Global maps of travel time to healthcare facilities.

Access to healthcare is a requirement for human well-being that is constrained, in part, by the allocation of healthcare resources relative to the geographically dispersed human population1-3. Quantifying access to care globally is challenging due to the absence of a comprehensive database of healthcare facilities. We harness major data collection efforts underway by OpenStreetMap, Google Maps and academic researchers to compile the most complete collection of facility locations to date. Leveraging the geographically variable strengths of our facility datasets, we use an established methodology4 to characterize travel time to healthcare facilities in unprecedented detail. We produce maps of travel time with and without access to motorized transport, thus characterizing travel time to healthcare for populations distributed across the wealth spectrum. We find that just 8.9% of the global population (646 million people) cannot reach healthcare within one hour if they have access to motorized transport, and that 43.3% (3.16 billion people) cannot reach a healthcare facility by foot within one hour. Our maps highlight an additional vulnerability faced by poorer individuals in remote areas and can help to estimate whether individuals will seek healthcare when it is needed, as well as providing an evidence base for efficiently distributing limited healthcare and transportation resources to underserved populations both now and in the future.

Are cost advantages from a modern Indian hospital transferable to the United States?

BACKGROUND: Multiple modern Indian hospitals operate at very low cost while meeting US-equivalent quality accreditation standards. Though US hospitals face intensifying pressure to lower their cost, including proposals to extend Medicare payment rates to all admissions, the transferability of Indian hospitals' cost advantages to US peers remains unclear. METHODS: Using time-driven activity-based costing methods, we estimate the average cost of personnel and space for an elective coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery at two American hospitals and one Indian hospital (NH). All three hospitals are Joint Commission accredited and have reputations for use of modern performance management methods. Our case study applies several analytic steps to distinguish transferable from non-transferable sources of NH's cost savings. RESULTS: After removing non-transferable sources of efficiency, NH's residual cost advantage primarily rests on shifting tasks to less-credentialed and/or less-experienced personnel who are supervised by highly-skilled personnel when perceived risk of complications is low. NH's high annual CABG volume facilitates such supervised work "downshifting." The study is subject to limitations inherent in case studies, does not account for the younger age of NH's patients, or capture savings attributable to NH's negligible frequency of re-admission or post-acute care facility placement. CONCLUSIONS: Most transferable bases for a modern Indian hospital's cost advantage would require more flexible American states' hospital and health professional licensing regulations, greater family participation in inpatient care, and stronger support by hospital executives and clinicians for substantially lowering the cost of care via regionalization of complex surgeries and weekend use of costly operating rooms.

Validation of the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) chronic kidney disease risk score in HIV-infected patients in the USA.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to assess the validity of an easy-to-calculate chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk score developed by the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) group in a longitudinal observational study of people living with HIV (PLWH) in the USA. METHODS: PLWH (2002-2016) without prior exposure to potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral agents and with at least three estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) test results were identified in the Observational Pharmaco-Epidemiology Research and Analysis (OPERA® ) cohort. Three samples were drawn independently using the same eligibility criteria but each using a different eGFR equation, specifically the Cockcroft-Gault (C-G), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) or Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) eGFR estimation method. Full and short D:A:D risk scores were applied. CKD was defined as a confirmed decrease in eGFR to < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (stages 3-5). Poisson models estimated the association between CKD incidence and a one-point increase in the continuous risk score. The incidence rate ratio (IRR), adjusted IRR (aIRR), and Harrell's discrimination statistic were used to assess validity. RESULTS: There were 19 444, 22 727 and 22 748 PLWH in the OPERA C-G, CKD-EPI and MDRD samples, respectively. The median (minimum-maximum) follow-up duration was 6.1 (0.3-9.1) years in the D:A:D cohort and ranged from 3.2 to 3.5 (0.2-15.5) years in the OPERA validation samples. The observation time for the majority of PLWH in the D:A:D cohort began prior to 2006, in stark contrast to the OPERA validation samples, where the majority of PLWH were observed after 2011. The CKD incidence ranged from 7.3 per 1000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI) 6.8, 7.9 per 1000 person-years] in OPERA C-G to 11.0 (95% CI 10.4, 11.6 per 1000 person-years) in OPERA MDRD. In OPERA samples, IRRs by risk group and adjusted IRRs (full risk score) were similar to those in the D:A:D derivation cohort (adjusted IRR 1.3; 95% CI 1.3, 1.3). Harrell's c-statistic ranged from 0.87 to 0.92 in the OPERA samples, comparable to that in the derivation cohort (0.92). Results for short scores were similar. CONCLUSIONS: The findings support the validity of the D:A:D risk scoring method for assessing CKD (stages 3-5) probability in an exclusively USA-based sample regardless of eGFR method.

Prevalence of clinical venous thromboembolism in the USA: current trends and future projections.

The U.S.-wide prevalence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unclear, with reported VTE incidence estimates varying widely. This retrospective analysis of healthcare claims data from patients in the Thomson Reuters national MarketScan(®) Commercial and Medicare databases (January 2002-December 2006) estimates the U.S. prevalence of VTE, and assesses associated temporal trends. Of 12.7 million study-eligible patients, 200,007 had VTE. The overall prevalence of VTE (cases per 100,000) increased by 33.1% during the study period: from 317 in 2002 to 422 in 2006. VTE was more prevalent in women than men throughout the study. The annual prevalence of VTE increased with age: 1,382 in patients ≥65 years versus 231 in patients <65 (2006 data). The number of U.S. adults with VTE is projected to more than double from 0.95 million in 2006 to 1.82 million in 2050. These data confirm that VTE remains a major healthcare burden in the US, particularly among the elderly, and highlight a continuing increase in prevalence of the disease. Greater efforts are required to improve awareness of VTE and improve standards of VTE prevention in healthcare organizations.

Clinical and economic outcomes with appropriate or partial prophylaxis.

INTRODUCTION: Despite the existence of evidence-based guidelines for venous thromboembolism (VTE) prevention, prophylaxis is often inappropriately prescribed. This study compared the efficacy, safety, and cost of appropriate (ACCP-recommended) prophylaxis with partial prophylaxis (not completely conforming to ACCP guidelines) in patients at-risk of VTE receiving enoxaparin or unfractionated heparin. METHODS: The MarketScan((R)) Hospital Drug Database from Thomson Reuters (January 2004-March 2007), was queried for medical and surgical patients at high risk of VTE, aged > or =40years, and with a hospital stay > or =6days. Univariate and multivariate analyses compared hospital-acquired VTE events, adverse events, and hospital costs between appropriate or partial prophylaxis discharges. RESULTS: Of the 21,001 discharge records included, appropriate prophylaxis was received by 5136 (24.5%) patients. Compared with partial prophylaxis, appropriate prophylaxis was associated with significantly lower incidences of hospital-acquired pulmonary embolism (0.9% vs 0.5%; adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.55, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.35-0.87, P=0.010), and bleeding events (10.7% vs 5.1%; adjusted OR 0.57, 95% CI 0.50-0.66, P<0.001). Total costs per discharge were lower for appropriate prophylaxis ($17,386+/-12,004) than partial prophylaxis ($23,823+/-19,783) with an adjusted mean difference of $6370 in favor of appropriate prophylaxis (P<0.001). CONCLUSION: This retrospective study suggests that ACCP-guideline recommended appropriate prophylaxis reduces hospital-acquired pulmonary embolism and bleeding events in patients at-risk of VTE and is cost-saving when total direct medical costs are considered. The substantial US clinical and economic VTE burden may, therefore, be reduced by improving prophylaxis adherence with guideline recommendations.

Postdialysis outcomes associated with consistent anemia treatment in predialysis patients with chronic kidney disease.

AIMS: Anemia and cardiovascular (CV) events are major complications of chronic kidney disease (CKD) during dialysis. We conducted a retrospective observational study in CKD patients with anemia to evaluate the association between predialysis use of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) and postdialysis CV outcomes. METHODS: The study analyzed claims data on incident hemodialysis patients aged > or = 18 years (identified between January 2000 and November 2005). Patients were identified as anemic and ESA-treated prior to dialysis. ESA treatment was categorized into 4 consistency groups (from least to most consistent ESA use). RESULTS: Of 5,848 hemodialysis patients, 52% were identified as anemic prior to onset of dialysis. Predialysis ESA treatment was received by 62% of anemic patients, with only 23% receiving the most consistent treatment. The risk of a CV event was significantly lower for the ESA-treated compared with ESA-untreated patients (relative risk (RR) 0.70, 95% (95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.61 - 0.82)). Compared with ESA-untreated, those who received ESAs had significantly lower risk of acute myocardial infarction (RR 0.65 (95% CI 0.44 - 0.95)) or inpatient mortality (RR 0.52 (95% CI 0.40 - 0.68)). ESA-treated patients in each of the 4 consistency groups had significantly lower risk of CV events compared with ESA-untreated patients, with the greatest benefit seen in patients who received most consistent ESA (RR 0.61 (95% CI 0.48 - 0.76)). CONCLUSIONS: This analysis suggests consistent ESA use to treat anemia of CKD in the predialysis period is associated with improved cardiovascular outcomes in postdialysis patients.

Effect of zoledronic acid on pain associated with bone metastasis in patients with prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Zoledronic acid reduces skeletal-related events associated with prostate cancer and has long-term efficacy in pain outcomes. Findings of treatment group differences in pain early in treatment are less reliable. We used a recently recommended analytic approach to examine the effect of zoledronic acid on pain. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In a trial of zoledronic acid (n = 214) versus placebo (n = 208), we used the Brief Pain Inventory to assess pain at baseline, 3 weeks, 6 weeks and every 6 weeks thereafter for a total of 60 weeks. We used a modified longitudinal rank test to determine whether clinically meaningful changes in pain were related to treatment group. RESULTS: Seventy-six of 214 patients (35.5%) receiving zoledronic acid and 62 of 208 patients (29.8%) receiving placebo completed the 60-week visit (P = 0.22). In all 11 pain assessments, patients receiving zoledronic acid reported more favorable, clinically meaningful changes in pain scores. Overall, patients receiving zoledronic acid had a 33% chance of a favorable response, compared with 25% for patients receiving placebo (P = 0.04; 95% CI 0.5% to 15.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Zoledronic acid was more likely than placebo to be associated with clinically meaningful reductions in pain. Thus, zoledronic acid may help to avert the pain experienced by patients with progressing metastatic disease secondary to prostate cancer.

The significance of skeletal-related events for the health-related quality of life of patients with metastatic prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: We examined the clinical relevance of skeletal-related events (SREs) for health state preferences, pain and health-related quality of life in patients with advanced prostate cancer and a history of bone metastases. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data were from a clinical trial of zoledronic acid versus placebo in the treatment of SREs associated with advanced prostate cancer metastatic to bone. Patients (n=248) were included if they experienced an SRE during the study. Outcome measures were assessed at fixed intervals. We used mixed-effects models to estimate changes in outcomes after each patient's first SRE. RESULTS: There were clinically meaningful and statistically significant declines in physical well-being after: radiation and pathologic fractures; functional well-being after radiation; and emotional well-being after radiation and pathologic fractures. There also were meaningful and significant declines in preference and utility scores after radiation and fracture. Pain intensity declined after radiation, but not after other SREs; no other pain measure changed substantively. CONCLUSIONS: SREs have important and significant effects on measures of health-related quality of life in men with prostate cancer. Treatments that prevent SREs may not demonstrate corresponding effects on outcomes if the effects of SREs occur between scheduled outcome assessments. Implications for trial design are discussed.

Patient expectations of benefit from phase I clinical trials: linguistic considerations in diagnosing a therapeutic misconception.

The ethical treatment of cancer patients participating in clinical trials requires that patients are well-informed about the potential benefits and risks associated with participation. When patients enrolled in phase I clinical trials report that their chance of benefit is very high, this is often taken as evidence of a failure of the informed consent process. We argue, however, that some simple themes from the philosophy of language may make such a conclusion less certain. First, the patient may receive conflicting statements from multiple speakers about the expected outcome of the trial. Patients may be reporting the message they like best. Second, there is a potential problem of multivocality. Expressions of uncertainty of the frequency type (e.g., "On average, 5 out of every 100 patients will benefit") can be confused with expressions of uncertainty of the belief type (e.g., "The chance that I will benefit is about 80%"). Patients may be informed using frequency-type statements and respond using belief-type statements. Third, each speech episode involving the investigator and the patient regarding outcomes may subserve multiple speech acts, some of which may be indirect. For example, a patient reporting a high expected benefit may be reporting a belief about the future, reassuring family members, and/or attempting to improve his or her outcome by a public assertion of optimism. These sources of linguistic confusion should be considered in judging whether the patient's reported expectation is grounds for a bioethical concern that there has been a failure in the informed consent process.

Economic analysis of conventional-dose chemotherapy compared with high-dose chemotherapy plus autologous hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation for metastatic breast cancer.

We performed an economic analysis of data from 180 women in a clinical trial of conventional-dose chemotherapy vs high-dose chemotherapy plus stem-cell transplantation for metastatic breast cancer responding to first-line chemotherapy. Data on resource use, including hospitalizations, medical procedures, medications, and diagnostic tests, were abstracted from subjects' clinical trial records. Resources were valued using the Medicare Fee Schedule for inpatient costs at one academic medical center and average wholesale prices for medications. Monthly costs were calculated and stratified by treatment group and clinical phase. Mean follow-up was 690 days in the transplantation group and 758 days in the conventional-dose chemotherapy group. Subjects in the transplantation group were hospitalized for more days (28.6 vs 17.8, P=0.0041) and incurred higher costs (US dollars 84055 vs US dollars 28169) than subjects receiving conventional-dose chemotherapy, with a mean difference of US dollars 55886 (95% CI, US dollars 47298-US dollars 63666). Sensitivity analyses resulted in cost differences between the treatment groups from US dollars 36528 to US dollars 75531. High-dose chemotherapy plus stem-cell transplantation resulted in substantial additional morbidity and costs at no improvement in survival. Neither the survival results nor the economic findings support the use of this procedure outside of the clinical trial setting.

Economic evaluation of filgrastim, sargramostim, and sequential sargramostim and filgrastim after myelosuppressive chemotherapy.

Filgrastim alone and sequential sargramostim and filgrastim have been shown to be more effective than sargramostim alone in the mobilization of CD34(+) cells after myelosuppressive chemotherapy (MC). We sought to compare costs and resource use associated with these regimens. Data were collected prospectively alongside a multicenter, randomized trial of filgrastim, sargramostim, and sequential sargramostim and filgrastim. Direct medical costs were calculated for inpatient and outpatient visits and procedures, including administration of growth factors and MC. We followed 156 patients for 30 days or until initiation of high-dose chemotherapy. The main outcome measures were resource use and costs of inpatient and outpatient visits, platelet and red blood cell transfusions, antibiotic use, and apheresis procedures. Hospital admissions, red blood cell transfusions, and use of i.v. antibiotics were significantly more common in the sargramostim group than in the other treatment arms. In univariate and multivariable analyses, total costs were higher for patients receiving sargramostim alone than for patients in the other groups. Mean costs in multivariable analysis for the filgrastim and sequential sargramostim and filgrastim arms were not significantly different. Filgrastim alone and sequential sargramostim and filgrastim are less costly than sargramostim alone after MC, as well as therapeutically more beneficial.

A microcosting analysis of zoledronic acid and pamidronate therapy in patients with metastatic bone disease.

Our goal was to calculate resource use associated with administration of zoledronic acid, compared with pamidronate, as palliative care for patients with metastatic bone lesions. We conducted a time-and-motion study of therapy administration at each of three outpatient chemotherapy infusion sites participating in clinical trials of zoledronic acid and pamidronate. We developed a data-collection instrument to record all staff effort and patient resource use in drug administration. The main outcome measures were (a) direct costs of therapy administration per patient and (b) opportunity benefits expressed as the availability of resources gained per year. The average visit time for patients receiving the study dose of zoledronic acid, 4 mg, was 1 h, 6 min, compared to 2 h, 52 min for patients receiving a 90-mg dose of pamidronate. Infusion time accounted for much of the difference. In the base-case analysis, total direct costs per patient were $728 for zoledronic acid and $776 for pamidronate. The opportunity benefit for infusion of zoledronic acid vs pamidronate in the base case was 1.8 chairs per day, or 426 chairs per 240-workday year. Results were sensitive to changes in infusion facility size, days of operation, and average number of patients treated. Shorter infusion time associated with the administration of zoledronic acid, compared with pamidronate, yields substantial time savings for patients, as well as opportunity benefits for outpatient oncology facilities.

The role of reperfusion therapy in paced patients with acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to evaluate the effectiveness of reperfusion therapy among elderly paced patients with acute myocardial infarction (MI). Current guidelines make no recommendation for the use of reperfusion therapy among patients who have a paced rhythm during MI. METHODS: We evaluated 1954 Medicare beneficiaries 65 years and older treated for acute MI between 1994 and 1996 who had a paced rhythm for use of reperfusion therapy. Use of reperfusion therapy was evaluated for associations with outcomes by logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models incorporating propensity score analysis. RESULTS: Reperfusion therapy was used in 171 (8.8%) patients; 70 were treated with primary PTCA and 101 with thrombolytic therapy. Patients who received reperfusion therapy had 30-day mortality rates similar to those who did not receive reperfusion (26.3% vs 25.7%, P =.87). Multivariate adjustment for mortality risk factors and treatment propensity indicated no survival benefit associated with reperfusion therapy at 30 days (relative risk [RR] 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-1.43) or long-term follow-up (hazard ratio [HR] 0.86, 95% CI 0.68-1.10). Mortality risks varied by type of reperfusion therapy. Patients treated with primary percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty were at comparable risk of mortality at 30 days (RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.40-1.23) but at lower risk at long-term follow-up (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.40-0.88). Mortality risks were unchanged among patients treated with thrombolytics at 30 days (RR 1.32, 95% CI 0.92-1.79) and long-term follow-up (HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.82-1.43). CONCLUSION: We find suggestive evidence that primary percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty provides a long-term survival benefit in the treatment of elderly patients with acute MI who have a paced rhythm.

Mobilization of peripheral blood stem cells following myelosuppressive chemotherapy: a randomized comparison of filgrastim, sargramostim, or sequential sargramostim and filgrastim.

Myelosuppressive chemotherapy is frequently used for mobilization of autologous CD34(+) progenitor cells into the peripheral blood for subsequent collection and support of high-dose chemotherapy. The administration of myelosuppressive chemotherapy is typically followed by a myeloid growth factor and is associated with variable CD34 cell yields and morbidity. The two most commonly used myeloid growth factors for facilitation of CD34 cell harvests are granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) and granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF). We performed a randomized phase III clinical trial comparing G-CSF, GM-CSF, and sequential administration of GM-CSF and G-CSF following administration of myelosuppressive chemotherapy. We evaluated CD34 yields, morbidity, and cost-effectiveness of the three cytokine schedules. One hundred and fifty-six patients with multiple myeloma, breast cancer, or lymphoma received cyclophosphamide with either paclitaxel or etoposide and were randomized to receive G-CSF 6 microg/kg/day s.c., GM-CSF 250 microg/m(2)/day s.c., or GM-CSF for 6 days followed by G-CSF until completion of the stem cell harvest. Compared with patients who received GM-CSF, patients who received G-CSF had faster recovery of absolute neutrophil count to 0.5 x 10(9) per liter (median of 11 vs14 days, P = 0.0001) with fewer patients requiring red blood cell transfusions (P= 0.008); fewer patients with fever (18% vs 52%, P = 0.001); fewer hospital admissions (20% vs 42%, P = 0.13); and less intravenous antibiotic therapy (24% vs 59%, P = 0.001). Patients who received G-CSF also yielded more CD34 cells (median 7.1 vs 2.0 x 10(6) kg per apheresis, P = 0.0001) and a higher percentage achieved 2.5 x 10(6) CD34 cells per kilogram (94% vs 78%, P = 0.21) and 5 x 10(6) CD34 cells per kilogram (88% vs 53%, P = 0.01) or more CD34 cells per kilogram with fewer aphereses (median 2 vs 3, P = 0.002) and fewer days of growth factor treatment (median 12 vs 14, P = 0.0001). There were no significant differences in outcomes between groups receiving G-CSF alone and the sequential regimen. After high-dose chemotherapy, patients who had peripheral blood stem cells mobilized with G-CSF or the sequential regimen received higher numbers of CD34 cells and had faster platelet recovery with fewer patients requiring platelet transfusions than patients receiving peripheral blood stem cells mobilized by GM-CSF. In summary, G-CSF alone is superior to GM-CSF alone for the mobilization of CD34(+) cells and reduction of toxicities following myelosuppressive chemotherapy. An economic analysis evaluating the cost-effectiveness of these three effective schedules is ongoing at the time of this writing.

An economic and quality-of-life assessment of basiliximab vs antithymocyte globulin immunoprophylaxis in renal transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Immunosuppressive therapy with cyclosporin A has substantially improved clinical outcomes for renal transplantation. Whether basiliximab (a chimeric monoclonal antibody) demonstrates economic and quality-of-life advantages over other induction therapies has not yet been shown. METHODS: A multi-centre open-label clinical trial was conducted among renal transplant recipients in the US, in which patients were randomized into two induction therapy regimens: basiliximab and antithymocyte globulin (ATG) as part of a quadruple immunosuppressive regimen. Medical resources used and a EuroQol visual analogue scale (VAS) rating of quality of life were collected prospectively for the 135 dosed subjects for a period of 1 year post-treatment. We analysed the differences between treatment groups in 1-year costs and 1-year quality-adjusted survival. We also conducted a post hoc analysis of outcomes among the subgroup of patients identified as high risk. RESULTS: A significant difference was observed in first-year post-treatment costs (basiliximab, $45857; ATG, $54729; difference, $8872 (95% CI, $1169 to $16573). The savings from basiliximab can be attributed to the less expensive induction therapy (basiliximab, $2378; ATG, $8670; difference, $6292 (95% CI, $5165 to $7419)) and other savings during the initial hospitalization totalling $2609. One-year quality-adjusted survival was the same in both groups (basiliximab, 81.5; ATG, 81.1; difference, 0.45 (95% CI, -5.9 to 6.8)). The results of the post hoc analysis of the 48 high-risk patients were comparable to the analysis of all patients. CONCLUSIONS: These results demonstrate lower first-year post-treatment costs in renal-transplant recipients receiving basiliximab compared to ATG with no differences in quality-adjusted survival. The results also suggest similar differences among high-risk subjects.

Treatment of patients with myocardial infarction who present with a paced rhythm.

BACKGROUND: A paced rhythm can mask the electrocardiographic features of an acute myocardial infarction, complicating timely recognition and treatment. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate characteristics, treatment, and outcomes among patients presenting with paced rhythms during myocardial infarction. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: U.S. acute care hospitals. PATIENTS: 102 249 Medicare beneficiaries at least 65 years of age who were treated for acute myocardial infarction between 1994 and 1996. MEASUREMENTS: Provision of three treatments for acute myocardial infarction (emergent reperfusion, aspirin, and beta-blockers), death at 30 days, and long-term follow-up. RESULTS: 1954 patients (1.9%) presented with paced rhythms during myocardial infarction. These patients were older; were predominantly male; and had higher rates of congestive heart failure, diabetes, and previous infarction. They were significantly less likely to receive emergent reperfusion (relative risk [RR], 0.27 [95% CI, 0.22 to 0.33]), aspirin (RR at admission, 0.91 [CI, 0.88 to 0.94]; RR at discharge, 0.87 [CI, 0.83 to 0.92]), and beta-blockers at admission (RR, 0.89 [CI, 0.82 to 0.96]). In addition, there was a trend toward decreased use of beta-blockers at discharge (RR, 0.91 [CI, 0.76 to 1.06]). Crude mortality rates were higher among patients with paced rhythms than among those without at 30 days (25.8% vs. 21.3%; P = 0.001) and at 1 year (47.1% vs. 36.1%; P = 0.001). Among patients with paced rhythms, risk for death at 30 days decreased after adjustment for illness severity and decreased use of therapy (RR, 1.03 [CI, 0.93 to 1.14]). Patients with paced rhythms remained at additional risk for long-term mortality (hazard ratio, 1.12 [CI, 1.06 to 1.18]). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with paced rhythms were less likely than those without to receive treatment for acute myocardial infarction and had poorer short- and long-term outcomes. However, this mortality risk diminished after adjustment for treatment. This suggests that improved recognition and treatment of myocardial infarction may improve outcomes, particularly in the short term.

A comparison of scoring weights for the EuroQol derived from patients and the general public.

OBJECTIVE: General health state classification systems, such as the EuroQol instrument, have been developed to improve the systematic measurement and comparability of health state preferences. In this paper we generate valuations for EuroQol health states using responses to this instrument's visual analogue scale made by patients enrolled in a randomized clinical trial evaluating tirilazad mesylate, a new drug used to treat subarachnoid haemorrhage. We then compare these valuations derived from patients with published valuations derived from responses made by a sample from the general public. METHODS: The data were derived from two sources: (1) responses to the EuroQol instrument from 649 patients 3 months after enrollment in the clinical trial, and (2) from a published study reporting a scoring rule for the EuroQol instrument that was based upon responses made by the general public. We used a linear regression model to develop an additive scoring rule. This rule enables direct valuation of all 243 EuroQol health states using patients' scores for their own health states elicited using a visual analogue scale. We then compared predicted scores generated using our scoring rule with predicted scores derived from a sample from the general public. RESULTS: The predicted scores derived using the additive scoring rules met convergent validity criteria and explained a substantial amount of the variation in visual analogue scale scores (R(2)=0.57). In the pairwise comparison of the predicted scores derived from the study sample with those derived from the general public, we found that the former set of scores were higher for 223 of the 243 states. Despite the low level of correspondence in the pairwise comparison, the overall correlation between the two sets of scores was 87%. CONCLUSIONS: The model presented in this paper demonstrated that scoring weights for the EuroQol instrument can be derived directly from patient responses from a clinical trial and that these weights can explain a substantial amount of variation in health valuations. Scoring weights based on patient responses are significantly higher than those derived from the general public. Further research is required to understand the source of these differences.

Effect of diabetes mellitus and insulin use on survival after acute myocardial infarction in the elderly (the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project).

Using data from a retrospective cohort study of Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized with an acute myocardial infarction (AMI), we evaluated the role of diabetes mellitus on 30-day and 1-year mortality. We classified subjects as nondiabetics, diabetics controlled with diet alone, diabetics receiving an oral hypoglycemic agent, and diabetics on insulin at time of admission. We compared baseline admission characteristics of subgroups using chi-square and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests and evaluated the effect of each diabetic state using sequential logistic models. We identified 80,832 nondiabetic patients, 9,862 diet-controlled diabetic patients, 14,664 diabetics receiving an oral hypoglycemic agent, and 12,241 diabetic patients on insulin therapy. Although mean age was similar among the groups, prevalence of hypertension, prior AMI, prior congestive heart failure, and prior revascularization were higher among diabetic patients, particularly those taking insulin. Diabetic patients, particularly those taking insulin, were less likely to receive aspirin and beta blockers and to undergo coronary revascularization. Diabetic patients had higher 30-day and 1-year mortality than nondiabetic patients. After adjustment for demographics, clinical and hospital characteristics, and treatment strategies, insulin-treated diabetics had the highest risk of mortality, followed by diabetics receiving oral hypoglycemic agents, followed by diet-controlled diabetics. Thus, diabetes is highly prevalent among elderly patients with an AMI. Mortality rates for these patients, particularly insulin-using diabetics, are higher than among their nondiabetic counterparts. Preventive and therapeutic strategies must be developed to ensure improved short- and long-term outcomes for elderly patients with diabetes and AMI.

Acute myocardial infarction complicated by heart block in the elderly: prevalence and outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Although second- and third-degree heart block (HB) are common conduction disorders associated with acute myocardial infarction (MI), patient characteristics and HBs association with outcomes, particularly among the elderly, remain poorly defined. METHODS: We evaluated 106,780 Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years and older treated for acute MI between January 1994 and February 1996 for development of HB. HB and non-HB patients were compared by univariate analysis, and the influence of HB on outcomes was evaluated by unadjusted and multiple logistic regression. RESULTS: HB was documented in 5048 (4.7%) patients; 1646 presented with HB and 3402 developed HB during hospitalization. HB was more common among patients with inferior infarctions than anterior infarctions (7.3% vs 3.0%, P =.001), particularly the cohort of patients with inferior MI treated with reperfusion therapy (8.3%). HB patients had higher rates of in-hospital mortality (29.6% vs. 17.5% vs. non-HB patients, P =.001). After adjustment for demographic and clinical factors, HB remained an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality (relative risk [RR] 1.41, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1. 34-1.48), but HB had no prognostic significance at 1 year among hospital survivors (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.88-1.01). Mortality risks varied on the basis of MI location. Both anterior MI (RR 1.46, 95% CI 1.30-1.63) and inferior MI (RR 1.52, 95% CI 1.39-1.66) patients with HB had increased risks of in-hospital mortality. There was a trend toward increased mortality among patients with anterior MI (RR 1.15, 95% CI 0.99-1.32) at 1 year, whereas those with inferior MI were at lower risk (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.75-0.98). CONCLUSIONS: HB is a common complication of acute MI in elderly patients, particularly among patients with inferior MIs who received reperfusion therapy. HB is independently associated with short-term but not long-term mortality.

A claims data approach to defining an episode of care.

OBJECTIVE: To utilize health services research techniques in developing an episode of care using an administrative data set. This method is demonstrated for an episodic clinical condition, migraine. DATA SOURCES: Medicaid administrative data set of 3,372 patients with a diagnosis of migraine (ICD-9-CM 346.0, 346.1) in the state of Pennsylvania between May 1990 and March 1992. STUDY DESIGN: The duration of a migraine episode was measured by assessing the magnitude of resource utilization and the proportion of patients with charges in the period after the index migraine as compared to the period before the index migraine. A confidence interval (CI) was developed around each measure using bootstrap techniques. DATA COLLECTION METHODS: All charge data were extracted daily for a 113-day observation period surrounding each index migraine in order to observe the duration of impact of a migraine diagnosis on resource utilization. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The lower limits of both the 95% and 99% CIs for the difference in charges are greater than 0 for three weeks. The lower limits of both CIs for the difference in the proportion of patients with charges are above 0 for six weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis demonstrates that a health services research framework can be used to define an episode of care for a chronic disease category such as migraine. This method can be used to evaluate episodes of care for clinical studies of limited or episodic conditions and to complement clinical expertise in developing time horizons for clinical trials.