Incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus and prediabetes in Kerala, India: results from a 10-year prospective cohort.

BACKGROUND: Kerala, the southern state of India, has experienced sudden rise in the prevalence estimates of diabetes. A cohort study on the incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Kerala state thus aptly bridges the lacuna of incidence estimate of T2DM from a population at risk. METHODS: A 10-year prospective cohort study was carried out in two urban wards of central Kerala. The individuals who participated in the baseline survey in 2007 were again invited for a follow-up study in 2017. The data was analyzed using IBM SPSS Statistics for windows (version 21.0). Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Findings are based on the 10-year follow-up data from 869 participants from the cohort. RESULTS: The overall follow-up and response rate of the study was 68.9 and 86.9% respectively. During the follow-up period, 190 people (21.9%) developed T2DM. The incidence rate of T2DM and impaired fasting glucose (IFG) were 24.5 per 1000 person years and 45.01 per 1000 person years respectively. Nearly 60% of participants with baseline IFG were converted to T2DM group in the follow-up period. Age > 45 years, family history of T2DM, BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 and presence of central obesity emerged as important risk factors for incident T2DM. CONCLUSION: High incidence of prediabetes over diabetes observed in this study shows an epidemic trend of T2DM in Kerala, India. It requires an immediate public health action.

Distinct Predictors and Comorbidities in Early Onset Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Among Asian Indians.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is increasing worldwide, and the age of disease onset is falling. Although there is rising prevalence of early onset T2DM in India, little is known about their clinical characteristics and cardiovascular risks profiles. The aim of this study was to address this knowledge gap by comparing the characteristics of early onset T2DM and usual onset T2DM patients from our clinic population in India. METHODS: We studied the clinical and biochemical parameters of 98 consecutive early onset T2DM patients of age <45 and <5 years of disease duration and compared those parameters with 86 consecutive usual onset T2DM patients of age >50 years and similar disease duration. RESULTS: There was a strong component of family history of T2DM in early onset T2DM patients; however, no difference was observed in body mass index or waist circumference between the groups. When compared with usual onset group, the early onset T2DM patients were more hypertriglycedemic, with higher total cholesterol, higher total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein (HDL) ratio, higher low-density lipoprotein levels, and lower HDL cholesterol. Early onset T2DM patients showed significantly worse glycemic control and rapid decline in insulin secretion compared with usual onset T2DM patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that early onset T2DM in Asian Indians appears to be a disease phenotype with adverse risk factors having poor glycemic control and longer disease duration demanding strategies for novel clinical management.