Phenotypic variance predicts symbiont population densities in corals: a modeling approach.

BACKGROUND: We test whether the phenotypic variance of symbionts (Symbiodinium) in corals is closely related with the capacity of corals to acclimatize to increasing seawater temperatures. Moreover, we assess whether more specialist symbionts will increase within coral hosts under ocean warming. The present study is only applicable to those corals that naturally have the capacity to support more than one type of Symbiodinium within the lifetime of a colony; for example, Montastraea annularis and Montastraea faveolata. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The population dynamics of competing Symbiodinium symbiont populations were projected through time in coral hosts using a novel, discrete time optimal-resource model. Models were run for two Atlantic Ocean localities. Four symbiont populations, with different environmental optima and phenotypic variances, were modeled to grow, divide, and compete in the corals under seasonal fluctuations in solar insolation and seawater temperature. Elevated seawater temperatures were input into the model 1.5 degrees C above the seasonal summer average, and the symbiont population response was observed for each location. The models showed dynamic fluctuations in Symbiodinium populations densities within corals. Population density predictions for Lee Stocking Island, the Bahamas, where temperatures were relatively homogenous throughout the year, showed a dominance of both type 2, with high phenotypic variance, and type 1, a high-temperature and high-insolation specialist. Whereas the densities of Symbiodinium types 3 and 4, a high-temperature, low-insolation specialist, and a high-temperature, low-insolation generalist, remained consistently low. Predictions for Key Largo, Florida, where environmental conditions were more seasonally variable, showed the coexistence of generalists (types 2 and 4) and low densities of specialists (types 1 and 3). When elevated temperatures were input into the model, population densities in corals at Lee Stocking Island showed an emergence of high-temperature specialists. However, even under high temperatures, corals in the Florida Keys were dominated by generalists. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Predictions at higher seawater temperatures showed endogenous shuffling and an emergence of the high-temperature Symbiodinium specialists, even though their phenotypic variance was low. The model shows that sustaining these "hidden" specialists becomes advantageous under thermal stress conditions, and shuffling symbionts may increase the corals' capacity to acclimatize but not adapt to climatechange-induced ocean warming.

Continuous-flow complete-mixing system for assessing the effects of environmental factors on colony-level coral metabolism.

A small-scale chamber experimental system was designed to study the effects of temperature on colony-level coral metabolism. The system continuously supplies fresh seawater to the chamber, where it is mixed immediately and completely with the seawater already present. This continuous-flow complete-mixing system (CFCM system), in conjunction with theoretical equations, allows quantitative determination of chemical uptake and release rates by coral under controlled environmental conditions. We used the massive hermatypic coral Goniastrea aspera to examine variations in pH, total alkalinity, and total inorganic carbon for 16 days at 27 degrees C under controlled light intensities (300 and 0 micromol m(-2) s(-1)). We confirmed the stability of the CFCM system with respect to coral photosynthetic and calcification fluxes. In addition, we obtained daily photosynthetic and calcification rates at different temperatures (27 degrees C, 29 degrees C, 31 degrees C, and 33 degrees C). When seawater temperature was raised from 31 degrees C to 33 degrees C, the gross primary production rate (Pgross) decreased 29.5%, and the calcification rate (G) decreased 85.7% within 2 days. The CFCM system allows quantitative evaluation of coral colony chemical release and uptake rates, and metabolism.