RESUMO
In response to antibiotics that inhibit a bacterial enzyme, resistance mutations inevitably arise. Predicting them ahead of time would aid target selection and drug design. The simplest resistance mechanism would be to reduce antibiotic binding without sacrificing too much substrate binding. The property that reflects this is the enzyme "vitality", defined here as the difference between the inhibitor and substrate binding free energies. To predict such mutations, we borrow methodology from computational protein design. We use a Monte Carlo exploration of mutation space and vitality changes, allowing us to rank thousands of mutations and identify ones that might provide resistance through the simple mechanism considered. As an illustration, we chose dihydrofolate reductase, an essential enzyme targeted by several antibiotics. We simulated its complexes with the inhibitor trimethoprim and the substrate dihydrofolate. 20 active site positions were mutated, or "redesigned" individually, then in pairs or quartets. We computed the resulting binding free energy and vitality changes. Out of seven known resistance mutations involving active site positions, five were correctly recovered. Ten positions exhibited mutations with significant predicted vitality gains. Direct couplings between designed positions were predicted to be small, which reduces the combinatorial complexity of the mutation space to be explored. It also suggests that over the course of evolution, resistance mutations involving several positions do not need the underlying point mutations to arise all at once: they can appear and become fixed one after the other.
