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1.
Acta Biotheor ; 60(1-2): 167-88, 2012 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22419390

RESUMO

We present a dynamical model of a multi-site fishery. The fish stock is located on a discrete set of fish habitats where it is catched by the fishing fleet. We assume that fishes remain on fishing habitats while the fishing vessels can move at a fast time scale to visit the different fishing sites. We use the existence of two time scales to reduce the dimension of the model : we build an aggregated model considering the habitat fish densities and the total fishing effort. We explore a regulation procedure, which imposes an average residence time in patches. Several equilibria exist, a Fishery Free Equilibria (FFEs) as well as a Sustainable Fishery Equilibria (SFEs). We show that the dynamics depends on a threshold which is similar to a basic reproduction ratio for the fishery. When the basic reproduction ratio is less or equal to 1, one of the FFEs is globally asymptotically stable (GAS), otherwise one of the SFEs is GAS.


Assuntos
Pesqueiros , Modelos Teóricos , Reprodução , Animais
2.
J Theor Biol ; 258(3): 344-51, 2009 Jun 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19063903

RESUMO

We study the effects of a disease affecting a predator on the dynamics of a predator-prey system. We couple an SIRS model applied to the predator population, to a Lotka-Volterra model. The SIRS model describes the spread of the disease in a predator population subdivided into susceptible, infected and removed individuals. The Lotka-Volterra model describes the predator-prey interactions. We consider two time scales, a fast one for the disease and a comparatively slow one for predator-prey interactions and for predator mortality. We use the classical "aggregation method" in order to obtain a reduced equivalent model. We show that there are two possible asymptotic behaviors: either the predator population dies out and the prey tends to its carrying capacity, or the predator and prey coexist. In this latter case, the predator population tends either to a "disease-free" or to a "disease-endemic" state. Moreover, the total predator density in the disease-endemic state is greater than the predator density in the "disease-free" equilibrium (DFE).


Assuntos
Doenças dos Animais , Simulação por Computador , Ecossistema , Teoria dos Jogos , Comportamento Predatório , Animais , Cadeia Alimentar , Modelos Biológicos , Densidade Demográfica
3.
Math Biosci ; 216(2): 123-31, 2008 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18805432

RESUMO

We generalize to n patches the Ross-Macdonald model which describes the dynamics of malaria. We incorporate in our model the fact that some patches can be vector free. We assume that the hosts can migrate between patches, but not the vectors. The susceptible and infectious individuals have the same dispersal rate. We compute the basic reproduction ratio R(0). We prove that if R(0)1, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. When R(0)>1, we prove that there exists a unique endemic equilibrium, which is globally asymptotically stable on the biological domain minus the disease-free equilibrium.


Assuntos
Culicidae/parasitologia , Insetos Vetores/parasitologia , Malária/transmissão , Modelos Biológicos , Plasmodium/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Animais , Número Básico de Reprodução , Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Malária/epidemiologia , Prevalência
4.
Math Biosci ; 213(1): 1-12, 2008 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18405926

RESUMO

One goal of this paper is to give an algorithm for computing a threshold condition for epidemiological systems arising from compartmental deterministic modeling. We calculate a threshold condition T(0) of the parameters of the system such that if T(0)<1 the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is locally asymptotically stable (LAS), and if T(0)>1, the DFE is unstable. The second objective, by adding some reasonable assumptions, is to give, depending on the model, necessary and sufficient conditions for global asymptotic stability (GAS) of the DFE. In many cases, we can prove that a necessary and sufficient condition for the global asymptotic stability of the DFE is R(0)< or =1, where R(0) is the basic reproduction number [O. Diekmann, J.A. Heesterbeek, Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases: Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation, Wiley, New York, 2000]. To illustrate our results, we apply our techniques to examples taken from the literature. In these examples we improve the results already obtained for the GAS of the DFE. We show that our algorithm is relevant for high dimensional epidemiological models.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Número Básico de Reprodução , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Modelos Estatísticos , Animais , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos
5.
Math Biosci Eng ; 5(1): 20-33, 2008 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18193929

RESUMO

We compute the basic reproduction ratio of a SEIS model with n classes of latent individuals and bilinear incidence. The system exhibits the traditional behaviour. We prove that if R(0) < or = 1, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable on the nonnegative orthant and if R (0) > 1, an endemic equilibrium exists and is globally asymptotically stable on the positive orthant.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Suscetibilidade a Doenças/epidemiologia , Modelos Biológicos , Animais , Simulação por Computador , Humanos
6.
Math Biosci ; 209(1): 51-75, 2007 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17383688

RESUMO

We provide a global analysis of systems of within-host parasitic infections. The systems studied have parallel classes of different length of latently infected target cells. These systems can also be thought as systems arising from within-host parasitic systems with distributed continuous delays. We compute the basic reproduction ratio R0 for the systems under consideration. If R0< or =1 the parasite is cleared, if R0>1 and if a sufficient condition is satisfied we conclude to the global asymptotic stability (GAS) of the endemic equilibrium. For some generic class of models this condition reduces to R0>1. These results make possible to revisit some parasitic models including intracellular delays and to study their global stability.


Assuntos
Infecções/microbiologia , Infecções/parasitologia , Modelos Biológicos , Infecções por HIV/virologia , HIV-1/fisiologia , Humanos
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