A new hybrid model for photovoltaic output power prediction.

Recently, with the development of renewable energy technologies, photovoltaic (PV) power generation is widely used in the grid. However, as PV power generation is influenced by external factors, such as solar radiation fluctuation, PV output power is intermittent and volatile, and thus the accurate PV output power prediction is imperative for the grid stability. To address this issue, based on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN), improved artificial rabbits optimization (IARO) and convolutional bidirectional long short-term memory (CBiLSTM), a new hybrid model denoted by CEEMDAN-IARO-CBiLSTM is proposed. In addition, inputs of the proposed model are optimized by analyzing influential factors of PV output power with Pearson correlation coefficient method. In order to verify the prediction accuracy, CEEMDAN-IARO-CBiLSTM is compared with other well-known methods under different weather conditions and different seasons. Specifically, for different weather conditions, MAE and RMSE of the proposed model decrease by at least 0.329 and 0.411, 0.086 and 0.021, and 0.140 and 0.220, respectively. With respect to different seasons, MAE and RMSE of the proposed model decrease by at least 0.270 and 0.378, 0.158 and 0.209, 0.210 and 0.292, and 1.096 and 1.148, respectively. Moreover, two statistical tests are conducted, and the corresponding results show that the prediction performance of CEEMDAN-IARO-CBiLSTM is superior to other well-known methods.

Binary arithmetic optimization algorithm for feature selection.

Feature selection, widely used in data preprocessing, is a challenging problem as it involves hard combinatorial optimization. So far some meta-heuristic algorithms have shown effectiveness in solving hard combinatorial optimization problems. As the arithmetic optimization algorithm only performs well in dealing with continuous optimization problems, multiple binary arithmetic optimization algorithms (BAOAs) utilizing different strategies are proposed to perform feature selection. First, six algorithms are formed based on six different transfer functions by converting the continuous search space to the discrete search space. Second, in order to enhance the speed of searching and the ability of escaping from the local optima, six other algorithms are further developed by integrating the transfer functions and Lévy flight. Based on 20 common University of California Irvine (UCI) datasets, the performance of our proposed algorithms in feature selection is evaluated, and the results demonstrate that BAOA_S1LF is the most superior among all the proposed algorithms. Moreover, the performance of BAOA_S1LF is compared with other meta-heuristic algorithms on 26 UCI datasets, and the corresponding results show the superiority of BAOA_S1LF in feature selection. Source codes of BAOA_S1LF are publicly available at: https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/124545-binary-arithmetic-optimization-algorithm.

Air quality prediction for Chengdu based on long short-term memory neural network with improved jellyfish search optimizer.

Air quality prediction plays an important role in preventing air pollution and improving living environment. For this prediction, many indicators can be employed to reflect the air quality, among which air quality index (AQI) is the most commonly used. However, existing methods are relatively simple and the corresponding prediction accuracy needs to be improved. Particularly, the prediction accuracy is affected by the parameter selection of methods, and the corresponding optimization problems are usually non-convex and multi-modal. Therefore, based on long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network with improved jellyfish search optimizer (IJSO), a novel hybrid model denoted by IJSO-LSTM is proposed to predict AQI for Chengdu. In order to evaluate the optimizing ability of IJSO, other variants of jellyfish search optimizer as well as other state-of-the-art meta-heuristic algorithms are applied to optimize the hyperparameters of LSTM neural network for comparison, and the results confirm that IJSO is more suitable for optimizing LSTM neural network. In addition, compared with other well-known models, the results demonstrate IJSO-LSTM has higher prediction accuracy with root-mean-square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error controlling below 4, 3, and 4%, respectively.