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PURPOSE: Mortality is often assessed during ICU stay and early after, but rarely at later stage. We aimed to compare the long-term mortality between TBI and ICH patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From an observational cohort, we studied 580 TBI patients and 435 ICH patients, admitted from January 2013 to February 2021 in 3 ICUs and alive at 7-days post-ICU discharge. We performed a Lasso-penalized Cox survival analysis. RESULTS: We estimated 7-year survival rates at 72.8% (95%CI from 67.3% to 78.7%) for ICH patients and at 84.9% (95%CI from 80.9% to 89.1%) for TBI patients: ICH patients presenting a higher mortality risk than TBI patients. Additionally, we identified variables associated with higher mortality risk (age, ICU length of stay, tracheostomy, low GCS, absence of intracranial pressure monitoring). We also observed anisocoria related with the mortality risk in the early stage after ICU stay. CONCLUSIONS: In this ICU survivor population with a prolonged follow-up, we highlight an acute risk of death after ICU stay, which seems to last longer in ICH patients. Several variables characteristic of disease severity appeared associated with long-term mortality, raising the hypothesis that the most severe patients deserve closer follow-up after ICU stay.
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BACKGROUND: To date, the Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) rule for identifying children who are at very low risk of clinically-important traumatic brain injuries after minor head trauma has not been validated prospectively in an independent population. Our goal was to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the PECARN clinical decision rule in a French pediatric population in multiple clinical settings. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter, prospective, non-interventional cohort study of patients with minor head trauma who presented to three emergency departments in France. We enrolled patients younger than 16 years of age seeking a consultation within 24 h of head trauma with Glasgow Coma Scale scores of 14-15. RESULTS: During the study period, we included 1499 children of which 421 (28 %) were under 2 years of age, and 955 (64 %) were male. A cranial computed tomography (CT) scan was performed on 76 patients (5.1 %). Of the 1499 included patients, 9 children (0.6 %) had a clinically-important traumatic brain injury, and none were classified as very low risk by the PECARN rule. In our study, the sensitivity of this clinical decision rule was 100 % (95 % CI 66.4 to 100 %), the specificity was 69.9 % (95 % CI 67.5 to 72.2 %) and the negative predictive value was 100 % (95 % CI 99.7 to 100 %). DISCUSSION: Our study confirmed the good predictive performances of the PECARN clinical decision rule for minor head trauma in children. The PECARN rule performed similarly to our study and to its internal validation study. CONCLUSIONS: We conducted an external validation study of the PECARN clinical decision rule for the detection of clinically-important traumatic brain injuries in children with minor head trauma, according to the methodological standards. The PECARN rule successfully identified all patients with clinically-important traumatic brain injuries, with a limited use of CT scans. Conducting a broad validation study with a large cohort is a prerequisite to provide sufficient statistical power before authorizing its implementation and generalization. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study has been registered in ClinicalTrials.gov with identifier number: NCT02752711 on April 27, 2016.
