Fragile Statistical Findings in Randomized Controlled Trials Evaluating Autograft Versus Allograft Use in Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction: A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE: To analyze the statistical stability of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating the surgical management of autografts versus allografts in the anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR) literature and calculate the fragility index (FI) and fragility quotient and explore a subgroup analysis by calculating the proportion of outcome events where the FI was less than the number of patients lost to follow-up. METHODS: Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, we conducted a systematic search in the PubMed and Cochrane databases to identify RCTs published between 2000 and 2022 that investigated the use of autografts versus allografts in ACLR literature and reported dichotomous data. The fragility index of each dichotomous variable was calculated through the reversal of a single outcome event until significance was reversed. The fragility quotient was calculated by dividing each fragility index by the study sample size. The interquartile range also was calculated. RESULTS: Of the 4407 articles screened, 23 met the search criteria, with 11 RCTs evaluating ALCR using autografts and allografts included for analysis. Two hundred and 18 outcome events with 32 significant (P < .05) outcomes and 186 nonsignificant (P ≥ .05) outcomes were identified. The overall fragility index and fragility quotient for all 218 outcomes were 6 subjects (interquartile range 5-8) and 0.058 (interquartile range 0.039-0.077). Fragility analysis of statistically significant outcomes and nonsignificant outcomes had a fragility index of 3.5 (interquartile range 1-5.5) and 6 (interquartile range 5-8), respectively. All of the studies reported a loss to follow-up where 45.5% (5) reported a loss to follow-up greater or equal to 6. CONCLUSIONS: The RCTs in the ACLR peer-reviewed literature evaluating autograft versus allograft use are vulnerable to a small number of outcome event reversals and exemplify significant statistical fragility in statistically significant findings. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level I, systematic review of Level I studies.

The statistical fragility of outcomes in calcaneus fractures: A systematic review of randomized controlled trials.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to utilize the fragility index to assess the robustness of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating the management of calcaneus fractures. We hypothesize that the dichotomous outcomes in calcaneus fracture literature will be statistically fragile and comparable to other orthopedic specialties. METHODS: We performed a PubMed search for calcaneus fracture RCTs from 2000 to 2022 using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). The fragility index (FI) of each outcome was calculated through the reversal of a single outcome event until significance was reversed. The fragility quotient (FQ) was calculated by dividing each fragility index by study sample size. The interquartile range (IQR) was also calculated for the FI and FQ. RESULTS: Of the 3003 studies screened, 97 met the search criteria, with 19 RCTs evaluating calcaneus fractures included in the analysis. Seventy-nine dichotomous outcomes with 30 significant (P < 0.05) outcomes and 49 with nonsignificant (P> 0.05) outcomes were identified. The overall FI and FQ of all outcomes were 6 (IQR 3-8) and 0.067 (IQR 0.032-0.100), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The literature surrounding calcaneus fractures may not be as statistically stable as previously thought. The sole reliance on the P value may depict misleading results. We, therefore, recommend reporting the P value in conjunction with the FI and FQ to give a robust contextualization of clinical findings in the calcaneus fracture literature.

The Statistical Fragility of Orbital Fractures: A Systematic Review of Randomized Controlled Trials.

BACKGROUND: The P value has often been used as a tool to determine the statistical significance and evaluate the statistical robustness of study findings in orthopedic literature. The purpose of this study is to apply both the fragility index (FI) and the fragility quotient (FQ) to evaluate the degree of statistical fragility in orbital fracture literature. We hypothesized that the dichotomous outcomes within the orbital fracture literature will be vulnerable to a small number of outcome event reversals and will be statistically fragile. METHODS: Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA), the authors identified all dichotomous data for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in orbital fracture literature and performed a PubMed search from 2000 to 2022. The FI of each outcome was calculated through the reversal of a single outcome event until significance was reversed. The FQ was calculated by dividing each FI by study sample size. The interquartile range (IQR) was also calculated for the FI and FQ. RESULTS: Of the 3,329 studies screened, 28 met the criteria with 10 RCTs evaluating orbital fractures included for analysis. A total of 58 outcome events with 22 significant (P < .05) outcomes and 36 nonsignificant (P ≥ .05) outcomes were identified. The overall FI and FQ for all 58 outcomes was 5 (IQR: 4 to 5) and 0.140 (IQR: 0.075 to 0.250), respectively. Fragility analysis of statistical significant outcomes and nonsignificant outcomes had an FI of 3.5 with no IQR and 5 (IQR 4-5), respectively. All of the studies reported a loss to follow-up data, where 20% (2) was greater than the overall FI of 5. CONCLUSION: The orbital fracture literature provides treatment guidance by relying on statistical significant results from RCTs. However, the RCTs in the orbital fracture peer-reviewed literature may not be statistically stable as previously thought. The sole reliance of the P value may depict misleading results. Thus, we recommend standardizing the reporting of the P value, FI, and FQ in the orbital fracture literature to aid readers in reliably drawing conclusions based on fragility outcome measures impacting clinical decision-making.

The statistical fragility of the distal fibula fracture literature: A systematic review of randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to apply both the fragility index (FI) and fragility quotient (FQ) to evaluate the degree of statistical fragility in the distal fibular fracture (DFF) literature. We hypothesized that the dichotomous outcomes within the DFF literature are statistically fragile. METHODS: We performed a PubMed search for distal fibular fractures clinical trials from 2000 to 2022 reporting dichotomous outcomes. The FI of each outcome was calculated through the reversal of a single outcome event until significance was reversed. The FQ was calculated by dividing each fragility index by study sample size. The interquartile range (IQR) was also calculated for the FI and FQ. RESULTS: Of the 1158 articles screened, 23 met the search criteria, with six RCTs included for analysis. Forty-five outcome events with 5 significant (p < 0.05) outcomes and 40 nonsignificant (p ≥ 0.05) outcomes were identified. The overall FI and FQ was 5 (IQR 4-6) and 0.089 (IQR 0.061-0.107), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The randomized controlled trials in the peer-reviewed distal fibular fracture literature may not be as robust as previously thought, as incorporating statistical analyses solely on a P value threshold is misleading. Standardized reporting of the P value, FI and FQ can help the clinician reliably draw conclusions based on the fragility of outcome measures.

The fragility of statistical significance in distal femur fractures: systematic review of randomized controlled trials.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to apply both the fragility index (FI) and fragility quotient (FQ) to evaluate the degree of statistical fragility in the distal femur fracture (DFF) literature. We hypothesized that the dichotomous outcomes within the DFF literature are statistically fragile. METHODS: Using preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses, we performed a PubMed search for distal femur fractures clinical trials from 2000 to 2022 reporting dichotomous outcomes. The FI of each outcome was calculated through the reversal of a single outcome event until significance was reversed. The FQ was calculated by dividing each fragility index by study sample size. The interquartile range (IQR) was also calculated for the FI and FQ. RESULTS: Of the 4258 articles screened, 92 met the search criteria, with eleven RCTs included for analysis. Ninety eight outcome events with 25 significant (P < 0.05) outcomes and 73 nonsignificant (P > 0.05) outcomes were identified. The overall FI and FQ for all 98 outcomes were 5 (IQR 4-6) and 0.130 (IQR 0.087-0.174), respectively. Three studies (33.3%) reported loss to follow (LTF) greater than 5. CONCLUSIONS: The randomized controlled trials in the peer-reviewed distal femur fracture literature may not be as robust as previously thought, as incorporating statistical analyses solely on a P value threshold is misleading. Standardized reporting of the P value, FI and FQ can help the clinician reliably draw conclusions based on the fragility of outcome measures.

RLIP: A necessary transporter protein for translating oxidative stress into pro-obesity and pro-carcinogenic signaling.

Previously, we showed that knockout mice homozygous for deficiency of the mercapturic acid pathway (MAP) transporter protein, RLIP (RLIP-/-), are resistant to chemical carcinogenesis, inflammation, and metabolic syndrome (MetS). We also found that RLIP-/- mice are highly resistant to obesity caused by a high-fat diet (HFD). Interestingly, these studies showed that kinase, cytokine, and adipokine signaling that are characteristics of obesity were blocked despite the presence of increased oxidative stress in RLIP-/- mice. The deficiencies in obesity-inducing kinase, cytokine, and adipokine signaling were attributable to a lack of clathrin-dependent endocytosis (CDE), a process that is severely deficient in RLIP-/- mice. Because CDE is also necessary for carcinogenic signaling through EGF, WNT, TGFß and other cancer-specific peptide hormones, and because RLIP-/- mice are cancer-resistant, we reasoned that depletion of RLIP by an antisense approach should cause cancer regression in human cancer xenografts. This prediction has been confirmed in studies of xenografts from lung, kidney, prostate, breast, and pancreatic cancers and melanoma. Because these results suggested an essential role for RLIP in carcinogenesis, and because our studies have also revealed a direct interaction between p53 and RLIP, we reasoned that if RLIP played a central role in carcinogenesis, that development of lymphoma in p53-/- mice, which normally occurs by the time these mice are 6 months old, could be delayed or prevented by depleting RLIP. Recent studies described herein have confirmed this hypothesis, showing complete suppression of lymphomagenesis in p53-/- mice treated with anti-RLIP antisense until the age of 8 months. All control mice developed lymphoma in the thymus or testis as expected. These findings lead to a novel paradigm predicting that under conditions of increased oxidative stress, the consequent increased flux of metabolites in the MAP causes a proportional increase in the rate of CDE. Because CDE inhibits insulin and TNF signaling but promotes EGF, TGFß, and Wnt signaling, our model predicts that chronic stress-induced increases in RLIP (and consequently CDE) will induce insulin-resistance and enhance predisposition to cancer. Alternatively, generalized depletion of RLIP would antagonize the growth of malignant cells, and concomitantly exert therapeutic insulin-sensitizing effects. Therefore, this review focuses on how targeted depletion or inhibition of RLIP could provide a novel target for treating both obesity and cancer.

RLIP: An existential requirement for breast carcinogenesis.

Breast cancer (BC) is the most common cancer among women worldwide. Due to its complexity in nature, effective BC treatment can encounter many challenges. The human RALBP1 gene encodes a 76-kDa splice variant protein, RLIP (ral-binding protein1, RalBP1), a stress-protective mercapturic acid pathway (MAP) transporter protein, that also plays a key role in regulating clathrin-dependent endocytosis (CDE) as a Ral effector. Growing evidence shows that targeting RLIP may be an effective strategy in cancer therapy, as RLIP is over-expressed in multiple cancers and is known to induce resistance to apoptosis and chemotherapeutic drugs. Recent studies demonstrated that RLIP is expressed in human BC tissues, as well as BC cell lines. Knockdown of RLIP resulted in apoptotic death of BC cells in vitro, and targeted inhibition and depletion of RLIP resulted in regression of BC in xenograft studies of nude mice. Signaling studies showed that RLIP depletion inhibited endocytosis and differentially regulated signaling to Akt, Myc, and ERK1/2. However, the proliferation and multi-specific transport mechanisms that promote RLIP-mediated cell death in BC are not well understood. In this review, we will discuss a missing but an essentially determining and connecting piece of the puzzle on the understanding of proliferation and transport mechanisms by focused analyses of the apoptotic, drug- and radiation-sensitivity regulated by RLIP, a stress-responsive non-ATP-binding cassette (ABC), high capacity MAP transporter, in breast cancer.

RLIP76 Inhibition: A Promising Developmental Therapy for Neuroblastoma.

Refractory and relapsed neuroblastoma (NB) present with significant challenges in clinical management. Though primary NBs largely with wild-type p53 respond well to interventions, dysfunctional signaling in the p53 pathways in a MYCN oncogene driven background is found in a number of children with NB. The p53-mutant NB is largely unresponsive to available therapies and p53-independent targeted therapeutics represents a vital need in pediatric oncology. We analyzed the findings on mercapturic acid pathway (MAP) transporter RLIP76, which has broad and critical effects on multiple pathways as essential for carcinogenesis, oxidative stress and drug-resistance, is over-expressed in NB. RLIP76 inhibition by antibodies or depletion by antisense causes apoptosis and sensitization to chemo-radiotherapy in many cancers. In addition, recent studies indicate that the interactions between p53, MYCN, and WNT regulate apoptosis resistance and protein ubiquitination. RLIP76 and p53 interact with each other and colocalize in NB cells. Targeted depletion/inhibition of RLIP76 causes apoptosis and tumor regression in NB irrespective of p53 status. In the present review, we discuss the mechanisms and the role of RLIP76 in oxidative stress, drug-resistance and clathrin-dependent endocytosis (CDE), and analyze the molecular basis for the role of RLIP76 targeted approaches in the context principal drivers of NB pathogenesis, progression and drug-resistance. The evidence from RLIP76 studies in other cancers, when taken in the context of our recent RLIP76 focused mechanistic studies in NB, provides strong basis for further characterization and development of RLIP76 targeted therapies for NB.

Didymin: an orally active citrus flavonoid for targeting neuroblastoma.

Neuroblastoma, a rapidly growing yet treatment responsive cancer, is the third most common cancer of children and the most common solid tumor in infants. Unfortunately, neuroblastoma that has lost p53 function often has a highly treatment-resistant phenotype leading to tragic outcomes. In the context of neuroblastoma, the functions of p53 and MYCN (which is amplified in ~25% of neuroblastomas) are integrally linked because they are mutually transcriptionally regulated, and because they together regulate the catalytic activity of RNA polymerases. Didymin is a citrus-derived natural compound that kills p53 wild-type as well as drug-resistant p53-mutant neuroblastoma cells in culture. In addition, orally administered didymin causes regression of neuroblastoma xenografts in mouse models, without toxicity to non-malignant cells, neural tissues, or neural stem cells. RKIP is a Raf-inhibitory protein that regulates MYCN activation, is transcriptionally upregulated by didymin, and appears to play a key role in the anti-neuroblastoma actions of didymin. In this review, we discuss how didymin overcomes drug-resistance in p53-mutant neuroblastoma through RKIP-mediated inhibition of MYCN and its effects on GRK2, PKCs, Let-7 micro-RNA, and clathrin-dependent endocytosis by Raf-dependent and -independent mechanisms. In addition, we will discuss studies supporting potential clinical impact and translation of didymin as a low cost, safe, and effective oral agent that could change the current treatment paradigm for refractory neuroblastoma.

Altered CSMD1 Expression Alters Cocaine-Conditioned Place Preference: Mutual Support for a Complex Locus from Human and Mouse Models.

The CUB and sushi multiple domains 1 (CSMD1) gene harbors signals provided by clusters of nearby SNPs with 10-2 > p > 10-8 associations in genome wide association (GWAS) studies of addiction-related phenotypes. A CSMD1 intron 3 SNP displays p < 10-8 association with schizophrenia and more modest associations with individual differences in performance on tests of cognitive abilities. CSDM1 encodes a cell adhesion molecule likely to influence development, connections and plasticity of brain circuits in which it is expressed. We tested association between CSMD1 genotypes and expression of its mRNA in postmortem human brains (n = 181). Expression of CSMD1 mRNA in human postmortem cerebral cortical samples differs 15-25%, in individuals with different alleles of simple sequence length and SNP polymorphisms located in the gene's third/fifth introns, providing nominal though not Bonferroni-corrected significance. These data support mice with altered CSMD1 expression as models for common human CSMD1 allelic variation. We tested baseline and/or cocaine-evoked addiction, emotion, motor and memory-related behaviors in +/- and -/- csmd1 knockout mice on mixed and on C57-backcrossed genetic backgrounds. Initial csmd1 knockout mice on mixed genetic backgrounds displayed a variety of coat colors and sizable individual differences in responses during behavioral testing. Backcrossed mice displayed uniform black coat colors. Cocaine conditioned place preference testing revealed significant influences of genotype (p = 0.02). Homozygote knockouts displayed poorer performance on aspects of the Morris water maze task. They displayed increased locomotion in some, though not all, environments. The combined data thus support roles for common level-of-expression CSMD1 variation in a drug reward phenotype relevant to addiction and in cognitive differences that might be relevant to schizophrenia. Mouse model results can complement data from human association findings of modest magnitude that identify likely polygenic influences.