Analysis of Complications and Recipients' and Graft Survival in Patients 60 Years of Age and Older in the Long-Term Follow-up Period After Kidney Transplant: A Single-Center, Paired Kidney Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Long-term results of kidney transplant (KTx) in older patients may differ from younger recipients owing to increased cardiovascular comorbidities. The study aimed to analyze surgical and nonsurgical complications that develop in the long-term follow-up period after KTx, and factors that influence results of KTx in recipients aged 60 years and older (≥60) compared with younger recipients (<60). METHODS: One hundred seventy-five patients aged ≥60 years and 175 patients aged <60 years who received a kidney graft from the same deceased donor were enrolled in the study. In the long-term follow-up period (3 months to 5 years after KTx) the incidence of surgical and nonsurgical complications, as well as patient and kidney graft survival, were compared. Additionally, the influence of early complications on patients and kidney graft survival was assessed. RESULTS: There were no differences between recipients aged ≥60 years compared with recipients aged <60 years in occurrence of surgical complications (graft artery stenosis: 0.6% vs 2.3%; ureter stenosis: 3.4% vs 1.1%; lymphocele: 6.9% vs 3.4%) and nonsurgical complications (urinary tract infection: 19.4% vs 23.4%; pneumonia: 8.6% vs 8.6%; cytomegalovirus infection: 6.3% vs 8%; new-onset diabetes after transplant: 16.6% vs 17.1%; cancer incidence: 5.7% vs 4.6%; acute rejection episode: 13.1% vs 17.1%). Five-year recipient survival was lower in a group of patients aged ≥60 years (death, 15.4% vs 8%; death with functioning graft, 12% vs 5.1%). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of surgical and nonsurgical complications, as well as kidney-graft survival, in recipients aged ≥60 years in a 5-year follow-up period is comparable to younger recipients aged <60 years.

Kidney Graft Failure and Patient Survival Modelling Based on Competing Risks Under Nonproportional Hazards.

We analyze data on Silesian patients after kidney transplantation under competing events scenarios where time to death and time to graft failure are considered as absorbing competing events. Our objectives are to use model diagnostics in identifying violations of proportionality assumption under the framework of subdistribution and cause-specific hazards. We use the Fine-Gray proportional hazards model for the subdistribution. Under the cause-specific hazards (CSH) scenario we use the Cox proportional hazards model and Gray's time-varying coefficients model and available model diagnostics. We show that violation of proportional subdistribution hazards assumption may be conveniently identified using residual diagnostics and properly accounted for by involving time interactions with appropriate model predictors. We also show that although the nonproportional effects on cumulative incidence do not necessarily translate in those on cause-specific hazards, they often take place simultaneously, and a violation of the proportionality assumption needs to be checked rigorously. Time-varying effects have a profound impact on clinical inference under competing risks. They do not translate directly between the frameworks of subdistribution and cause-specific hazards because the cumulative incidence is obtained via integrating the cause-specific hazard weighted by the overall survival function. Also, a different definition of the risk set is in place under the cumulative incidence and CSH framework, respectively. However, a simultaneous violation of the proportionality assumption under both frameworks is still possible. Clinical inference may change considerably when such a violation occurs. Nonproportional effects may be properly identified under each framework using available model diagnostics.

Early Complications After Kidney Transplantation in Patients Aged 60 Years and Older: A Single-Center, Paired-Kidney Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: As the population ages, the number of people suffering from cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and diabetes mellitus (DM) increases. The coexistence of these diseases can affect the results of kidney transplantation (KT) in the elderly. The aim of this study was to analyze surgical and nonsurgical complications in the early period after KT and to identify the factors that influence their development in recipients aged ≥ 60 years compared to younger recipients < 60 years. METHODS: One hundred seventy-five recipients of KT ≥ 60 years and 175 recipients of KT < 60 years who received kidneys from the same deceased donor were enrolled into the study. The incidence of surgical and nonsurgical complications, factors that may influence their development, early graft function, and patient and kidney-graft survival were analyzed during a 3-month follow-up period. Donor sources complied with the Helsinki Congress and Istanbul Declaration and organs were not procured from prisoners and individuals who were coerced or paid. RESULTS: Older recipients were characterized by higher body mass index ± SD (26.1 ± 3.5 vs 24.7 ± 3.4 kg/m2) and suffered more often from pretransplant DM (20.6% vs 11.4%) and CVD (34.3% vs 10.3%) and less frequently underwent previous KT (6.3% vs 20.0%). There were no differences between the ≥ 60 year old and < 60 year old groups in reference to surgical (20.6% vs 24%) and nonsurgical complications (28.6% vs 27.4%), early graft function, serum creatinine, and proteinuria. Recipients (95.4% vs 97.1%) and kidney-graft survival (93.1% vs 95.4%) were similar in both groups. The recipient factors that influenced the development of infectious complications were age, dialysis duration, pretransplant DM, and CVD. CONCLUSIONS: Despite higher co-incidence of CVD and DM, the risk of surgical and nonsurgical complications in elderly recipients is comparable to younger recipients in the early period after KT.

D-dimer value in the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism-may it exclude only?

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is the third most common cause of death for cardiovascular diseases in Europe. Quick PE diagnosis is therefore crucial for prognosis improvement. It is critical to have suitable screening tests both to exclude PE as well to select patient with highest likelihood of PE occurrence. Currently D-dimer test is accepted as important tool useful to exclude PE in low risk patients. Our goal was to assess the D-dimer test positive prognostic value. METHODS: A retrospective study based on medical record analysis of consecutively admitted patients to 9 wards of The University Clinical Center in Katowice who were hospitalized during four consecutive years was performed. Three hundred and seventy patients met the inclusion criteria for the study, which involved the D-dimer tests and computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA) performed during hospitalization. Assessed patients were divided into two groups: PE confirmed and PE excluded by CTPA. RESULTS: We have found that patients with D-dimer levels higher than 2,152 ng/mL had significantly increased risk of PE [area under curve (AUC) of 0.69; 95% CI, 0.64-0.75; P<0.05]. Positive predictive value (PPV) reached the level of 53%, whereas negative predictive value (NPV) reached 82%. We also found that patients with the history of neoplasm and at >65 years of age had D-dimer cut-off point moved to the level of 2,652 ng/mL (AUC of 0.67; 95% CI, 0.52-0.81; P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Whereas the NPV of the D-dimer test is generally accepted our results suggest that, in selected cases, an increased plasmatic D-dimer levels may have PPV in PE diagnosis. Patients with the history of neoplasm have higher cut-off D-dimer points above which we should consider increased PE likelihood. CTPA should be considered even for patients with low probability of PE when D-dimer values exceed four times the normal level.