RESUMO
Ski tourism is a major sector of mountain regions economy, which is under the threat of long-term climate change. Snow management, and in particular grooming and artificial snowmaking, has become a routine component of ski resort operations, holding potential for counteracting the detrimental effect of natural snow decline. However, conventional snowmaking can only operate under specific meteorological conditions. Whether snowmaking is a relevant adaptation measure under future climate change is a widely debated issue in mountainous regions, with major implications on the supply side of this tourism industry. This often lacks comprehensive scientific studies for informing public and private decisions in this sector. Here we show how climate change influences the operating conditions of one of the main ski tourism markets worldwide, the French Alps. Our study addresses snow reliability in 129 ski resorts in the French Alps in the 21st century, using a dedicated snowpack model explicitly accounting for grooming and snowmaking driven by a large ensemble of adjusted and downscaled regional climate projections, and using a geospatial model of ski resorts organization. A 45% snowmaking fractional coverage, representative of the infrastructures in the early 2020s, is projected to improve snow reliability over grooming-only snow conditions, both during the reference period 1986-2005 and below 2 °C global warming since pre-industrial. Beyond 3 °C of global warming, with 45% snowmaking coverage, snow conditions would become frequently unreliable and induce higher water requirements.
RESUMO
Casearia sylvestris Swartz (Salicaceae) ou guaçatonga é uma árvore nativa do México, da América Central, e da América do Sul, com grande importância ecológica, farmacológica, e comercial. No entanto, como a maioria das espécies nativas de interesse medicinal no Brasil, a guaçatonga não é cultivada comercialmente, sendo obtida por extrativismo. O presente trabalho foi conduzido com o objetivo de testar um protocolo de propagação vegetativa de guaçatonga por meio da estaquia, visando identificar qual a melhor estação do ano para o enraizamento de estacas e avaliar o efeito da utilização do regulador vegetal ácido indolbutírico (AIB). No outono, inverno e primavera de 2007, e no verão de 2008, estacas caulinares semilenhosas de 12-14 cm de comprimento e com duas folhas foram preparadas e tratadas com AIB (0, 1000, 2000 e 3000 mg L-1), em solução alcoólica, através da imersão rápida por 10 segundos da base das estacas, e foram plantadas em tubetes contendo substrato Plantmax HT® em casa-de-vegetação sob nebulização intermitente. O delineamento experimental utilizado foi o inteiramente casualizado, com 4 repetições, 4 tratamentos, e 16 estacas por parcela. Todos os experimentos foram avaliados após 90 dias, sendo que para dois deles (primavera 2007 e verão 2008) prolongou-se o tempo de permanência em casa-de-vegetação para melhor desenvolvimento das raízes. Foram avaliados os parâmetros: porcentagem de estacas enraizadas, porcentagem de estacas vivas (com calos e sem raízes, sem calos e sem raízes), porcentagem de folhas retidas, porcentagem de estacas mortas, número de raízes, comprimento das três maiores raízes (cm), e média da massa seca das raízes (mg). Não ocorreu enraizamento nas estacas retiradas no outono e no inverno. Com as estacas retiradas na primavera obteve-se 39,1% de enraizamento. Estacas coletadas no verão não responderam como o esperado, apresentando, após 240 dias, 6,3% de enraizamento no tratamento com 3000 mg L-1 de AIB. O AIB até 3000 mg L-1 não estimulou o enraizamento de estacas de guaçatonga e a melhor estação do ano para a estaquia é a primavera.
Casearia sylvestris Swartz (Salicaceae), or "guaçatonga", is a tree native to Mexico and Central and South America, with great ecological, pharmacological and commercial relevance. Similarly to most native species of medicinal interest in Brazil, "guaçatonga" is not commercially cultivated and is obtained by means of extraction. The aim of this study was to test a protocol for the vegetative propagation of "guaçatonga" by means of stem cutting, identifying the best season for stem rooting and assessing the effect of using the growth regulator indolebutyric acid (IBA). In the fall, winter and spring 2007 and summer 2008, semi-hardwood cuttings with 12-14 cm length and two leaves were prepared and treated with IBA (0, 1000, 2000 and 3000 mg L-1), in alcohol solution, by rapidly immersing for 10 seconds the base of cuttings and planting them in tubes containing Plantmax HT® in greenhouse under intermittent nebulization. Experimental design was completely randomized with 4 replicates, 4 treatments and 16 cuttings per plot. All experiments were evaluated after 90 days, and for two of them the time of maintenance in greenhouse was prolonged in order to improve root development. The following parameters were evaluated: percentage of rooted cuttings, percentage of live cuttings (with callus and without roots, without callus and without roots), percentage of retained leaves, percentage of dead cuttings, number of roots, length of the largest roots (cm) and mean dry mass of roots (mg). There was no rooting on cuttings collected during the fall and the winter. For cuttings collected in the spring, 39.1% rooting was obtained. Cuttings collected in the summer did not show the expected results, presenting after 240 days 6.3% rooting when treated with 3000 mg L-1 IBA. Up to 3000 mg L-1, IBA did not stimulate the rooting of "guaçatonga" cuttings and the best season for cutting is spring.
