Impact of RA treatment strategies on lipids and vascular inflammation in rheumatoid arthritis: a secondary analysis of the TARGET randomized active comparator trial.

BACKGROUND: Treatments for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are associated with complex changes in lipids and lipoproteins that may impact cardiovascular (CV) risk. The objective of this study was to examine lipid and lipoprotein changes associated with two common RA treatment strategies, triple therapy or tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi), and association with CV risk. METHODS: In this secondary data analysis of the TARGET trial, methotrexate (MTX) inadequate responders with RA were randomized to either add sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine (triple therapy), or TNFi for 24-weeks. The primary trial outcome was the change in arterial inflammation measured in the carotid arteries or aorta by FDG-PET/CT at baseline and 24-weeks; this change was described as the target-to-background ratio (TBR) in the most diseased segment (MDS). Routine lipids and advanced lipoproteins were measured at baseline and 24-weeks; subjects on statin therapy at baseline were excluded. Comparisons between baseline and follow-up lipid measurements were performed within and across treatment arms, as well as change in lipids and change in MDS-TBR. RESULTS: We studied 122 participants, 61 in each treatment arm, with median age 57 years, 76% female, and 1.5 year median RA disease duration. When comparing treatment arms, triple therapy had on average a larger reduction in triglycerides (15.9 mg/dL, p = 0.01), total cholesterol to HDL-C ratio (0.29, p-value = 0.01), and LDL particle number (111.2, p = 0.02) compared to TNFi. TNFi had on average a larger increase in HDL particle number (1.6umol/L, p = 0.006). We observed no correlation between change in lipid measurements and change in MDS-TBR within and across treatment arms. CONCLUSIONS: Both treatment strategies were associated with improved lipid profiles via changes in different lipids and lipoproteins. These effects had no correlation with change in CV risk as measured by vascular inflammation by FDG-PET/CT. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT02374021.

Prevalence and Characteristics of Adults with Difficult-to-Treat Rheumatoid Arthritis in a Large Patient Registry.

OBJECTIVES: An estimated 5-20% of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) fail multiple treatments and are considered "difficult-to-treat" (D2T), posing a substantial clinical challenge for rheumatologists. A European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR) task force proposed a definition of D2T-RA in 2021. We applied EULAR's D2T definition in a cohort of patients with established RA to assess prevalence and we compared clinical characteristics of participants with D2T-RA with matched comparisons. METHODS: Data from the longitudinal Brigham and Women's Hospital Rheumatoid Arthritis Sequential Study (BRASS) registry was used. Participants were classified as D2T if they met EULAR's definition. A comparison group of non-D2T RA patients were matched 2:1 to every D2T patient, and differences in characteristics were evaluated in descriptive analyses. Prevalence rates of D2T were estimated using Poisson regression. RESULTS: We estimated the prevalence of D2T-RA to be 14.4 (95% CI: 12.8-16.3 per 100 persons) among 1,581 participants with RA, and 22.3 (95% CI: 19.9-25.0 per 100 persons) among 1,021 who were biologic/targeted synthetic DMARD experienced. We observed several differences in demographics, comorbidities, and RA disease activity between D2T-RA and non-D2T RA comparisons. Varying EULAR sub-criteria among all participants in BRASS resulted in a range of D2T-RA prevalence rates, from 0.6-17.5 per 100 persons. CONCLUSION: EULAR's proposed definition of D2T-RA identifies patients with RA who have not achieved treatment targets. Future research should explore heterogeneity in these patients and evaluate outcomes to inform the design of future studies aimed at developing more effective RA management protocols.

Identifying the association between serum urate levels and gout flares in patients taking urate-lowering therapy: a post hoc cohort analysis of the CARES trial with consideration of dropout.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate gout flare rates based on repeated serum urate (SU) measurements in a randomised controlled trial of urate-lowering therapy (ULT), accounting for dropout and death. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis using data from Cardiovascular Safety of Febuxostat or Allopurinol in Patients with Gout, which randomised participants to febuxostat or allopurinol, titrated to target SU <6 mg/dL with flare prophylaxis for 6 months. SU was categorised as ≤3.9, 4.0-5.9, 6.0-7.9, 8.0-9.9 or ≥ 10 mg/dL at each 3-6 month follow-up. The primary outcome was gout flare. Poisson regression models, adjusted for covariates and factors related to participant retention versus dropout, estimated gout flare incidence rate ratios by time-varying SU category. RESULTS: Among 6183 participants, the median age was 65 years and 84% were male. Peak gout flare rates for all SU categories were observed in months 0-6, coinciding with the initiation of ULT and months 6-12 after stopping prophylaxis. Flare rates were similar across SU groups in the initial year of ULT. During months 36-72, a dose-response relationship was observed between the SU category and flare rate. Lower flare rates were observed when SU ≤3.9 mg/dL and greater rates when SU ≥10 mg/dL, compared with SU 4.0-5.9 mg/dL (p for trend <0.01). CONCLUSION: Gout flare rates were persistently higher when SU ≥6 mg/dL after the first year of ULT after accounting for censoring. The spike in flares in all categories after stopping prophylaxis suggests a longer duration of prophylaxis may be warranted.

Gout risk in adults with pre-diabetes initiating metformin.

OBJECTIVE: Despite the strong association between gout and pre-diabetes, the role of metformin in gout among individuals with pre-diabetes remains uncertain. We compared the incidence rates of gout in adults with pre-diabetes starting metformin with those not using antidiabetic treatments. METHODS: We conducted a new-user, propensity score-matched cohort study using electronic health records from an academic health system (2007-2022). Pre-diabetes was defined based on haemoglobin A1c levels. Metformin users were identified and followed from the first metformin prescription date. Non-users of antidiabetic medications were matched to metformin users based on propensity score and the start of follow-up. The primary outcome was incident gout. Cox proportional hazards models estimated the HR for metformin. Linear regression analyses assessed the association between metformin use and changes in serum urate (SU) or C-reactive protein (CRP). RESULTS: We identified 25 064 individuals with pre-diabetes and propensity score-matched 1154 metformin initiators to 13 877 non-users. Baseline characteristics were well balanced (all standardised mean differences <0.1). The median follow-up was 3.9 years. The incidence rate of gout per 1000 person-years was lower in metformin users 7.1 (95% CI 5.1 to 10) compared with non-users 9.5 (95% CI 8.8 to 10.2). Metformin initiation was associated with a reduced relative risk of gout (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.96). No relationship was found between metformin and changes in SU or CRP. CONCLUSIONS: Metformin use was associated with a reduced risk of gout among adults with pre-diabetes, suggesting that metformin may be important in lowering gout risk in individuals with pre-diabetes.

Hypertension, Cardiovascular Risk Factors, and Uterine Fibroid Diagnosis in Midlife.

Importance: Fibroids are benign neoplasms associated with severe gynecologic morbidity. There are no strategies to prevent fibroid development. Objective: To examine associations of hypertension, antihypertensive treatment, anthropometry, and blood biomarkers with incidence of reported fibroid diagnosis in midlife. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Study of Women's Health Across the Nation is a prospective, multisite cohort study in the US. Participants were followed-up from enrollment (1996-1997) through 13 semiannual visits (1998-2013). Participants had a menstrual period in the last 3 months, were not pregnant or lactating, were aged 42 to 52 years, were not using hormones, and had a uterus and at least 1 ovary. Participants with prior fibroid diagnoses were excluded. Data analysis was performed from November 2022 to February 2024. Exposures: Blood pressure, anthropometry, biomarkers (cholesterol, triglycerides, and C-reactive protein), and self-reported antihypertensive treatment at baseline and follow-up visits were measured. Hypertension status (new-onset, preexisting, or never [reference]) and hypertension treatment (untreated, treated, or no hypertension [reference]) were categorized. Main Outcomes and Measures: Participants reported fibroid diagnosis at each visit. Discrete-time survival models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for associations of time-varying hypertension status, antihypertensive treatment, anthropometry, and biomarkers with incident reported fibroid diagnoses. Results: Among 2570 participants without a history of diagnosed fibroids (median [IQR] age at screening, 45 [43-48] years; 1079 [42.1%] college educated), 526 (20%) reported a new fibroid diagnosis during follow-up. Risk varied by category of hypertension treatment: compared with those with no hypertension, participants with untreated hypertension had a 19% greater risk of newly diagnosed fibroids (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 0.91-1.57), whereas those with treated hypertension had a 20% lower risk (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.56-1.15). Among eligible participants with hypertension, those taking antihypertensive treatment had a 37% lower risk of newly diagnosed fibroids (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.38-1.05). Risk also varied by hypertension status: compared with never-hypertensive participants, participants with new-onset hypertension had 45% greater risk of newly diagnosed fibroids (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 0.96-2.20). Anthropometric factors and blood biomarkers were not associated with fibroid risk. Conclusions and Relevance: Participants with untreated and new-onset hypertension had increased risk of newly diagnosed fibroids, whereas those taking antihypertensive treatment had lower risk, suggesting that blood pressure control may provide new strategies for fibroid prevention.

Interplay Between Systemic Inflammation, Myocardial Injury, and Coronary Microvascular Dysfunction in Rheumatoid Arthritis: Results From the LiiRA Study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary microvascular dysfunction as measured by myocardial flow reserve (MFR) is associated with increased cardiovascular risk in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The objective of this study was to determine the association between reducing inflammation with MFR and other measures of cardiovascular risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with RA with active disease about to initiate a tumor necrosis factor inhibitor were enrolled (NCT02714881). All subjects underwent a cardiac perfusion positron emission tomography scan to quantify MFR at baseline before tumor necrosis factor inhibitor initiation, and after tumor necrosis factor inhibitor initiation at 24 weeks. MFR <2.5 in the absence of obstructive coronary artery disease was defined as coronary microvascular dysfunction. Blood samples at baseline and 24 weeks were measured for inflammatory markers (eg, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hsCRP], interleukin-1b, and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T [hs-cTnT]). The primary outcome was mean MFR before and after tumor necrosis factor inhibitor initiation, with Δhs-cTnT as the secondary outcome. Secondary and exploratory analyses included the correlation between ΔhsCRP and other inflammatory markers with MFR and hs-cTnT. We studied 66 subjects, 82% of which were women, mean RA duration 7.4 years. The median atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk was 2.5%; 47% had coronary microvascular dysfunction and 23% had detectable hs-cTnT. We observed no change in mean MFR before (2.65) and after treatment (2.64, P=0.6) or hs-cTnT. A correlation was observed between a reduction in hsCRP and interleukin-1b with a reduction in hs-cTnT. CONCLUSIONS: In this RA cohort with low prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, nearly 50% of subjects had coronary microvascular dysfunction at baseline. A reduction in inflammation was not associated with improved MFR. However, a modest reduction in interleukin-1b and no other inflammatory pathways was correlated with a reduction in subclinical myocardial injury. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02714881.

Effects of tapering conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs to drug-free remission versus stable treatment in rheumatoid arthritis (ARCTIC REWIND): 3-year results from an open-label, randomised controlled, non-inferiority trial.

BACKGROUND: Tapering of disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) to drug-free remission is an attractive treatment goal for patients with rheumatoid arthritis, although long-term effects of tapering and withdrawal remain unclear. We compared 3-year risks of flare between three conventional synthetic DMARD treatment strategies in patients with rheumatoid arthritis in sustained remission. METHODS: In this open-label, randomised controlled, non-inferiority trial, we enrolled patients aged 18-80 years with rheumatoid arthritis who had been in sustained remission for at least 1 year on stable conventional synthetic DMARD therapy. Patients from ten hospitals in Norway were randomly assigned (2:1:1) with centre stratification to receive stable conventional synthetic DMARDs, half-dose conventional synthetic DMARDs, or half-dose conventional synthetic DMARDs for 1 year followed by withdrawal of all conventional synthetic DMARDs. The primary endpoint of this part of the study was disease flare over 3 years, analysed as flare-free survival and risk difference in the per-protocol population with a non-inferiority margin of 20%. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01881308) and is completed. FINDINGS: Between June 17, 2013, and June 18, 2018, 160 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to receive stable-dose conventional synthetic DMARDs (n=80), half-dose conventional synthetic DMARDs (n=42), or half-dose conventional synthetic DMARDs tapering to withdrawal (n=38). Four patients did not receive the intervention and 156 patients received the allocated treatment strategy. One patient was excluded due to major protocol violation and 155 patients were included in the per-protocol analysis. 104 (67%) of 156 patients were women and 52 (33%) were men. 139 patients completed 3-years follow-up without major protocol violation; 68 (87%) of 78 patients in the stable-dose group, 36 (88%) of 41 patients in the half-dose group and 35 (95%) of 37 patients in the half-dose tapering to withdrawal group. During the 3-year study period, 80% (95% CI 69-88%) were flare-free in the stable-dose group, compared with 57% (41-71%) in the half-dose group and 38% (22-53%) in the half-dose tapering to withdrawal group. Compared with stable-dose conventional synthetic DMARDs, the risk difference of flare was 23% (95% CI 6-41%, p=0·010) in the half-dose group and 40% (22-58%, p<0·0001) in the half-dose tapering to withdrawal group, non-inferiority was therefore not shown. Adverse events were reported in 65 (83%) of 78 patients in the stable-dose group, 36 (90%) of 40 patients in the half-dose group, and 36 (97%) of 37 patients in the half-dose tapering to withdrawal group. One death occurred in the stable-dose conventional synthetic DMARD group (sudden death considered unlikely related to the study medication). INTERPRETATION: Two conventional synthetic DMARD tapering strategies were associated with significantly lower rates of flare-free survival compared with stable conventional synthetic DMARD treatment, and the data do not support non-inferiority. However, drug-free remission was achiveable for a significant subgroup of patients. This trial provides information on risk and benefits of different treatment strategies important for shared decision making. FUNDING: Research Council of Norway and South-Eastern Norway Regional Health Authority.

Association of the multi-biomarker disease activity score with arterial 18-fluorodeoxyglucose uptake in rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and atherosclerosis share many common inflammatory pathways. We studied whether a multi-biomarker panel for RA disease activity (MBDA) would associate with changes in arterial inflammation in an interventional trial. METHODS: In the TARGET Trial, RA patients with active disease despite methotrexate were randomly assigned to the addition of either a TNF inhibitor or sulfasalazine+hydroxychloroquine (triple therapy). Baseline and 24-week follow-up 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography scans were assessed for change in arterial inflammation measured as the maximal arterial target-to-blood background ratio of FDG uptake in the most diseased segment of the carotid arteries or aorta (MDS-TBRmax). The MBDA test, measured at baseline and weeks 6, 18, and 24, was assessed for its association with the change in MDS-TBRmax. RESULTS: Interpretable scans were available at baseline and week 24 for n = 112 patients. The MBDA score at week 24 was significantly correlated with the change in MDR-TBRmax (Spearman's rho = 0.239; p= 0.011) and remained significantly associated after adjustment for relevant confounders. Those with low MBDA at week 24 had a statistically significant adjusted reduction in arterial inflammation of 0.35 units vs no significant reduction in those who did not achieve low MBDA. Neither DAS28-CRP nor CRP predicted change in arterial inflammation. The MBDA component with the strongest association with change in arterial inflammation was serum amyloid A (SAA). CONCLUSIONS: Among treated RA patients, achieved MBDA predicts of changes in arterial inflammation. Achieving low MBDA at 24 weeks was associated with clinically meaningful reductions in arterial inflammation, regardless of treatment.

Longitudinal Follow-Up of Fibrosis-4 in Patients at Risk of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease Receiving Low-Dose Methotrexate Treatment.

Several noninvasive liver fibrosis tests have been developed and appear to predict the severity of fibrosis, possibly replacing invasive liver biopsy as a monitoring tool.1 The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score originally was proposed to help assess liver fibrosis in patients with human immunodeficiency virus and hepatitis C virus co-infection.1 FIB-4 has been used widely to monitor the severity of liver fibrosis, especially in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease,2 now termed metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).3.

Changes in alcohol intake and serum urate changes: longitudinal analyses of annual medical examination database.

INTRODUCTION: Despite the established cross-sectional association between alcohol intake and serum urate (SU), its longitudinal association remains unknown. This study aimed to determine whether changes in alcohol intake have a clinically relevant association with SU change. METHOD: We conducted retrospective analyses using systematically collected annual medical examination data from October 2012 to October 2022 in a Japanese preventive medicine centre. The exposure was changes in alcohol intake between two consecutive visits. The association of SU changes with alcohol intake changes was estimated by mixed-effect linear regression with adjustment for relevant covariates. RESULTS: We analysed 63 486 participants (median age, 47.0 years; 55% women; 58.6% regular alcohol drinkers with a median of 1.4 drinks/day) with 370 572 visits. The median SU level was 5.3 mg/dL, and 506 (0.8%) participants had diagnoses of gout or hyperuricemia without medication use during the study period. Decreasing one daily alcohol intake had a clinically small association with SU changes (-0.019 (95% CI: -0.021 to -0.017) mg/dL). Beer had the largest association with SU (-0.036 (95% CI: -0.039 to -0.032) mg/dL for one beer decrease). Complete discontinuation of any alcohol from a mean of 0.8 drinks/day was associated with -0.056 mg/dL (95% CI: -0.068 to -0.043) decrease in SU; the association became larger in hyperuricemic participants (-0.110 mg/dL (95% CI: -0.154 to -0.066) for alcohol discontinuation from a mean of 1.0 drinks/day). CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed changes in alcohol intake had small associations with SU change at the general Japanese population level. Complete discontinuation of alcohol in hyperuricemic participants had only modest improvement in SU.

Biomarkers of Cardiovascular Risk in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis: Results From the TARGET Trial.

Cardiovascular disease remains an important comorbidity in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but traditional models do not accurately predict cardiovascular risk in patients with RA. The addition of biomarkers could improve prediction. METHODS AND RESULTS: The TARGET (Treatments Against RA and Effect on FDG PET/CT) trial assessed whether different treatment strategies in RA differentially impact cardiovascular risk as measured by the change in arterial inflammation on arterial target to background ratio on fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography scans conducted 24 weeks apart. A group of 24 candidate biomarkers supported by prior literature was assessed at baseline and 24 weeks later. Longitudinal analyses examined the association between baseline biomarker values, measured in plasma EDTA, and the change in arterial inflammation target to background ratio. Model fit was assessed for the candidate biomarkers only, clinical variables only, and models combining both. One hundred nine patients with median (interquartile range) age 58 years (53-65 years), RA duration 1.4 years (0.5-6.6 years), and 82% women had biomarkers assessed at baseline and follow-up. Because the main trial analyses demonstrated significant target to background ratio decreases with both treatment strategies but no difference across treatment groups, we analyzed all patients together. Baseline values of serum amyloid A, C-reactive protein, soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 1, adiponectin, YKL-40, and osteoprotegerin were associated with significant change in target to background ratio. When selected candidate biomarkers were added to the clinical variables, the adjusted R2 improved from 0.20 to 0.33 (likelihood ratio P=0.0005). CONCLUSIONS: A candidate biomarker approach identified several promising biomarkers that associate with baseline and treatment-associated changes in arterial inflammation in patients with RA. These will now be tested in an external validation cohort.

Performance of the Rheumatoid Arthritis Impact of Disease (RAID) score in relation to flares in disease activity.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the performance of the EULAR-initiated patient-reported Rheumatoid Arthritis Impact of Disease (RAID) questionnaire in relation to flares in disease activity, including comparison with other disease activity outcomes. METHODS: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis in sustained remission were randomised to continued stable treatment or tapering in the ARCTIC REWIND project. In patients with flares within 12 months, we compared RAID (total score and components) at the flare visit with the visit prior to and the visit following flare, using Wilcoxon signed-rank test. Similar analyses were performed for patient global assessment, Disease Activity Score (DAS) and C reactive protein (CRP). The discriminative accuracies of RAID, patient global assessment, DAS and CRP with respect to disease activity flares were assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses based on logistic regression models. Flare was defined as a combination of DAS >1.6, a DAS increase ≥0.6 and ≥two swollen joints (of 44 examined) or could be recorded if patient and rheumatologist agreed that a clinically significant flare had occurred. RESULTS: In total, 248 patients were included in the analyses, with 56 flares. RAID, patient global assessment, DAS and CRP all changed significantly at the visits related to flare (p<0.001). Area under the curve (95% CI) values indicated that RAID (0.88 (0.83 to 0.93)) was significantly more accurate than CRP (0.76 (0.69 to 0.84)) in discriminating flare, and less accurate than patient global assessment (0.92 (0.87 to 0.97)) and DAS (0.94 (0.90 to 0.98)). The RAID components with highest and lowest discriminative accuracies were pain (0.91 (0.86 to 0.95)) and sleep (0.69 (0.59 to 0.79)). CONCLUSION: Disease activity flares were associated with a significant increase in median RAID, supporting its ability to respond to flare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01881308.

Fractures in Patients With Acute Calcium Pyrophosphate Crystal Arthritis Versus Matched Comparators in a Large Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD) disease was associated with osteopenia in two cross-sectional studies. We compared fracture risks in patients with acute calcium pyrophosphate (CPP) crystal arthritis versus matched comparators. METHODS: We performed a longitudinal cohort study using electronic health record data from a single large academic health system, with data from 1991 to 2023. Patients with one or more episodes of acute CPP crystal arthritis were matched to comparators on the index date (first documentation of "pseudogout" or synovial fluid CPP crystals or matched encounter) and first encounter in the health system. The primary outcome was first fracture at the humerus, wrist, hip, or pelvis. We excluded patients with fracture before the index date. Covariates included demographics, body mass index, smoking, comorbidities, health care use, glucocorticoids, and osteoporosis treatments. We estimated incidence rates and adjusted hazard ratios for fracture. Sensitivity analyses excluded patients prescribed glucocorticoids, patients prescribed osteoporosis treatments, or patients with rheumatoid arthritis and additionally adjusted for chronic kidney disease. RESULTS: We identified 1,148 patients with acute CPP crystal arthritis matched to 3,730 comparators, with a mean age of 73 years. Glucocorticoids and osteoporosis treatments were more frequent in the acute CPP crystal arthritis cohort. Fracture incidence rates were twice as high in the acute CPP crystal arthritis cohort (11.7 per 1,000 person-years) versus comparators (5.5 per 1,000 person-years). After multivariable adjustment, fracture relative risk was twice as high in the acute CPP crystal arthritis cohort (hazard ratio 1.8 [95% confidence interval 1.3-2.3]); results were similar in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: In this first published study of fractures and CPPD, fracture risk was nearly doubled in patients with acute CPP crystal arthritis.

Improving the accuracy of automated gout flare ascertainment using natural language processing of electronic health records and linked Medicare claims data.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to determine whether integrating concepts from the notes from the electronic health record (EHR) data using natural language processing (NLP) could improve the identification of gout flares. METHODS: Using Medicare claims linked with EHR, we selected gout patients who initiated the urate-lowering therapy (ULT). Patients' 12-month baseline period and on-treatment follow-up were segmented into 1-month units. We retrieved EHR notes for months with gout diagnosis codes and processed notes for NLP concepts. We selected a random sample of 500 patients and reviewed each of their notes for the presence of a physician-documented gout flare. Months containing at least 1 note mentioning gout flares were considered months with events. We used 60% of patients to train predictive models with LASSO. We evaluated the models by the area under the curve (AUC) in the validation data and examined positive/negative predictive values (P/NPV). RESULTS: We extracted and labeled 839 months of follow-up (280 with gout flares). The claims-only model selected 20 variables (AUC = 0.69). The NLP concept-only model selected 15 (AUC = 0.69). The combined model selected 32 claims variables and 13 NLP concepts (AUC = 0.73). The claims-only model had a PPV of 0.64 [0.50, 0.77] and an NPV of 0.71 [0.65, 0.76], whereas the combined model had a PPV of 0.76 [0.61, 0.88] and an NPV of 0.71 [0.65, 0.76]. CONCLUSION: Adding NLP concept variables to claims variables resulted in a small improvement in the identification of gout flares. Our data-driven claims-only model and our combined claims/NLP-concept model outperformed existing rule-based claims algorithms reliant on medication use, diagnosis, and procedure codes.

The effect of starting metformin on bone mineral density among women with type 2 diabetes in the Study of Women's Health Across the Nation (SWAN).

We examined longitudinal changes in BMD among women in the mid-life starting metformin. Study subjects were 57 years old (mean), and 36% were White. Women initiating metformin were similar to noninitiators. During the 3-year follow-up, BMD loss at all anatomic areas was similar between groups and in subgroups including baseline fasting blood glucose. PURPOSE/INTRODUCTION: Women with type 2 diabetes have higher bone mineral density (BMD), experience slower BMD loss, but have increased fracture risk. Data regarding the effect of metformin on BMD remain discordant. We examined longitudinal changes in BMD among women in the mid-life starting metformin. METHODS: Participants in the Study of Women's Health Across the Nation (SWAN), a diverse community-based US cohort, with BMD measurements were evaluated. Propensity score matching helped balance baseline characteristics of metformin initiators versus noninitiators. Mixed model regression tested the change in BMD between groups. RESULTS: Subjects (n = 248) were 57.4 years old (mean), and 35.9% were White. Women initiating metformin (n = 124) were similar to noninitiators (n = 124) in age and race/ethnicity. During the median 3-year follow-up, BMD loss at all anatomic areas was similar between the metformin initiators and nonusers (all p > 0.3). Subgroup analyses including baseline fasting blood glucose showed no between-group differences. Initiation of metformin (vs. not) in peri-menopausal women was not associated with BMD changes. CONCLUSIONS: Women in the mid-life starting metformin had longitudinal changes in BMD very similar to other women not starting metformin.

Patterns in the Sequential Treatment of Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis Starting a Biologic or Targeted Synthetic Disease-Modifying Antirheumatic Drug: 10-Year Experience From a US-Based Registry.

OBJECTIVE: Developing and evaluating new treatment guidelines for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) based on observational data requires a quantitative understanding of patterns in current treatment practice with biologic and targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (b/tsDMARDs). METHODS: We used data from the CorEvitas RA registry to study patients starting their first b/tsDMARD therapy, defined as the first line of therapy, between 2012 and the end of 2021. We identified treatment patterns as unique sequences of therapy changes following and including the first-line therapy. Therapy cycling was defined as switching back to a treatment from a previously used therapeutic class. RESULTS: A total of 6015 b/tsDMARD-naïve patients (77% female) were included in the analysis. Their median age was 58 years, and their median disease duration was 3 years. In 2012-2014, 80% of the patients started a tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) as their first b/tsDMARD. However, the use of TNFi decreased in favor of Janus kinase inhibitors since 2015. Although the number of treatment patterns was large, therapy cycling was relatively common. For example, 601 patterns were observed among 1133 patients who changed therapy at least four times, of whom 85.3% experienced therapy cycling. Furthermore, the duration of each of the first three lines of therapy decreased over the past decade. For example, the median duration of the first-line therapy was 153 days in 2018-2021 compared to 208 days in 2015-2017 (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: First-line therapy was almost always TNFi, but diversity in treatment choice was high after that. This practice variation allows for proposing and evaluating new guidelines for sequential treatment of RA. It also presents statistical challenges to compare patients with different treatment sequences.

A Mobile Health Application Integrated in the Electronic Health Record for Rheumatoid Arthritis Patient-Reported Outcomes: A Controlled Interrupted Time-Series Analysis of Impact on Visit Efficiency.

OBJECTIVE: Patient-reported outcome (PRO) collection between visits for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) could improve visit efficiency, reducing in-person visits for patients with stable symptoms while facilitating access for those with symptoms. We examined whether a mobile health PRO application integrated in the electronic health record (EHR) could reduce visit volume for those with RA. METHODS: We developed an application for RA that prompted patients every other day to complete brief PRO questionnaires. Results of the application were integrated into the EHR. We tested the application in a controlled interrupted time-series analysis between 2020 and 2023. Rheumatologists received EHR-based messages based on PRO results recommending the patient receive a visit earlier or later than scheduled. The primary outcome was monthly visit volume during the year before versus the year after initiation. RESULTS: A total of 150 patients with RA consented and used the application. The median age was 62 years, 83% were female, 7% had fewer than 2 years of disease, and 50% were seropositive; 150 controls were well matched. Among those in the application cohort, the estimated monthly median visit volume in the year before use of the application was 31.2 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 28.0-34.3); in controls, this was 30.4 (95% CI 27.3-33.6). In the year using the application, the estimated monthly visit volume was 36.8 (95% CI 33.4-40.3) compared to 38.7 (95% CI 35.2-42.3) in controls. The difference in the differences between the cohorts was not statistically significant (-2.7 visits, 95% CI -9.3 to 4.0). No differences were noted in flare rates or visit delays. CONCLUSION: In this initial trial of a PRO application intervention to improve visit efficiency, we found no association with reduced visit volume.