COVID-19 severity detection using chest X-ray segmentation and deep learning.

COVID-19 has resulted in a significant global impact on health, the economy, education, and daily life. The disease can range from mild to severe, with individuals over 65 or those with underlying medical conditions being more susceptible to severe illness. Early testing and isolation are vital due to the virus's variable incubation period. Chest radiographs (CXR) have gained importance as a diagnostic tool due to their efficiency and reduced radiation exposure compared to CT scans. However, the sensitivity of CXR in detecting COVID-19 may be lower. This paper introduces a deep learning framework for accurate COVID-19 classification and severity prediction using CXR images. U-Net is used for lung segmentation, achieving a precision of 0.9924. Classification is performed using a Convulation-capsule network, with high true positive rates of 86% for COVID-19, 93% for pneumonia, and 85% for normal cases. Severity assessment employs ResNet50, VGG-16, and DenseNet201, with DenseNet201 showing superior accuracy. Empirical results, validated with 95% confidence intervals, confirm the framework's reliability and robustness. This integration of advanced deep learning techniques with radiological imaging enhances early detection and severity assessment, improving patient management and resource allocation in clinical settings.

Multivariate time series short term forecasting using cumulative data of coronavirus.

Coronavirus emerged as a highly contagious, pathogenic virus that severely affects the respiratory system of humans. The epidemic-related data is collected regularly, which machine learning algorithms can employ to comprehend and estimate valuable information. The analysis of the gathered data through time series approaches may assist in developing more accurate forecasting models and strategies to combat the disease. This paper focuses on short-term forecasting of cumulative reported incidences and mortality. Forecasting is conducted utilizing state-of-the-art mathematical and deep learning models for multivariate time series forecasting, including extended susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR), long-short-term memory (LSTM), and vector autoregression (VAR). The SEIR model has been extended by integrating additional information such as hospitalization, mortality, vaccination, and quarantine incidences. Extensive experiments have been conducted to compare deep learning and mathematical models that enable us to estimate fatalities and incidences more precisely based on mortality in the eight most affected nations during the time of this research. The metrics like mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) are employed to gauge the model's effectiveness. The deep learning model LSTM outperformed all others in terms of forecasting accuracy. Additionally, the study explores the impact of vaccination on reported epidemics and deaths worldwide. Furthermore, the detrimental effects of ambient temperature and relative humidity on pathogenic virus dissemination have been analyzed.

Analysis and forecasting of air quality index based on satellite data.

OBJECTIVE: The air quality index (AQI) forecasts are one of the most important aspects of improving urban public health and enabling society to remain sustainable despite the effects of air pollution. Pollution control organizations deploy ground stations to collect information about air pollutants. Establishing a ground station all-around is not feasible due to the cost involved. As an alternative, satellite-captured data can be utilized for AQI assessment. This study explores the changes in AQI during various COVID-19 lockdowns in India utilizing satellite data. Furthermore, it addresses the effectiveness of state-of-the-art deep learning and statistical approaches for forecasting short-term AQI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Google Earth Engine (GEE) has been utilized to capture the data for the study. The satellite data has been authenticated against ground station data utilizing the beta distribution test before being incorporated into the study. The AQI forecasting has been explored using state-of-the-art statistical and deep learning approaches like VAR, Holt-Winter, and LSTM variants (stacked, bi-directional, and vanilla). RESULTS: AQI ranged from 100 to 300, from moderately polluted to very poor during the study period. The maximum reduction was recorded during the complete lockdown period in the year 2020. Short-term AQI forecasting with Holt-Winter was more accurate than other models with the lowest MAPE scores. CONCLUSIONS: Based on our findings, air pollution is clearly a threat in the studied locations, and it is important for all stakeholders to work together to reduce it. The level of air pollutants dropped substantially during the different lockdowns.

An efficient real-time stock prediction exploiting incremental learning and deep learning.

Intraday trading is popular among traders due to its ability to leverage price fluctuations in a short timeframe. For traders, real-time price predictions for the next few minutes can be beneficial for making strategies. Real-time prediction is challenging due to the stock market's non-stationary, complex, noisy, chaotic, dynamic, volatile, and non-parametric nature. Machine learning models are considered effective for stock forecasting, yet, their hyperparameters need tuning with the latest market data to incorporate the market's complexities. Usually, models are trained and tested in batches, which smooths the correction process and speeds up the learning. When making intraday stock predictions, the models should forecast for each instance in contrast to the whole batch and learn simultaneously to ensure high accuracy. In this paper, we propose a strategy based on two different learning approaches: incremental learning and Offline-Online learning, to forecast the stock price using the real-time stream of the live market. In incremental learning, the model is updated continuously upon receiving the stock's next instance from the live-stream, while in Offline-Online learning, the model is retrained after each trading session to make sure it incorporates the latest data complexities. These methods were applied to univariate time-series (established from historical stock price) and multivariate time-series (considering historical stock price as well as technical indicators). Extensive experiments were performed on the eight most liquid stocks listed on the American NASDAQ and Indian NSE stock exchanges, respectively. The Offline-Online models outperformed incremental models in terms of low forecasting error.