Predicting short- and long-term renal function following partial and radical nephrectomy.

OBJECTIVES: To externally validate the previously published Mayo clinic model for the prediction of early (<30 days) postoperative renal failure, which relies solely on preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and develop a novel model for the prediction of long-term (>30 days) renal function after partial nephrectomy (PN) and radical nephrectomy (RN), including patient factors and nephrometry scores. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Retrospective, single-center cohort study on patients who underwent PN or RN for a unilateral renal tumor between 2003 and 2019 with a preoperative eGFR of at least 15 ml/min/1.73m2. Early postoperative renal failure was defined as eGFR <15 ml/min/1.73 m2 or receipt of dialysis within 30 days. We determined the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) to assess the Mayo clinic model's discriminative power. We used hierarchical linear mixed models with backward selection of candidate variables to develop a prediction model for long-term eGFR following PN and RN, separately. Their predictive ability was quantified using the marginal and conditional R2GLMM and an internal validation. RESULTS: We included 421 patients (7,548 eGFR observations) who underwent PN and 271 patients (6,530 eGFR observations) who underwent RN. The Mayo clinic model for prediction of early postoperative renal failure following PN and RN showed an AUC of 0.816 (95% CI 0.718-0.920) and 0.825 (95% CI 0.688-0.962), respectively. In multivariable models, long-term eGFR following PN was associated with age, diabetes, the presence of a solitary kidney, tumor diameter and preoperative eGFR, while long-term eGFR following RN was associated with age, body mass index, RENAL nephrometry score and preoperative eGFR. Marginal and conditional R2GLMM were 0.591 and 0.855 for the PN model, and 0.363 and 0.849 for the RN model, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The Mayo clinic model for short-term renal failure prediction showed good accuracy on external validation. Our long-term eGFR prediction models depend mostly on host factors as opposed to tumor complexity and can aid in decision-making when considering PN vs. RN.

Oncological Outcomes of Metastasis-Directed Therapy in Oligorecurrent Prostate Cancer Patients Following Radical Prostatectomy.

Several retrospective and a few prospective studies have shown that metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) could delay clinical progression and postpone the initiation of systemic treatment in oligorecurrent prostate cancer (PCa) patients. However, these endpoints are strongly influenced by variables such as concomitant use of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) and follow-up imaging protocols. The aim of this manuscript was to assess palliative ADT- and metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC)-free survival as long-term oncological outcomes in oligorecurrent PCa treated by MDT. We retrospectively identified consecutive post-prostatectomy oligorecurrent PCa patients treated by MDT (salvage lymphadenectomy, radiotherapy, or metastasectomy) at our tertiary referral center. Patients were eligible for inclusion if they developed recurrence following radical prostatectomy, had ≤5 metastatic lesions on imaging and had a serum testosterone >50 ng/dL or a testosterone suppression therapy-free interval of >2 years prior to the first MDT as an assumption of recovered serum testosterone (if no testosterone measurement available). Patients with castration-resistant or synchronous oligometastatic PCa at the time of first MDT were excluded. Repeated MDTs were allowed, as well as a period of concomitant ADT. Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed to assess palliative ADT-free and mCRPC-free survival. We identified 191 eligible patients who underwent MDT. Median follow-up from first MDT until last follow-up or death was 45 months (IQR 27-70; mean 51 months). Estimated median palliative-ADT free survival was 66 months (95% CI 58-164) and estimated median mCRPC-free survival was not reached (mean 117 months, 95% CI 103-132). In total, 314 MDTs were performed and 25 patients (13%) received ≥3 MDTs. This study demonstrated that (repeated) MDT is feasible and holds promise in terms of palliative ADT-free and mCRPC-free survival for patients with oligorecurrent PCa. However, these findings should be confirmed in prospective randomized controlled trials.