A non-linear elastic model of contraction of ischaemic segments.

Previous studies have characterised the motion of the myocardium using a linear time varying elastance model, ie, they have sought to characterise the relationship between left ventricular volume and internal pressure as linear, but with time varying slopes over the cardiac cycle. However, the motion of myocardium during regional ischaemia has not been characterized by such models. Studies of totally ischaemic tissue and of myocardium in diastole have characterised the relationship between tension or stress and segment length as exponential. It is the purpose of this study to present a new model in which myocardial contraction is expressed as an exponential, but time varying elastic relationship. In this model tension, T, is related to segment length according to the formula T = e alpha(t)L + beta, where alpha(t) rises with systole and falls in diastole. This model was applied to the motion of hypokinetic segments noted in a series of conscious dogs studied for other purposes. Hypokinetic segments display early systolic bulging, decreased systolic shortening, and early diastolic recoil. These particular types of segment motion are naturally predicted by this model. Furthermore, the motion of myocardial segments as they become increasingly ischaemic may be predicted, including a gradual shift to the right and narrowing of the tension-length loop. alpha was noted to be independent of loading change, and thus may be viewed as an index of contractility. This model thus predicts the pattern of motion of hypokinetic segments and provides new insight into myocardial contractility.

Surgical revascularization of left main coronary artery stenosis: determinants of perioperative and long-term outcome in the 1980s.

The postoperative courses of 176 patients who underwent coronary artery bypass surgery for significant left main coronary artery stenosis were analyzed to determine which preoperative clinical and angiographic factors correlated best with outcome. Clinical variables included age, sex, New York Heart Association (NYHA) anginal class, presence of unstable angina, and surgical class. The angiographic variables included percentage of left main stenosis, presence of right coronary artery stenosis, coronary dominance, number of vessels diseased, myocardial jeopardy score, and ejection fraction. The overall perioperative mortality rate was 9.1%. There was a significant increase in perioperative mortality among female patients (p less than 0.05) and patients undergoing emergency surgery (p less than 0.05). Patients with left main stenosis of 80% or more or with balanced or left dominant circulation showed trends toward increased perioperative mortality. Life-table analysis showed that emergency surgery and left main stenosis of 80% or more correlated with increased long-term mortality (p less than 0.05). No other variable tested showed a significant correlation with either perioperative or long-term mortality. A comparison of these results with studies performed in the 1970s shows that there has been considerable change in those factors which place a patient at increased risk for mortality during surgical treatment of left main coronary artery stenosis.

Improved survival with coronary bypass surgery in patients with three-vessel coronary disease and abnormal left ventricular function. Matched case-control study in patients with potentially operable disease.

Recent studies have suggested that patients with three-vessel coronary disease and abnormal left ventricular function have better survival rates with bypass surgery than with medical therapy alone. Case-control studies may give accurate survival estimates, but to be valid, selection biases must be taken into account. A matched case-control method was used to compare survival patterns in patients treated medically or surgically during the 1980s. Fifty medical patients with potentially operable coronary disease and 46 surgical patients were matched for significant three-vessel disease and abnormal ventricular function. These two groups had no significant differences with regard to 24 variables, including age (64 +/- 8 versus 63 +/- 10 years), chest pain class, congestive heart failure signs, ejection fraction (36 +/- 8 versus 37 +/- 9 percent), segmental wall score, or a coronary score evaluating lesion site and severity. There were slight differences between the two groups with regard to congestive heart failure symptoms (p = 0.04). Patients undergoing bypass surgery had improved four-year survival rates compared with the medical group (89 versus 55 percent; p = 0.01). Thus, this study used an effective case-control method to suggest that, in the 1980s, coronary surgery improves prognosis substantially in surgically approachable patients with severe coronary disease and ventricular dysfunction.

Medical and surgical survival in coronary artery disease in the 1980s.

The survival of 1,657 patients with angiographically proved coronary artery disease (CAD) was studied for 4 years (mean 2.0 +/- 1.2) during the 1980s to examine the prognostic importance of multiple clinical variables. One hundred of the 1,049 medically treated patients (9.5%) and 31 of the 608 surgically treated patients (5.1%) died. Multivariate analyses revealed that the strongest prognostic variables for survival in the medical group were indexes of left ventricular function (p less than 0.0001), severity of coronary stenoses (p less than 0.0001) and age (p = 0.005). However, only age (p less than 0.0001) was a significant prognostic variable in the surgically treated group. This study emphasizes the lack of prognostic significance of left ventricular function indexes and severity of coronary stenoses in surgically treated patients with CAD. These results continue the trend toward improved surgical survival shown in recent years.

Multistage analysis of exercise radionuclide angiography in coronary artery disease.

The hypothesis that serial assessment of left ventricular function during exercise radionuclide angiography provides improved diagnostic criteria for coronary artery disease (CAD) was examined. Fifty-eight consecutive patients without previous myocardial infarction were prospectively scheduled for cardiac catheterization and multistage radionuclide angiographic exercise studies. Forty-one patients had significant CAD. The traditional criterion--failure to achieve a 5% increment in ejection fraction (EF) during exercise compared with the value at rest--had 85% sensitivity but only 41% specificity for CAD. In 12 patients, EF increased early in exercise by at least 4% and then decreased a mean of 7.5%, often with worsening regional wall motion. This "up-down" EF pattern was applied as a diagnostic test in the overall study group. Analysis of changes in EF from the maximal value achieved to that at the end of exercise resulted in criteria with greater sensitivity (p less than 0.0001) for CAD than analysis of changes from rest, with similar specificity. Regional wall motion abnormalities occurring during the first exercise stage resulted in 94% specificity for CAD (p = 0.05 vs end-stage analysis), although sensitivity was low. Analyzing the maximal EF during exercise results in improved sensitivity, while analyzing the early onset of regional dysfunction results in high specificity for CAD.

Prognostic significance of severe narrowing of the proximal portion of the left anterior descending coronary artery.

To determine the prognostic importance of significant narrowings involving the proximal left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD), 866 medically treated patients with significant coronary artery disease (CAD) were followed after cardiac catheterization for a mean of 17 months (range 1 to 46). Coronary narrowings in all patients were evaluated based on site relative to large branches and on angiographic severity. Prognosis was best predicted by the presence of at least 70% diameter reductions in the LAD before the first 2 large branches (chi 2 = 16, p = 0.0001). At 3 years, there was a 94% cumulative survival rate in patients with less than 70% stenoses at this location, but an 82% survival rate in patients with 70% or more stenoses (p less than 0.0001). In addition, although the presence of proximal LAD narrowings was the best predictor of prognosis in patients with a low global ejection fraction, this was not so in patients with normal ejection fractions, as this subgroup had an excellent overall prognosis. Thus, the presence and severity of significant stenoses in the proximal LAD are stronger predictors of prognosis than stenoses elsewhere in the major coronary arteries. The presence of an angiographically significant narrowing in this anatomic location is highly correlated with an increased 1- to 3-year mortality rate.

Rate of left ventricular functional recovery by radionuclide angiography after exercise in coronary artery disease.

To characterize determinants of the rate of recovery of left ventricular (LV) function after exercise-induced ischemia, sequential postexercise radionuclide angiography was performed prospectively in 38 consecutive patients with documented coronary artery disease (CAD). In each patient new or increased regional asynergy developed or absolute ejection fraction decreased at least 4% during exercise. Twenty patients showed immediate recovery of LV function after exercise (group 1) and 18 showed delayed recovery (group 2). Ejection fraction in the first postexercise period was significantly greater in group 1 (65 +/- 12%) than in group 2 (55 +/- 11%) (p less than 0.01). The mean number of coronary arteries with at least 70% diameter narrowing was greater in group 2 (2.7 +/- 0.5) than in group 1 (2.0 +/- 0.9) (p = 0.026); CAD score was also greater in group 2 than in group 1 (p = 0.005). The increase in LV end-diastolic volume from rest to end exercise was greater in group 2 than in group 1 (p = 0.005); neither the change in LV volume nor the change in heart rate or blood pressure after exercise separated the groups. The only independent predictor of the rate of functional recovery was the degree of exercise-induced regional myocardial asynergy (p less than 0.001). Thus, exercise radionuclide angiography in patients with CAD provides a model for evaluating postischemic myocardial function. Delayed functional recovery is associated with extensive exercise-induced regional asynergy as a result of severe CAD and is not primarily influenced by hemodynamic changes.

Prospective evaluation of the severity of coronary artery disease with exercise radionuclide angiography and electrocardiography.

To evaluate the utility of exercise radionuclide angiography (RNA) and electrocardiography in assessing the severity of coronary artery disease (CAD), 185 patients undergoing coronary angiography were studied prospectively. To avoid work-up bias and to provide an appropriate control group, all patients were simultaneously scheduled for exercise RNA and electrocardiography and for coronary arteriography. All test results were interpreted blinded to other data. Of multiple exercise variables analyzed by stepwise linear discriminant analysis, the independent predictors of disease severity were exercise ejection fraction, ST segment change, and maximum heart rate. These three variables were used to create a set of four equations that determine probabilities of zero, one-, two-, or three-vessel disease (VD). The noninvasive estimate of number of VD in each patient was compared to the angiographic result. Patients without significant CAD were classified correctly 71% of the time, while those with three-VD were predicted correctly in 80%. Fully 90% of patients with predicted three-VD had two- or 3-VD. Conversely, 84% of patients predicted to have zero VD had zero or one-VD. Thus the combined use of exercise RNA and ECG data permits assessment of the presence and severity of CAD.

A sequential approach to the diagnosis of coronary artery disease using multivariate analysis.

There has been considerable interest in recent years in enhancing the accuracy of noninvasive tests in diagnosing coronary artery disease. The recognition that no currently available test is a perfect predictor has led to the use of probability analysis as a means of assessing the presence or absence of coronary disease. In this article we present a multivariate approach to the diagnosis of coronary disease. One hundred forty-seven patients undergoing coronary angiography, thallium-201 imaging, and exercise ECG were studied. Patients were classified according to age, sex, and typical vs atypical chest pain. Sequential stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed to develop probability statements prior to testing, after exercise ECG, and after exercise ECG and thallium-201. The results indicate that this sequential approach can be used to develop strategies for the diagnosis of coronary disease in the same way as Bayes' theorem, while permitting integration of multiple characteristics into one model.

Importance of total life consumption of cigarettes as a risk factor for coronary artery disease.

Cigarette smoking is an established risk factor for the occurrence of cardiovascular events and mortality. Whether recent smoking history or total life consumption best represents the increased risk due to smoking has not been previously established. Thus, stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to determine the relative contributions of these factors to the risk of having significant coronary artery disease in 1,349 patients who underwent cardiac catheterization. Six risk factors were analyzed: total pack-years, current packs smoked per day, age, gender, family history and symptomatic status. The results of this analysis showed that total pack-years, but not current packs per day, is a significant independent risk factor for the development of coronary artery disease. This was true in every age group up to but not older than age 70 years. Although the overall risk was lower in younger patients and in patients with less typical symptoms of angina, the relative risk in cigarette smokers relative to pack-years was consistently greater. The risk of total life consumption of cigarettes is thus greater than has heretofore been realized, particularly in persons who would otherwise be categorized as low risk.

Critical analysis of the application of Bayes' theorem to sequential testing in the noninvasive diagnosis of coronary artery disease.

The utility of Bayes' theorem in the noninvasive diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD) was analyzed in 147 patients who underwent electrocardiographic stress testing, thallium-201 perfusion imaging and coronary angiography. Eighty-nine patients had typical anginal chest discomfort and 58 had atypical chest pain. Sensitivity and specificity of the tests and prevalence of CAD at each level of testing were tabulated and compared with the results generated from Bayes' theorem. The sensitivity of electrocardiographic stress was higher in patients with multivessel CAD than in patients with 1-vessel CAD. Sensitivity, but not specificity, of each test was dependent, in part, on the result of the other test. However, the probabilities calculated from Bayes' theorem when used for sequential testing are remarkably close to the tabulated data. Thus, Bayes' theorem is useful clinically despite some evidence of test dependence. Sequential test analysis by Bayes' theorem is most useful in establishing or ruling out a diagnosis when the pretest prevalence is approximately 50% and when the 2 tests are concordant.