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1.
Asian Pac J Cancer Prev ; 15(22): 9719-23, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25520094

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Globally, cervical cancer is a major public health concern. Cervical cancer is the second most common cancer among women, resulting in approximately 500,000 cases per year. The purpose of this study is to compare disease characteristics between Black Hispanic (BH) and Black non-Hispanic (BNH) women in the US. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used stratified random sampling to select cervical cancer patient records from the SEER database (1973-2009). We used Chi-square and independent samples t-test to examine differences in proportions and means. RESULTS: The sample included 2,000 cervical cancer cases of Black non-Hispanic and 91 Black Hispanic women. There were statistically significant differences between black Hispanic and black non- Hispanics in mean age at diagnosis (p<0.001), mean survival time (p<0.001), marital status (p<0.001), primary site of cancer (p<0.001); lymph node involvement (p<0.001); grading and differentiation (p<0.0001); and tumor behavior (p<0.001). Black women were more likely to develop cervical cancer and to have the highest mortality rates from the disease. CONCLUSIONS: Findings from this study show clear racial and ethnic disparities in cervical cancer incidence and prognosis that should be addressed.


Assuntos
Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Hispânico ou Latino/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/etnologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/mortalidade , População Branca/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Programa de SEER , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estados Unidos
2.
Asian Pac J Cancer Prev ; 15(21): 9453-8, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25422240

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer is the second leading cause of cancer death for women in the United States. Differences in survival of breast cancer have been noted among racial and ethnic groups, but the reasons for these disparities remain unclear. This study presents the characteristics and the survival curve of two racial and ethnic groups and evaluates the effects of race on survival times by measuring the lifetime data-based half-normal model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The distributions among racial and ethnic groups are compared using female breast cancer patients from nine states in the country all taken from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End RESULTS cancer registry. The main end points observed are: age at diagnosis, survival time in months, and marital status. The right skewed half-normal statistical probability model is used to show the differences in the survival times between black Hispanic (BH) and black non-Hispanic (BNH) female breast cancer patients. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard ratio are used to estimate and compare the relative risk of death in two minority groups, BH and BNH. RESULTS: A probability random sample method was used to select representative samples from BNH and BH female breast cancer patients, who were diagnosed during the years of 1973-2009 in the United States. The sample contained 1,000 BNH and 298 BH female breast cancer patients. The median age at diagnosis was 57.75 years among BNH and 54.11 years among BH. The results of the half-normal model showed that the survival times formed positive skewed models with higher variability in BNH compared with BH. The Kaplan-Meir estimate was used to plot the survival curves for cancer patients; this test was positively skewed. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard ratio for survival analysis showed that BNH had a significantly longer survival time as compared to BH which is consistent with the results of the half-normal model. CONCLUSIONS: The findings with the proposed model strategy will assist in the healthcare field to measure future outcomes for BH and BNH, given their past history and conditions. These findings may provide an enhanced and improved outlook for the diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer patients in the United States.


Assuntos
Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias da Mama/etnologia , Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Hispânico ou Latino/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Estado Civil , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise de Sobrevida , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
3.
Asian Pac J Cancer Prev ; 15(19): 8371-6, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25339031

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The use of statistical methods has become an imperative tool in breast cancer survival data analysis. The purpose of this study was to develop the best statistical probability model using the Bayesian method to predict future survival times for the black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patients diagnosed during 1973- 2009 in the U.S. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used a stratified random sample of black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patient data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End RESULTS (SEER) database. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional regression methods. Four advanced types of statistical models, Exponentiated Exponential (EE), Beta Generalized Exponential (BGE), Exponentiated Weibull (EW), and Beta Inverse Weibull (BIW) were utilized for data analysis. The statistical model building criteria, Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) were used to measure the goodness of fit tests. Furthermore, we used the Bayesian approach to obtain the predictive survival inferences from the best-fit data based on the exponentiated Weibull model. RESULTS: We identified the highest number of black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patients in Michigan and the lowest in Hawaii. The mean (SD), of age at diagnosis (years) was 58.3 (14.43). The mean (SD), of survival time (months) for black non- Hispanic females was 66.8 (30.20). Non-Hispanic blacks had a significantly increased risk of death compared to Black Hispanics (Hazard ratio: 1.96, 95%CI: 1.51-2.54). Compared to other statistical probability models, we found that the exponentiated Weibull model better fits for the survival times. By making use of the Bayesian method predictive inferences for future survival times were obtained. CONCLUSIONS: These findings will be of great significance in determining appropriate treatment plans and health-care cost allocation. Furthermore, the same approach should contribute to build future predictive models for any health related diseases.


Assuntos
População Negra/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Estatísticos , Teorema de Bayes , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Programa de SEER , Taxa de Sobrevida
4.
Asian Pac J Cancer Prev ; 15(9): 4049-54, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24935595

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Race and ethnicity are significant factors in predicting survival time of breast cancer patients. In this study, we applied advanced statistical methods to predict the survival of White non-Hispanic female breast cancer patients, who were diagnosed between the years 1973 and 2009 in the United States (U.S.). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Demographic data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End RESULTS (SEER) database were used for the purpose of this study. Nine states were randomly selected from 12 U.S. cancer registries. A stratified random sampling method was used to select 2,000 female breast cancer patients from these nine states. We compared four types of advanced statistical probability models to identify the best-fit model for the White non- Hispanic female breast cancer survival data. Three model building criterion were used to measure and compare goodness of fit of the models. These include Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC). In addition, we used a novel Bayesian method and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo technique to determine the posterior density function of the parameters. After evaluating the model parameters, we selected the model having the lowest DIC value. Using this Bayesian method, we derived the predictive survival density for future survival time and its related inferences. RESULTS: The analytical sample of White non-Hispanic women included 2,000 breast cancer cases from the SEER database (1973-2009). The majority of cases were married (55.2%), the mean age of diagnosis was 63.61 years (SD = 14.24) and the mean survival time was 84 months (SD = 35.01). After comparing the four statistical models, results suggested that the exponentiated Weibull model (DIC= 19818.220) was a better fit for White non-Hispanic females' breast cancer survival data. This model predicted the survival times (in months) for White non-Hispanic women after implementation of precise estimates of the model parameters. CONCLUSIONS: By using modern model building criteria, we determined that the data best fit the exponentiated Weibull model. We incorporated precise estimates of the parameter into the predictive model and evaluated the survival inference for the White non-Hispanic female population. This method of analysis will assist researchers in making scientific and clinical conclusions when assessing survival time of breast cancer patients.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Teorema de Bayes , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Prognóstico , Distribuição Aleatória , Programa de SEER , Análise de Sobrevida , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estados Unidos , População Branca
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