Conditional survival to assess prognosis in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia.

Biomarkers in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) allow assessment of prognosis. However, the validity of current prognostic biomarkers based on a single assessment point remains unclear for patients who have survived one or more years. Conditional survival (CS) studies that address how prognosis may change over time, especially in prognostic subgroups, are still rare. We performed CS analyses to estimate 5-year survival in 1-year increments, stratified by baseline disease characteristics and known risk factors in two community-based cohorts of CLL patients (Freiburg University Hospital (n = 316) and Augsburg University Hospital (n = 564)) diagnosed between 1984 and 2021. We demonstrate that 5-year CS probability is stable (app. 75%) for the entire CLL patient cohort over 10 years. While age, sex, and stage have no significant impact on CS, patients with high-risk disease features such as non-mutated IGHV, deletion 17p, and high-risk CLL-IPI have a significantly worse prognosis at diagnosis, and 5-year CS steadily decreases with each additional year survived. Our results confirm that CLL patients have a stable survival probability with excess mortality and that the prognosis of high-risk CLL patients declines over time. We infer that CS-based prognostic information is relevant for disease management and counseling of CLL patients.

Update on recent key publications in lung oncology: picking up speed.

INTRODUCTION: As incidence rates for lung cancer are still very high and lung cancer remains the most deadly cancer since the turn of the millennium, efforts have been made to find new approaches in cancer research. This systematic review highlights how therapeutic options were extended and how the development of new drugs has picked up speed during the last 20 years. METHODS: A systematic search was performed in PubMed, Cochrane Library and the European Union Trial Register and 443 records were identified. Our inclusion criteria constituted completed phase I, II and III studies investigating drugs approved by the European Medicines Agency (EMA). Overall, 127 articles were analysed. RESULTS: During the 5 year interval from 2015 to 2020, significantly more drugs were approved after phase III, and occasionally after phase II, trials than between 2000 and 2005 (p=0.002). Furthermore, there was a significant time difference (p=0.00001) indicating an increasingly briefer time interval between the publication of phase I and phase III results in the last few years. DISCUSSION: Due to novel therapeutic approaches, numerous new drugs in lung oncology were approved. This has improved symptoms and prognoses in patients with advanced lung cancer. However, faster approval could make it difficult to scrutinise new options regarding safety and efficacy with sufficient diligence.

Monitoring efficacy of checkpoint inhibitor therapy in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer.

Aim: Radiological criteria alone do not reflect the entire population benefitting from checkpoint inhibitor therapy (CIT). This study aimed to detect patterns to assess CIT efficacy in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. Materials & methods: We evaluated clinical, radiological and laboratory parameters in a retrospective cohort of NSCLC patients treated with nivolumab. Results: A total of 51 patients were included in the analysis. Most single parameters failed to reflect treatment benefit. Three laboratory parameters (lactate dehydrogenase, C-reactive protein and the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio) combined in a weighted score could predict benefit with a sensitivity of 92.3% and a hazard ratio of 0.31 (95% CI: 0.16-0.59) in an early phase of therapy. Sorting patients by score showed a 1-year survival of 36% in those predicted as not benefitting versus 68% in those predicted to benefit. Conclusion: A weighted score integrating common serum markers could help detect patients benefitting from checkpoint inhibitors during ongoing CIT.