIV testing strategies for middle-aged and older adults in rural South Africa.

OBJECTIVE: More than one in four adults over 40 years with HIV in South Africa are unaware of their status and not receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART). HIV self-testing may offer a powerful approach to closing this gap for aging adults. Here, we report the results of a randomized comparative effectiveness trial of three different home-based HIV testing strategies for middle-aged and older adults in rural South Africa. DESIGN: Two thousand nine hundred and sixty-three individuals in the 'Health and Ageing in Africa: a Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI)' cohort study were randomized 1 : 1 : 1 to one of three types of home-based and home-delivered HIV testing modalities: rapid testing with counseling; self-testing, and both rapid testing with counselling and self-testing. METHOD: In OLS regression analyses, we estimated the treatment effects on HIV testing and HIV testing frequency at about 1 year after delivery. Finally, we assessed the potential adverse effects of these strategies on the secondary outcomes of depressive symptom as assessed by the CESD-20, linkage to care, and risky sexual behavior. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in HIV testing uptake or testing frequency across groups. However, respondents in the self-testing treatment arms were more likely to shift from testing at home and a facility [self-testing (HIVST), -8 percentage points (pp); 95% confidence interval (CI) -14 to -2 pp; self-testing plus rapid testing and counselling (ST+RT+C); -9 pp, 95% CI -15 to -3 pp] to testing only at home (HIVST 5 pp; 95% CI 2 to 9 pp; ST+RT+C: 5 pp, 95% CI 1 to 9 pp) - suggesting a revealed preference for self-testing in this population. We also found no adverse effects of this strategy on linkage to care for HIV and common comorbidities, recent sexual partners, or condom use. Finally, those in the self-testing only arm had significantly decreased depressive symptom scores by 0.58 points (95% CI -1.16 to -0.01). CONCLUSION: We find HIV self-testing to be a well tolerated and seemingly preferred home-based testing option for middle-aged and older adults in rural South Africa. This approach should be expanded to achieve the UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets.

Telomere Length, Health, and Mortality in a Cohort of Older Black South African Adults.

Telomere length (TL) may be a biomarker of aging processes as well as age-related diseases. However, most studies of TL and aging are conducted in high-income countries. Less is known in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) such as South Africa, where life expectancy remains lower despite population aging. We conducted a descriptive analysis of TL in a cohort of older adults in rural South Africa. TL was assayed from venous blood draws using quantitative polymerase chain reaction (T/S ratio). We examined the correlation between TL and biomarkers, demographic characteristics, mental/cognitive health measures, and physical performance measures in a subsample of the Wave 1 2014-2015 "Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa" (HAALSI) cohort (n = 510). We used logistic regression to measure the association between TL and mortality through Wave 3 (2021-2022). In bivariate analyses, TL was significantly correlated with age (r = -0.29, p < .0001), self-reported female sex (r = 0.13, p = .002), mortality (r = -0.1297, p = .003), diastolic blood pressure (r = 0.09, p = .037), pulse pressure (r = -0.09, p = .045), and being a grandparent (r = -0.17, p = .0001). TL was significantly associated with age (ß = -0.003; 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.005, -0.003). TL was significantly associated in unadjusted multivariate analyses with mortality, but the relationship between TL and mortality was attenuated after adjusting for age (odds ratio [OR] = 0.19; 95% CI = 0.03, 1.27) and other covariates (OR = 0.17; 95% CI = 0.02, 1.19). Our study is the first analysis of TL in an older adult South African population. Our results corroborate existing relationships between TL and age, sex, cardiometabolic disease, and mortality found in higher-income countries.

High prevalence of self-reported sexually transmitted infections among older adults in Tanzania: results from a list experiment in a population-representative survey.

PURPOSE: Self-report of sensitive or stigmatized health states is often subject to social desirability and interviewer biases. To reduce such biases, we estimated the rate of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) using a list experiment. METHODS: This population-representative study was nested within the Dar es Salaam Urban Cohort Study, a Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) in the Ukonga ward of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Men and women aged ≥40years were randomly assigned to receive a list of either four control items (i.e., the control group) or four control items plus an additional item on having had a disease through sexual contacts in the past 12months (i.e., the treatment group). We calculated the mean difference in the total number of items to which respondents answered "yes" in the treatment versus control group and compared this prevalence estimate to the one measured by the direct question. RESULTS: A total of 2310 adults aged ≥40years were enrolled in the study: 32% were male and 48% were aged 40-49years. The estimated prevalence of having STIs in the past 12months was 17.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 12.3-23.3) in the list experiment, almost 10 times higher than the estimated prevalence of 1.8% (95%CI 1.3-2.4) based on the direct question (P < .001). STI prevalence remained high after adjusting for age, the number of lifetime sex partners, alcohol consumption and smoking in multivariate linear regression (15.6%; 95% CI 7.3-23.9). CONCLUSIONS: We found a substantially higher prevalence of STIs among older adults in urban Tanzania when we based our estimation on a list experiment rather than a direct question in a population-representative survey. List experiments should be considered to elimnate social desirability and interviewer biases in surveys of sensitive or stigmatized health states. The very high prevalence of STIs highlights the need for improved access to STI screening, prevention and treatment for older adults in urban Africa.

Disclosure of intimate partner violence by men and women in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

Intimate Partner Violence (IPV) has severe health consequences, though may be underreported due to stigma. In Tanzania, estimates of IPV prevalence range from 12 to >60%. List experiments, a technique of indirectly asking survey questions, may allow for more accurate prevalence estimates of sensitive topics. We examined list experiment and direct questions about experiences of physical and sexual IPV from a 2017 cross-sectional survey among 2,299 adults aged 40+ years in Dar es Salaam. List experiment prevalence estimates were determined through quantitative analysis and compared qualitatively to direct question prevalence estimates. The list experiment estimated a higher prevalence of IPV in all cases except for physical violence experienced by women. This study contributes to the estimation of IPV prevalence. If the list experiment estimates yield an unbiased estimate, findings suggest women openly report experiencing physical IPV, and IPV experienced by men is underreported and understudied.

Patterns of comorbidity and multimorbidity among middle-aged and elderly women in peri-urban Tanzania.

Background: Multimorbidity poses an increasing challenge to health care systems in Sub-Saharan Africa. We studied the extent of multimorbidity and patterns of comorbidity among women aged 40 years or older in a peri-urban area of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Methods: We assessed 15 chronic conditions in 1528 women who participated in a cross-sectional survey that was conducted within the Dar es Salaam Urban Cohort Study (DUCS) from June 2017 to July 2018. Diagnoses of chronic conditions were based on body measurements, weight, blood testing, screening instruments, and self-report. Results: The five most prevalent chronic conditions and most common comorbidities were hypertension (49.8%, 95% CI 47.2 to 52.3), obesity (39.9%, 95% CI 37.3 to 42.4), anemia (36.9%, 95% CI 33.3 to 40.5), signs of depression (32.5%, 95% CI 30.2 to 34.9), and diabetes (30.9%, 95% CI 27.6 to 34.2). The estimated prevalence of multimorbidity (2+ chronic conditions) was 73.8% (95% CI 71.2 to 76.3). Women aged 70 years or older were 4.1 (95% CI 1.5 to 10.9) times mores likely to be affected by multimorbidity and had 0.7 (95% CI 0.3 to 1.2) more chronic conditions than women aged 40 to 44 years. Worse childhood health, being widowed, not working, and higher food insecurity in the household were also associated with a higher multimorbidity risk and level. Conclusion: A high prevalence of multimorbidity in the general population of middle-aged and elderly women suggests substantial need for multimorbidity care in Tanzania. Comorbidity patterns can guide multimorbidity screening and help identify health care and prevention needs.

Does cosmopolitan culture weaken ethnic and regional diversity: contraceptive behaviours of women in Istanbul, Turkey.

OBJECTIVE: The primary aim of the study was to examine the relationship between self-reported ethnic identity, region of birth and contraceptive use, in Istanbul, Turkey. METHODS: Cross-sectional data from a random sample of 3038 married women of reproductive age living in two urban districts of Istanbul were used in a series of logistic regression models to assess key relationships. RESULTS: Kurdish ethnic minority women were less likely than Turkish ethnic majority women to use traditional contraceptive methods over no method (relative risk ratio [RRR] 0.69; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50, 0.96). However, there were no significant differences between ethnicities (i.e., Turkish, Kurdish and other) and modern method use. Among Turkish women, those born in regions farther away from the western region were more likely to use traditional methods (RRRnorthern 2.06; 95% CI 1.31, 3.22). CONCLUSION: While Kurdish ethnic minority women were less likely to use traditional methods, compared with Turkish ethnic majority women, the difference might have been due to the length of time living in a neighbourhood. Regional variations in contraceptive use were concentrated only among Turkish ethnic majority women and for traditional methods. Regional norms of traditional method use may be a barrier to modern contraceptive use in Turkey.

Effect of distance to health facilities and access to contraceptive services among urban Turkish women.

OBJECTIVE: Worldwide unmet need for contraception remains high at 21.6%. As access to health facilities is one of the potential barriers to contraceptive uptake, the aim of our study was to evaluate the effect of distance to a health facility, according to its service availability, on contraceptive uptake among married Turkish women. METHODS: To calculate respondents' distance to a health facility, we used data from a household survey conducted among married women, as well as data from a health facility survey conducted among the facilities that were visited for contraceptive services by the respondents. The data were collected from the Istanbul area of Turkey under the Willows Impact Evaluation project in 2018. Health facilities were categorised according to contraceptive availability and the accurate distance from respondents' homes to each type of health facility was calculated. Logistic regression was used to estimate the effect of distance to each type of health facility on uptake of each type of contraception. RESULTS: The prevalence of overall contraceptive use among urban Turkish women was 71.9%. The most common method was withdrawal (32.5%), followed by the intrauterine device (IUD) (14.9%) and male condoms (12.4%). Distance to a health facility that did not provide long-acting contraception was not associated with any type of contraceptive use. On the other hand, distance to a health facility that provided long-acting contraception was negatively associated with the use of long-acting methods such as the IUD but was positively associated with the use of short-acting contraception such as condoms. CONCLUSION: The effect of distance to a health facility on contraceptive use significantly differed according to contraceptive availability at the facility. Further distance to a health facility that provided long-acting contraception decreased the use of long-acting contraception but had a substitute effect on the use of short-acting contraception. We conclude that when women face an accessibility barrier to the provision of long-acting contraception, they modify their behaviour by shifting from long- to short-acting contraception, which is less effective.

Contraceptive discontinuation and switching in urban Istanbul region in Turkey.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate rates of contraceptive discontinuation and method switching and examine their determinants in Istanbul, Turkey, because discontinuation of modern contraception leading to unintended pregnancy is a public health concern. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional household survey between March and June 2018 among 4224 married women of reproductive age (16-44 years). Information on contraceptive use and discontinuation for the 31 months preceding the survey was recorded in a monthly calendar. Using single and multiple decrement life-table methods, we calculated the overall discontinuation and the cause-specific discontinuation rates. RESULTS: The 12-month overall discontinuation rate was 12.32%. Intrauterine devices had the lowest discontinuation rate (7.12%). The most common reasons for discontinuation were the desire to become pregnant (6.56%) and method failure (2.76%). One in three episodes of discontinuation was not followed by method switching (32.16%). Age, education, and the method type were predictive of contraceptive discontinuation. CONCLUSION: To reduce method failure, women should be provided with information about method effectiveness, correct use of methods, and what to do if they anticipate their method failed (e.g., emergency contraception). Programs should focus on improving knowledge about discontinuation and method failure. Contraceptive counseling should also emphasize timely switching to an effective method after discontinuation.

Estimating abortion prevalence and understanding perspectives of community leaders and providers: Results from a mixed-method study in Istanbul, Turkey.

OBJECTIVES: Abortions are difficult to measure; yet, accurate estimates are critical in developing health programs. We implemented and tested the validity of a list experiment of lifetime abortion prevalence in Istanbul, Turkey. We complemented our findings by understanding community perspectives using in-depth interviews with key informants. METHODS: We conducted a household survey between March and June 2018. In a random sample of 4040 married women aged 16-44 years, we implemented a double list experiment. We averaged difference in mean values calculations between the average counts for each list to provide an estimated lifetime abortion prevalence. We conducted in-depth interviews with 16 key informants to provide insights into possible explanations for the quantitative results. RESULTS: The abortion prevalence estimate from the list experiment was close to that of the direct question (3.25% vs 2.97%). Key informant narratives suggest that differing definitions of abortion, inaccessibility, provider bias, lack of knowledge of abortion laws and safety, and religious norms could contribute to under-reporting. Results from the qualitative study suggest that abortion is largely inaccessible and highly stigmatized. CONCLUSION: Measuring experiences of abortion is critical to understanding women's needs and informing harm-reduction strategies; however, in highly stigmatized settings, researchers may face unique challenges in obtaining accurate reports.

Brief Report: HIV Incidence Among Older Adults in a Rural South African Setting: 2010-2015.

INTRODUCTION: In South Africa, evidence shows high HIV prevalence in older populations, with sexual behavior consistent with high HIV acquisition and transmission risk. However, there is a dearth of evidence on older people's HIV incidence. METHODS: We used a 2010-2011 cohort of HIV-negative adults in rural South Africa who were 40 years or older at retest in 2015-2016 to estimate HIV incidence over a 5-year period. We used Poisson regression to measure the association of HIV seroconversion with demographic and behavioral covariates. We used inverse probability sampling weights to adjust for nonresponse in 2015, based on a logistic regression with predictors of sex and age group at August 2010. RESULTS: HIV prevalence increased from 21% at baseline to 23% in the follow-up survey. From a cohort of 1360 individuals, 33 seroconverted from HIV negative at baseline, giving an overall HIV incidence rate of 0.39 per 100 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.28 to 0.57]. The rate for women was 0.44 (95% CI: 0.30 to 0.67), double than that for men, 0.21 (95% CI: 0.10 to 0.51). Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) again show women's risk of seroconverting double than that of men (IRR = 2.04, P value = 0.098). In past age 60, the IRR of seroconversion was significantly lower than that for those in their 40s (60-69, IRR = 0.09, P value = 0.002; 70-79, IRR = 0.14, P value = 0.010). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of acquiring HIV is not zero for people older than 50 years, especially women. Our findings highlight the importance of acknowledging that older people are at high risk of HIV infection and that HIV prevention and treatment campaigns must take them into consideration.

Applying Inverse Probability Weighting to Measure Contraceptive Prevalence Using Data from a Community-Based Reproductive Health Intervention in Pakistan.

CONTEXT: Many community-based reproductive health programs use their program data to monitor progress toward goals. However, using such data to assess programmatic impact on outcomes such as contraceptive use poses methodological challenges. Inverse probability weighting (IPW) may help overcome these issues. METHODS: Data on 33,162 women collected in 2013-2015 as part of a large-scale community-based reproductive health initiative were used to produce population-level estimates of the contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) and modern contraceptive prevalence rate (mCPR) among married women aged 15-49 in Pakistan's Korangi District. To account for the nonrandom inclusion of women in the sample, estimates of contraceptive prevalence during the study's four seven-month intervention periods were made using IPW; these estimates were compared with estimates made using complete case analysis (CCA) and the last observation carried forward (LOCF) method-two approaches for which modeling assumptions are less flexible. RESULTS: In accordance with intervention protocols, the likelihood that women were visited by intervention personnel and thus included in the sample differed according to their past and current contraceptive use. Estimates made using IPW suggest that the CPR increased from 51% to 64%, and the mCPR increased from 34% to 53%, during the study. For both outcomes, IPW estimates were higher than CCA estimates, were generally similar to LOCF estimates and yielded the widest confidence intervals. CONCLUSION: IPW offers a powerful methodology for overcoming estimation challenges when using program data that are not representative of the population in settings where cost impedes collection of outcome data for an appropriate control group.

RESUMEN Contexto: Muchos programas comunitarios de salud reproductiva usan los datos de su programa para monitorear el progreso hacia sus metas. Sin embargo, el uso de tales datos para evaluar el impacto programático en resultados tales como el uso de anticonceptivos plantea desafíos metodológicos. La ponderación de probabilidad inversa (PPI) podría ayudar a superar estos problemas. Métodos: Se usaron datos de 33,162 mujeres recolectados entre 2013 y 2015 como parte de una iniciativa comunitaria de salud reproductiva a gran escala para producir estimaciones de la tasa de prevalencia de anticonceptivos (TPA) y la tasa de prevalencia de anticonceptivos modernos (TPAm) a nivel de la población, entre mujeres casadas de 15 a 49 años de edad en el distrito de Korangi, Pakistán. Para tener en cuenta la inclusión no aleatoria de mujeres en la muestra, se hicieron estimaciones de la prevalencia del uso de anticonceptivos durante los cuatro períodos de siete meses de intervención del estudio utilizando PPI; estas estimaciones se compararon con las estimaciones realizadas utilizando el análisis de caso completo (ACC) y el método de la última observación llevada adelante (UOLA)­dos enfoques cuyos supuestos de modelado son menos flexibles. Resultados: De conformidad con los protocolos de intervención, la probabilidad de que las mujeres fueran visitadas por el personal de intervención y por lo tanto incluidas en la muestra difería de acuerdo con su uso anticonceptivo pasado y actual. Las estimaciones realizadas con la PPI sugieren que, durante el estudio, la TPA aumentó del 51% al 64%; y que la TPAm aumentó del 34% al 53%. Para ambos resultados, las estimaciones fueron más altas que las estimaciones de ACC, en general fueron similares a las estimaciones de UOLA y produjeron intervalos de confianza más amplios. Conclusiones: La PPI ofrece una metodología poderosa para superar los desafíos relacionados con las estimaciones, cuando se utilizan datos de programas que no son representativos de la población en entornos donde el costo impide la recolección de datos de resultados para un grupo de control apropiado.

RÉSUMÉ Contexte: De nombreux programmes de santé reproductive à base communautaire utilisent leurs données pour suivre le progrès vers la réalisation de leurs objectifs. L'emploi de ces données pour évaluer l'impact programmatique sur les résultats tels que la pratique contraceptive pose cependant des problèmes de méthode. La pondération par l'inverse de la probabilité (PIP) peut être utile à la résolution de ces difficultés. Méthodes: Les données relatives à 33 162 femmes, collectées en 2013­2015 dans le cadre d'une initiative de santé reproductive à base communautaire à grande échelle, ont servi à produire des estimations au niveau de la population du taux de prévalence contraceptive (TPC) et du taux de prévalence contraceptive moderne (TPCm) parmi les femmes mariées âgées de 15 à 49 ans dans le district pakistanais de Korangi. Pour rendre compte de l'inclusion non aléatoire des femmes dans l'échantillon, les estimations de la prévalence pendant les quatre périodes d'intervention de sept mois de l'étude ont été calculées selon la méthode PIP. Ces estimations ont été comparées à celles obtenues par analyse de cas complète (ACC) et selon la méthode de la dernière observation rapportée (LOCF) ­ deux approches à hypothèses de modélisation moins souples. Résultats: Conformément aux protocoles d'intervention, la probabilité que les femmes aient reçu la visite du personnel d'intervention et soient donc incluses dans l'échantillon diffère suivant leur pratique passée et actuelle de la contraception. Les estimations obtenues selon la méthode PIP portent à croire que le TPC est passé de 51% à 64%, et le TPCm de 34% à 53%, pendant l'étude. Pour les deux résultats, les estimations PIP étaient supérieures à celles calculées selon la méthode ACC; elles étaient généralement similaires aux estimations LOCF et elles produisaient les plus larges intervalles de confiance. Conclusions: La PIP offre une méthode efficace de résolution des difficultés d'estimation lors de l'utilisation de données de programme non représentatives de la population, dans les contextes où le coût entrave la collecte de données de résultat pour un groupe témoin approprié.

The relationships between cognitive function, literacy and HIV status knowledge among older adults in rural South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: Although HIV prevalence is exceptionally high in South Africa, HIV testing rates remain below targeted guidelines. Older adults living with HIV are substantially more likely to remain undiagnosed than younger people. Cognitive function and literacy could play key roles in HIV status knowledge due to the decision-making processes required around weighing the costs and benefits of testing, navigating testing logistics and processing results. We aimed to assess the independent relationships among each of cognitive function, literacy and education with HIV status knowledge in a population-based sample of older adults living in a rural South African community with high HIV prevalence. METHODS: We analyzed data from a population-based study of 5059 men and women aged 40 years and older in rural South Africa (Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH community (HAALSI)). HAALSI surveys, conducted between 2014 and 2015, queried self-reported literacy, educational attainment and HIV status knowledge. Laboratory tests were conducted to assess true HIV sero-status. Cognitive function was assessed with a battery of cognitive tests measuring time orientation, immediate and delayed recall, and numeracy and coded using confirmatory factor analysis as a z-standardized latent variable. We estimated the relationship between the outcome of HIV status knowledge and each of three exposures: (1) latent cognitive z-score, (2) literacy and (3) education, using confounder-adjusted modified Poisson regression models in the study population overall and stratified by HIV sero-status. RESULTS: We found that HIV status knowledge was higher among those with higher cognitive z-scores (adjusted Prevalence Ratio (aPR) (95% CI): 1.18 (1.14, 1.21) per standard deviation unit), and among literate participants (aPR (95% CI): 1.24 (1.16, 1.32) vs. non-literate participants). Taken together, the associations with literacy and cognitive function completely attenuated the otherwise positive association between educational attainment and HIV status knowledge. The magnitudes of effect were generally similar among laboratory-confirmed HIV-negative and HIV-positive participants. CONCLUSIONS: Campaigns that target older adults in rural South Africa with HIV testing messages should carefully consider the cognitive and literacy levels of the intended audience. Innovations to ease the cognitive load associated with HIV testing could prove fruitful to increase HIV status knowledge.

The effect of antenatal counseling and intrauterine device insertion services on postpartum contraceptive use in Nepal: Results from a stepped-wedge randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: There is high unmet need for family planning in the postpartum period in Nepal. The current study assessed the effects of a contraceptive counseling and postpartum intrauterine device (PPIUD) insertion intervention on use of contraception in the postpartum period. STUDY DESIGN: We utilized a cluster, stepped-wedge design to randomly assign two hospital clusters (compromised of six hospitals) to begin the intervention at time one or time two. From 2015 to 2017, women completed surveys after delivery but before discharge (n = 75,893), and then at one year and two years postpartum. We estimated the intent-to-treat effect of the intervention using weighted, linear probability models and the adherence-adjusted effect (antenatal counseling) using an instrumental variable approach. Outcomes included modern contraceptive use and method mix measured at one and two years postpartum in a sample of 19,298 women (year I follow-up sample) and a sample of 19,248 women (year II follow-up sample). We used inverse probability weights to adjust for incomplete follow-up and bootstrap methods to give correct causal inference with the small number of six clusters. RESULTS: The intervention increased use of modern contraceptives by 3.8 percentage points [95% CI: -0.1, 9.5] at one-year postpartum, but only 0.3 percentage points [95% CI: -3.7, 4.1] at two years. The intervention significantly increased the use of PPIUDs at one year and two years postpartum, but there was less use of sterilization. Only 42% of women were counseled during the intervention period. The adherence-adjusted effects (antenatal counseling) were four times larger than the intent-to-treat effects. CONCLUSIONS: Providing counseling during the antenatal period and PPIUD services in hospitals increased use of PPIUDs in the one- and two-year postpartum period and shifted the contraceptive method mix. IMPLICATIONS: In order for antenatal counseling to increase postpartum contraceptive use, counseling may need to be provided in a wider range of prenatal care settings and at multiple time points. Healthcare providers should be trained on contraceptive counseling and PPIUD insertion, with the goal of expanding the available method mix and meeting postpartum women's contraceptive needs.

HIV treatment cascade for older adults in rural South Africa.

OBJECTIVES: The HIV treatment cascade is a powerful framework for understanding progress from initial diagnosis to successful treatment. Data sources for cascades vary and often are based on clinical cohorts, population cohorts linked to clinics, or self-reported information. We use both biomarkers and self-reported data from a large population-based cohort of older South Africans to establish the first HIV cascade for this growing segment of the HIV-positive population and compare results using the different data sources. METHODS: Data came from the Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI) 2015 baseline survey of 5059 adults aged 40+ years. Dried blood spots (DBS) were screened for HIV, antiretroviral drugs and viral load. In-home surveys asked about HIV testing, diagnosis and antiretroviral therapy (ART) use. We calculated proportions and CIs for each stage of the cascade, conditional on attainment of the previous stage, using (1) biomarkers, (2) self-report and (3) both biomarkers and self-report, and compared with UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets. RESULTS: 4560 participants had DBS results, among whom 1048 (23%) screened HIV-positive and comprised the denominator for each cascade. The biomarker cascade showed 63% (95% CI 60 to 66) on ART and 72% (95% CI 69 to 76) of those on ART with viral suppression. Self-reports underestimated testing, diagnosis and ART, with only 47% (95% CI 44 to 50) of HIV-positive individuals reporting ART use. The combined cascade indicated high HIV testing (89% (95% CI 87 to 91)), but lower knowledge of HIV-positive status (71% (95% CI 68 to 74)). CONCLUSIONS: Older South Africans need repeated HIV testing and sustained ART to reach 90-90-90 targets. HIV cascades relying on self-reports are likely to underestimate true cascade attainment, and biomarkers provide substantial improvements to cascade estimates.

Chronic multimorbidity among older adults in rural South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: The rapid ageing of populations around the world is accompanied by increasing prevalence of multimorbidity. This study is one of the first to present the prevalence of multimorbidity that includes HIV in the complex epidemiological setting of South Africa, thus filling a gap in the multimorbidity literature that is dominated by studies in high-income or low-HIV prevalence settings. METHODS: Out of the full sample of 5059 people aged 40+, we analysed cross-sectional data on 10 conditions from 3889 people enrolled in the Health and Ageing in Africa: A longitudinal study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI) Programme. Two definitions of multimorbidity were applied: the presence of more than one condition and the presence of conditions from more than one of the following categories: cardiometabolic conditions, mental disorders, HIV and anaemia. We conducted descriptive and regression analyses to assess the relationship between prevalence of multimorbidity and sociodemographic factors. We examined the frequencies of the most prevalent combinations of conditions and assessed relationships between multimorbidity and physical and psychological functioning. RESULTS: 69.4 per cent (95% CI 68.0 to 70.9) of the respondents had at least two conditions and 53.9% (52.4-55.5) of the sample had at least two categories of conditions. The most common condition groups and multimorbid profiles were combinations of cardiometabolic conditions, cardiometabolic conditions and depression, HIV and anaemia and combinations of mental disorders. The commonly observed positive relationships between multimorbidity and age and decreasing wealth were not observed in this population, namelydue to different epidemiological profiles in the subgroups, with higher prevalence of HIV and anaemia in the poorer and younger groups, and higher prevalence of cardiometabolic conditions in the richer and older groups. Both physical functioning and well-being negatively associated with multimorbidity. DISCUSSION: More coordinated, long-term integrated care management across multiple chronic conditions should be provided in rural South Africa.

Hypertension and diabetes control along the HIV care cascade in rural South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: Participation in antiretroviral therapy (ART) programmes has been associated with greater utilization of care for hypertension and diabetes in rural South Africa. The objective of this study was to assess whether people living with HIV on ART with comorbid hypertension or diabetes also have improved chronic disease management indicators. METHODS: The Health and Aging in Africa: a longitudinal study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI) is a cohort of 5059 adults >40 years old. Enrollment took place between November 2014 and November 2015. The study collected population-based data on demographics, healthcare utilization, height, weight, blood pressure (BP) and blood glucose as well as HIV infection, HIV-1 RNA viral load (VL) and ART exposure. We used regression models to determine whether HIV care cascade stage (HIV-negative, HIV+ /No ART, ART/Detected HIV VL, and ART/Undetectable VL) was associated with diagnosis or treatment of hypertension or diabetes, and systolic blood pressure and glucose among those with diagnosed hypertension or diabetes. ART use was measured from drug level testing on dried blood spots. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Compared to people without HIV, ART/Undetectable VL was associated with greater awareness of hypertension diagnosis (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.18, 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.28) and treatment of hypertension (aRR 1.24, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.41) among those who met hypertension diagnostic criteria. HIV care cascade stage was not significantly associated with awareness of diagnosis or treatment of diabetes. Among those with diagnosed hypertension or diabetes, ART/Undetectable VL was associated with lower mean systolic blood pressure (5.98 mm Hg, 95% CI: 9.65 to 2.32) and lower mean glucose (3.77 mmol/L, 95% CI: 6.85 to 0.69), compared to being HIV-negative. CONCLUSIONS: Participants on ART with an undetectable VL had lower systolic blood pressure and blood glucose than the HIV-negative participants. HIV treatment programmes may provide a platform for health systems strengthening for cardiometabolic disease.