Impact of sampling time deviations on the prediction of the area under the curve using regression limited sampling strategies.

The regression limited sampling strategy approach (R-LSS), which is based on a small number of blood samples drawn at selected time points, has been used as an alternative method for the estimation of the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC). However, deviations from planned sampling times may affect the performance of R-LSS, influencing related therapeutic decisions and outcomes. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of different sampling time deviation (STD) scenarios on the estimation of AUC by the R-LSS using a simulation approach. Three types of scenarios were considered going from the simplest case of fixed deviations, to random deviations and then to a more realistic case where deviations of mixed nature can occur. In addition, the sensitivity of the R-LSS to STD in each involved sampling point was evaluated. A significant impact of STD on the performance of R-LSS was demonstrated. The tolerance of R-LSS to STD was found to depend not only on the number of sampling points but more importantly on the duration of the sampling process. Sensitivity analysis showed that sampling points at which rapid concentration changes occur were relatively more critical for AUC prediction by R-LSS. As a practical approach, nomograms were proposed, where the expected predictive performance of R-LSS was provided as a function of STD information. The investigation of STD impact on the predictive performance of R-LSS is a critical element and should be routinely performed to guide R-LSS selection and use.

Limited sampling strategies for estimating intravenous and oral cyclosporine area under the curve in pediatric hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The optimal monitoring strategy for cyclosporine (CsA) in pediatric hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) patients remains unclear. Although there is a growing interest in the use of the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC), measurement of AUC in clinical settings is often impractical. The objective of this study was to identify and validate limited sampling strategies (LSSs) for the prediction of CsA AUC after intravenous (IV) and oral (PO) administration in this population. METHODS: Sixty-eight pediatric patients who underwent HSCT and received CsA were investigated. Twelve-hour pharmacokinetic profiles (n = 138) performed per standard of care were collected. Weighted multiple linear regression was used to investigate all possible LSSs consisting of 4 or less concentration-time points. Their predictive performance was evaluated by leave one out cross validation and external validation by measuring the root mean squared relative error (RMSE%) and the 95th percentile of the absolute relative error (AE%). Values less than 20% were considered clinically acceptable. RESULTS: Nine LSSs (4 IV and 5 PO) convenient for clinical application proved to have clinically acceptable performance. Notably, LSS based on C0, C2, and C4 was found to be accurate for estimation of CsA exposure after both IV and PO administration with the 95th percentile of AE% of 19.7% and 17.5%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: LSSs using 3 or 4 concentration-time points obtained within 4 hours postdose provide a convenient and reliable method to estimate CsA exposure in this population. These LSSs may facilitate future research aiming at better defining the relationship between AUC and clinical outcomes.

Bayesian approach for the estimation of cyclosporine area under the curve using limited sampling strategies in pediatric hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The optimal marker for cyclosporine (CsA) monitoring in transplantation patients remains controversial. However, there is a growing interest in the use of the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC), particularly for cyclosporine dose adjustment in pediatric hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. In this paper, we develop Bayesian limited sampling strategies (B-LSS) for cyclosporine AUC estimation using population pharmacokinetic (Pop-PK) models and investigate related issues, with the aim to improve B-LSS prediction performance. METHODS: Twenty five pediatric hematopoietic stem cell transplantation patients receiving intravenous and oral cyclosporine were investigated. Pop-PK analyses were carried out and the predictive performance of B-LSS was evaluated using the final Pop-PK model and several related ones. The performance of B-LSS when targeting different versions of AUC was also discussed. RESULTS: A two-compartment structure model with a lag time and a combined additive and proportional error is retained. The final covariate model does not improve the B-LSS prediction performance. The best performing models for intravenous and oral cyclosporine are the structure ones with combined and additive error, respectively. Twelve B-LSS, consisting of 4 or less sampling points obtained within 4 hours post-dose, predict AUC with 95th percentile of the absolute values of relative prediction errors of 20% or less. Moreover, B-LSS perform better for the prediction of the 'underlying' AUC derived from the Pop-PK model estimated concentrations that exclude the residual errors, in comparison to their prediction of the observed AUC directly calculated using measured concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: B-LSS can adequately estimate cyclosporine AUC. However, B-LSS performance is not perfectly in line with the standard Pop-PK model selection criteria; hence the final model might not be ideal for AUC prediction purpose. Therefore, for B-LSS application, Pop-PK model diagnostic criteria should additionally account for AUC prediction errors.

Compliance descriptors: analysis and evaluation in terms of therapeutic effect.

The aim of this work was to evaluate the performance of various compliance parameters in order to identify those which best assess the impact of compliance on therapeutic issues. We will discuss the particularities and restrictions of these parameters by considering two criteria, namely sensitivity index and reliability, which respectively describe strength and robustness of the relationship between these parameters and compliance. Using real and virtual data, performance analysis of compliance parameters was carried out for drugs whose pharmacokinetic properties govern the time course of their actions. Within this context, it was found that the percentage of taken doses (PTD), the most widely used parameter, poorly performed in the evaluation of the therapeutic impact of compliance. On the other hand, the adjusted percentage of correct doses (PCD*) which we propose here, showed the best reliability, making it the most appropriate parameter for the comparison of different compliance patterns. The percentage of correct doses (PCD) has, in its turn, the highest sensitivity index and thus should be preferred for the assessment of changes in compliance. Hence, a perfect parameter for the evaluation of compliance impact cannot be universally identified since each parameter can have its own characteristic advantages and limitations. The methodology proposed here is general enough to be adapted for similar drug classes to evaluate their compliance descriptors.