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1.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22279850

RESUMO

Prior to the emergence of the Omicron variant, many cities in China had been able to maintain a "Zero-COVID" policy. They were able to achieve this without blanket city-wide lockdown and through widespread testing and an extensive set of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as mask wearing, contact tracing, and social distancing. We wanted to examine the effectiveness of such a policy in containing SARS-CoV-2 in the early stage of the pandemic. Therefore, we developed a fully stochastic, spatially structured, agent-based model of SARS-CoV-2 ancestral strain and reconstructed the Beijing Xinfadi outbreak through computational simulations. We found that screening for symptoms and among high-risk populations served as methods to discover cryptic community transmission in the early stage of the outbreak. Effective contact tracing could greatly reduce transmission. Targeted community lockdown and temporal mobility restriction could slow down the spatial spread of the virus, with much less of the population being affected. Population-wide mass testing could further improve the speed at which the outbreak is contained. Our analysis suggests that the containment of SARS-CoV-2 ancestral strains was certainly possible. Outbreak suppression and containment at the beginning of the pandemic, before the virus had the opportunity to undergo extensive adaptive evolution with increasing fitness in the human population, could be much more cost-effective in averting the overall pandemic disease burden and socioeconomic cost.

2.
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology ; (12): 870-874, 2019.
Artigo em Chinês | WPRIM (Pacífico Ocidental) | ID: wpr-810743

RESUMO

In recent years, the reported incidence of brucellosis continued to rise and the epidemic spread kept, which has become an important public health problem in China. Continuous improvement of the surveillance system is important for effective control and prevention of brucellosis. This article systematically summarizes the construction and development of the brucellosis surveillance system, analyzes the main characteristics of the current brucellosis surveillance system and evaluates the surveillance system in China, and it also put forward suggestions for the further improvement of the surveillance system to meet the new requirement for brucellosis surveillance, control and prevention.

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