RESUMO
Dry gas pipelines can encounter various operational, technical, and environmental issues, such as corrosion, leaks, spills, restrictions, and cyber threats. To address these difficulties, proactive maintenance and management and a new technological strategy are needed to increase safety, reliability, and efficiency. A novel neural network model for forecasting the life of a dry gas pipeline system and detecting the metal loss dimension class that is exposed to a harsh environment is presented in this study to handle the missing data. The proposed strategy blends the strength of deep learning techniques with industry-specific expertise. The main advantage of this study is to predict the pipeline life with a significant advantage of predicting the dimension classification of metal loss simultaneously employing a Bayesian regularization-based neural network framework when there are missing inputs in the datasets. The proposed intelligent model, trained on four pipeline datasets of a dry gas pipeline system, can predict the health condition of pipelines with high accuracy, even if there are missing parameters in the dataset. The proposed model using neural network technology generated satisfactory results in terms of numerical performance, with MSE and R2 values closer to 0 and 1, respectively. A few cases with missing input data are carried out, and the missing data is forecasted for each case. Then, a model is developed to predict the life condition of pipelines with the predicted missing input variables. The findings reveal that the model has the potential for real-world applications in the oil and gas sector for estimating the health condition of pipelines, even if there are missing input parameters. Additionally, multi-model comparative analysis and sensitivity analysis are incorporated, offering an extensive comprehension of multi-model prediction abilities and beneficial insights into the impact of various input variables on model outputs, thereby improving the interpretability and reliability of our results. The proposed framework could help business plans by lowering the chance of severe accidents and environmental harm with better safety and reliability.
RESUMO
Gas hydrates are progressively becoming a key concern when determining the economics of a reservoir due to flow interruptions, as offshore reserves are produced in ever deeper and colder waters. The creation of a hydrate plug poses equipment and safety risks. No current existing models have the feature of accurately predicting the kinetics of gas hydrates when a multiphase system is encountered. In this work, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are developed to study and predict the effect of the multiphase system on the kinetics of gas hydrates formation. Primarily, a pure system and multiphase system containing crude oil are used to conduct experiments. The details of the rate of formation for both systems are found. Then, these results are used to develop an A.I. model that can be helpful in predicting the rate of hydrate formation in both pure and multiphase systems. To forecast the kinetics of gas hydrate formation, two ANN models with single layer perceptron are presented for the two combinations of gas hydrates. The results indicated that the prediction models developed are satisfactory as R2 values are close to 1 and M.S.E. values are close to 0. This study serves as a framework to examine hydrate formation in multiphase systems.
